Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, January 29, 2016
Be Prepared for Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX overshot its mid-cycle resistance, which is not unusual. The retracement lasted exactly 51.6 hours (12 X 4.3), which was longer than I had expected. The retracement amount was 116.43 points, which amounted to a 43.2% bounce from the low.
Friday, January 29, 2016
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
What a night in the futures and forex markets! The Premarket is up, but this is to be expected in the final ramp of Wave (v) of [c] within a Broadening formation. So the Premarket is higher, but still under the previous high. Whether it makes a higher point 5 in the 5-point reversal is yet to be known. Either way, the reversal may be abrupt and strong. It is likely that the reversal into Wave 3 may begin by the end of the day.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Gloom and Doom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Stephen_Lendman
Sharply lower global equity markets since last August reflect years of Fed-led central banks’ money printing madness, running headlong into economic contraction and instability.
China when thriving is a key engine of world economic growth, a depressant when declining. Official numbers conceal how much, at best a small fraction of its earlier annual double-digit increases.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Market Technicals Update: Can We Trust This Stock Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The stock rally of the last few days has investors wondering if the bottom is in.
Unfortunately, it very likely is not.
High Yield bonds have lead stocks to the upside. They are now leading to the downside, and the High Yield bond market indicates we have further to fall. The stock rally looks out of place here.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Broadening Formation May be in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX ramped this morning from the Premarket and is carrying over into the open. We may be seeing a Broadening formation in motion. If so, the trendline top is near 1920.00 and the mid-Cycle resistance is 1929.79. All of this action is meant to punish both sides as stops are run again in both directions.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
FOMC Announcement Sends Stock Market Indices South... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today, coming down hard in the morning, back up midday, they backed off until the FOMC, and then spiked right after the news for a few minutes, reversed very sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4218 down to 4112, more than 100 points. The S&P 500 then dropped from 1915 to 1872, a total of 43 points. It was a very nasty slide indeed. They managed to bounce, but really formed nothing more than bear flags, and closed down on the day.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Fed Message.....Global Economy Stinks!!!!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Fed Yellen made herself known to the world today by saying that she would keep the rates at 0.25 percent, for now, because she wanted to watch how things go globally on the economic front. That's what she said. What she didn't say, but clearly implied, was that the global economic situation is worsening far worse than I had envisioned. I blew it big time, and I don't know what to do. Someone help me as we're toast. She might raise 4 times, but it'll take many, many years for that to happen. She wanted to please the markets a month ago, so she raised a quarter, and said she'll keep raising in the hope the global situation would correct itself. It didn't! It worsened and worsened hard. She's stuck, and she knows it, and doesn't have a clue as to how to right her wrongs. Wrongs she continued after Bernanke blew it, and Greenspan blew it before them. No one worse than Greenspan.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Watch The Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Marty_Chenard
The VIX closed at 22.50 and will be testing an important fan line support today (the support/fan line that the VIX was sitting on at the close yesterday).
Note the sequence of higher highs from December to now ... so the concern would be centered around a possibility that the VIX could rise higher than the previous high. (Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, that would be a negative.)
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Rally is Over. Hope You're Short or in Cash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today’s action made me glad that I had gone short on Friday. Today’s move was virtually untradeable, since if you had waited for the Wave (v) of [c], you would have done worse than going short last Friday.
The Wave (v) of [c] was truncated, leaving what appears to be a double zigzag Wave 2. Both the truncation and double zigzag in a Wave 2 are rare. The total time elapsed for the retracement was just shy of 37 hours [2(4.3 squared)] and would have been so, had Wave (v) gone above Wave (iii).
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Top May Have Been Made on Friday.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Shortly after 2:20 pm, SPX made its intra-day high at 1906.73. From a Cyclical view, last Friday’s high at 1908.85 was the high, consuming exactly 17.2 hours from bottom to top.
