Category: Financial Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, June 28, 2018
Financial, Stocks, Gold, Dollar and Housing Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts Schedule / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Greetings traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so due to the impact of rampant theft of my content and collapse in ad revenues due to the widespread use of ad blockers. However, I have some great news in terms of my forthcoming analysis schedule to include detailed looks at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And not forgetting a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
State of the Markets… Gameplan for Transition from Bull to Bear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Plunger
First off, I would like to thank Rambus for allowing me the intellectual freedom to deliver to you the straight story as I see it. Our views are not always in sync but I will tell you he has not ever tried to spin my views. I understand I write here as a privilege and am presenting my honest opinion, with no ulterior motives. We just want to get these markets right and make money…Thanks Rambus.
This weekend I would like to review the main features characterizing the markets which I have chronicled over the past 6 months. Often times “less is more” so I will keep my remarks condensed and focus on the overall stock market and the precious metals.
This past week I have emphasized that the stock market is in a state of high risk. This is because valuations are sky high in all asset classes and I see the elements of a broad top in the market which will likely prove to be the end of this 9 year bull market. That’s not saying the market falls hard anytime soon, but the process of a top has begun and is ongoing. Stated differently, we are likely in Phase I of a bear market and once Phase II arrives it may prove to be devastating and adversely impact an entire nation of investors.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Greetings fellow traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so, but before I explain why, I'll give you the good news which is my forthcoming schedule of analysis that includes a detailed look at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And then a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market which will include specific stock's to profit from in my machine intelligence investing series, more in my following video:
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Open House is Now On! A $1,180 Ticket to New Trading Opportunities, Free / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
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Monday, June 18, 2018
US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Closing out a big week in the markets, we see the US markets rotating a bit lower after a number of news events. Some of these were very positive and others were negative. The take away from last week can be condensed into the following:
_ The US Dollar strengthened all week and shot up above $120 near the end of the week
_ Crude Oil tanked on Friday – falling nearly 3% to just below $65.00 ppb
_ EURUSD fell nearly 2% on QE concerns in Europe as well as trade issues that are mounting
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Saturday, June 16, 2018
A $1,180 Ticket to NEW Trading Opportunities, FREE! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to its entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,180.
Starting Monday, June 18, you get a week of free access to every forecast, every chart, every piece of expert analysis for 50+ markets -- stocks, forex, cryptos, gold, oil and more.
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Thursday, June 14, 2018
Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX finally made its Master Cycle high at 11:30 am at 2791.47, just 10 points shy of its March 13 high. Nevertheless, this counts best as the “top” of Wave [2]. SPX futures put in an overnight high of 2789.00 but have eased down. The decline from the top so far is miniscule, so any (short) positions taken here would be considered to be aggressive.
Should the Orthodox Broadening Top be accurate, the next target would be “point 6” near 2570.00. The Ending Diagonal agrees, since a break of the lower trendline near 2740.00 may send the SPX to its target at 2553.80. This would give the SPX a clear break of its 200-day Moving Average at 2652.40.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2018
What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Fed is expected to hike interest rates today. As I’ve demonstrated in a previous study, the U.S. stock market has a tendency to fall a little after rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle.
Monday, June 11, 2018
Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.
It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?
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Friday, June 08, 2018
America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War / Politics / Financial Markets 2018
By: Raymond_Matison
Domestically, there are two institutions which are capable of starting, executing, and managing a domestic or a global financial war. The first is the Federal Reserve System, which with its banks has the unfettered power to print money, create credit, and set interest rates. The second is our own government which through its elected officials sets foreign policy that includes its demonstrated power to influence foreign elections, covertly remove uncooperative foreign leaders from office, and to wage war both physical and financial without any formal declarations. America’s participation in the Korean War over seventy years ago was defined as a police action rather than a war which would have required Congressional approval, and conflicts since then have mostly eluded the requirement for congressional approval. However, no financial war has required a formal declaration nor Congressional approval, as they are initiated against any targeted country without visible bloodshed, frequently on a clandestine basis.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 26, 2018
Gold, US Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
I’ll try to keep things simple with this recap of the 3 of the 5 major food groups (leaving aside commodities and currencies) for investors. No confusing you today with too many inter-market ratios, overly technical language or cute metaphors like the 3 Amigos (although it is notable that Amigo #2 is stopping exactly as we’d forecast, as you’ll see in the Bonds segment below).
So let’s take a technical look at a larger picture of the 3 groups using weekly charts for gold and SPX and a monthly for 30yr bond yields, along with some thoughts. We’ll reserve the shorter-term technical management for subscriber updates and weekly NFTRH reports.
