Category: Gold & Silver
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Gold Hits New 16-Month High vs. Dollars and Sterling ; London Press Fails to Notice / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES touched a fresh 16-month high in London early on Wednesday, but slipped $3 per ounce to trade at $711.29 as the US open drew near.
The AM Fix came in at $711.75 per ounce, the highest London Fix since 17th May 2006 .
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Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Commodity Markets Update - Gold Remains Undervalued Despite Current Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldSpot gold was trading at $705.20/705.70 an ounce as of 1215 GMT after yesterday's 1.5% price increase.
It has traded sideways in Asia and Europe but remains close to new 16 month highs and is not far away from 26 year highs at $730. We believe that given the speed of the recent price surge there may be some back filling and consolidation but that the 26 year high will be challenged and surpassed in the coming days and weeks. The wise old Wall Street saying to always have 10% of one's wealth in gold and hope it doesn't work becomes more appropriate by the day.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Where Next for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Look at that gold price? What happened to 650 an ounce? I believe we are witnessing a new floor price for gold being established.
And what happens when that ole' spring is pushed too hard?
Well, gold has finally closed above 700 and I believe this to be more than a short term rally. Now 700 has become the floor for gold where as before 700 was the ceiling. What does this mean? Before, gold was attempting to climb above an imaginary Maginot line of 700. Now 700 has become the floor and imaginary base from which gold will call home.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Commodity Markets Trend - History Should Serve As A Guide To This Wild Ride / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Even though I have not posted commentary in the last few months, I have been keenly aware of the wild ride that has occurred in the commodity markets over the last couple of months. The major sell-offs, that have occurred in nearly every sector, have left many commodity bulls around the world asking the following question: Is this bull market in commodities finally over?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 11, 2007
Commodity Markets Update - Gold Trades Sideways Near 16 Month Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldSpot gold was trading at $705.20/705.70 an ounce as of 1215 GMT. It has traded sideways in Asia and Europe but remains close to 16 month highs. Yesterday's close above $700 was only the 7th daily close above $700 in 26 years.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2007
Gold Moves Sideways for Non-US Investors; "Safe Haven the Way to Go" / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES traded sideways in Asia overnight, moving in a $2 range before rising steadily in London to break $705 per ounce as the New York open drew near.
European stock markets rallied meantime, with London 's top 100 share index adding 1.5% during the morning session to reach break-even from this time last month. Both the FTSE Eurofirst 300 index and the Dow on Wall Street remain 7% off their top of mid-July.
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Monday, September 10, 2007
Gold Opens London at 27-Year High; Western Fund Managers Buy US Bonds, Even as Inflation Rises and Foreign Banks Sell / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES dipped 30 cents below the $700 mark in Asian trade on Monday, only to spike sharply higher before opening the week in London above $706 per ounce – the highest weekly start since Sept. 1980.
Today's Morning Fix of $704 per ounce was the highest since May 17th last year.
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Monday, September 10, 2007
Gold Breaches $700 Barrier as Fed Fails to Contain Subprime Credit Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldSpot gold traded at a new 16 month high this morning and was trading at $704.00/704.50 an ounce as of 1215 GMT.
Gold has continued to show strength in Asian and European trading after last week's surge of $26 or more than 4%. Last weeks surge was likely due to strong physical demand, near record oil prices, the weaker dollar and then the worryingly bad payroll numbers on Friday. These led to gold rising and the Dow declining 1.9% and the S&P 500 falling 1.4% for the week. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 09, 2007
A Perfect Financial Storm for Gold - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Global markets weakening, U.S. dollar weakening, gold zooming higher – is this what is sometimes called a “perfect storm” for gold?
Global Markets and the Price of Gold
Last week I deviated from my normal commentary and looked in on the global equity markets. The question not asked at that time was “If the global markets are all weakening how does that affect the price of gold?” It is often inferred that gold price moves counter to the direction of the equity markets.
Sunday, September 09, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Metals Breakout Sustainable Growth? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“A second consecutive close above the 5-week moving average in gold bodes well for a break of this resistance level, after which $690 and $700 become strong resistance.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 07, 2007
Will Gold Rise Still, When The Next Financial Shock Hits? Does Liquidity Mean Confidence? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Smoke and mirrors, the confidence game is such a difficult one, once the crowd is suspicious. Our generation trusts few figures in authority. It is a generation used to being taken for a ride, with the sin now in being gullible. And the beginning of the run up in gold and silver testifies to market fears.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 07, 2007
Real Interest Rates and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Back in the young days of this gold bull, early 2001, gold languished in the $260s following a multi-decade bear. With little encouraging price behavior at that time, early contrarians focused on supply-and-demand fundamentals to undergird their highly controversial bullish views on gold. One key bullish thesis from those dark early days regarded gold's behavior relative to real interest rates.
