Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, August 18, 2016
SPX Easing Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket has gone from flat to lower this morning. Should the decline continue, the key level is the combination trendline/Short-term support at 2175.24.
Thursday, August 18, 2016
Stock Market Turn-Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting down day, and then up day, finishing in the plus column after the FOMC announcement indicating no interest-rate rising. The day started out with a move to the downside, they formed bear wedges, went lower, and by midday they were at their session lows. They rallied during the noon hour, and when the FOMC announcement came, they spiked up, and after pulling down briefly, they pulled back and spiked up again, and closed near the highs for the day.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2016
SPX Completes Wave 1 Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have completed a Wave 1 decline, or nearly so. It still has a bounce higher after that in wave 2. It may try to “fill the gap” up to 2190.00 in the process. There is no signal, yet.
Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Rio Olympics like the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
Olympic host, Rio de Janeiro, is getting a lot of coverage in the media and not all of it good. Much of the news is very bad and yet the games go on… similar to the equity market.
Lindsay’s Three Peaks/Domed House pattern has passed point 21 (July 20) and the question becomes ‘is the Dow headed into the final top at point 23 - or is it engaged in the typical 3-5 wave correction seen most of the time at this point in the pattern?’ An example can be seen in March 2015 (lower case roman numerals in green).
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Deutsche Bank Analyst Says a Stock Market Shock Is the Only Way Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
We don’t know if the internet is just enabling us to hear things we previously didn’t hear… of if this is the most predicted stock-market crash in history!
It seems barely a day goes by now where someone hasn’t jumped on our bandwagon and is predicting, or calling for, a major crash.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Stocks Bulls Relentless... No Thrust...Grinding Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
You have to hand it to the bulls. They are a relentless group that never wants to throw those bears a bone. They're getting a bit selfish aren't they? I mean, come on, every once in a while, the bears have to get some love. Don't they?! The news overseas on the economic front over the weekend wasn't good, yet, even though some foreign markets were down, our futures seem to know of only one direction. The low of the day was the open, but overall the S&P 500 traded in only a seven-point range for the entire day. When the VIX gets this low it's harder for the market to flash major-league volatility. It gets a bit boring, for sure, but that's the price you pay for increasing froth, which is clearly what's taking place here.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Stock Market S&P 500 Down 10% into Early September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The chart below shows the weekly SPX since late 2008 to the current. According to my calculations, Wave Y of a WXY “Y” of B WAVE terminated at 2168/69 on July 14. Everything after that has been irregular and part of wave X of “Z” into November 21. Wave X is being subdivided xyz and y of that wave terminated today at 2193/94.
My down side target is near 1970 by Sept 9, with the big wave down “c”of Z from the solar/new moon eclipse top of Sept 1 to the expected ten week low of September 9. After that, a new high around October 17 near 2241 and then down into the November 21 expected low near 1638.
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Monday, August 15, 2016
Stock Market Bears Turning Bullish At New All Time Highs - Time to Get Worried? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The relentlessly bullish grind higher in the face of year long mantra of perma-doom, collapse, crash or worse is once more seeing stocks setting a series of new all time highs. Even today, as I write the Dow is trading AT a new all time high of 18,665! So what is it that could derail the mother of all stocks bull markets? Or at least suggest a significant correction was just around the corner?
Monday, August 15, 2016
Stocks Remain Close To New Record Highs, Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, August 15, 2016
Stock Market New Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues. It could soon enter a corrective phase.
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Sunday, August 14, 2016
Stock Market Final Pop - It Can’t Wait Any Longer – Deja Vu! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The stock market tends to repeat itself on regular bases. Why? Because it moves mainly based on the emotions of market participants, with the exception of extreme times when the masses are moving the market with extreme fear or greed, at which point they are flooding the market with buy or sell orders to create a final pop or drop in the market just before a major market reversal.
As with everything in the universe, everything moves in cycles, periods of expansion and contraction, and there are regular wave-like patterns that happen on a regular basis no matter the time frame one is reviewing on a stock chart.
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Sunday, August 14, 2016
New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started with the SPX at 2183. On Monday the SPX made a slightly higher high, hit an all time high at 2188 on Tuesday, then pulled back to 2172 on Wednesday. On Thursday the SPX matched that high, then dipped some to end the week at 2184. Overall it was a quiet week with a range of less than 1%. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.25%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: the PPI and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims both improved. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, Industrial production and Housing.
