Category: Financial Markets 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, September 20, 2009
Global Stock Markets Scale Fresh Highs on Investor Realisation of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Marking the one-year anniversary of the Lehman Brothers demise, risky assets last week again marched higher to the tune of economic data supporting the argument of a global economic recovery. A realization among investors that the economic transition from recession to recovery was gaining momentum, resulted in many global stock markets scaling fresh peaks for the year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Stock Market Rally Built On? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
The Market Oracle Newsletter September 19th, 2009 Issue #76 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Alternative Financial Market and Economic Headlines for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Now a year removed from the Lehman Brothers failure and as memories of the tumultuous events of late-2008 and early-2009 begin to fade, an eerie complacency settling in over financial markets that millions of investors hope does not portend a storm to come, in order to gain more perspective on what exactly has transpired over the course of the last year or two - and over the last decade or two - it seemed like a good idea to reflect on how things could have been this year if, years ago, many decisions had been made very differently.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Mushrooms to over $2Trillion, Audit the Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Why audit (HR 1207) the Fed?
Total Federal Reserve balance sheet assets for the week of September 16 of $2,101 billion ($30.7 billion higher compared to the prior week's $2,071 bn), just $73 billion shy of the all time high of $2,174 billion recorded on April 22 (start of quantitative easing), consisting of:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
The Financial Crash, U.S. Dollar, Cash and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
With the Dow continuing its steady climb into September, economists are giddy with enthusiasm as they usher forth a stream of emotional pontification throughout the news media. Calls for a new bull market and an end to the recession are increasing with the rising levels of optimism (see: MarketWatch). How anyone can be bullish on stocks despite the innumerable economic warning signs is beyond my comprehension.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
More Financial Bubbles Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Almost all important, pertinent data reflects continued weakness in the economy, especially retail sales and unemployment.
There are small signs of inflation in spite of bogus government figures. In the flight to quality we see stronger gold, silver and commodities despite heavy market manipulation by the government.
Monday, September 14, 2009
Major Trading Signals and Analysis for Gold and Nasdaq / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This is a quick update to our recent video analysis on Gold and the Nasdaq as well as money making technical trading signals.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Three More Banks Go Bust, Tax Payers Stuck With More Toxic Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
These are taken from the FDIC Failed Bank List. No further comment is necessary.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 11, 2009
Gold Commemorates Financial Armageddon Anniversary by Breaking Above $1,000 / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
Dear Reader
Lehman's bank bust and financial armageddon anniversary passed quietly as the governments ensured that at NO cost would that event's echo impact on the present, clearly lessons have been learned, there is no longer any such concept of moral hazard where central bank operations are concerned to keep the bankrupt banks afloat, it is the price tax payers are paying for electing inept governments that employ inept regulators that are continuously and perpetually hoodwinked by the market manipulators.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 11, 2009
Are the Bailed Out Banks Speculating With Taxpayer Money? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Under Quantitative Easing, the value of the Total Securities Held Outright on the Fed's Balance Sheet has increased by $917 billion- from $584 billion to $1.5 trillion. This has been accompanied by an almost linear increase in the S&P 500 Index, from 721 at QE announcement on March 18 to 1048 today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 11, 2009
U.S. Dollar Extends Fall, FTSE Closes Above 5,000 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Financial market review - Foreign Exchange - The USD came under renewed selling pressure this week, reacting to a further decline in US 3-month libor and equity market optimism. A fall in the VIX volatility index implied greater demand for higher risk assets. Interestingly, the JPY and CHF outperformed the commodity and high yielding currencies like the CAD, AUD and NOK. Sterling caught up with the move and ended the week among the top three gainers. GBP/ USD vaulted 1.67, supported by stronger UK data and the BoE decision to leave Bank rate on hold at 0.50% and the QE target at £175bn. EUR/USD crossed 1.46 and USD/CHF fell below 1.05.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 06, 2009
Gold Breakout, Real or Fake? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
Issue #70 Vol. 3
Dear Reader
The seasonally worst month of the year for stocks got off to a mildly weak start with the Dow closing 1% lower at 9441. The U.S. Dollar continued to trade sideways above USD 78 attempting to form a bottom, though the longer the USD continues in this manner the harder it will become to break out higher above 80.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 06, 2009
Financial Crisis, US Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Planned job cuts by US employers fell to 76,456 in August, down 21% from 97,373 in July says, Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Although job cuts slowed they are up 1.07 million from January through August - 60% higher yoy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 05, 2009
Five More Banks Go Bust, Stocks Retrace as Gold Breaks Out / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Five more failed banks!
These are taken from the FDIC Failed Bank List. No further comment is necessary.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 05, 2009
Stock Markets Bounce on U.S. NFP Unemployment Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Employment Situation is less than meets the eye. - Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in August (-216,000), and the unemployment rate rose to 9.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Although job losses continued in many of the major industry sectors in August, the declines have moderated in recent months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Does September Equal Stock Market Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It doesn’t take much to spook investors on the first day back in school. After a stonking ISM number that 2 months ago would have been worth a triple digit gain, we end up the day off 2% (led by a 5%+ dump in financials) on some vague rumour of a “West Coast Bank” in trouble, hedge funs collapsing, (Cererbus, who have big holdings in GMAC and Chrysler, formally denied that some of their funds were in trouble), chatter of Wells Fargo doing a rights issue to repay the TARP (very unlikely and later denied) and a rather sobering outlook of what the “new normal” may be like from the bouffant Bill Gross of PIMCO. And this down move came in the heaviest traded volume since May 7th, with the VIX ratcheting up to levels not seen since early July.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Markets Turning Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
In our last newsletter, we have been reflecting about the possibility of a nearing turning point in the markets. Yesterday, the stock market declined on significant volume despite good economic news. This is definitely no good news for bulls. Having breached the red sell line on the longer term charts, stock markets tumbled lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 31, 2009
Major Financial and Commodity Markets Turning Point Dead Ahead (Part I) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Major Financial and Commodity Markets Turning Point Dead Ahead (Part I)
A Transitional Period in Intermarket Relationships Will Likely Give Way to New Secular Trends
THE BULLBEAR MARKET REPORT
A pullback to support in equities is likely and could set up a long term buying opportunity. The US Dollar has begun a stealth, technical Bull Market. The Bull Market in commodities is arguably over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Caution Remains Over the Robustness of Any Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stock markets, in general, again logged gains last week as pundits perceived economic data to be better than expected. But the recovery path is not home and dry yet, as shown by declines in crude oil, a number of emerging stock market indices, small cap indices and high-yield corporate bonds. All said, risky assets displayed some fatigue despite positive economic reports.
Caution remained over the robustness of any economic upswing, as reflected by the solid performance of government bonds, with safe-haven currencies such as the US greenback and the Japanese yen also edging up.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Signals September Opportunity for the Bears / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
Dear Reader
The Stocks bull market continued to forge ahead with the Dow closing at 9544, after hitting a high of 9630 during the week, which is a stones throw from the target of 9,750, having advanced 3,280 points and more than 50% in less than 6 months, now it will be interesting to see how the market behaves as it enters the target zone for the termination of this phase of the bull run of between 9750 to 10,000, as my analysis of 5 weeks ago (updated this week) called for a more significant correction to follow than that which transpired during June to July, perhaps just about the time when many of the public bears throw in the towel and the not so smart money starts to pile in as greed replaces fear?
Read full article... Read full article...