Category: UK General Election
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Bailed-out Big Bank's Bonuses Publicity Stunt Ahead of General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's top 5 bankster's finally agree to abide by an FSA request earlier in the year for strict rules to apply to the payment of bonuses for 2009.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Gordon Brown Securing Britain's Economic Recovery, Full Speech / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Submissions
Gordon Brown's Full Labour Conference Speech
And so today, in the midst of events that are transforming our world, we meet united and determined to fight for the future.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
Engineering a Strong UK Economic Recovery into a May 2010 General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The big news from an economic prospective was the recent ONS revision to UK 1st Quarter GDP data from a contraction of -1.9% (April 09) to now -2.4% . The response in the mainstream media was virtually unanimous, shock and horror at the degree of contraction in the 1stQ which is the worst since 1958. However what the mainstream media have failed to comprehend is that the effect of a significantly lower 1st quarter GDP sets the scene for a lower base from which the economy can recover, as the NEXT FOUR quarters will show a GREATER BOUNCE in the data released in the run up to the May 2010 GENERAL ELECTION as I elaborate upon in this article.
Wednesday, June 03, 2009
UK Economy Set for Debt Fuelled Economic Recovery Into 2010 General Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis seeks to update the UK Recession Watch (Feb 09) that forecast a recession which would see GDP peak to trough contraction of 6.3% and followed by economic recovery in the fourth quarter of 2009. In conjunction with the economic analysis, this article will also seek to forecast the date of the next general election as well as outcome of the vote in terms of MP seats per major party. The recession to date has seen GDP contraction of 4% which implies that the worst now 'should' be behind the economy, with average GDP contraction of less than 1% per quarter forecast for Q2 and Q3 thus should now start to be reflected in various economic indicators.
Tuesday, June 02, 2009
UK General Election Forecast 2010, Seats Per Political Party / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Thursdays European Elections are expected to deliver an horrendous result for the Labour government that will likely see a major restructuring of the cabinet on Friday that could even claim the Chancellor of the Exchequer as Gordon Brown seeks to put in place a team untainted by the the expenses scandal to muster at the next general election. Whilst many now openly question whether Gordon Brown himself can survive as panic spreads amongst Labour MP's that will clutch at anyone that could help prevent them from losing their seats at an general election.
Sunday, November 23, 2008
Gordon Brown Bankrupts Britain to Win Next Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK economy is fast falling over the edge of the cliff by registering a GDP contraction of 0.5% in the 3rd quarter with the expectations of a fall of between 0.5% and 0.7% for the fourth quarter which would put the UK officially in recession. With worse to come during 2009 and all of the governments golden rules now well and truly busted following the bank bailouts, Gordon Brown has now thrown caution to the wind so as to meet the primary goal at any cost to win the next election for which the June 2010 deadline looms.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 24, 2008
Will New Labour Voters Commit Financial Suicide at an General Election? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crushing triple whammy of defeats for Gordon Browns government at the hands of the electorate now make a conservative government led by David Cameron a reality. Many labour voters have enjoyed riding on governments gravy train over the past 10 years are now biting the hand that feeds them as Labour has sought to redistribute wealth from the well offs to the not so well offs.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Gordon Brown From Stalin To Mr Bean / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: John_York
Vince Cable the acting Liberal Democrat leader encapsulated Gordon Browns fall during Prime Minister's Question's :"This House has noted the Prime Minister's remarkable transformation from Stalin to Mr Bean in the past few weeks."
Where did it all go wrong ?
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Tuesday, October 09, 2007
Pre-Election Spin Budget Without an Election, Inheritance Tax Allowance Up to 600k? / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gordon Browns Darling delivered his first Pre-Budget Report which had some hallmarks of a pre-election budget, unfortunately Gordon bottled out of the election during the weekend on the back of bad opinion polls. This could however now lay the groundwork for a possible Summer 2008 Election as headlines flash £600k Inheritance Tax Allowance.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 06, 2007
Gordon Brown Panics - NO UK Election in 2007 or 2008! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gordon Brown rules out election in an astonishing surprise statement to BBC News:
Gordon Brown, speaking exclusively to the BBC's Andrew Marr said: "I'll not be calling an election. I have a vision for change in Britain and I want to show people how in government we're implementing it
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Saturday, October 06, 2007
Gordon Brown Bottling Out of Calling a UK General Election As It All Goes Wrong / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gordon would have thought the way he handled the series of crisis since taking over as Prime Minister barely 100 days ago would have adhered him to the British Electorate, ensuring him of a swift general election victory.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 30, 2007
Labour Landslide on Early Election As David Cameron Has Failed to Burst the Brown Bubble / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
David Cameron steps forth at the Conservative Party Conference on the eve of an early general election. Knowing full well that he has failed as a leader in many respects to make the Conservative Party electable. If the Polls are anything to go by then the Tory party is in meltdown as there is little hope of winning against an 11 point Labour lead, which would have all the hall marks of a Labour landslide win.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 27, 2007
Labour Opinion Poll Boost - Over 80% of Voters Expect Labour to Win an October Election / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A poll conducted by the Market Oracle gives labour a further boost which suggests that 83% of voters believe that Labour would win an October General Election. The Labour party conference draws to a close at mid-day today and despite election fever there is no sign that Gordon Brown is about to declare an imminent general election.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Snap UK General Election Before the Economic Slump Hits? - Vote Now! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The British press is full of gossip about the possibility of a UK General Election in October 2007. Though not all of the gossip is idle chatter as the party's election coordinator declared "
Labour is ready for a general election, whenever Gordon Brown chooses to call one", in advance of Gordon Browns first party conference speech as Prime Minister.
This article analyses the reasons for and against a snap general election in October.
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