Category: Financial Crash
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Why the Stock Market Will Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
“Things always become obvious after the fact” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb
“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.” – Aldous Huxley
The S&P 500 currently stands at 2,126, fractionally below its all-time high. It is now 300% above the 2009 low and 34% above the 2008 and 2001 previous highs. Most people believe this is the new normal. They are comfortably numb in their ignorance of facts, reality, the truth, and the inevitability of a bleak future. When the herd is convinced progress and never ending gains are the norm, the apparent stability and normality always degenerates into instability and extreme anxiety. As many honest analysts have proven, with unequivocal facts and proven valuation measurements, the stock market is as overvalued as it was in 1929, 2000, and 2007.
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Saturday, May 23, 2015
The “Real Flash Crash” Will Scare You to Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Just about every investor knows about the stock-market “Flash Crash.”
Even though it happened all the way back on May 6, 2010, this historic sell-off has been all over the news lately as U.S. regulators try to extradite a small-time London-based trader they’ve identified as the cause.
That’s rubbish. Stocks don’t crash because one trader put down bunches of “sell” orders.
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Thursday, May 07, 2015
Stock Market Free-fall Probable / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It appears that SPX may go into free-fall for a day or two, at least. All nearby supports are now broken and it doesn’t appear that the 2-hour Cycle Bottom will hold. SPX has already declined through the hourly Cycle Bottom at 2080.63. You can see that SPX has already challenged its 2-hour Cycle Bottom in the last week of March, so this decline appears to be the charm. In addition, the trading bands have widened out, signifying that support is weakening.
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Thursday, May 07, 2015
How to Make Easy Money When Stock Markets Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: It’s easy to make money when stock prices are rising.
Just invest in one of the 5,000 stocks listed on major exchanges or one of the hundreds of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that are already available – with more being added almost every day.
But if you want to make money when the stock market goes down, it’s just as easy.
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Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Stocks, Bonds and Real Estate Financial Hurricanes Headed Our Way - No Where to Hide! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
There are three financial hurricanes hurtling towards our country and most people are oblivious to the coming catastrophe. The time to prepare is now, not when the hurricane warnings are issued.
Hussman makes his usual solid case that stocks and bonds are as overvalued as they have ever been in the history of investing. People are under the false impression that bonds are always a safe investment. The fact that you are already getting a negative real return on bonds doesn’t seem to compute with math challenged Americans. Over the next ten years you will absolutely lose money in bonds.
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Saturday, April 25, 2015
Stock Splitting Caused the Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
This article explains why the introduction of stock splitting on December 31st, 1927 eventually caused the crash of 1929. The frequent splitting of shares into very large proportions gave a massive boost to the stock market boom, making the stock market crash of 1929 equally violent.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2015
Stock Market Poised for a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
My earlier thesis of an unfinished retracement in SPX hit the nail on the head. Note that it didn’t go above the March 23 high, verifying the weakening uptrend. I recalibrated the Megaphone formation and verified it as an Orthodox Broadening top rather than a Broadening wedge. The formation may be triggered at 2103.00, so this is where I expect a Flash Crash to begin.
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Thursday, April 02, 2015
Will Stocks Just Correct or Collapse in 2015? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The question on everybody's mind for 2015 is when will the stock market start to correct in value and will it turn into a 50+% collapse?
Over the last 15 years investors has been through a lot in terms of market volatility. From the 2000 tech bubble bear market and the 2008 financial crisis bear market investors are far from having their investment psyche scars healing and is for good reason. Many sustained 50+% loss in their portfolio value more than once and are not willing to do it for a third time.
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Sunday, March 29, 2015
Stock Market About Ready to Crash! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Last time, I talked about there being one more rally left and then the market would drop big. I see no change in that outlook (after looking over the Gann Cycles from last Monday, I have determined that the next top would be April 2). I also talked about the false breaks on the rising wedges of various indices.
