Category: Financial Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, January 04, 2013
Fiscal Y2Cliff Sham Held Investors Hostage 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: InvestmentContrarian
John Paul Whitefoot writes: On January 1, 2000, the world breathed a collective sigh of relief that the over-hyped Y2K fiasco dissipated without even a whimper after years of ballyhoo.
Some things never change.
As expected, at the last moment, Democrats and Republicans came together in joyous union and resolved the so-called fiscal cliff. Nervous investors around the world joined together with rapturous optimism and jumped back into the markets.
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Wednesday, January 02, 2013
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2012, Exponential Inflation Mega-trend Continues into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst 2012 closed with a whimper, 2013 starts with a BANG! as the fiscal cliff collapse crash mantra goes the same way as the Mayan doom prophecies barely of a fortnight earlier. Though don't worry there will be plenty more cliff-hangers for the always imminent crash merchants to hang onto during 2013 that I will seek to debunk during 2013, unless that is the actual probability of such events is high.
But before looking ahead towards the prospects for the likes of the stocks stealth bull market for 2013 and other markets such as housing and commodities, this is a look back at a selection of the 10 most popular articles of 2012.
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Saturday, December 29, 2012
Market Asset Class Correlations Imply Swift Selling in Coming Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Tony_Pallotta
For the week ending December 28, 2012, the SPX was down 1.9%, the Russell small caps were down 1.7% and the COMP was down 1.8%.
The model triggered short all indices in mid October. The move had not fully exhausted itself when a countertrend rally began the week of Thanksgiving. But the move was being profiled as countertrend based on the stress profile and therefore not the start of a new uptrend. That was confirmed this week when support levels failed to hold. And based on Friday's close a renewed short signal was issued for the Dow, SPX and COMP.
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Saturday, December 29, 2012
2012 - Year Of Living Dangerously In Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: James_Quinn
On January 8 of this year I posted my annual prediction article for this year - 2012 – The Year of Living Dangerously. Now it's time to assess my complete and utter cluelessness when it comes to predicting things within a given time frame. Despite the fact that myself and everyone else acting like they know what lays ahead are proven wrong time and time again, we continue to make predictions about the future. It makes us feel like we have some control, when we don't. The world is too complex, too big, too corrupt, too lost in theories and delusions, and too dependent upon too many leaders with too few brains to be able to predict what will happen next. This is the time of year when all the "experts" will be making their 2013 predictions. I haven't seen too many of these experts going back and honestly assessing their 2012 predictions, which didn't happen.
Friday, December 28, 2012
Rising Euro, Falling Dollar, Market Correlations Turned / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: P_Radomski_CFA
This week has brought in some calm after recent declines in the precious metals sector. Everybody seems to be waiting for some more decisive moves (both in the markets and on the part of the government, as the “fiscal cliff” issue has not been resolved yet), but these are not very likely before the beginning of the New Year.
Friday, December 28, 2012
Fiscal Cliffs Precede Fiscal Valleys / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
It is not the fall that kills us. It is the collision with the ground. It is not the ‘fiscal cliff’ that we should fear. It is the fiscal valley that lies beyond the fiscal cliff that will kill us. Can a fall from the cliff be prevented?
The answer is ‘no’. The ‘fiscal cliff’ is Fed Chairman Bernanke’s metaphor for the expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts. Congress must act to again extend the lower tax rates as they did previously or taxes rise starting in January of 2013. The fiscal cliff is therefore a tax increase on the American public. Get ready. The ground is approaching quickly.
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Thursday, December 27, 2012
Last Ditch Fiscal Cliff Efforts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
This is much more exciting than Christmas. So exciting that President Obama and Congress have cut short their winter vacations to give us hope – right before they snatch it away again. Will it be a bad plan or no plan? I can hardly wait to find out…
Saturday, December 15, 2012
The Unlimited Debt Solution, Central Banker Santa Claus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Doug_Wakefield
“Yes Virginia, there is a Central Banker Santa Claus”
Draghi Gets ECB Backing For Unlimited Bond Buying, Reuters, Sept 6, 2012
Fed Announces Unlimited QE3: The Central Bank Could Pump Money Into the Economy Until the Job Market Improves, US News & World Report, Sept 13 ‘12
Japanese Election: The Promise of ‘Unlimited Easing’, Sparks More Yen Weakness, Money Morning, Nov 21, 2012
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Thursday, December 13, 2012
Stock Market SPX, U.S. Dollar, Natural Trading Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Yesterday’s price action was very bearish yet again and we are patiently waiting for a counter trend pullback to happen. While three are some good looking plays out there I really do not want to get long until the market clears the air with a bout or three of strong selling. Remember 3:4 stocks follow the market and the odds of picking a commodity or ETF that bucks the trend is unlikely. If you are interested in powerful stocks & ETFs the buck the trend check out my FREE Trading Ideas live Go Here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1992897
Friday, December 07, 2012
Investor Profit & Protect Despite Bogus Official Data & The Coming Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Set by Uncontained Fiscal Malfeasance, and Exacerbated by Still-Unfolding Effects of the 2008 Systemic Panic and Near-Collapse, U.S. Hyperinflation Looms by End of 2014. After decades of U.S. government fiscal mismanagement, by 2004, the U.S. budget deficit was so out of control that it had become both unsustainable and uncontainable. Using generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP-accounting), the deficit for just the fiscal-year 2004 exploded to $11.0 trillion&h
Sunday, December 02, 2012
Global Financial System Big Turning Point Has Finally Hit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Graham_Summers
I believe we are at a major turning point for the financial system.