Saturday, August 13, 2016
Weekly Candle On Nasdaq Suggesting Stock Market Top?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
After seven up-weeks we see a candle printed on the Nasdaq this week that normally suggests a temporary top is at hand. I say normally because nothing about this market is normal any more. It has defied all logic, and, quite honestly, has changed its technical stripes. Normal, bearish candles are not working with any consistency such as they had years prior. Gap ups that fail after a move higher, or black candles on gaps that would normally signal the end of a move, are now being entirely ignored for the most part. Candles, such as we saw this week on the Nasdaq, fit that bill for a topping period, but would it shock me if we're up next week? Not one drop.
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Friday, August 12, 2016
Stock Market Strong Positive Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very strong session, taking a big leap at the opening to retest the highs, and then backed off sharply. They came on strong and by midday the S&P 500 made new, all-time highs, but when the Nasdaq 100 failed to cooperate, they pulled back, but held. They came on one more time and made a nominal new highs again on the S&P 500 over 2188. Nasdaq 100 again could not make a new high, and they both backed in the last 10 minutes. It was a very positive session.
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Friday, August 12, 2016
Here Comes The Stock Market Air Pocket! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The astro/cycle/wave read between now and August 15th looks for a quick abrupt air pocket of close to 3% in the SPX. At first, I was looking for a Wave 4 pullback to 2132/33 by late Friday, but upon re-examination, I believe it will be more in the order of 2122 by Monday. Normally, lows in the market don’t go past the moon in Sagittarius (late Thursday –Saturday), but I have to remind myself of Uranus Retrograde: expect the unexpected.
Thursday, August 11, 2016
Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The hourly chart puts the SPX is a good context for understanding this bounce/retracement. There are virtually no shorts here to run, so the algos are likely to pack up and see what happens. The caution point is where the hourly Cycle Top at 2185.15 and short-term trendline lay.
A reversal/pivot here may give the SPX the momentum to break the next trendline support at 2171.00. Mid-Cycle support is just beneath it at 2169.26, so we may wish to use it as our next short entry point.
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Thursday, August 11, 2016
Stock Market: Likely Pullback into Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
I tracked the 4/8 TD lows and they point to 3:45 PM EDT Friday for the expected low. Friday is the 32 TD low +1. It is also close enough to the 35 TD low due Tuesday next week (35-2). This would then thrust the market up for 4 to 5 TD's based on the minimum normal out of a16/32 TD low and that is an August 18th or 19th top (August 18 is the full moon/lunar eclipse and Bradley turn/August 19th is OPEX). August 19th is 8 TD's from the August 9 top. August 18th is the exact 66-week top from the May 20/21, 2015 top. IF all goes according to my perceptions, we should see THE top for the year in the stock market next week.
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Thursday, August 11, 2016
The Chartology of the Dow Jones Industrial Average ..A Case for Optimism / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Lets start off by taking an indepth look at the INDU as a proxy for the other US stock markets. A year ago this month the INDU put in an important low which has held support. A very strong rally ensued which took the INDU up to the 17,975 area where it topped out and began another strong decline. This next decline ended in the same area as the August 2015 low and formed a double bottom which is a reversal pattern.
The next rally phase took out the previous high by 200 points up to 18,167 where the next decline began, but this time the bears could only push the price action down to the 17,330 area which looked like it might be an important low. Then came the infamous BREXIT vote which made a slightly lower low with the INDU closing that day below the 200 day moving average. If you recall markets from all over the world were tanking hard but that decline ended just as fast as it began.
This first daily chart is just a simple look at the price action I described above, with one trendline which I’m calling a support and resistance line, above is bullish and below is bearish. That simple S&R line could also be called a double bottom trendline, which would be a five month double bottom reversal pattern.
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Thursday, August 11, 2016
Stock Market Some Selling...Oscillators Weak...Will It Matter?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market tried to sell, but wouldn't after gapping up a bit this morning. It would sell and naturally it would come right back up. This is normal protocol with this market. Today the market tried a bit harder to finally sell some. The question being asked is whether it's the real deal, or not, and to that I say, why judge it! The oscillators on the daily charts stink. Plain and simple. They stink. They're extremely elevated with positive lines trying to cross down below negative lines. They've been overbought over and over for quite some time. These issues unto themselves are reasons to have a pullback. Don't start thinking about bear markets just because we sell some.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Nassim Taleb Warns The Biggest Black Swan Event of All Is Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
We are at an incredible moment in history.
US stock markets are at nominal all-time highs. Government bonds are at or near all-time highs. Yet, central banks worldwide sit at 0% interest rates or less because things are too precarious to even raise rates a paltry 0.25% for fear of collapsing the entire system.
In “traditional” economics this makes no sense. But we are far out of “traditional” now… we are in the extreme end-stages of a collapsing system. When that happens, nothing makes sense from a traditional/normal perspective.
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