In this article, we are going to go over some of those charts, including the daily MACD, Chaiken's Money Flow as well as silver. Yes, the reason I want to go over the weekly chart of silver, is to look at the some of the reasons why we are going to have huge swings of the markets over the next weeks, months and years. The problem is, we are dealing with deflation, but at the same time, countries are inflating their currencies like mad trying to head that threat off.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Debt Bomb Going to Explode - Market Crash in September 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Renowned precious metals analyst David Morgan is out with a new book called “The Silver Manifesto.” In a chapter called “The Debt Bomb,” Morgan lays out the biggest problem and the biggest reason to own precious metals. Morgan contends, “Basically, the United States have exported our inflation to every other country. So, for them to stay competitive, they are required to weaken their own currencies for what is called competitive advantage. It simply means if they don’t print . . . their currencies would become too strong, and they would not be able to export. In order to keep trade flowing, these other countries are basically required to do what the U.S. government does, and that is export a great quantity of un-backed paper promises that are impossible to pay back.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Global System Catastrophe Is Key Threat To Human Civilisation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
– Oxford Scientists Cite “Global System Catastrophe” Among 12 Plausible Threats To Civilisation
- “Global System Catastrophe” More Of A Possibility Than Most Western People Suspect
- Study Described As A “Scientific Assessment About The Possibility Of Oblivion”
- Other Threats Include Nuclear War, Environmental Degradation, Geological Events and Out of Control Technology
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Friday, January 16, 2015
Will Collapse in Oil Price Cause a Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Black Monday stock market crash of October 19th, 1987 was the largest one-day percentage decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The crash was a genuinely perplexing event. To informed observers it seemed to have little basis in economic fundamentals. There were various "hand-waving" theories, including that the introduction of automated trading on the Dow had injected instability into the market. However, at the time, Black Monday appeared to come out of nowhere.
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Wednesday, January 07, 2015
Is Your Portfolio Ready for Stock Market 2015? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Is the recent bout in volatility yet another ‘buy-the-dip’ opportunity or a sign of worse to come? Investors struggle to both keeping up with the markets while protecting themselves against a severe correction. By taking a step back, investors might be able to see the forest for the trees to gauge whether their portfolio is ready for what lies ahead.
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Saturday, December 27, 2014
What to Do When Your Stock Is Crashing / InvestorEducation / Financial Crash
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Right now, one of my stocks is crashing...
What should I do?
What do you do in that situation? You know you will face this situation sometime with one of your stocks, if you haven't faced it already.
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Friday, December 26, 2014
Financial Collapse - A Tale of How It All Went Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
“Memory is fiction. So is the future.
But there is some truth in fiction.”
When they woke Thursday morning, the banks had been closed on the east coast for 2 hours. Electronic payment systems worked select areas only, government services, food, and energy distribution.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Stock Market Crash and High Yield Debt / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Since late 2008, the unprecedented quantitative easing (QE) that flooded our economy has produced another terrible consequence — the unbelievable mispricing of high-risk, high-yield bonds.
At the top of the previous boom in early 2008 high yield bonds grew to $710 billion and were yielding 10% after dropping to as low as 7.5% in early 2007.
That’s a more appropriate yield for investors taking such risks in what back then still looked like a good economy.
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Monday, December 15, 2014
Stock Market Probable Pop-n-Crash Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Crude oil is in the news this morning as Crude Oil futures bounced 2.5 points in the overnight session. That was only Wave (a) of [iv]. It is pulling back and Wave (c) of [iv] may take Crude as high as 63.16. This calculation assumes that Wave [iv] is the same length as Wave [ii].
Based on that calculation and the Fibonacci Relationship between the declining waves, it anticipates a probable decline to 62.00. This is all conjecture at this point. We may be able to get a better handle on this as Wave [iv] completes later today, a Trading Cycle Piovt day.
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Saturday, December 13, 2014
Will Falling Oil Prices Crash the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Crude oil prices dipped lower on Wednesday pushing down yields on US Treasuries and sending stocks down sharply. The 30-year UST slipped to a Depression era 2.83 percent while all three major US indices plunged into the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) led the retreat losing a hefty 268 points before the session ended. The proximate cause of Wednesday’s bloodbath was news that OPEC had reduced its estimate of how much oil it would need to produce in 2015 to meet weakening global demand. According to USA Today:
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
Steps for Avoiding a Stock Market Capital “Crash” Catastrophe in the Next Downturn / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
When the tech and real estate bubbles burst, many of my friends lost 40-50% of their retirement portfolios almost overnight. Is a similar downturn looming?
Take a look at the chart below showing the S&P’s performance since 2008.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Flock of Black Swans Points to Imminent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Between a rising U.S. Dollar Index and black swan events around the world, it's looking like bunker time for Bob Moriarty. In his latest interview with The Gold Report, the 321gold.com founder delivers a frank overview of U.S. international policy and lambasts commentators who look to their tea leaves in search of the next market moves. But it's not all gloom and doom: Moriarty also discusses metals companies with "no-lose deals," where resource investors can take advantage of more than favorable odds.
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