Category: Financial Markets 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, July 10, 2017
Yellen Goes on Record: The Fed’s Pulling the Plug This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The Fed keeps ringing bells to signal the top, but the markets aren’t listening.
Janet Yellen is set to present the Fed’s Monetary Report to Congress this week. Her remarks have already been posted online.
The results aren’t pretty.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 08, 2017
Major Market Opportunity of a Lifetime is Coming! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Investor,
"That time still lies ahead, but it is coming." - Robert Prechter says on the first page of his Elliott Wave Theorist.
The major market Bob refers to could be the opportunity of a lifetime. And the quote above could be considered the theme of this issue.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 07, 2017
Trump Trade Will Break in 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The first half of 2017 is over… and, boy, was it one for the history books!American politics dominated the global discussion, as speculation ran rampant over who would emerge as the winners and losers of a Trump presidency.
Surprisingly (or not!)… the media’s storylines have likely led naïve investors into some of the worst-performing investments so far this year.
Essentially, everything that was up “huuuuge” from Election Day through year end… is now lagging behind. And everything that struggled to digest the reality of Trump’s win… is now leading the pack.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 26, 2017
Crude Oil Trade & Nasdaq QQQ Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
I would like to put out a short update on the oil market and my view of the QQQs being a proxy for the Hi-Tech end of the market. With the hard sell off in the oil market of this week this would seem a logical place to give it a rest and for a short seller to step over to the sidelines for a while. Anytime the market has gotten itself to this level of being oversold we have seen a rip to the upside.
One of the keys to being a successful short seller is to know when its time to press ones bet. Extended moves to the downside come from oversold levels and I am going to show you why I believe we may have further to go to the downside before this current move is over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 23, 2017
Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
In line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 16, 2017
The Market Effects of Another Interest Rate Hike / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Yesterday's much anticipated Fed interest rate increase has done little to change the mood on Wall Street.
The FOMC raised the Fed Funds rate by another 25 bps on Wednesday as Fed chair Janet Yellen saw the US economy advancing at a "measured" rate.
This is the 2nd time the Fed has increased rates this year and the 3rd time in as many quarters.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 14, 2017
US Dollar Acceleration Phase is Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: CPI m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Press Conference.
Thursday, June 08, 2017
FTSE Stocks, Bonds and Sterling Calm Ahead of UK Election Result Storm? / ElectionOracle / Financial Markets 2017
UK stocks, bonds and sterling were calm ahead of the result of the UK general election, where effectively the financial markets are discounting a Conservative election victory on an INCREASED majority in Theresa May's BrExit election, where the higher the number of seats gained by the Tories then the more positive the market response is likely to be. However should the markets also get it wrong this time as they had for the EU Referendum then all hell could once more break lose. But for the time being the markets are calm.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Big Changes at Bilderberg This Year… A Good or Bad Sign? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
I have just returned from my 3rd Bilderberg conference and… wow, that was different!
The first Bilderberg I attended was in 2015 in Telfs, Austria and the entire town was turned into a military zone. You couldn’t walk five feet without out seeing a police van, humvee, tanks and black helicopters. And, we were tracked, detained and searched constantly.
Last year was in Dresden, Germany and while they did not shut down the entire town, the area surrounding the Bilderberg hotel was clearly a militarized zone and we really couldn’t walk a block without being stopped, searched, photographed and threatened by the police. They even searched our room while telling us when no cameras were near that they were going to physically hurt us.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Stocks or Precious Metals, Which Makes More Sense to Invest in Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
"Buy low, sell high," is the most fundamental principal of a great investment strategy in any sector. A deviation from this core principal can be truly costly and downright dangerous.
One might wonder, why state something so obvious as that! This is because many investors wait till it is too late, and a market is in its final stages of a bull market before they finally convince themselves to get in, and by then they are sitting on a ticking time bomb, ready to explode.
The flip side of this, are the investors who let greed keep them trapped in an aged bull market and wait till it is too late before a crash wipes out their entire life savings.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 05, 2017
The Last Time We Saw This Trend Was Before The Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : There has been a bit of a buzz about covenant-lite bonds lately. This isn’t really new news. You can see from the chart below that cov-lite issuance has been high for a few years now.
But the old-timers know that when the cov-lite paper comes out, it is usually toward the end of a cycle.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 02, 2017
...It is coming.' Read What Robert Prechter Sees around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Investor,
"That time still lies ahead, but it is coming." - Robert Prechter says on the first page of his Elliott Wave Theorist.
The major market Bob refers to could be the opportunity of a lifetime. And the quote above could be considered the theme of this issue.
It's because of issues like this that Elliott Wave International's subscribers survived and thrived throughout the Great Recession as well as the bull run that followed -- one of the longest, steepest in history.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 30, 2017
Currencies, and Some ‘Out There’ Thoughts on Inflation, Stocks, Gold and Miners / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Uncle Buck’s index is weak and the SMA 50 is crossing below the SMA 200. Before long we will be reading about it in the media. Now let’s consider a theme we’ve promoted for years; when the media trumpet a “DEATH CROSS!” * it is time to brace for the opposite implication to the media’s bearish promotion. Our view has after all, included a decline to the mid-90s for the index. Meanwhile, USD/JPY is decent right at the SMA 50, USD/EUR and USD/CHF are at lateral support and USD is at least neutral vs. the Commodity currencies.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 27, 2017
GBPUSD Top in Place, GOLD Price Ready to Rocket? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: short below parity.
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: N/A.
Sunday, May 21, 2017
Stocks, Commodities and Gold Multi-Market Status / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
It has now been exactly 10 months since we established 2410 as the measured objective for the S&P 500. In forming a potential double top this week at 2405.77 I’d say we are close enough to call the target in (as we did in February when the first top was made on what we called “peak Trump” day, post-congressional address).
Now, a target is not a stop sign; in this case it was a long-term objective based on a chart pattern, period. It could make me look like the genius I certainly am not, or it could just pause at the target on its way to further upside mania and a potential market blow off. Don’t let ’em baffle you with bullshit, nobody knows which of those, or whatever else may be in store.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 18, 2017
Credit and Volatility Signal That Financial Conditions Are Very Overheated / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : Around the summer of 2006, when I was at Lehman Brothers, I started bellyaching in my notes to clients about how the market went up every day.
I am a pretty creative guy, so every day I had very colorful (and irreverent) things to say about how stocks went relentlessly higher and how my life sucked.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 18, 2017
Euro, Stocks, Gold Momentum Extremes All Round! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: ECB President Draghi Speaks. USD: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index.
Sunday, May 14, 2017
Weighing the Probabilities for EURUSD GOLD and the DOW / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: G7 Meetings. USD: Empire State Manufacturing Index,
Thursday, May 11, 2017
Fast Charts and World Markets: $18 TRILLION, A Bold Forecast, Inflation(?) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
See our global market charts that cover $18 TRILLION, inflation(?), and a truly bold forecast.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Financial Markets Improvised Explosives / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
What happens when new currency is created with few limits by central banks and commercial banks?
Answer: Far too much debt and currency are created.
Central Bank Balance Sheets have increased by $10 trillion in the last decade and $1 trillion YTD in 2017.
Read full article... Read full article...