Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, December 24, 2016
Feds Interest Rate Hikes Stance Equates to Nonsense and Masses are Turning Bullish on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"Beware of all enterprises that require a new set of clothes." ~ Henry David Thoreau
Remember over a year ago when they first raised hikes-they huffed and puffed warning everyone that they would raise rates several times in 2016 and viola nothing happened until now. Now they are repeating the same thing all over again. To illustrate how bad this economy take into consideration that the Fed has raised rates only twice in the last decade; the economy was a lot stronger in 2006 and 2007 than it is today. Yellen's statement below illustrates how the Fed is positioning itself so that it can pull another "oops we were wrong once again" moment.
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Saturday, December 24, 2016
Harry Dent - I’m NOT a Bull! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
On December 13, Denzel Washington hit the nail on the head when he said:
If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed.
If you DO read the paper, you’re misinformed…
We live in a society now where it’s just “get it out first!”
We don’t care who it hurts.
We don’t care who we destroy.
We don’t care if it’s true.
Just say it!
Sell it.
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Friday, December 23, 2016
Bush Trumps Reagan Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Peter_Schiff
The optimism that has followed the election of Donald Trump has pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the threshold of 20,000, a level that will be both a nominal record and a symbolic milestone. Although this is not the way most observers had predicted that 2016 would play out, most on Wall Street have become extremely reluctant to look a gift horse in the mouth...or to even look at him at all. The impulse is to jump on and ride, and only ask questions if it pulls up lame. But if this year has proven one thing, it is that predictions made by the consensus should not be trusted.
Thursday, December 22, 2016
Stock Market More Fluctuations Along Record Highs, Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, December 22, 2016
Considerable Down Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session and a down day, starting out a little bit positive, but then came down and consolidated all day. In the last hour, they rolled over and closed at the session lows for the S&P 500, but way above the lows on the Nasdaq 100.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 32.66 at 19,941.96, 14 points from its new all-time high at 20,000. The intraday high was 19,986, right at the prior intraday high. The S&P 500 was down 5.58 at 2265.18, right at the low for the day, and 6 points off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 4.90 at 4948.90, 10 points off its low.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Stock Market Bulls, Stock Market Fools - Market Crash Next or Just an Illusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Since the markets bottomed in 2009, one naysayer after another has penned many an obituary for this market. Alas, all those obituaries were based on fantasy and false perceptions; the bull is alive and kicking while many of those experts are either bankrupt or have bankrupted their clients several times over. We repeatedly stated over the years that the era of low interest fostered an environment that favoured speculation over hard work. This is why so may companies have opted to be boosts EPS via share buyback programs. Why work, when through the magic of accounting you can create the impression of growth when there is none. All is well, and when it ends, only the workers and the masses will lose for the corporate wenches will walk away with bloated accounts.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Eight Ball Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Cycles are shaping up for an important high just before (or just after) Christmas (It is decidedly so). In addition, the Bradley model shows a high in mid-late December (You may rely on it). If you feel like turning to this popular children’s’ toy for advice, it is understandable if not advisable. The Trump Rally has left many reliable indicators in the dirt but remember… To everything there is a season, and a time to every purpose under the heaven.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Not a Gold Bull in Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
In last weekend’s report, we covered how the Daily Cycle count was stretching too far, so marking a Nov 15th Daily Cycle Low (DCL) made sense. Doing so means that another DC began on Nov 16, and that puts today’s date in the normal timing band for a new DCL. So with another DCL fast approaching, the capitulation decline we saw this week fits perfectly with expectations.
The large drops in Silver and the Miners are strong indications that the final capitulation for the current Daily and Investor Cycles is at hand.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
This Blow-Off Trump Stock Market Rally Certainly Looks Real / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
Between late 2014 and November 2016, the markets went nowhere. They made no more than a few, very minor, new highs. It looked like a classic head-and-shoulders, rounded-top pattern, with a break of 1,800 sounding the death knell.All of my research pointed to signs that the end was near. The Dow was set to shed thousands of points in short order.
