Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, August 27, 2016
SPX Downtrend Should be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
The market started the week at SPX 2184. After a decline to SPX 2176 on Monday the market rallied to 2193. A pullback followed to SPX 2170 on Thursday, then a gap up opening on Friday, rally to 2188, selloff to 2160, then ended the week at 2169. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.75%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: existing home sales, Q2 GDP, consumer sentiment, and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: new home sales, the FHFA, durable goods orders, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly payrolls, ISM and the PCE. Best to your week!
Saturday, August 27, 2016
Yellen Plays Both Sides Again... Stock Market Doesn't Trust Her.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had spent weeks ahead of the Jackson Hole, Wyoming speech by fed Yellen before making any type of move that included some volatility and a try higher with some force. The thinking was different depending on who you asked. Some thought she'd simply say nothing other than the usual, which was she'll raise when it's appropriate meaning she's looking at the data that comes in from report to report. Others thought she'd definitely talk about raising rates in September. That she'd give a definitive date and then we'd see how the market responds. She played the middle ground. She's very good at being vague. She said that employment is full, and that things are better and that rate hike is coming. We already know one is coming Ms. Yellen. But when? She didn't say. Same old. She'll see. When she feels like it she will.
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Saturday, August 27, 2016
Stock Market - All Is Calm, All Is Not Right / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
With every passing year since 2008, support for the idea of free markets and open competition without constant intervention by central banks has been declining. The idea of trust your central banker to always “assist” the markets has lead the public at large into the false illusion that stocks can always be engineered to return to all time highs in the US, even if just reaching these levels recently.
Friday, August 26, 2016
How Extreme Oversold Markets Can Be Profitable / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The trading week was starting to look as though it was going to end without any excitement. Wow, did that ever change on Friday!
On Wednesday Aug 24th, the stock market sold off to a level which I consider to be an extreme oversold condition for the week. While I do have several criteria as to why and how I come to the conclusion, the chart and indicator below show me when the market is oversold and ready for a bounce.
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Friday, August 26, 2016
Stock Market Slightly Down Day with Positive Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting, topsy-turvy day. They came down at the opening, rallied back to resistance, but both indices were unable to get through, and then they rolled over in a 5-wave decline to retest the lows, only to bounce in the last half hour. It was a negative close, but with positive technicals.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 33.07 at 18,448.41. The S&P 500 was down 2.97 at 2172.47. The Nasdaq 100 was down 8.06 at 4775.43.
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Friday, August 26, 2016
Stock Market Is Crazy and Crazy Means Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The SPX has completed its’ “Broadening Topping Pattern”
…the next trend is DOWNWARDS!
The current pattern is suggesting that a significant top is at hand. I fully believe both in patterns and indicators and right now the current pattern is suggesting that a significant top is at hand.
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Thursday, August 25, 2016
New Stock Market Downtrend Or Just More Consolidation Before Another Leg Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, August 25, 2016
Can Stocks Survive Without Stimulus? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
A fiery debate rages among investors over the question of central bank stimulus. The question is whether the stock market needs stimulus in order to advance, and is stimulus only creating a bubble which will burst at some point and lead to depression?
Regardless of the philosophical rectitude of central bank intervention, there can be no denying its efficacy. The most fundamental truth of the financial market is that “liquidity, liquidity, liquidity” is the market’s lifeblood. Financial stimulus contains the seeds of recovery and will cure any bear market in equities, as I’ll attempt to prove in this commentary. The truth of this assertion can be found in the very wisdom of King Solomon, who in the book of Ecclesiastes wrote that “money answers all things.” Stocks will always, without exception, respond positively to stimulus – provide there are no countervailing obstacles in the way [e.g. tax increases, margin requirements].
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Wednesday, August 24, 2016
Stock Market Sloppy Pullback Day, but Still a Positive Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an up day, but they closed near the low end of the range, and the S&P 500 closed at the low for the day. It was such a strong gap up in the morning that it ended profitable on the session, but wasn’t a good close.
