Category: Financial Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, January 29, 2018
Don’t Fight the Fed! Or the Rest of the World’s Central Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Michael_Pento
On March 9, 2009, The Wall Street Journal’s Money and Investing section posed this ominous question: "How low can stocks go?" The stench of economic malaise was suffocating as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rounded off its fourth straight week of losses, and the S&P 500 touched below 700 for the first time in 13 years. Goldman Sachs cautioned the S&P could fall to 400, while CNBC’s Jim Cramer was busily calculating the stock valuations of the DJIA components based on balance sheet cash levels.
Monday, January 29, 2018
Analysis and Market Setups - Stocks Rising, GDP Rising but things Not Straightforward / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Abalgorithm
US GDP rose at a 2.6% annual rate in the fourth quarter. Output grew 2.5% in 2017 as a whole, the most in three years, and the Federal Reserve predicts 2.5% growth again in 2018. Business executives have reported solid quarterly earnings in recent weeks and pointed optimistically to investment and hiring plans for 2018, supported in part by federal tax cuts. Stock prices keep churning higher. And on Friday the Commerce Department reported that U.S. economic output remained on an above-trend path in the final three months of last year.
Sunday, January 28, 2018
Stocks and Commodities Reached Significant Resistance Levels, May Signal End of the Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX performed an inside consolidation, closing above Long-term support at 10.83 and on a buy signal. The calm may be broken. A breakout above the Ending Diagonal trendline suggests a complete retracement of the decline from January 2016, and possibly to August 2015.
(Bloomberg) Just as the rapper Curtis Jackson III captures attention for realizing he’s made millions on Bitcoin, the buyer of volatility options that shares his moniker is a window shopper in VIX options no longer.
Trading patterns associated with the trader dubbed “50 Cent” resurfaced on Friday as 50,000 March VIX calls with a strike price of 24 were purchased for 49 cents a pop.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Davos – My Personal Experience of the $100,000 Event, $60 Burgers, Massive Inequality and Blockchain Revolution / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: GoldCore
– Davos elite hear warnings of complacency akin to 2007 as economic risks grow
– Toxic mix of infallible belief, arrogance, megalomania and economic ignorance
– Some express concern economies are vulnerable due to imbalances, trade, geo-political tensions
– Soros: Trump creating ‘mafia state’ & ‘set on a course towards nuclear war’ with N Korea
– Bond bear market, rising interest rates and massive $233 trillion debt are some of the many threats to global stability
– Davos theme explores massive inequality across the globe while eating $60 hamburgers
– Thousand private jets fly as some attendees lecture poor and middle classes about their fossil fuel consumption
– Blockchain has potential to revolutionise the world of money and foster equality – if not co-opted by elites
– Better spending $100,000 on physical gold stored in vault in Switzerland then $100k to attend Davos
By Jan Skoyles. Editor Mark O’Byrne
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Key Trends for Trading Markets 2018: This Will be a “Gold”en year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Submissions
Abalgorithm: Inflation around the world is starting to pick up. Only a matter of time before policy makers will start to get nervous. All the bond market money is about to pour into commodities and stocks. Gold is pushing the envelope. Charts below.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Bitcoin, Oil, Gold, and SPX Price Prediction Next 5 Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
USD Nearing its Target / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
USD futures are still trending lower, although some are calling for a bottom here. The morning low at 88.62 came awfully close to the Orthodox Broadening Top target that I have highlighted for nearly a year.
One wouldn’t be blamed for taking short profits here. However, even as the risk of a reversal rises, the Cycles Model suggests that it still has a week, if not more, of decline ahead. In addition, Wave (5) reaches 1.5 X Wave (1) at 88.16 and 1.618 X at 87.60.
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Wednesday, January 24, 2018
4 Key Markets At Levels Not Seen In 3 Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen, Founder of TheTechnicalTraders.com joins met today to look at the markets that are breaking out in early 2018. The USD, oil, copper, and treasuries are all at levels not seen since 2014. Plus as Chris notes the precious metals are also very close to breaking out which could be the final push to make traders move into the commodities sector even more.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Stocks, Gold and Interest Rates Three Amigos Ride On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
As symbolized by the 3 Amigos, the macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2) and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).
When our zany friends complete the journey, big changes are likely in the macro markets.
Let’s take a checkup on each Amigo and consider some implications as well.
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Thursday, January 18, 2018
The Interest Rates Are What Matter In This Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: WMA
The “Trump rally” in U.S. stocks has gone ballistic. Even the most bullish of the bulls did not expect this. A couple weeks ago, bank strategists were forecasting a 2018 year-end target on the S&P 500 at 2850. After the first two weeks of the New Year the index is already closing in on this timid 2018 target price.