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Friday, May 25, 2018
Stock Market Topping - Everything Looks Rosy at the End of a Trend! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hello everyone, hope your well.
A couple of interesting stories dropped today.
And the big picture to keep in mind when viewing these stories is this;
At the end of an economic trend, GOOD NEWS IS EVERYWHERE, AND THE FUTURE ALWAYS LOOKS BRIGHT!
Heres the first one: Trump signs the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis
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Thursday, May 17, 2018
DOW Jones and CRUDE Oil on a Cliff Edge, Waiting for a Nudge! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:
USD: Building Permits, Capacity Utilization Rate.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.
Sunday, May 13, 2018
Stocks and Bonds Still Only 1 of 3 Macro Amigos to Destination / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
It’s the happy-go-lucky 3 Amigos (in play since we began this goofy metaphor last fall), which would signal macro changes to come. When you are talking about the macro however, things move slowly and to date, only one of our riders has made it to his destination.
To review, they are Amigos 1-3, Chevy, Steve and Martin.
- Stocks vs. Gold
- 10yr & 30yr Yields
- The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve
Thursday, April 26, 2018
US Dollar Soaring With Gold Eagles, What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
- Natural gas making a quick, unexpected setup and move.
- Equities finally show fear and panic today for a pivot low to be in place.
- The dollar continues to climb while all other currencies fall.
Tuesday, April 24, 2018
Chaos Capitalists Short Countries - How Chanos Got China Wrong / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Dan_Steinbock
Since the 1980s, a new generation of chaos capitalists have been undermining the progress of emerging economies. Under the pretext of “efficient markets,” they seek to exploit real or perceived weaknesses.
Recently, hedge funder Jim Chanos appeared on CNNMoney’s Markets Now program that was promoted heavily on the CNN: “Chanos got China right.”
Thursday, April 19, 2018
Allegory Regarding Investment Decisions Made On Basis Of Government’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Raymond_Matison
Webster’s dictionary defines allegory as a story in which people, things or happenings have a symbolic or hidden meaning that can be used effectively in teaching or explaining difficult ideas. Accordingly, an allegoric story is used here to explain the important difference between a government income statement and balance sheet, and its application for investment decisions in financial markets.
Simplistically, the government’s income statement records all its activity over a specific period of time during which it brings in revenues, disburses some benefits and pays some expenses. Individual and corporate income taxes provide the lion’s share of those revenues. When the cost of government and its expenditures are deducted from its revenues the balance is either a surplus or savings, or as has been our experience over the last few decades – there is a budget deficit. Such deficits have to be financed, and it results in persistent issue and growth of our national debt. In our allegory the budget deficits will be represented by a not large hole in the hull of a ship, whereas the governmental debt is represented by the accumulated flow of water in the hull of a ship.
Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Investor Alert: How to See Through the Fog of War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: MoneyMetals
The U.S. fired 105 Tomahawk missiles into Syria on Friday night.
In other times, the salvo would have put Americans on edge over the prospect of war with nuclear-armed Russia. Our former Cold War adversary is actively defending the Syrian regime and warning the U.S. to mind its own affairs.
But, these days not much can command the attention of the complacent public.
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
Trading Markets Amid Sound of Wars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Builderadv
Given the sound of wars both in actual terms and in economic terms, what do we see for the next few weeks into stock markets and forex markets ? We must delink our trading from event risk and be focussed on actual data and trading trends. Never trade what should happen but trade what is happening. The political situation is fluid with rumors of Trump unhappiness with Mueller investigations. Then there is the war machine which has kicked a gear with attack on Syria. This is not the end. We need to wait if this is going to go deeper if Russia responds. Then there is a underlying current of trade wars which is yet to be settled. A far lesser event is the earning season which is now upon but markets are still trading at 24x P/E so its fully priced in for a great earning season. In fact if market corrects another 10%, it is still fully valued.
Friday, April 13, 2018
Crude Oil Surges Over 8%, Gold and Silver Marginally Higher, Stocks Gain In Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: GoldCore
– Gold & silver eke out small gains; palladium surges 8% and platinum 2%
– Oil (WTI) surges over 8% to over $66.90/bbl; supply disruption risk
– U.S. dollar and Treasuries fall; geopolitical, trade war and fiscal concerns
– Stocks rally and shrug off trade war, macro and geo-political risks
– Bitcoin, major cryptos (Ethereum, Ripple etc) rise sharply
– Russia-US tensions high: Trump warns attack ‘could be very soon or not so soon at all’