The day started out with a big gap up, they ran up to test the old, 52-week highs and all-time highs on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, but fell short of both, and sold off until midday when they bounced. They were unable to do anything, and sold off again, finishing near the lows for the day, but, still, it was an up day.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Why is This Hated Stock Market so Resilient? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Do not let yourself be tainted with a barren skepticism.Louis Pasteur
The market has resisted all attempts to correct. We know why it is not crashing; this has to do with mass psychology, but what’s preventing it from letting out a significant dose of steam. The table below might hold the answer. We looked at all 30 components of the Dow monthly timelines utilising our indicators, and the results were quite surprising, to say the least. On the monthly charts, each bar represents one month’s worth of data so these are long-term charts, and they usually provide a much clearer picture of what the futures holds as opposed to the shorter term charts.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Stock Market Top - Fasten your Seatbelts! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week we asked the question 'Is the Dow headed into the final top at point 23 - or is it engaged in the typical 3-5 wave correction seen most of the time at this point in the pattern?' With last week's new high in the Dow it seems safe to assume that the 3-5 wave correction found between points 21 and 23 in every Three Peaks/Domed House pattern since 1901 (save 4 instances) has been skipped for a 5th time.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2016
How to Spot an Oversold Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
All traders have found their own mix of technical analysis indicators and price action which they feel provides them with a good feel for when the stock market is oversold and overbought. Let’s face it, as traders, we see the market is a different way and its limitless as to how we can trade each and every situation.
Here I would like to share with you a couple of my tools and tricks for timing short term stock market bottoms. Over the years I have refined my analysis to just a handful of tools and analysis that work consistently for me. I have also learned that I trade and analyze the markets best if I don’t read other people’s opinions and analysis as it has a way of altering my thinking and thus I start to second guess where the market is headed.
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Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Stock Market Flat Session..... Still NO Blast Off... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: GoldCore
There is really almost nothing to say with this market these days. Lower volatility is keeping things under wrap while the market tries hard to unwind but the problem is the flat market really isn't allowing for too much unwinding. The market is having a lot of trouble blasting out, and the main culprit is likely coming from sentiment, which is getting to very bearish levels in the real world and possibly even in the fed world. To give no respect to increasing froth is a dangerous thing to do. The bulls are feeling invincible, and that can be the kiss of death. That said, the bears keep on letting the bulls stay in the game. Unable to bring price down consistently.
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Monday, August 22, 2016
Stocks Remain Close To Record Highs - Top Or Just Pause Before Another Leg Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
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Monday, August 22, 2016
Stock Market Top Forming, but Slowly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues. It could soon enter a corrective phase.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 21, 2016
Will the Stock Market Bubble Pop Regardless if the FED Never Raises Rates? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The current overall SPX pattern is a broadening top, which is usually a very reliable pattern. The market continues to look as though it wants to go even lower. The momentum shift, which I have been expecting, has been slow to start, however one should be prepared for this occurrence ahead of time.
Nevertheless, the large divergences which I have been viewing, in my proprietary oscillators, are most real, and, once the selling starts, the momentum should quickly move to the downside.
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Saturday, August 20, 2016
SPX New Highs, Correction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2184, rallied to 2194 on Monday, pulled back to 2169 by Wednesday, then rallied to end the week back at 2184. For the week the SPX/DOW slipped 0.05%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the downtick: the NY FED and building permits. On the uptick: the NAHB, housing starts, industrial production, capacity utilization, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the Q3 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports are highlighted by the Q2 GDP, durable goods and more housing reports. Best to your week!
Saturday, August 20, 2016
Stock Market Meandering.... Bulls Still In Control.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
There is very little to talk about this evening that I haven't discussed over and over for many weeks prior. The market is meandering around with a slight upward bias. No grand explosion since the July 11 breakout over S&P 500 2134. The grand explosion is what normally occurs once a major breakout level has been taken out.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Mass Media Too Bullish: Stock Market Correction Likely? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
For the past few months, we continued to Google the Term, Dow 19K, Dow 20K and Dow 21K. We got the most hits on the search term Dow 20,000, but the noise was not enough for us to take these developments too seriously. However, when we noticed that CNBC published two similar titled articles within a time span of 30 days, it was time to take note.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Stock Market Volatile Session Ends on Positive Note / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very interesting, volatile day. They opened lower, rallied to resistance, rolled over very sharply to secondary support, held, and then rallied back at the end of the day, closing slightly upward.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 22.56 at 18,595.50. The S&P 500 was up 4.69 at 2186.92. The Nasdaq 100 was up 3.23 at 4808.68.
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