Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, July 02, 2010
Economic Recovery Withers on the Vine as Factory Orders Fall More Than Expected / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Mike_Shedlock
The "nascent recovery" was led by manufacturing and now the one bright spot is showing signs of age, just as state payrolls are about to get clobbered.
Friday, July 02, 2010
Double-Dip Recession Warning Signs Everywhere! Batten Down the Hatches! / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Mike_Larson
The bright red warning signs of a double-dip recession are flashing everywhere. And I do mean EVERYWHERE.
In just the past few days, we learned that …
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Friday, July 02, 2010
Misguided Economic Policy Paving the Way for a Double-Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes: With unemployment still hovering near 10%, policymakers should be doing all they can to combat joblessness and reinvigorate a recovery that is showing signs of weakness.
But they're not.
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Friday, July 02, 2010
Investor Silver Lining to the Age of Austerity / Economics / Economic Austerity
By: Hans_Wagner
According to some analysts and David Cameron, the new prime minister of the United Kingdom, the “Age of Austerity” is upon us. If the cuts promised by many European countries actually take place, investors fear it will lead to another recession in several of those countries. The age of austerity is what has worried the markets in the last month causing anxiety as volatility ruled the days.
Thursday, July 01, 2010
India is on the Path to Double-Digit Economic Growth / Economics / India
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes: If it's able to control inflation and cut its debt, India could well become the world's most appealing investment opportunity.
Europe is choking on debt and scrambling to salvage its beleaguered currency. The United States is saddled by high unemployment and struggling to preserve its wobbly recovery. Even China - which has had to reign in its stimulus to cool its red-hot property market and curb inflation - may have peaked.
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
UK Unemployment Forecast 2010 to 2015 / Economics / UK Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The latest set of figures from the coalition ConLib government forecast that 600,000 public sector jobs will be lost over the next 5 years at the rate of 120,000 per year as a consequence of spending cuts and tax rises of £113 billion per year by 2015-16, that will directly result in loss of private sector jobs of an additional 700,000 to total of 1.3 million. However at the same time the Prime Minister, David Cameron announced that the economy by some miracle would create 2.5 million private sector jobs to more than off-set the 1.3 million expected to be lost as a consequence of spending cuts.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
20 Questions with Robert Prechter: Signs Point to Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
The following article is an excerpt from Elliott Wave International’s free report, 20 Questions With Deflationist Robert Prechter. It has been adapted from Prechter’s June 19 appearance on Jim Puplava’s Financial Sense Newshour. To read the entire conversation, access the 20-page report here.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
The Economics of Great Depression Scrip / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Clifford_F_Thies
According to Paul Krugman, a contributing cause to a depression is hoarding and, concerning this, I have no real quarrel.[1] It is concerning the ability of the market to address the problem of hoarding, versus the need for government intervention because of hoarding, on which I disagree.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Why the Greater Economic Depression Still Lies Ahead / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Michael_Pento
If one does not know the real cause of a problem, they should also be unable to provide a genuine solution.
Messer’s Obama, Bernanke and Geithner do not understand the real cause of this debt crisis. They are politicians first and economists or students of the market second; if at all. Therefore, it is not wise to ask them if the great recession is indeed over, or for them to provide a plan to prevent another from occurring in the future.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Ferguson, Roubini vs. Krugman: Slowdown or Economic Depression for the U.S.? / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Dian_L_Chu
Paul Krugman, a strong supporter of fiat money, is obviously having a major distress over the G20 push to cut deficits in half by 2013, and stabilize the soaring U.S. debt. In his latest New York Times column, Krugman not only criticizes austerity measures, but also asserts that we are in the early stages of a third depression as a direct result of the spending cut.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
How Economic Policy Errors Cause Depressions / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Mike_Shedlock
It is easy to pick on Paul Krugman. So easy in fact, that it is not even fair sport.
