Analysis Topic: Election Oracle
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Neither Election Candidate Has the Character to Govern the US / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : This year’s campaign has got to be one of the strangest of all time. We have two major candidates running for president. One says strange things. One does strange things.
Donald Trump has been accused of collaborating with the Russian president and his intelligence service. He is on tape claiming that he can have sex with anyone he wants.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Trump's Top 5 Target States: Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Nevada in Rigged Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There's about 5 hours to go until the polls start to close in the craziest, zaniest Presidential election in living memory, that which pitted reality TV star 'billionaire' Donald Trump against career Washington insider Hillary Clinton. With Hillary being the clear favourite to win, so here are what I deem to be Trumps Top 5 target swing states based on the last 72 hours of Trump campaigning, those states he has been targeting in an attempt to flip to red and win the US Presidential election.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Hillary Clinton Is Spirit Cooking The US Before WW3 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
I heard the term “spirit cooking” for the first time a few days ago. At first I assumed it was some form of culinary style that was done in a spiritual way.
Boy was I wrong.
Reports on the internet are actually referring to a meal involving “blood, sperm and breastmilk.” The term was mentioned in an invitation to John Podesta, chairman of the Clinton campaign. Podesta didn’t go to the dinner involved, apparently, but the term and its ingredients made considerable news on the internet.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election Trump Season Finale! Hillary Latino Army vs BrExit Swing States, End of White Power? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Finally it's the Trump show season finale! And were all wondering what the cliff hanger will be after having watched a year long worth of crazy swings and turns, from the republican nomination to the debates, to gropergate, to missing tax returns, and finishing off with thousands of deleted emails. So will Trump accept the result if Hillary Clinton wins? Or Could Trump still on the back of a BrExit style anti-establishment vote that won't show up in the polls, or will Hillary's newly formed Latino army bring home the vote in Florida amongst other Brexit swing states?
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Has Hispanic / Latino Vote Won US Election for Hillary Clinton in Florida and Beyond? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Trump started off his election campaign by denigrating latino's, and thus it looks like Trump has achieved what no democrat has achieved to such great extent which is galvanise the Latino vote in unprecedented numbers to come out and vote for the Democratic candidate and thus it will be the estimated 6.5 million Latino's in Florida who could win Hillary Clinton the state and US Presidential election of 2016.
Monday, November 07, 2016
Brexit Makes This US Presidential Election So Uncertain / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: GoldCore
Ignore election theory, this one’s too uncertain
- This year’s election breaks the mould in a number of important ways
- Markets seem to be agnostic as to which party is in control of the White House.
- However, likely that uncertainty will drive markets for time-being
- Polls might be victim to ‘the Bradley effect’
- Hillary is seen as lower-risk and less volatile than the Republican.
Monday, November 07, 2016
The US Presidential Election Is Not A Brexit Moment / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Bob_Kirtley
There have been a number of comparisons drawn from the event risk around the upcoming US presidential election and the Brexit referendum earlier this year. There are a number of similarities, most notably in the market reaction to changing poll numbers prior to the vote, but also a significant number of crucial differences which make trading strategies around the US election different from those around Brexit.
Monday, November 07, 2016
WIll Under Political Pressure FBI Director James Comey AGAIN Reopen Hillary Clinton Emails Investigation? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The FBI tends to flip flop its stance every 10 days on the Hillary Clinton classified documents stored on a private email server saga, depending who is putting the FBI under political pressure at anyone time. So the next date to watch is November the 17th when James Comey could once more be expected to make a statement that oops we did find something after all in the 650,000 emails on Weiner's laptop so the investigation is once more reopening.
Monday, November 07, 2016
Trump Panic, Hillary Polls Surge, Betting Markets Crash and the BrExit Swing States / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The wild manic US election roller coaster ride is almost over with just over 30 hours to go until the polls open 6am Tuesday, though approximately 1/3rd of voters have already voted early so the campaigns on the final day will be busy blitzkrieging those swing states that have not had early voting which means Pensylvania, New Hampshire and Michigan and of course Florida are all set to be bombarded with more campaign visits.
Monday, November 07, 2016
BATR 2016 US Election Editorial / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: BATR
Campaigning fatigue has drained the country of common sense judgment as emotional psychosis engulfs much of the population. It is long overdue for the citizens of this once great Republic to look directly in the mirror. Ask yourself, what is your own personal responsibility in allowing society to become a moral cesspool? The United States is no longer GOOD. The conduct and crimes of the ruling elite are unconscionable.
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Sunday, November 06, 2016
American Election and the Fall of the Fourth Estate – The Price of Bribery and Corruptions / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
The actual causalities of the American Presidential Election are not the Democracy or the Judiciary, but the so called Experts, the Academics, the Lead Media Persons and above all the Fourth Estate. For the last three years, Hillary Clinton has been bribing almost all American and International Print and Electronic Medias, Top Media persons and Academics to project her as the embodiment of all human virtues and the most suitable candidate for the American Presidential Election.
Sunday, November 06, 2016
Hillary, Trump, Polls and BrExit Swing States - Electoral College Analysis US Election Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 2 days to go until the polls open and Hillary Clinton is continuing to pull away in the national opinion polls by building on yesterdays lead of +1.6% to currently stand at +1.7% as the average of recent national opinion polls that compares against Friday's +1.3%, Thursdays 1.7% and Wednesdays +2.2%. So Trumps FBI emails surge is definitely over going into the final 2 days of campaigning which suggests that polls parity is unlikely.
