Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, January 01, 2014
Stock Market Ends 2013 at a New All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 closed out the year with a 29.60% gain and ended at a new all-time high. Only four times since its inception in 1957 has index had higher annual gains: 38.06% in 1958, 31.55% in 1975, 34.11% in 1995, and 31.01% in 1997.
Wednesday, January 01, 2014
Looking Back at the Year of the Stocks Bull Market 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Frank_Holmes
I've often said that trying to stop a bull market has risks. It was certainly precarious to think this year's run would end anytime soon.
By December 27, the S&P 500 Index climbed an astounding 31.86 percent in 2013. We're also pleased that shareholders in U.S. Global Investors' All American Equity Fund (GBTFX) and Holmes Macro Trends Fund (ACBGX) were along for the ride and more this year, as both funds outperformed their respective benchmarks. Check out their performance here.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Stock Market Time to be Watchful for Sudden Break Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be breaking its trading channel trendline for its most recent rally. However, it may remain stalled above its Orthodox Broadening Top trendline at 1838.00. Until that trendline is broken, there is still a chance that SPX may attempt yet another probe higher. There may not be a potential sell signal, even an aggressive one, until that trendline is broken.
Monday, December 30, 2013
Santa Delays Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Stock Market End of Year Musings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Things are indeed getting surreal.
Appropriately, surrealism began in the 1920s, at the time of another great stock market bubble and was marked by representations of illogical scenes, often pasted together using everyday objects in unusual settings.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
Relentless Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After ending last week near an all time high at SPX 1818, the market gapped up twice this week reaching 1845 on Friday before settling at 1841. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.45%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%, and the DJ World index gained 1.50%. Economic reports for the week were again positive. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, durable goods orders, FHFA housing prices, new home sales, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the WLEI and the monetary base. Next week, another holiday shortened week, will be highlighted by construction spending, ISM and auto sales.
Saturday, December 28, 2013
Stock Market Holiday Rally Takes a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 went nowhere Friday, snapping its four-day winning streak with a fractional loss of 0.03%. Today’s inaction came on weak volume, and the 0.276% intraday range (percent change from the low to the high) was the smallest of 2013.
According to the U.S. Treasury, the yield on the 10-year note closed at 3.02%, a new interim high and the highest yield since July 2011.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
Stock Market Sentiment Off The Charts...Bears can't Get Any Love.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
You can feel the bears getting ready to celebrate. It's like their guts are busting, because in their hearts they know they have the bulls where they want them. Can't blame them for feeling that way. After all, everywhere we look the bears should be feeling good about themselves. The short-term charts are overbought. The weekly and monthly charts are overbought with potential negative divergences. Margin debt is at an all-time high. Yes folks, an all-time high. The bull-bear spread is at its worst level in nearly twenty-five years. 45.5% heading into this week. It's probably even higher now since we didn't sell much this week now did we. Maybe we're at 47%. Maybe, if not probably, the bulls are now at an unheard of 60%, or higher, while the bears are at an unheard of 14% or lower.
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Stock Market Cycle Top Amidst TNX and WTIC Signs for Deteriorating Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX is now over 3%. What a way to start the New Year!
ZeroHedge reports, “While a few media outlets had premature releases yesterday, Bloomberg data just confirmed that for the second time this year, 10Y US Treasury yields have crossed 3% (it was 3.005% in Sept 2013) breaking to the highest since July 2011(right before the yield collapse after the US debt-ceiling downgrade debacle). We are sure the media will proclaim this as 'proof' that the recovery is different this time, except the term structure continues to flatten (suggesting less faith in the future) and to spice things up 30Y mortgage rates have surged to 4.63% - almost the highest since May 2011 - but again, apparently, this won't affect the housing recovery either (even though mortgage apps are down two-thirds from their highs).”
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Stock Market Final Friday of 2013 – No Worries? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
1.3M US Citizens get cut off tomorrow.
