Category: Stock Market 2021
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, February 02, 2021
Stock Market Bump in the Road? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX reaches ~ 4150.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2021
Stock Investment in 2021 — Finding the Best Stocks to Invest in / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Everyone wants to try their luck in the stock market. It gives them the chance to get some extra bucks that they can throw in their savings account. But the stock trading game is not an easy one to play. You have to be really strategic and resilient, and the stock market will be your cash cow.
As a beginner in stock trading, your biggest challenge is to find the best stocks to invest in. The stock market keeps changing every day. There is a wide range of investment opportunities to choose from. You have to pick the one that’s most profitable for you. But how exactly do you do that? Here is a quick guide to get you started.
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Saturday, January 30, 2021
VIX and Defensive Sectors React To Perceived Stock Market Trend Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Since early November 2020, the VIX has continued to decline and consolidate near the 22 level. Late in December 2020 and beyond, the VIX started setting up series-high price spikes – which indicates a flagging downside pattern is setting up. You can see this setup across the recent VIX highs drawn in MAGENTA on the chart below. Additionally, the VIX has “stepped” higher – moving from lows near 19.50 to higher lows near 21.00. This upward stepping base is indicative of a shift in volatility.
VIX Sets Up Pennant/Flag Pattern
My research team and I interpret this data as a sign that trend weakness is starting to build after the strong rally that initiated in early November 2020. Although we have not seen any clear sign that the markets are about to reverse or decline, this move in the VIX is suggesting that volatility is increasing. The high price “breakout”, yesterday, in the VIX suggests the MAGENTA flag setup is nearing an Apex/breakout point.
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Thursday, January 28, 2021
Russell 2000 ETF Initiates New Stock Market Rally Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week my team and I alerted our readers to the current trends and shifting sectors that are getting hotter every day. Technology, Energy, Financials, Industrials and others are experiencing bullish trends we haven’t seen in years. The Russell 2000 ETF, URTY, is starting a new breakout uptrend just after our BAN Trader Pro system suggested the SPY may initiate a new bullish rally. You can read relevant research posts here: RECENT TRIGGERS IN THESE SECTORS SUGGEST US STOCK MARKETS MAY ENTER A RALLY PHASE and TECHNICAL TRADERS ARE USING THE BAN HOTLIST TRIGGERS WITH HUGE SUCCESS USING REGULAR ETFS, LEVERAGE ETFS, AND OPTIONS.
As we can see in the chart below, the Russell 2000 has been one of the top performers since just after the November 2020 elections. Originating a breakout trigger on November 3, near $43.46, and confirming a “New High Breakout” on November 9, near $51.37, the Russell 200 sector has been rallying very strongly over the past 60+ days. The current “New Price High” breakout suggests this rally may continue. Fibonacci price extensions show a peak may target levels near $125~$130 – nearly 20%+ higher than current prices.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2021
Stock Market Investors’ Limitless Risk Appetite / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Troy_Bombardia
Investors are buying anything and everything in a manner that’s reminiscent of the 1990s. The best stocks to buy these days: money-losing tech companies. The more losses, the better because growth is the name of the game. In the 1990s, profits didn’t matter. All that mattered was “eyeballs” and user growth.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2021
The End of the World History Stock Market Chart : Big Pattern = Big Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Rambus_Chartology
We hear so much negativity from both sides of the isle that if a Republican is elected to the presidency then everything is going to hell in a hand basket and if a Democrat is elected then you will be better off to find another country to live in because things will be so bad in the US you won’t want to live here anymore. Conspiracy theories are running so rampant right now that the average American doesn’t know what to believe.
Beside the stock markets giving me financial freedom it has also taught me how to think for myself which can be pretty tough these days. You’ve heard me say this a million times, “playing the stock market is a game of psychological warfare more than anything else.” A good example right now is how most members keep wanting to short the stock markets because everything they read says the markets can’t keep going up for a myriad reasons.
The Great Rescission that began in 2007 and lasted until early 2009, scarred many investors for a lifetime. I saw the same thing with my dad who grew up in the Great Depression. During the 1990’s bull market, which was the greatest bull market of all time at that time, he could never understand how the stock markets could keep going up because of all the fundamental reasons he thought should stop secular bull market dead in its tracks. We had some great debates on the direction of the markets but I wasn’t scarred emotionally by what happened in the Great Depression so I had an open mind and could view the charts with an objective point of view.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2021
Stock Market Recent Sector Triggers Suggest Stocks May Enter Rally Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, our Best Asset Now (BAN) Hotlist generated a new trigger on the SPY chart. Typically, this type of trigger suggests the SPY is starting a new, potentially explosive, upside price rally. But what really interests us is the potential that the strongest sectoral ETFs may continue to see a much stronger upside price rally as a result of this new trigger.
