Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, March 25, 2010
U.S. Policies Will Fail to Avert Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation
The United States send weak economic signals insufficient for a meaningful and sustainable economic expansion required to gain back confidence of national and foreign investors, futureofdollar.com finds in the present research. Political decision-making process is paralyzed by numerous disabilities, while external market constraints obstruct economic recovery. Stagflation is an imminent danger.
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
The US is at a Precipice / Economics / US Debt
Tim Gatto writes: We are at a precipice. This is the end of one era and the beginning of another. The “real” world that so many people believe in, here in America is not the world you see on your TV sets, that is the world that the government and the media want you to believe in. We are so accustomed to believing in our own American ideology that we can’t understand the ramifications of what we have done.
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
Should California Get a Bail Out? / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
As some readers might recall, without budget solutions from the Governor and Legislature, the California State Controller was forced to issue IOUs to several State payees last July in order to prevent a $2.8 billion cash shortage.
IOUs began printing July 2, and ended September 3 of last year.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Growing Gap between Government and Private Sector Benefits / Economics / US Economy
Michael Mandel, former chief economist for BusinessWeek, is now writing on his own blog. Please consider his latest post on The Growing Gap between Govt and Private Sector Benefits.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Sex and Trade Surplus in China / Economics / China Economy
Concerns over the global imbalance resulting from large Chinese current account surplus and large U.S. current account deficits has many economists and politicians locked in heated debates. Some experts, including Paul Krugman, propose measures focusing on changing China’s exchange-rate policy and trade barriers.
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
China, The Coming Costs of a Super Bubble / Economics / China Economy
China may seem to have defied the recession and the laws of economics. It hasn't. When China's bubble bursts, the global impact will be severe, spiking US interest rates.
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
U.S. Debt Crisis, Battle for the Budget / Economics / US Debt
Bud Conrad, Editor, The Casey Report writes: Recently the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) published its scoring of President Obama's budget for the next 10 years. It shows a budget deficit of $9.8 trillion. That is just shy of $4 trillion worse than the CBO’s baseline budget, a budget that includes only the laws as currently enacted, with no estimates of any new programs lawmakers may add that worsen future projections.
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
UK CPI Inflation Falls to 3%, RPI Remains at 3.7% / Economics / Inflation
UK CPI inflation fell back unexpectedly for academic economists to 3% from 3.5% the month before, the Bank of England's forecast for UK inflation by the end of 2010 is 1% not 3% which continues to illustrate the Bank of England is failing in its primary role of accurately targeting an inflation rate of 2%.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Inflation Bond Issuance Hits Record $200 Billion ahead of Deflation / Economics / Deflation
Concerns about global inflation are once again picking up. Please consider the Financial Times article Inflation-linked issuance to hit record $200bn
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Krugman's Hoover History, Very Misleading Analysis of Deficit Spending / Economics / Government Spending
At his popular New York Times blog, Paul Krugman is at it again, offering a very misleading analysis of deficit spending. Without technically lying, Krugman perpetuates the myth that Herbert Hoover insisted on budget austerity in the midst of the Great Depression. Then Krugman interprets a chart with adjectives that show his eyes can only see what his Keynesian theory will allow.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
The Second Austrian Monetary and Business Cycle Theory Revival / Economics / Economic Theory
Joseph T. Salerno and Jeffrey A. Tucker write: [This article is adapted from introductory remarks delivered by the first coauthor at the Austrian Scholars Conference, March 11–13, 2010, Auburn, Alabama. Both the oral remarks and the written article are joint products of both coauthors.]
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Predator States Consuming Our Capital / Economics / US Debt
It must be admitted that there is a degree of instability which is inconsistent with civilization. But, on the whole, the great ages have been unstable ones. ~ Alfred North Whitehead
A sure-fire sign of a business enterprise in decline is when it begins using its invested capital to pay operating expenses. Such signs of ill-health are not confined to the world of commerce and industry, but can exhibit themselves in the life of any system. We are witnessing the practice in the collapse of Western Civilization, as we scurry to meet short-term demands by sacrificing the foundations upon which our culture has long been grounded.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Russian Economy Growing Stronger than Expected / Economics / Russia
The growth of the GDP of the Russian Federation will reach the level of 4-4.5 percent in 2010 and may further increase to 6 percent. Putin said in December of 2009 that the nation’s GDP would grow by approximately three percent in 2010. The bailout measures taken by the Russian government produced a positive effect, the prime minister added.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
China Currency Dispute Threat to U.S. Muddle Through Economic Growth / Economics / US Economy
O Canada
The Threat to Muddle Through
Back to 1971
The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars
GDP = C + I + G + Net Exports
If the Chinese allowed the renminbi to rise, would that make the USA better off? That is the contention of a cabal of critics from Senators to Nobel laureates. Paul Krugman wants to see a 25% tariff on Chinese goods. Today we examine that idea, and look at the real problems that we face. If only it were so easy. The numbers just don't add up. The fault, dear Brutus...
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Jim Rogers Says 2012 Recession Will be Worse / Economics / Recession
Central Banks printing money are driving stocks higher, but has not bought any shares since November 2008. Does not pay any attention to the Fed because they do not know what's going on. Expects U.S. Economy to have a worse recession than 2008-09 which will be worse because of the huge debt burden.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
The Economic Impossibility of John Maynard Keynes / Economics / Economic Theory
What shall we do with those people deprived of work by wealth and technology...?
HOW TO FILL the days, hours and minutes? It's now seven decades since John Maynard Keynes peered into the future and declared that, one day, trying to scratch a living would cease being "the permanent problem of mankind."
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Friday, March 19, 2010
The Road to Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation
Inflationism is a slippery road – the road to hyperinflation. The inflationist Bernanke Fed behaves as if they would not be “dialling back” from Quantitative Easing any time soon. They talk the talk, but can’t walk the walk. The inflationary genie is out of the bottle. Taming it back will result in a crushing deflationary collapse. The Fed will never let this happen again. They did it once during the Great Depression, they won’t do it again.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Inflate, Deflate, Confiscate, Investor Authentic Wealth Enhancement Essentials / Economics / Fiat Currency
"Inflate, Deflate, Confiscate"
U.S. Senator Robert A. Taft (RIP) on the Mega-Banks favorite technique.
“The shadow banking system is still alive and growing. According to a new paper (PDF) by the Levy Economics Institute of U Miss, the derivative exposure of Goldman Sachs was 33,823% of its assets in 2009 (as compared to 25,284% in 2008). They are still leveraged to the hilt and the US government (i.e. the U.S. taxpayer) is the backstop.”
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Thursday, March 18, 2010
Paul Krugman Versus Economic Reality / Economics / Economic Theory
In his latest weekly New York Times column, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman put forward arguments that were so nonsensical that the award committee should ask for its medal back.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 18, 2010
Asian Economy To Top the World by 2020 / Economics / Asian Economies
Business analysts predict an economic rise for Asian corporations. The current conditions work towards the success of Asian giants. Their success is presumably based on the low cost of products which it its turn is based on the use of cheap labor force. The prospering Asian companies can not be good at everything. Their weak point is the spheres of communications and branding.
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