Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, January 18, 2016
The Stock Market Punch Bowl is Gone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
It has been a long time since I put up this chart comparing the S&P 500 index with the size of the Federal Reserve's Balance sheet. The old adage that "a picture is worth a thousand words" is most appropriate in this instance.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 16, 2016
Stock Market Crash Apocalypse or Bull Market Severe Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 7 year long mature stocks bull market has got off to a disastrous start to 2016, apparently the worst start to a new year EVER! Which on Friday saw the Dow close sharply lower at 15,988, down 391 points and recovering from an earlier 537 point plunge. Whilst the relentless selling of the past 2 weeks has increasingly emboldened the usual suspects, the perma bears who tend to see the start of a bear market in EVERY dip. However for those who actually managed to ride this 7 year long stocks bull market (15 Mar 2009 - Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 ), which for its first full 3 years at least was a stealth bull market that was met with denial from right across the financial media, never mind the blogosfear, now have to seriously consider whether the relentless weakness could be an early sign that the stocks bull market may be rolling over into a bear market.
Saturday, January 16, 2016
Stock Market Another Day In The Downtrend....7-Year Uptrend Line Gone For Now.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
We had a confluence of events come together this morning. Last night we had the usual bad action out of China, which naturally put some pressure on the global markets. Europe follows China and we follow Europe, thus, step one took place. Step two was the price of oil, which is definitely affecting the markets. Oil got crushed overnight and this too had an adverse effect on our futures. Lastly, and in my opinion, most importantly, we had a cascade of bad earnings reports from two key sectors in the market. In the world of semi-conductors, we saw Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) warn on future guidance. They are a key supplier to Apple Inc. (AAPL), and this also verifies the reports coming in that AAPL is seeing a slowdown. Intel Corportation (INTC) joined in with the bad news as well.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 16, 2016
Don't ya Want to SHORT This Stock Market Like Crazy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Denali_Guide
And get the snot knocked out us in the process? Admittedly, the DJIA has made it's way into the 15's. The real question is, how long before THEY decide the DOW must be back in the 17's? I don't think they can make it happen. Rather I think they will pump like madmen aboard a sinking ship, using MLK Day as a smokescreen, resting the market, and then a burst to 16 + some change, and then let it burn out.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2016
Stock Market Hour of Truth is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The algos are attempting a ramp into 3:00 because they know that the institutional investors are coming back into the market to close out the trading day. This will reveal how they have been positioned for options expiration, since the word on the street is that nearly all the major dealer banks have been net short the market for the past two weeks.
Friday, January 15, 2016
Another Atrocious Stock Market Week Going Out With A Bang / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
On days when lots of financial numbers are released, the normal pattern is for some to point one way and some another, giving everyone a little of what they want and overall presenting a reassuringly muddled picture of the economy.
Not today. A wave of economic stats flowed out of Washington, almost all of them terrible, while corporate news was, in some high-profile cases, shocking. Let's go to the highlight reel:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2016
VIX Asleep as Stock Market Weakness Escalates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ashraf_Laidi
One notable reason the VIX is trading at only half the level seen in August (53.0), a time when equity indices plunged near today's levels is related to market's absorption of risk versus macro negatives.
The China devaluation of August 24 came as a complete surprise to financial markets, which were neither ready for the PBOC's FX manoeuvres, nor prepared for the dangers of rapid decline in the currency of the world's biggest buyer of commodities as they are today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2016
Stock Market Flippity Flop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
Stocks were in rally mode today, in an attempt to dampen fear and encourage confidence.
While they were most likely short term oversold, the 'rally' was all artifice, and had the feel of the kind of forced cheeriness in the big household during times of plague.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market Retracement May be Winding Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The recent moves in SPX have added clarity to the Wave formation. On the left you can see the “best fit” of the Elliott Waves to the decline. The impulse ended at 1886.40, as originally proposed. The rest is a corrective retracement of that decline. Thus far, it has retraced 27.4% of the decline. It may go as high as the Wave [iv] peak at 1950.33, but may be finished already.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market Rally with No Market Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX completed a Wave (b) of [ii] at 1878.93. Wave (b)s are erratic and do not obey trendlines and necklines as a general rule. While this Wave (b) did break the neckline, it didn’t stay beneath due to the necessity of Wave (c) to finish the correction and relieve the oversold condition. So my anticipation of a pop this morning was correct, but not in the way I had anticipated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market Analysts are Now Bearish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Head & Shoulders neckline has now been crossed. As soon as it is retested from beneath, we may see a much larger decline in speed and distance. There is a lot of open space between the neckline and the next support.