Recent BAN SPY Trend Trigger
The strength of the BAN Hotlist is not the general market triggers it gives, such as the SPY, Dow Jones, or NASDAQ, but instead the ability to align these major market triggers with the strongest performing sectoral ETFs. This allows those using the Hotlist and BAN strategy to take advantage of the best-performing assets in the markets in any market trend. The new SPY trigger, seen on the chart below, suggests the US stock markets may be starting a new upside price trend, which will cause capital to rotate into different sectors. Our simple BAN Hotlist and strategy helps us identify these sectoral opportunities.
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Monday, January 25, 2021
Stock Market Intermediate Trend Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX recaches 4150 in February.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2021
Are Covid Lockdowns Bullish or Bearish for Stocks? FTSE 100 in Focus / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
"The market has a law of its own. It is not propelled by the external causality..."
Elliott Wave International has long held -- and proven -- that events outside of the market do not determine the long-term trend of prices. In the short term, news and events can, and often do, contribute to market volatility -- although, not always, and not always "logically." But then the long-term trend resumes.
We've shown countless examples of that on these pages -- and here's one of the latest: the lockdowns related to covid. One might conclude that investors would view the business interruptions resulting from a lockdown as a sign that stock prices would decline. Hence, a selloff would occur with each lockdown announcement.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2021
SPX Short-term Top Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX recaches 4150 in February.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Saturday, January 09, 2021
Cheers for the 2021 Stock Market and These "Great Expectations" / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
Insights into "the most speculative of strategies ... among the most speculative of traders"
We're reminded during this time of year of the wonderful classic by Charles Dickens, "A Christmas Carol."
As you probably know, the Victorian-era British novelist also wrote several other books, including "Great Expectations."
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Friday, January 08, 2021
Who is Buying and Selling Stocks in 2021 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Troy_Bombardia
I wish you a happy and prosperous New Year. May 2021 bring you and your family good health and success.
Looking back, 2020 was a year that few will forget. From a markets point of view, it was a year in which “dumb money” (traders who chase trends) was the smart money. Global central bank intervention caused a “wall of money” to flow from one asset to another, resulting in a year when “everything went up”.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2021
Stock Market Approaching an Important Target / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: New intermediate uptrend ending?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Monday, January 04, 2021
The Stocks Bull Market is Only Half Completed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Donald_W_Dony
After over 11 years of continuous advancement, the bull market is finally starting to show signs of its age.
Historically, secular bull markets tend to last about 18 years. This was the case for the prior three bull markets.
From 1919 to 1930 and from 1949 to 1970 and again from 1982 to 2000, the U.S. stock market unrelentingly rose despite fundamental and economical challenges.
The current bull market has also faced a number obstacles over the past 11 years. But similar to past secular bulls, shows no signs of altering its upward path.
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Sunday, January 03, 2021
Stock Market Major Peak in Early April 2021 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In the first part of this research article, we highlighted some of W.D. Gann’s research, particularly the theory of price vibrations, angles, slopes, and how they relate to future price projections/targets. We also showed how important it was to understand what price does when it reaches these critical inflection points. In this second part of our research, we are going to explore Gann time/price cycles and how they relate to our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs.
Our research will show you exactly why we believe an early April 2021 peak may be setting up in the US/global markets and why you need to prepare for this now. We believe the remainder of the bullish price trend may continue to push higher, scaling very close to the CYAN trendline on the chart below over the next 60+ days before starting to break lower as we near the end of March 2021. Let’s explore why we believe this is likely to happen.
We highlighted the importance of the CYAN trend line and the multiple Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs that are arcing through the recent price range in Part I. It is our belief that these critical levels represent a major inflection point in the advance of price and that price may continue to attempt to push higher – but may align itself below the CYAN trendline as it inches closer to the early April Gann price/time arc that we believe will set up a major top in the markets.
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Friday, January 01, 2021
Stock Market 2021 Predictions for Another ‘Year Like No Other’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: John_Mauldin
By Robert Ross : Investors might have thought they'd seen it all in 2020. But the stock market action was merely a preview of what's to come in 2021.
Just to take a quick look back, the market gave everyone a scare in 2020 when it bottomed in March. But then the S&P 500 surged 67% between March 23 and year-end.
Certain stocks like Tesla (TSLA), Zoom (ZM) and Moderna (MRNA) performed even better, soaring by triple-digits.
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