Category: Stock Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, September 30, 2012
Stock Market Ready For the Next Wave Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
The corrections that I was looking for finally started to correct last week, although it started a little later than I initially figured, it finally caught up to the other markets.
I have been using the forex markets for a while now for clues to the cycles and wave patterns with the US markets, we went into last Sunday looking for a reversal on the ES e-mini and head lower to what I think is a 4th wave pull back from the June 2012 lows.
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Sunday, September 30, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for the Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Manas_Banerji
Now words of concern are coming from different authorities on the significance of latest QE-3 in US. One thing is sure that market has not welcomed it with bumper outcomes or as I said in past that it has already discounted it. Some housing reports from US were better but may be market is waiting for monthly jobs report which is due in coming week. Markets need an assurance from both sides of the Atlantic. Market will be seriously expecting stimulus from China in coming days, especially after the report of manufacturing contraction. In the last day results of stress tests of Spanish banks were better but unless their main problems are not getting any solution, market will not show different atmosphere.
Friday, September 28, 2012
Stock Market Over Valued, The Real Dow is Trading at 8800 Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
What I have to say today might shock you. But by all historical valuation metrics, the Dow Jones Industrial Index is worth 8,800.
Taking in the recent close of 13,458, that means the Dow Jones is overvalued by 53%.
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Friday, September 28, 2012
Stock Market Quarter End Squaring Before the Damn Bursts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have repositioned the EW structure to simplify it a bit. Today’s rally overlapped wave (1), so yesterday’s decline can only be another wave 1 of a smaller degree. That by no means suggests that the wave itself must be smaller.
Thursday, September 27, 2012
Stock Market Erasing the "Easing" Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. : The S&P 500 logged its fifth consecutive daily decline and seventh of the past eight sessions. The index closed the day with a moderate loss of 0.57%. What’s particularly interesting is a snapshot of the index showing the twin rallies of September — the first dating from September 6th after Mario Draghi unveiled the ECB plan to save the euro. The second, of course, was the announcement of QE3 on September 13th. The index peaked the following morning. We’ve since erased a bit over half the gains.
Thursday, September 27, 2012
Stock Market Selling To Unwind Continues.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's really good news if you're bullish on the market. It's unhealthy to stay overbought for too long as you have to sell at some point to alleviate some complacency and constant 70, or higher, RSI readings. We have stayed near 70 RSI for a week, or so, and if you go back three weeks, most of that time was spent near the 70 RSI level on basically all of the important index daily charts. Not good bigger picture. You want things to sell so folks get bearish, and so we can get those RSI's down to the 50 area. That's just what's taking place now. The Nasdaq is actually a few points below that 50 RSI mark. How fast you can get there with a 2-4% pullback off the top. The Dow and S&P 500 are averaging near 50, and this is good as it washes out optimism. We can sure use that for a few weeks, if not longer.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Is the Soaring Stock Market Hiding a Darker Truth? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon writes: In my role as executive editor, I subscribe to dozens of newsletters, wire services, trade journals and news-bulletins. They roll into my e-mail box each day like an eight-hour-long avalanche.Usually, I just open the ones that happen to catch my eye. One was this recent headline from a MarketWatch.com bulletin that said, "Dow closes at highest level since December 2007."
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Stock Market DOW Index Short Term Forecast October 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Dan_Stinson
Elliott Wave on the DOW - DOW Ending Diagonal Patterns
We have been tracing out two ending diagonal patterns for the DOW. The smaller ED pattern and possibly the larger ED pattern completed on Sept 23rd. The corrective choppy action in wave (C) up is an ending diagonal pattern which is a terminal pattern. We should see further downside on the first chart below the lower trendline with a sharp decline to at least the starting point of the ED pattern at 12400.
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Brief Correction Due, then Higher Into November Election / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jim_Curry
It has been a while since I have posted an article, and - due to some recent email requests - I wanted
to take a detailed look as we move into the latter part of 2012, based upon what the larger time cycles
are currently suggesting. In addition, we will take a look at the shorter-term picture, to see what the
U.S. markets may hold in store in the days/weeks to come.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Uptrend Pullback Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
It was a relatively quiet Options expiration and week in this US. The entire range for the week was SPX 1450-1467, and those numbers were achieved on thursday and friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets were -0.3% , European markets were -0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 0.7%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative reports 7 to 3. On the uptick, the NAHB index, housing starts, existing home sales, the monetary base and the WLEI; plus the Philly FED and currect Account balance improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, building permits and leading indicators. Weekly jobless claims were unchanged. Next week we get a look at Q2 GDP, Personal income/spending and PCE prices.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Buying Volume Continues to Drop on the US Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Donald_W_Dony
There has been a sharp divergence between the buying volume and the US indexes. The Dow, S&P 500 and the broad New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Composite have all shown a marked separation between the rising prices of the indexes and buying volume.
Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Rally Maxed Out, Heading for Short-term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – The Fed has extended the SPX intermediate uptrend, but for how long?
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Saturday, September 22, 2012
Stock Market 70 RSI...Red Flag....Oil Strange Week....Transports Very Weak...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Let's start with oil. The price of oil started creeping up, it seems, in anticipation that Mr. Bernanke would do QE3. It was moving closer and closer to 100$ per barrel. Not a good sign for a clean break above 100$ had the commodity moving towards 110$. I need not tell you how bad that would be for our weakening economy, our rapidly weakening economy, at that. The Fed didn't let the masses, he fooled me, and gave the world QE3. Oil blasted up initially, and you could hear the moans of what it meant to be clearing 100$ a barrel. Suddenly, and seemingly out of nowhere, oil absolutely plunged. It needed to plunge, and plunge it did. Manipulated? Who knows. It's certainly possible, but it was good to see it fall, and fall hard. It's down huge for the week, and now, well below that magic 100$ level.
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
Stock Markets Sucker Punch? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
To be useful, technical analysis of investor behaviour requires a suspension of prejudice; which is an extremely difficult outcome to achieve.
The chart below – of the S&P 500, courtesy stockcharts.com – has given a strong buy signal. At face value, this makes no sense. The world economy is in a mess. How can the world’s largest stock market be giving buy signals?
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
Stock Market Staying Overbought...Fed Protection Is Alive And Well...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
And why not. A friendly Fed sure goes a long way to keeping the bears away from getting too aggressive. You can see how fast they are to cover on any market selling let alone not taking too many new short positions. They know they're fighting an uphill battle, and, seemingly, would rather step aside for now. This does not mean we shoot straight up. Things are getting a bit complacent, more on that later, and that alone over time can cause a strong selling episode for the entire market.
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Monday, September 17, 2012
Fed QE3 Ecstasy Delays Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The Fed has extended the SPX intermediate uptrend, but for how long?
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Saturday, September 15, 2012
Wild Stock Market Week, QE3 Is Here To Stay...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
A lot of anticipation is the way to explain the week that just passed. There were two major events to come as the week wore on. Apple Inc. (AAPL) was going to introduce the IPhone5 on Wednesday, while everyone, and I mean everyone, tuned into the words from Mr. Bernanke on Thursday about whether he was going to implement a QE3 program. I didn't think there was a chance he would do it, but more on that in a minute.
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Saturday, September 15, 2012
Stock Market The Rally Continues … with Reservations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. The rally that started with yesterday’s FOMC announcement of an open-ended round of stimulus continued today, at least through the first hour of trading. The markets disregarded the ugly Industrial Production data, preferring instead to emulate the mood of the latest Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey, which was released at 9:55 AM. But a bit less than 30 minutes later, the S&P 500 hit its intraday high, up 0.99%, and slowly faded to a modest closing gain of 0.40%. Will the QE3 rally continue next week? We’ll see. Meanwhile, the index gained 1.94% for the week, all of it in the aftermath of the Bernanke boost.
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
Where Would Stock Market Be Without Fed Intervention? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Graham_Summers
We’ve entered a truly dangerous environment in the financial markets.
Economic fundamentals are deteriorating rapidly. Consider the US…
By all counts, the latest ISM (a measure of manufacturing in the US) was a complete and total disaster. In August the ISM hit 49. Anything below 50 is considered a recessionary rating.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2012
Stock Market Large Tech Red Flag....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
You wait for a moment that tells you it's likely you're nearing a short-term top, and today, we possibly saw that top as the market went after stocks it hasn't touched in months, and it nailed them in a very big way. Apple Inc. (AAPL), the leader of all leaders, was crushed to the tune of $18, while others were nailed with long tails off the top. Stocks, such as Google Inc. (GOOG) and Priceline.com (PCLN) just to name a few. We know we have a negative divergence on the S&P 500 daily chart, so you know it's coming at some point. Not only were some of the best froth stocks hit, but other stocks you don't see get hit very often took it on the chin a bit today.
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