Today’s high counts well as an Elliott Wave [c] of 2, but it appears truncated. Short-term resistance is at 1900.28, with SPX now below it. The daily Cycle Bottom resistance is at 1898.86. These resistances are somewhat elastic, but they appear to be holding.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Forecast for February 1st High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
A bottom for the January sell-off appears to be behind us. It fell three trading days after the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low in the period January 12-15. This should be a good week for the bulls. The next forecast for a high is for Monday, February 1. That forecast is detailed below.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Bear Raid Over or the Last Bull Standing? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Its not just the Eastern United States that's been paralysed by freezing temperatures and a huge blizzard, as the stocks bull market also remains frozen in a trading range, which has most recently seen the Dow bounce off the icy cold extreme low end of the range, which according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus just marks the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016.
Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Corporate Earnings Are Down, But Debt Keeps Rising… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
I recently wrote to you about a number of factors that show the stock market saw a major top back in May 2015.The most glaring?
Small-cap stocks have diverged massively from large-cap since May. They’re down 24% while large-caps are down only 12%. This is the classic sign that the dumb money is pouring in and the smart money is leaving.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Stock Market Turnaround Tuesday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the week off mixed early on, and then they backed and filled, held support, and rallied by midday. The Nasdaq 100 made a new rally high, getting up just under 4270, while the S&P 500 could barely get back above the morning high. That loss of momentum and lack of confirmation led to an afternoon sell off, and a nasty one. The Nasdaq 100 went from 4216 to 4192 before bouncing, and closing at 4195, 3 points off its low. The S&P 500 dropped back from 1903 to 1976. and closed just a point off the low.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Zero Follow-Through For The Bulls....Banks Under Severe Pressure....Oil Slammed Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Friday is looking more and more as if it were simply one of those bear-market rally days from deeply oversold conditions. The only problem being it wasn't that great of an up day. The real powerful, bear-market rally days can be up 2.5% to 3% in a single day. Friday was nice, but far from that type of day thus it seemed as if more upside was likely short-term. Not to be. The market started out down some and tried to fight to green before the bears came in and took it back down. The market stayed down for the better part of the day, but what was most important was how we finished.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Stock Market Premarket is Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket is down below 1900.00, eliminating possible round number support. It is still hard to say whether it has completed Wave 2 in its entirety or Wave [a] of 2, leaving a retest of the Cycle Bottom before rising in [c] of 2. Even it Wave 2 goes higher, taking profits and going short got the most of the rally with a small upside risk that may not last more than a day.
Monday, January 25, 2016
Stock Market SP500 Above 1,900 Mark Again, New Uptrend or Just a Bounce? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following recent move down below medium-term lows:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, January 25, 2016
Stock Market Bottoming Out or the Last Bull Standing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has rallied to back over 16k on Friday, closing at 16,093, up 210 points on the day, which apparently according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus must be the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016. Whilst my consistent view to the continence of many has been that the stock market is undergoing an extreme correction which this interim analysis seeks to evaluate ahead of my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for probably the whole of the remainder of 2016.
Monday, January 25, 2016
Leading indicator “Bonds” Suggests More Time before Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Every crash was preceded with the 10 year minus the 3 month Bond Yields dropping towards the zero line. Although the equity markets have crashed, the bond markets are still not displaying any signs of panic. This tells us the market must continue to fall until the percent return is around the zero mark.
Thinking of this logically, it makes sense. Investors when scare start moving more and more of their capital in to safer investments, like bonds. Eventually there is a change in this perception, which occurs when bonds are not paying anything in return. That is when investors say enough is enough, and start taking risk and start moving back into the stock market.
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Monday, January 25, 2016
Counter Trend Rally in a Stocks Bear Market, GDX Low Near? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
January 20th may have been an important intermediate bottom in the stock market, but the bear market is still growling. January 20th was exactly 100 trading days from the August 24th low. The 100 trading low has a variance of 15%. Oddly, the 16 TD low, which arrived on January 11 is still due in early February along with a Bradley turn (Feb 3-5). The next top of import is due January 25 with the moon in Leo/Virgo. It is also the 16 trading top +1 TD. Last moon cycles saw the market run down 8 TD's to the moon in Sag/Cap (due Feb 4th). January 26 and 27 have the moon in Virgo, so at least those days should be down. Feb 1 is another day which should be down based on the negative astros on Jan 29 and over the weekend.
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