Category: UK General Election
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, February 20, 2015
UK Political Party Funding Suggests Another ConLib General Election Outcome 2015 / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A report published by the Electoral Commission details fund raising by all of the major political parties for 2014, and allowing for expectations for a similar trend into the May 2015 general election means that significant differences in the funding of major parties election campaigns could result in a significant impact in this years too close to call probable hung parliament election.
Monday, February 16, 2015
SNP-Syriza Labour Coalition Government Election Catastrophe, Debt Binge Before Breakup / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Last September the UK had a close call with catastrophe as the tunnel vision SNP failed in their efforts for UK disintegration that would have resulted in a catastrophic breakup of Britain and far worse for Scotland that would literally have started to unravel politically, economically and socially as Scotland itself would soon start to disintegrate as I warned in the run up to the referendum vote. Of course Scotland voted NO, for most Scots are not insane, though succeeded in having the fools in Westminister conned into making promises to increase the annual bribe to Scotland from mostly English tax payers.
Sunday, February 08, 2015
UK Government Extends 4% Pensioner Bonds Grey Vote Bribe to Election Day / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
George Osborne today announced that the Collation government is extending the Over 65 4% Pensioner Bonds Tory election bribe for 3 months, all the way to election day. The original tranche was for £10 billion that has all but been consumed by yield starved cash rich pensioners with today's news likely to allow for a further £10-£15 billion of election bribe bonds to be sold over the next 3 months at an additional cost to the Tax payer of a least £700 million bringing the Pensioner bond election bribe total to at least £1.2 billion in terms of free money for pensioners.
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Monday, October 06, 2014
UK General Election Forecast 2015 - Cameron Tory Tax Cut Fact Check / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The big election bribe news out of the recent party conferences was David Cameron's promise / voter bribe to substantially raise both the starting and higher rate tax bands that the mainstream media uniformly costed at £7 billion to be added to Britain’s black hole (budget deficit of £95 billion per year).
I can tell you now that a future Conservative Government will raise the tax-free personal allowance from £10,500 to £12,500.
That will take 1 million more of the lowest paid workers out of income tax – and will give a tax cut to 30 million more.
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Sunday, May 25, 2014
Britain's Zombie Marginal Democracy to Deliver Labour General Election 70 Seat Majority? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The housing market is booming and the economy within a matter of months will have recouped the whole of the loss of the last Labour governments catastrophic drop in GDP of over 7%, the worst since the 1930's Great Depression. But still there has yet to be any feed back towards an improvement in Tory general election prospects as illustrated by the local election results that show that the Conservatives currently stand in a far worse state than where they were at the start of the Coalition government as the surge in UKIP votes claims seven Tory votes for every one Labour vote taken.
Monday, January 06, 2014
UK General Election Results Forecast May 2015 - Video / Politics / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
George Osborne has finally succeeded in sparking a debt fuelled housing market led economic recovery that looks set to gain momentum all the way into the May 2015 General Election. This video is based on recent in-depth analysis and detailed concluding multi-year trend forecast for UK house prices and the implications of in terms of the outcome of the next General Election.
Monday, December 16, 2013
UK General Election Forecast 2015, Who Will Win, Coalition, Conservative or Labour? / Politics / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Recent opinion polls put Labour 6 points ahead of the Conservatives which would translate into Labour winning an general election with a 74 seat majority (Independant on Sunday). Similarly the bookies also have Labour (oddschecker) as hot favourites to win the most seats at the May 2015 general election, though the odds marginally favour another hung parliament, whilst the Conservatives trail a distant third in their chances for an outright election win. However, what the opinion pollsters, bookies and the mainstream media commentators fail to grasp is the likely impact of accelerating UK housing market momentum on an general election that is still 18 months away (May 2015).
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
How the British Election Could Supercharge the UK Economy / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: In the depths of the Depression-ridden 1930s, two years after a British General Election that yielded a "hung parliament" - came the formation of a coalition government that resulted in one of the strongest decades the British economy has ever enjoyed.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Gordon Brown Mission Accomplished, Labour General Election Plan a Magnificent Success / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gordon Brown Mission Accomplished as he leaves office by delivering a bankrupt scorched earth UK economy to a weak Conservative / Liberal Democrat coalition government that will sooner or later rip itself apart in the face of deep rooted ideological differences between the two which sows the seeds for a series of landslide Labour election victories possibly as soon as 2012 despite talk of an agreed fixed 5 year term.