Many are saying that the equity rally is due to the tax cuts. We disagree. The tax cuts added fuel to the fire, but if markets are still efficient, the tax cut news should have been priced in last year. Deregulation may continue benefiting the financial sector in particular, but again the broad equity market should not continue to rally on known news. The only reason equity markets have jumped again in the past weeks is momentum – nothing has changed in 2018 (other than perhaps sentiment as people become believers in the unending equity rally). What does matter is the rates environment (plural) – (1) interest rates and (2) the inflation rate. We’ll be looking in this Commentary at where these rates may be headed and levels at which a change in these rates may matter for risk assets.
Thursday, January 18, 2018
5 Economic Predictions for 2018 / Economics / Financial Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
Only two weeks in and 2018 is already breaking records—mostly in a good way.
But that leaves 50 potentially less enjoyable weeks to go. So rather than focus on promising current events, I think I’d better dip into my annual forecast bag and share a few highlights from my friends with you. (you can find the previous part of the 2018 forecast here)
These are the people I follow, read, and trust for their financial expertise.
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Bitcoin and Stock Prices, Both Symptoms of Speculative Extremes! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hi everyone.
I had another look at bitcoin today!
The low of the day is hit 11121 so far,
So the price has collapsed 43% since the 17th of December.
Thats a hell of a decline for the so called 'asset' that was on its way to the moon!
Thursday, January 11, 2018
7 Market Forecasts 2018 from the Brightest Financial Minds I Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
In my fairly upbeat 2018 forecast, I predicted that the US economy and markets will probably hold up well, thanks to tax cuts and deregulation. That’s, of course, assuming the Federal Reserve gets no more hawkish than it already has.
Continuing my series of forecasts, here I’ll look at predictions from some of my most trusted friends and colleagues (subscribe to Thoughts from the Frontline to receive all my forecasts). Some disagree with my own views—and that’s perfectly fine. I want you to see all sides so you can make good decisions for your own family and portfolio.
I’ll let these forecasters speak for themselves in longer quotes than I usually allow, then add my own comments.
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Friday, January 05, 2018
The 10 Key Charts For Global Multi-Asset Investors In 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Submissions
Callum Thomas writes: As interesting and sometimes even amusing as it is to look back in time and reflect, as investors we get paid for looking forward and anticipating what may come. In this respect there’s a few existing trends and themes that will remain front of mind for me this year and will be key to keep on your radar in understanding the risks and opportunities in 2018.
Following is a selection of the key charts and indicators, the themes span inflation, monetary policy, commodities, China, emerging markets, corporate bonds, global equities, volatility, and bond yields. In other words, all the issues and topics that most active asset allocators should be thinking about. I'll be covering these topics in more detail in the coming weeks.
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Friday, January 05, 2018
Financial Markets Outlook 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: WMA
Williams Market Analytics write:
Contents
I. Review 2017
II. Macroeconomic Outlook
III. Bonds & Yield
IV. Currency Markets
V. Commodities
VI. Equity Markets
VII. Final Thoughts for 2018
Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Changes Coming to the Financial Markets in 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Rodney_Johnson
It’s the first week of January, which makes it time for football playoffs and New Year predictions.Since I’m not likely to grace the gridiron anytime soon, I land in the forecast camp. But playing Nostradamus is fraught with its own danger, and reminds me of an old quote by Darrell Royal, the longtime University of Texas football coach, that explained why he favored running the ball. He believed that when you threw the football, three things could happen, and two of them were bad.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Stocks, Oil and Gold Market Price Forecasts 2018 (Video) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2017 surprised most by proving to be one of the greatest years of the past decade for stock investors, traders and gamblers as bull markets appeared everywhere. Commodity traders too enjoyed strong bull market gains in the likes of oil and gold, for instance the oil price ended at its highs for the year at $60 whilst Gold had a bumpier ride to end the year at $1310, up a healthy $160 or 14%.
Tuesday, January 02, 2018
SPX is higher. USD is Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Happy New Year!
SPX futures are higher this morning, but have not breached Friday’s high at 2692.12. The top view is that it is back-testing the trendline at 2690.00 from a possible Leading Diagonal. Should it exceed it, there is a possibility of a new high. There is an alternate Wave structure that would accommodate it.
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Tuesday, January 02, 2018
Stocks, Oil and US Dollar Forecasts Summary 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Ken_Ticehurst
We continue to be bullish on virtually all global stocks as we have been for well over a year, our longer term forecasts show the potential for another consolidation during 2018 but for now our daily forecasts show a continued increase in the value of most global stock markets.
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