Category: Financial Markets 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, January 24, 2017
How to Profit from Trumponomics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
While Donald Trump's election has altered a number of aspects of the economy, investors cannot ignore economic trends that were in place before the election, says Joe McAlinden, founder of McAlinden Research Partners and former chief global strategist with Morgan Stanley Investment Management. In this interview with The Gold Report, he discusses those trends and how they may be changed by Trump's election, why he is bullish on gold and which sectors he expects to thrive in the Trump era.
The Gold Report: 2017 will be a year of change. In the early days of the Trump administration, what should investors be focusing on?
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Tuesday, January 24, 2017
US Dollar may be our guide for the markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
In keeping our eyes on the USD, we can ascertain the moves of the rest of the market. USD futures declined to 99.88 in overnight trading, but
retraced to 100.40 at 6:00 am., a 28% retracement of its last decline. Since that decline was clearly impulsive while the others were not, I am labeling the first two thrusts down with an A, while the bounce was a B Wave. We may have just seen Wave [i] of C, while Wave [ii] appears to be in progress. It has retraced 28% of the decline thus far and is easing back down.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
Bonds, Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Silver Major Markets at Turning Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Bonds have risen in a 35 year bull market. That bull market looks tired and probably peaked in July of 2016.
The U.S. Dollar Index recently hit 14 year highs. Has the dollar finally peaked? Has it turned downward since January 3, 2017?
Stocks have been rising since the 2009 crash lows. Rounded to the nearest point, the Dow hit 20,000. Was that enough to make a final top before a major turn downward?
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
State of the Global Stock, Financial and Commodity Markets Report 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Greetings,
Major markets around the world -- stocks, bonds, currencies and more -- are poised for major moves in 2017, and our friends at Elliott Wave International have created a new report to get you ready for them.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Biggest Challenge of 2017 Directly Ahead for Gold, Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
If you thought the pace of the head-spinning political events of the last two months couldn't get any faster, think again. One of the most critical decisions of President-Elect Trump's reign will soon be decided. The final verdict will have a direct impact on the direction of stocks, gold, and the economy in the months to come.
The decision in question is the Congressional challenge being made against the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare. Specifically, the requirement that individual Americans carry health insurance or else pay a stiff financial penalty is being challenged. Earlier this week, Trump directed the Republican-led Congress to begin efforts at repealing and replacing the health care law "very quickly."
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
2017: Year of Market and Economic Extremes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Now that another New Year is upon us, it's time to reflect on what the coming months might unfold. Normally when market analysts try their hand at predicting the year ahead it involves either wild guessing or linear extrapolation based on prevailing trends. I tend to eschew both methods and instead focus on comparing past events in comparable time frames. This method is based on something known as Kress cycle "echo" analysis and was pioneered by my late mentor, Samuel J. Kress.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
13 Contrarian Economic Predictions For 2017 / Politics / Financial Markets 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : Everyone likes to compile lists of predictions for the new year.
I don’t.
Did you ever notice that when you look at all the failed predictions in any given December, what ended up happening was the opposite of what everyone predicted?
Given that most predictions end up being wrong, why not just take a look at what passes for conventional wisdom and do the opposite?
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
The Market Has Become One Giant Lopsided Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The market has become one giant trade.
That trade is:
- Long US stocks
- Long the $USD
- Short Treasuries
- Short Gold
Monday, January 09, 2017
Markets 2016 Past is 2017 Prologue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
With us being just over a week into the New Year, we feel it worthwhile to look back just one last time at 2016. We believe that many of the themes and risks of 2016 continue in 2017 and that they are likely to impact markets in the coming months – especially the precious metal markets.
We always enjoy new perspectives and every year we enjoy the witty, comprehensive and insightful analysis review of the year past by David Collum. His‘2016 Year In Review’ is in the same vein and was missed by many when it was released over the Christmas period.
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Sunday, January 08, 2017
Government Bail-ins, Asset Confiscations and the Gold Sword of Self Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
[Preface: In Part 1 of our report, “Goldman to Trump: Situation Assessment, Government Bail-ins and the Precious Metals Threat,” we inferred what Goldman Sachs’s second in command Gary Cohn might have said to President-elect Trump during their meeting on November 29, 2016. Cohn met again with Mr. Trump on December 2, 2016, and this time, we have inferred that he was accompanied by a second person. Here is Part 2 of our intuited, fictional report.]
Mr. Cohn: It is a pleasure to see you once again, Mr. Trump. I have been pre-empted. I was asked by important friends of our firm to introduce to you their envoy, Dr. Hugo Ehrlich. I can vouch for the fact that he represents extraordinarily powerful people with whom you will be working closely going forward. Let me turn it over to Dr. Ehrlich so he can explain.”