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Prime Minister Gordon Brown Stepping Down; What's it Mean to the British Pound? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Mike_Shedlock
It seems like ages ago yet it was only yesterday when I said Good Riddance to "Clown" Brown
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Hung Parliament Disaster for Britain, Liberal Democrats Holding Country to Ransom / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Brit's are starting to wake up to the reality of what hung parliaments mean which is that voters see what they voted for on the basis of party manifestos at the General Election being stripped out of parties programme's for government to result in a mish mash of weak sludge as coalition governments slowly take form in secret smoke filled rooms.
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Monday, May 10, 2010
Political Impasse in Britain in the Wake of the General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: William_Bowles
“The public and markets want…to see a “government in place”” — Alistair Darling
You didn't need a visit to the Delphic Oracle in order to figure out what would happen, in any case I doubt that many want to visit Greece these days. So, on 8 May the carve-up began with Nick Clegg, leader of the Liberal Democrats meeting a team of Tory advisors in order to strike a deal to try and form a ‘coalition’ government. So much for ‘first past the post’ electoral system, designed in pre-historic times to maintain the hegemony of the ruling class. And if a deal can’t be struck with the Tories the next stop will be the Labour Party, though a deal with Labour is unlikely as it would require every party, aside from the Tories that is, to vote with the Lib-Dem/Labour coalition on the substantive policy issues.
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Saturday, May 08, 2010
UK General Election Result, Opinion Polls Forecasts Analysis, What's Next? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The election is over but Britain still waits to find out who will form the next government. The outcome has resulted in a just about as hung a parliament as one could have expected. As things stand clearly the two parties that are most likely to form a coalition government are the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats with a combined total of 364 (307+57), well above the 326 seats necessary for an overall majority.
Friday, May 07, 2010
Sheffield General Election and Local City Council Results 2010, Labour Repels Liberal Democrats / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: N_Walayat
Going into the General and Local Elections, the battle for Sheffield's council seats and Central Constituency was expected to be extremely tight between Labour and the Liberal Democrats as a consequence of the Lib-Dems national 10% surge in the polls from 20% to 30%, putting Labour into third place in many opinion polls which risked Labour losing as many as a 1/3rd of it's city councilors and the Central Parliamentary Constituency.
Thursday, May 06, 2010
U.K. General Election Exit Poll Result Does Not Make Any Sense / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The BBC / SKY / ITV election exit poll released as the polls closed at 10pm, projects for a hung parliament with the Conservatives in front on 307 seats, Labour second on 255 seats and Liberal Democrats third on 59 seats.
Tuesday, May 04, 2010
U.K. General Election Forecast 2010, Hung Parliament or Conservative Win ? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream press obsesses over national opinion polls that are clearly suggestive of hung parliament that typically places Conservatives on 35%, and both Labour and the Liberal Democrats on 28% which translates into a decidedly hung parliament. The Conservatives to win outright typically need a swing from Labour to Conservatives of at least 7% to reach 39/40%, instead they are only achieving a 5% swing nationally.
Tuesday, May 04, 2010
Manish Sood Worst Candidate in Labour's History? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Manish Sood an apparently delusional Labour candidate for the North West Norfolk parliamentary constituency launched an incomprehensible broad side attack against Gordon Brown and the Labour party barely 48 hours from the general election.
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Tuesday, May 04, 2010
U.K. General Election That Cannot Be Won / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The British general election campaign reaches its climax on Thursday, and at this point appears to be anybody's game. The most likely outcome is a "hung parliament" in which no party has a majority and a government is formed through backroom haggling.
Tuesday, May 04, 2010
Gordon Brown and Senior Labour Officials Promote Tactical Voting to Keep Conservatives Out / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Senior Labour party officials including Tessa Jowell, Peter Hain and Edd Balls called on Liberal Democrat and Labour voters to vote tactically to keep the Conservatives out.
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Monday, May 03, 2010
Sheffield Constituencies MP Candidates For May 6th 2010 General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: N_Walayat
This article lists Sheffield's current sitting MP's, the results of the 2005 general election, candidates for the forthcoming General Election to be held on 6th May 2010, and the percentage swing that would be result in a change.