That's right, we're finally pulling the plug on those lazy, unemployed leeches that have been draining $300M a week from us job creators (though, obviously, we didn't create jobs for them!). That's $15.6Bn a year – enough money to pay for 3 nuclear submarines! And what's more important to America – feeding 1.3M families (1% of the workforce) the week after Christmas or having 1% more submarines in our fleet? The choices couldn't be more clear for our Congress!
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Friday, December 27, 2013
US Stock Market Top Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: John_Hampson
Time for another run through the checklist of typical cyclical bull tops in stocks.
1. Market valuation excessive
Second highest market cap to GDP valuation outside of 2000, the 4th highest Q ratio valuation and 4th highest CAPE valuation in history, last two years gains more than 80% multiple expansion and less than 20% earnings growth – CHECK
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Rising Interest Rates Fail to Prevent Another Stock Market New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: This morning’s jobless claims report showed a big drop in new claims (although the latest number is about 12,000 higher than the six-month moving average). The S&P 500 opened higher and then slowly drifted yet higher to its 0.52% intraday high shortly before its slightly trimmed closing gain of 0.47%, which is another all-time high.
Thursday, December 26, 2013
The Stock Market Holiday Bulge – Prepare for Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I would like to start by wishing you a Happy Holidays & New Year!
So far this year (2013) has been a great year for trading and my 2014 forecast looks to be as good if not even better. I do have something exciting to share with you that is going to make 2014 really amazing, but first let me talk about the stock market and what is likely to unfold in the next week or two so you can protect your investments.
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Thursday, December 26, 2013
Stock Market Low Volume Rally May be Nearing its End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My phones and internet are back after last Saturday’s ice storm. There are still neighborhoods without power as the ice hasn’t melted from the trees yet. In some neighborhoods with mature trees the work crews are saying it may take another week before the obstructions are removed and the power reinstalled. My son and his wife are without power and are staying with us, since their house is literally freezing.
Thursday, December 26, 2013
Stock Market Thoughts For the End of the Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
What a year this has been!
As you can see from Doug Short's S&P chart, we're now up 171% from our 2009 low of 666 but the mission is not yet accomplished at 1,833 – not with 1,850 so close and obtainable as a target for a 2013 finish that will put this year firmly in the history books – as well as in brochures that will be used to entice more people into the market next year.
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Wednesday, December 25, 2013
Secular Stock Market Cycles - Don't Accept Breakeven / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
For today's special Christmas Eve Outside the Box, my good friend Ed Easterling brings us pearls of wisdom on the subject of rowing vs. sailing. "Rowing?" you ask. "Sailing?" And, you're thinking, "I would surely prefer to be a sailor." Well, not so fast. Let Ed explain why putting your back into your investing process can pay off handsomely. A nice piece to think about as you are mashing the potatoes or icing the cake. You can see more of Ed’s marvelous work at www.crestmontresearch.com.
Wednesday, December 25, 2013
Stock Market Snapshot: Another Day, Another All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: This morning’s strong Durable Goods report set the stage for a continuation of the holiday rally. The S&P 500 opened fractionally above yesterday’s close and rose steadily to it modest intraday high at the closing bell, up 0.29%. The 0.29% intraday range in today’s abbreviated trading day was the second smallest of the year … second to the March 7th range of 0.28%.
Tuesday, December 24, 2013
World Stocks Rally on Steroids - Except for China / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Six of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted substantial gains over the past week. The average of the six was an impressive 2.91%, with Germany’s DAXK as the top performer, up 4.37%. The two negative performers were the two China indexes. The Hang Seng fell 1.87% and the Shanghai Composite plunged a gut-wrenching 5.07%, its worst weekly loss since May 2011.
Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Merry Stock Markets – Apple Provides More Lift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
AAPL strikes again!
In last Wednesday's Webcast (Our Top Picks for 2014), I noted that AAPL was once again going to be my pick of the year (it was our top pick for 2013 too) because, once again, not only was it cheap but BECAUSE we could construct a ridiculously cheap option spread for it that can once again deliver a massive return of 500% or more.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Overbought Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation may be in the making.
Read full article... Read full article...