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Saturday, January 07, 2017
Financial Crisis, Sleepy Dull Masses & Reality Wake-Up Call / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Many people who have been steady loyal dedicated even honorable investors in the gold & silver trade as personal protection for life savings have endured struggles with the family and friends. Whether the conversations are with dullards or stubborn types, maybe educated and formerly successful types, maybe those who are stuck in the paper world of shuffled investments of seemingly no basis, it is of no matter. The battle has been for a few years to convince those around us that a deep contracted crisis is underway. The battle has been to convince that a paradigm shift is in progress. The battle to convince family, friends, colleagues, neighbors, and acquaintances that the financial and economic system is facing a profound risk of total breakdown has been difficult. Most people are stuck in their own cocoon with family duties and business responsibilities, to be sure. Many people are also stuck within entrenched assumptions, most of which are false and easily dismissed. Many people simply do not care, since the official thermometer and barometer readings all read normal if not healthy signals, but then again they are rigged much like icing a thermometer from a rabidly sick man with a high fever. No resolution to certain pervasive intractable problems can come easily, not without a tumultuous sequence of events. The climax appears to have begun last year, while the breakdown accelerates.
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Friday, January 06, 2017
Payrolls Underwhelm Markets, While China Boils Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Short-term support helped to keep the SPX aloft yesterday. The futures markets have been waiting for the monthly payrolls report. Now that it is out, it appears to be less than satisfactory. The question is, will there be a new high, or do the equities markets sell off from here?
Bloomberg reports, “The U.S. labor market turned in a solid performance at the end of 2016, sending job gains above 2 million for a sixth year as paychecks rose by the most during the current expansion.
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Wednesday, January 04, 2017
2017 – The Year of Banana Skin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
2016 is behind us and we have started a new year with great gusto and no small measure of anxiety. The potential for unknown unknowns turning into banana skins is very high. Right now we are looking at:
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Wednesday, January 04, 2017
Stock Market, Gold Outlook for 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger reflects on how events of 2016 affected the markets, and lays out his strategy for 2017, which includes diamonds and uranium.
One of the most bothersome peccadillos of the advisory community, be it emanations from home computer blogs or the Ivory Towers of Wall Street, is the annoying tendency to accentuate good calls and understate bad ones.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Market Forecasts 2017 After a Volatile 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Where to now… after what 2016 dished out?
First, there was the surprise upset of the presidential election of dear old Donald.
Then came the surprise shift in sentiment about the election. Before, he was a wrecking ball. After, he’s suddenly Jesus walking on water. Never mind that he’s already pissed off China… twice! Or that many are worried about his overly cozy relationship with “Darth” Putin, as with his new Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, who is also cozy with Putin.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Beware the $52 TRILLION $USD Debt Bomb / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
What is Janet Yellen thinking?
The Yellen Fed raised interest rates again in December 2016.
More than this, Yellen has promised the Fed will be raising rates THREE times in 2017.
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Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Stock Market, Gold and Silver Stocks Forecast 2017-2022 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Two weeks ago, I was looking at a possible 2330 SPX by year’s end. By December 23rd, I told my subs to expect a rally into December 27, and then a bottom near December 29th, somewhere between SPX 2238-52. The SPX closed at 2238 on the December 30th, after tagging 2233/34.
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Tuesday, January 03, 2017
10 Predictions for 2017: Gold, Stocks, Trump, Putin and War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The quote is a paradox within itself, but sums up the outlook of anyone that has gleaned a grain of wisdom in their life. Yet, here I am offering predictions for the future, a thing one could know with even less certainty than present conditions. We study trends, monitor political events, consider “cui bono” in all events and give it the old college try.
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Sunday, January 01, 2017
Biased 2017 Forecasts - Debt, Housing and Stock Market (1/2) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
A couple weeks ago I was lucky enough to see a live one hour interview with Michael Lewis at the Annenberg Center about his new book The Undoing Project. Everyone attending the lecture received a complimentary copy of the book. Being a huge fan of Lewis after reading Liar’s Poker, Boomerang, The Big Short, Flash Boys, and Moneyball, I was interested to hear about his new project. This was a completely new direction from his financial crisis books. I wasn’t sure whether it would keep my interest, but the story of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky and their research into the psychology of judgement and decision making, creating a cognitive basis for common human errors that arise from heuristics and biases, was an eye opener.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
In 2017 Be the Bank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Parader,
In our last edition before the New Year, I share an overview of an interesting and easy way to get a better return on your money. What’s most important, it allows you to largely side-step the risk and volatility inherent in stock and bond markets.
We then conclude with an approach you might want to consider using for difficult people and negative relationships that crop up in your life.
As I write, sitting at the dining table at our family house in Vermont, the snow has kicked up. If I skied, I might want to head to the mountain. But as I don’t, I am content to stay indoors and dream of returning to the sunnier climes of Cafayate, Argentina, which I will do tomorrow morning.
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