Sunday, November 06, 2016
Breaking News : Donald Trump Assassination Attempt / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Within seconds of Donald Trump appearing on stage in Nevada, he was rushed off the stage by the secret service as others in the crowd could be seen apparently
wrestling a man to the ground, who was later escorted out by armed police.
Saturday, November 05, 2016
Hillary Halts Trumps Polls Surge, But Trump Advance Continues in BrExit Swing States / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 3 days to go until the polls open Hillary Clinton has finally managed to halt the Trump FBI emails polls surge as the average of recent national opinion polls show a small widening of Hillary's lead over Trump to +1.6% from +1.3% yesterday, against 1.7% the day before and +2.2% on the 1st of November, that compares against +6% of less than 2 weeks ago.
Saturday, November 05, 2016
Mosul, US Elections, and Other Madness / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
I’m pleased to report that the shakedown cruise on my latest folly, Bad Brothers Wine Experience, has come to an end, and we are now officially open regular business hours.
Over the last week, we welcomed our first guests off the street (from London, no less) and discovered just how much goes into running a wine bar/restaurant, thanks to upwards of 250 people passing through the front door.
Happily, our guests seem to have enjoyed the place, helping us quickly zip from the 49th to the 9th highest-ranked restaurant in Cafayate on Trip Advisor, a good start.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Lifting the Veil on the 2016 US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Greg_Tomlinson
The Essential PointThe 2016 Presidential Election has certainly kicked up its share of dust and debris in the hearts and minds of thoughtful voters in the US. While this appears on the surface to be a contest between two very different and polarizing figures, from day one it was a referendum against the highly effective Liberal Statist* avalanche we've seen for eight straight years. This avalanche is actually Obama's far more refined approach to implementing the entire kitchen sink of modern leftist principles in government - his unique aggregation of everything they have learned in the past five decades. That's right, it is a tested, reproducible, market-ready product on shelves right now for voter consumption. We see it clearly in Clinton's campaign and we'll be seeing it again in future campaigns, because this new plan is better than all before it. This fact will remain true whether or not Clinton is indicted after the election, simply because Tim Kaine, or any other future replacement will be nearly identical in policy and approach, or even further left. Considering that universality, I'd like to shift focus away from the immediate election campaign, and instead consider a bit of how we got here, then move on to larger and more dangerous strategies and conflicts that are profoundly more impactful than this one election cycle.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
US Election Campaigning - Please Make It Stop / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
Pennsylvania, which had been a no-contest state in presidential primaries because of its late balloting, is a now a swing state with less than a week until the election. Just about every voter by now has received dozens of robocalls, e-mails, letters, postcards, and exposure to almost-uncountable TV, digital, satellite, and social media ads. Most are attack ads, with similar messages.
The ads focus upon homeland security, taxes, immigration, pro-life/pro-choice, and bringing jobs back to America. The conservatives have thrown in the phrase “liberal extremists” in many of their ads in an effort to shock all America to believe that liberals are somehow tied to Muslim extremists. The liberals are pushing an agenda that defines the conservatives as greedy plutocrats who have little thought for the middle class. This election, from local offices to the presidency may be the dirtiest since 1800 when Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams.
Friday, November 04, 2016
Hillary Polls Lead Slumps to +1.3%, Trump on Target to WIN US Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are now less than 4 days away from when the polls open on Tuesday 8th November, Trump and Clinton and crews have been busy shuttling around the key battleground states to bolster their votes as the election boils down to who can win at least 270 electoral college votes. For instance Florida with its key 29 votes is literally sitting on a 50/50 knife edge, a must win state for Trump! Other 50/50 states are North Carolina (15 votes), with another 9 states having poll leads of 3% or less totaling 82 electoral college votes, so near 130 electoral college votes are in play enough for either Trump or Hillary to win.
Thursday, November 03, 2016
Donald Trump & The Passion of the ChristDonald Trump & The Passion of the Christ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
if Donald Trump can somehow defeat the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua despite vote rigging, outlandish media bias, backstabbing by his own party’s elites, and opposition of Wall Street, his victory may be the most serious setback for The Establishment since, perhaps, the release of Mel Gibson’s blockbuster movie, The Passion of the Christ.
Both Gibson and Trump faced seemingly impossible odds at the start of their quests and were viciously attacked and undermined by the usual Establishment suspects, yet, in Gibson’s case, he was able to beat the bastards at their own game producing one of the most accurate and authentic Christian movies ever made which garnered over a half billion dollars and numerous cinematic awards!
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Thursday, November 03, 2016
Trump Converging Towards BrExit Factor Election WIN, Opinion Polls are WRONG Again! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 4 full days to go until the polls open Tuesday 8th, Trump continues to bounce in the polls and betting markets that has resulted in near panic in the Democrat camp that less than a week ago were seen relaxing on expectations for a Hillary landslide election victory. But now, after last Fridays FBI bombshell all that has changed and the Clinton clan are busy crisscrossing the swing states, mainly attempting to bolster the lack lustre black vote that despite fearing Trumps rhetoric nevertheless are unable to find much incentive to get out and vote for the ultimate washington insider Hillary.