However, if you can separate the wheat from the chaff, sometimes there are nuggets of truth in what Krugman writes.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Economic Choice Between Austrian Austerity Or Keynesian Poverty / Economics / Economic Theory
By: LewRockwell
Sean Corrigan writes: [Government] is apprehended, not as a committee of citizens chosen to carry on the communal business of the whole population, but as a separate and autonomous corporation, mainly devoted to exploiting the population for the benefit of its own members… The intelligent man, when he pays taxes, certainly does not feel he is making a prudent investment of his money; on the contrary, he feels he is being mulcted in an excessive amount for services that, in the main, are useless to him, and that, in substantial part, are downright inimical to him" ~ H.L. Mencken, "More of the Same," American Mercury 1925
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Fed Credit, Inflation and the Idiots in the Middle / Economics / Inflation
By: Richard_Daughty
A whole series of alarms occurred after I got the news, although I lost the source, that "food stamp usage just soared to a new record high" of 40.2 million persons.
This number is alarming in itself because it means that the economy is so bad that more and more hungry people cannot afford to even feed themselves, sort of like teenagers, but with hopefully better manners and dietary choices.
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Plunging Consumer Confidence and Treasury Yields, Economic Depression is Here / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Mike_Shedlock
Is that a 3-handle I see on the long bond and a 2-handle of the 10-year treasury? Why yes it is.
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Keynesian Economics C + I + G = Baloney / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
Patrick Barron writes: Wrongheaded governmental interventions are preventing the world's largest economies from recovering from massive malinvestment.
Japan, currently the world's third-largest economy, has had zero growth for 20 years. A good case can be made that the United States has had zero growth for ten years, because the so-called growth of the first decade of the new millennium now appears to have been phony. All of those houses were built at a loss, losses that we are only now recognizing. We have yet to plumb the total extent of the rot.
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Robert Prechter Answers 20 Tough Questions About Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Free Download: Elliott Wave International have just released a brand-new interview given by Robert Prechter. A devoted inflationist asks the leading proponent of deflation tough questions about fiat currency, gold, the Fed, the Great Depression, financial bubbles, government intervention and how to protect your money -- and even profit -- in today's environment. Learn more below or access the 20-page report now.
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Paul Krugman Warns of Depression / Economics / Economic Theory
By: William_Anderson
The more I read Paul Krugman's columns and papers, the more I realize just how great the gulf is between Austrian and Keynesian thought. It is impossible to sum up all of the differences between the two camps, but I do think that perhaps the disparities can be summed up in the Austrian rejection of Keynes' famous 1943 statement that expansion of credit by the central bank will create a "miracle . . . of turning a stone into bread."
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
UK ConLib Government to Use INFLATION Stealth Tax to Erode Value of Public Debt / Economics / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne hit the reset button on the UK economy by delivering the most radical budget of the past 30 years that has sought to cut an extra £40 billion from Britains annual budget deficit by 2014-15 which is on top of ALL of Labours March 2010 budget cuts and tax rises of £73 billion that the coalition left intact. The cuts totaling a withdrawal of £113 billion from the economy will be phased in by 2015-16 and by then total about 7.5% of GDP which is a huge amount that is deemed necessary to divert Britain from its current path towards bankruptcy that Labour had put it firmly upon as a consequence of running an annual budget deficit of 12% of GDP.
Monday, June 28, 2010
How do Other Nations Balance Their Trade? Try Germany / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Ian_Fletcher
As America continues to contemplate its trade mess, the question naturally arises how other developed nations manage to trade with the world without deficits and without turning high-wage industries into low-wage industries to compete. Although some other developed nations, like Britain and Spain, have trade situations almost as bad as ours in recent years, some have been quite the opposite. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 28, 2010
The New Ideological Divide Between Stimulators and Austereians / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Peter_Schiff
Despite the apparent deficit-cutting solidarity that emerged from this weekend's G-20 meeting in Toronto, it is clear that the great powers of the industrialized world have not been this philosophically estranged since the end of the Cold War. Ironically, in this new contest, the former belligerents have switched sides - the capitalists are now the socialists, and vice versa.