For nearly four years, the entire financial system has been held together (just barely) by extraordinary interventions on the part of the world’s Central Banks.
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Saturday, December 01, 2012
Popular Delusions, The Bull Case for Safe Havens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: John_Mauldin
A month ago in Outside the Box, Dylan Grice made the case for the need for safe havens, due to expansive monetary policy. But what is a safe haven anymore?
In today’s piece, a follow-up to last month’s, Dylan gives us a very good rundown on the historical relationship between equities and government bonds, in order to point out the very atypical current negative correlation between them. He then observes that
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Monday, November 26, 2012
The "Fiscal Cliff" Story You're Not Hearing from the Mainstream Press / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DailyWealth
Dan Ferris writes: Investors are scared...
In fact, they're even more scared today than they were in late 2008.
That's hard to believe... In 2008, the market was down close to 50% from its late-2007 highs. The housing market was crushed. Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, and AIG had all gone out of business in one way or another. Officials from the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury were running around like chickens with their heads cut off... bailing out losers in the financial industry.
Thursday, November 22, 2012
Fellow Investors, What I’m Thankful For… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: On Thanksgiving, most of us in the United States will be with friends and family, sitting around festive tables filled with way more food than we need, sharing all of the things that we’re thankful for.
Yes, I’m thankful for my family, the abundant meal, puppies, rainbows and all of the heartwarming stuff like everyone else. But this is an investment e-letter, so here’s what I’m thankful for when it comes to the financial markets…
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Thursday, November 15, 2012
Financial Markets Second Shoe About to Drop? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
The first shoe dropped to the floor in September 2008. With heroic obtuseness regarding the causes, the world’s central bankers flooded the financial markets with liquidity. Arguably, all that this achieved was a type of Indian summer. It seems that we are about to experience the consequences of that misguided behaviour. There is no such thing as a free lunch. One cannot create wealth out of thin air by printing money.
The four charts below seem to be pointing to an important inflexion point. The financial markets appear to be on the verge of panic.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2012
Market Forecasts for U.S. Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Silver, Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: EWI
Now - Nov. 19, you can join a free analysis-packed event for investors in the U.S. markets, hosted by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm.
Packed with videos, charts, analysis and more, this event centers around EWI's three flagship publications: The Elliott Wave Theorist, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, and the Short Term Update. During this rare event, you will get to see the analysis and forecasting from each of these premier U.S. market publications.
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Monday, November 12, 2012
Gold Prepares for Breakout as Stock Market Trends Towards a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Clive_Maund
We exited our short positions in gold for a modest but useful profit when it broke out of its downtrend towards the end of October. It then broke sharply lower on heavy turnover in a move that looks capitulative, but afterwards turned and rose quite sharply over the past week. So the question now is “has it bottomed?” Although the answer to this question is “Yes, it looks like it has”, it also looks like it may back and fill for a little while to complete a base pattern before a sustained advance can get underway. COTs, particularly for silver, continue to give grounds for caution and warn that the current turn may be the B-wave trap of a A-B-C correction. We are aware of this danger and place stops accordingly to protect us from it.
Friday, November 09, 2012
Post U.S. Election Market Forecasts for Apple, Gold, Silver, Oil and Stocks / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2012
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterNovember 7th , 2012 Issue #21 Vol. 6
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Friday, November 09, 2012
The Most Important Indicator for International Investing and National Economic Success / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“…We think that our responsibility is to clearly explain how the economic machine works by describing the cause/effect relationships that make it up…
“What are the Keys to Success? It seems intuitively obvious, and is in keeping with our experiences as a practitioners operating in many countries over several decades, that four factors drive relative growth: …competitiveness, indebtedness, culture and luck. In a study that we did … we show how we measured each of these and how they predicted subsequent growth, … focus on one of the components of our ‘Formula for Economic Success; –self-sufficiency–…
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Friday, November 09, 2012
What’s Around the Corner Now the U.S. Election’s Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Investors bid up stocks prior to the presidential election on Tuesday, when President Barack Obama won his second term. Investor confidence was due to some uncertainty eliminated with the election, but the nervousness quickly resurfaced on Wednesday morning, impacting investor confidence; stocks plummeted on the realization that Obama still has many hurdles to overcome and the fact that the global economy, namely in Europe and China, may be prone to more weakness that will negatively impact investor confidence.
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