Real interest rates are the actual returns realized by debt investors after inflation is subtracted out. So if an investor buys a US Treasury Bill that pays 4% a year, and inflation is running 3% a year, then he is earning a real rate of return of 1% on his investment. His purchasing power, the goods and services his capital can actually buy in the real world, grows by just 1% annually.
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Friday, September 07, 2007
Gold Bull Market Resmues As Inflation Equals Higher Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“To The Moon, Margaret!”
Don't you just feel real sorry for gold? Look at that poor chart below and weep. Actually weep for those idiots who cannot recognize a gold bull market when they see one. Hah! Gold will yet go where gold wants to go and perhaps where it has never been before – higher Margarita.
As the world leans further and further to financial doomsday is anyone even awake to the fact? Not really, except for those who are having their homes foreclosed.
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Friday, September 07, 2007
Commodity Markets Analysis - Gold To Break $700 As Sept 11th Anniversary Nears / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Spot gold was trading at $697.50/698.00 an ounce as of 1215 GMT.Gold has continued to show strength in Asian and European trading and remains near 16 month highs. Besides a weak dollar and near record oil prices, gold was also bolstered by a resumption of geopolitical tension in the Middle East, with Syria accusing Israel of bombing its territory. With the 6 year anniversary of September 11 atrocity next Tuesday and Osama Bin Laden again in the news, risk aversion and safe haven buying is contributing to gold's strength. This is seen in strong inflows into gold ETFs and we have experienced a strong pick up in sales of both physical bullion and Perth Mint gold certificates.
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Friday, September 07, 2007
Gold Bull Market Breakout As Credit Crunch Creates Flight to Quality / Commodities / Gold & Silver
On Thursday, December Gold leaped $14 to $704, while the continuous spot contract gained about 2% to 694. More impressive to me was how the mining stocks acted. Recently I had mentioned that I thought the gold stocks would begin to take their cue from gold rather than stock market, when gold exceeded $700. Today's action certainly validated that. The XAU was up 5.7% and the HUI rose 6.6%. One day does not make a trend, but if you are a gold bull, you have to like the present situation.
I have so many informative charts to show, but I had to break it down to the most pertinent. There still are quite a few in this update.
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Friday, September 07, 2007
Gold Rises on "Safe Haven" Bid; Seasonal Surge Collides with Producer Buy-Back / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES dipped overnight from Thursday's 16-month Dollar highs, before rising again in London to break new ground for this bull run above $698 per ounce.
"Gold is now overbought technically," reckons Phil Smith for Reuters India, "breaking through some important technical resistance levels.
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Thursday, September 06, 2007
Gold Shoots to 4-Month High as European Central Bank Injects $31bn; Interest Rates Put "On Hold" / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES raced to a four-month high against the US Dollar in the first-half of London trade on Thursday, breaking the $685 level seen by many chart-watching analysts as "key" short-term resistance.
"It seems the gold market is ready to go higher," reckons Gerry Schubert, director of metals at Fortis Bank in London .
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Thursday, September 06, 2007
Commodity Markets Analysis - Central Banks to Curtail Plans to Sell Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldSpot gold was trading at $683.50/684.00 an ounce as of 1215 GMT.
Gold has continued to show strength in Asian and European trading. Gold is being supported by a weaker dollar and near record oil prices again. The continuing uncertainty in the financial markets is likely to be leading to an increase in safe haven buying as well.
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Thursday, September 06, 2007
Can the "Bernanke Put" Lift Gold Sharply Higher? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“I only know of two men who really understand the true value of gold, an obscure clerk in the basement vault of the Banque de Paris and one of the directors of the Bank of England. Unfortunately, they disagree,” remarked Nathan Mayer Rothschild, the former owner and operator of England's Royal Mint Refinery, and the primary gold agent to the Bank of England in the early 1800's.
When the Bank of England's gold reserve was drained by the costs of the Napoleonic wars, down to 235,000 ounces (£1 million) against note issue liabilities of £15.5 million, it was Nathan who sent secret shipments of gold and silver to Wellington's army in Europe and financed the defeat of Napoleon. In 1825, it was Nathan who rescued the Bank of England and prevented the collapse of the entire British banking system, after a run on gold caused the collapse of 145 banks.
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Wednesday, September 05, 2007
Gold Seasonal Move Starts in September. But Do Not Celebrate Yet / Commodities / Gold & Silver
After a long and dull summer, gold is about to enter its normal seasonal strong period. Much of the increase comes from the increased demand of the Indian wedding jewelery industry in the 4th quarter. But extra momentum is also normally delivered from the declining U.S. dollar. However, as the currency is now resting on solid support at $0.80, is the near-term outlook for gold that bright? Read full article... Read full article...