The analyst community have thrown in the towel, as ZeroHedge reports, “Something has definitely changed in the market: while for the past seven years (a period largely coincident with an easy, ZIRPing or QEing Fed) every day would be greeted with numerous research pieces, all urging traders to buy the dip, and to otherwise stay invested in stocks, now all the equity firms have turned their back on the S&P, and first Goldman, then JPM, then UBS, then every other equity trader has urged clients not only not to BTFD any more, but to STFR.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
The Perils of "Buying the Dip" in U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: EWI
Legions of bargain hunters have suffered losses by buying stock market dips at the start of bear markets.
Making matters worse, they decimate their portfolios by continuing to buy all the way down, only to capitulate at the bottom.
This chart and commentary is from Elliott Wave International's April 2001 Financial Forecast:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market More Downtrend Ahead Or Volatile Bottoming Action Before Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,840, and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is now bullish, and our short-term outlook is bullish. However, our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bullish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bullish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market and the Mysterious Mr. VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
I must say that I continue to be amazed at how "CALM" things are in these equity markets in spite of the significant chart breakdowns that are now being seen in so many different sectors.
Look at how meager the move higher in the VIX has been especially compared to where it was back in August of last year during the "Flash Crash" that occurred back then.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market Losing S&P 500 Long-Term Up Trend Line....Sentiment Rocking Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
So it wasn't the biggest break of all time, but for the first time in seven years we saw the S&P 500 close below the long-term, uptrend, weekly line. That level being approximately 1925. The loss on the S&P 500 keeps it in line with its fellow indexes in the small- and mid-cap stocks. They have led down and broke a week, or so, ago, but it's more important to see the biggest leader of them all, the S&P 500, break down. This should have turned the tide in the favor of the bears in a big way, but the key for them is to seize on the opportunity at hand, and take the bulls down even further to put some distance away from that rising trend line.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2016
Stock Market DeFANGed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
Yesterday’s bulletproof stocks, led by the FANGs (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google), are getting whacked today. Amazon is down 100 points from its high, 32 of those points coming today. Netflix is off by nearly 10%. Even Google, which really does seem bulletproof operationally, is down 3%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2016
SPX May Complete Wave 2 this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is higher this morning, but the retracement appears to have been finished in the overnight futures. That means the potential pop this morning may not last. Whether it goes higher than yesterday morning’s high at 1947.30 is yet to be determined.
There was a brief retracement to 118.18 in the USD/JPY from its overnight low. However, this appears to be the work of the HFT computers which can turn on a dime.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2016
The Bearish Turn In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
Large-cap stocks opened this morning in the green, seeming to offer a little reprieve from an ultra-violent start to 2016. Small- and mid-caps weren’t so lucky. They’re continuing to rip through fresh new lows.
This has been the toughest bull market and bubble to call, as many leading indicators that we have used in the past simply don’t work since central banks hijacked the markets after 2008. But with these major divergences continuing to build, and after many years of the Fed’s zero-percent interest rates, it seems we’re finally coming close to the end.
Wednesday, January 13, 2016
Stock Market Investors Stay the Course! Which One? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Axel_Merk
Each time I hear someone suggest investors should ‘stay the course’ as markets tank, I fear such well-intentioned advice fails to adequately capture the predicament investors are in. Worse, the ‘stay the course’ mantra may set many investors up for failure.
Wednesday, January 13, 2016
The Fed Continues Giving Money to Wall Street Even Without QE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Stocks will likely rally this week for the simple reason that it is options expiration week.
The Fed almost always gives Wall Street extra money to play around with during options expiration.
Read full article... Read full article...