How much has changed since November 8…
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Stock Market Up Day, But Substantially Off the Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started out the week with a pop to the upside, a very strong rally ensued, the Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4912 to 4963 to a new all-time high. The S&P 500 popped, but couldn’t get anywhere near the highs, reaching up to 2267.47, only 9 points off the lows, and then they backed off. In the afternoon, the Nasdaq 100 came down in a strong 3-wave decline, taking it from 4963 1/2 to 4926. It bounced at 4933 at the close, and managed to close positive on the day, but substantially off the highs.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Stock Market Doesn't Look Right... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX emerged under the trendline again, after another rally attempt. The reason I am discussing this is that the next three days in a row have the potential for a large decline. No promises, just the potential. Technically we should be under the lower channel trendline to get a confirmed sell signal. The problem is, the potential for a panic decline right off the top is very high…and this may be the first time in market history for this to happen.
Monday, December 19, 2016
SPX may be hit by a double whammy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
While the SPX Premarket is slightly positive it has a cluster of Primary Cycle turns starting last Friday and lasting through this week that suggest something remarkable may happen. Friday morning was the terminus of an irregular (truncated) Wave (c) correction. The decline afterwards wasn’t very deep, but enough to cross beneath the trading channel trendline and become trapped beneath it at the close,
Monday, December 19, 2016
Stock Market More Short-Term Fluctuations Along Record Highs - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Sunday, December 18, 2016
Stock Market Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2270 has now been met, but there are higher counts that could still be filled before a serious reversal take place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, December 18, 2016
Santa Claus to Extend Trump Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
In this article, I’m going to point to reasons why I believe this rally has some more juice left in it. I also want to warn that early next year, what I thought would happen in November 2016 should happen in March/April 2017, and that is a 14+% drop.
The Trump phenomenon seems to have caused the normal cycles to misbehave and extend. After further examination into Primary Wave 4, I have come to the conclusion that I need to revise the timing of the final Millennial Wave top out to a possible 3 years (that IF is Intermediate Wave Z of Primary Wave 4 extends out to the end of 2018 instead of year end 2017).
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Saturday, December 17, 2016
Stock Market Flirts With Dow 20k New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow flirted with 20k this week, hitting a high of 19,966, literally within a few points of claiming the historic 20k level along its relentless bull market path. If one looks back to not just the start of 2016, but, well right up until AFTER the US polls closed on November 8th and beyond then its not just a case of Dow 20k could never happen but that the Dow 'should' by now be trading at well BELOW 15k. Whilst a few of the perma crowd had completely flipped imagining the Dow could trade down to as low as 6k! I suppose that's where the Dow needs to trade for some guys and gals just to BREAKEVEN after year after year of beartish rhetoric.
Friday, December 16, 2016
The Stock Market Level To Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Dana Lyons (Tumblr.com) makes an interesting observation about a little-known index known as the Value Line Geometric Composite Index. In his article, he draws a straight line (red) at 500.00. and says. “This far and no further.”
He misses several points, which I would like to address. First, by drawing a horizontal bar, he misses the fact that the XVG was 27 points under it in 2000 and 23 points above it in 2015. By drawing a line that is peak-to-peak, you get a different picture. In fact, what comes to mind is an Orthodox Broadening Top (I added the lower trendline to complete the formation). This is a slight variation of what you see in the DJIA and SPX.
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Friday, December 16, 2016
Trump Rally and Irrelevant Dow Theory; What’s Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Uncertainty and mystery are energies of life. Don't let them scare you unduly, for they keep boredom at bay and spark creativity. R. I. Fitzhenry
In September we penned a second article in the Alternative Dow theory series, titled “Dow theory no longer relevant-Better Alternative exists where we stated that the Dow theory as it stood was no longer relevant. Here is a brief excerpt from that article.
The transports topped out in November of 2014, and according to the Dow theory this is a big negative; the Dow industrials should have followed suit. Instead, the Dow soared higher paying no heed to this theory proving to a large degree that this theory has lost its value. After all, it is a theory and the definition of a theory is “a supposition or a system of ideas intended to explain something, especially one based on general principles independent of the thing to be explained.”
Friday, December 16, 2016
Gold & Miners Bottoming Signs / Commodities / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
A couple of months from now are traders going to look back and wonder how they could have ignored the bottoming signs?
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Friday, December 16, 2016
Will Stock Market VIX Spike Today? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is up, as would be expected for the close of index options at today’s open. Volatility may spike at the open as options traders settle their trades. What happens after the institutions leave the scene?
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