Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Explaining the Heisenberg Omen(s) of Human Action in Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
In a recent article, I introduced the possibility that the Heisenberg uncertainty principle provides far more insight for stock market cycle analysis than the infamous Hindenburg Omen. Feedback from readers suggests many appreciated this new line of thinking, while others challenged the proposed application of hard science principles to the softer social science of the study of economic and stock market cycles. In this article, I will further explain precisely what I am proposing about human action, including yours.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
This Simple Indicator Could Spell Disaster in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jared_Levy
In the 15 years I have been trading the financial markets, I have utilized a plethora of indicators, everything from drawing simple moving averages on charts to finding the correlation between two or more assets, to find an early warning for a rally or sell-off.
The truth is that there is no one magic bullet for timing the market, but at the same time, one simple indicator can be an excellent gauge for market sentiment and short-term changes in financial market direction.
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Saturday, January 15, 2011
Will 2011 Be The Dow’s Best Year Ever? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Could it be? Will it be? I haven’t been this giddy since 1999. Of course, I’m all jacked up on POMO and TOMO and QEs. But think about it. The Dow is already up about 2% for 2011 and January is only half over. If the Dow could go up 4% every month, it would be up 48% on the year. Certainly our Ruler of all things bubbly and bubblicious, Mr. Bernanke, will over shoot a few months and push the Dow up 6% or 8% on some months! What? What’s that? You haven’t heard that the stock market was captured in August of ’07 and it is now the sole contrivance of the wealthy to amass more wealth? What’s that? How are they doing it, you say? Well, first the super wealthy had to take the helm of the world’s largest economies.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Stock Market Rolls Along... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is one nasty bull market if you're a bear. There has been no indication that things are about to fall apart from just an overbought perspective. This market definitely needs to sell, but it's just not finding any catalysts at this moment in time. Just the way it is folks. I am expecting this correction but I will not try to time it. That's why I stay long and refuse to short although that's the sexy thing many are now doing because we're due for a nice selling episode. You never front run something you believe will happen. You wait to see the reversal, or you stand aside and stay cash, but you don't run in short just because we're due for something on the down side. This game is so incredibly emotional, and I fully respect everyone wanting to be part of something special, but you have to wait for the market to show its hand and allow yourself to miss the first part of a move so that you can then play more appropriately.
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Friday, January 14, 2011
Bullish Sentiment Could Dampen Stock Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
After the close on December 20 with the S&P 500 standing at 1,247, we performed an analysis which led to the conclusion bullish stock market sentiment was not a barrier to further stock gains. Since then, the S&P 500 has gained 3.12% and the Investors Intelligence Advisory Sentiment Bull/Bear Ratio has increased from 2.77 to 3.00. With valuations and market technicals currently stretched, it is a good time to revisit the possible role of sentiment in the weeks ahead.
Friday, January 14, 2011
What is the Decline on the NYSE's New Highs Trying to Say? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
Today's chart show's the raw daily data on the NYSE's daily New Highs. On this chart, a minimum of 100 is a very important level in a rally. 150 is what I want to see. (50 is neutral.)
After looking at the "A" shape resistance lines, two things can be observed on today's chart:
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Stock Market Possibilities for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
Wall Street seems particularly giddy entering the New Year, and for good reason: the stock market has had its best two-year performance since 1932. Retail investors are also beginning to shed their bear suits and slowly embrace a bullish posture. For the month of December 2010, a total of $14.9 billion moved out of bond funds while stock funds saw a $5.5 billion net inflow.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 13, 2011
Stock Market Through 1278 SPX.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has been gravitating higher slowly but surely, no question. Over the past many weeks it had set up shop between the gap top low at 1262 and the 1278 as its high. A few tests down at 1262 looked like a breakdown was finally upon us, but that was not to be. There were many test back up to 1278, but failed as well, so it became a chess match between who would make the move first. The bulls pulled off the move today. It wasn't a shocking move higher as we're barely above 1278. Slightly less than half a percent above, but we are above, and that can't be denied by anyone. This opens the door to a move up to the top of the trend line at 1300 on the S&P 500. That chart is there for your viewing this evening. It seems as if this market doesn't waste a point. Although, by no means a guarantee, if the trend line is open to approximately 1300 on the SPX, it seems as if it will find a way to make it there, even if it doesn't hold once it does get there.
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Stock Market Looming Danger Signs, and 2 Amazing Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Claus_Vogt
Rarely have I seen a greater dichotomy between the dangers looming for traditional investments and the amazing opportunities in a wide variety of alternative investments!
But first let’s talk about the three immediate danger signs:
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
World Stock Market Indices Due for a Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: MarketTimingCycles
The world Indices are due for a short-term correction, but the larger trend is still bullish. On January 10th last year we wrote: "The S&P500 has now touched the current upper trend line as formed since early last year. On January 15th 2010 we are also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high." We now seem to be exactly at the same time for a correction to occur.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Stock Market Yearly Cycle Low Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
Sometime between early February and early April the market should drop down into a major yearly cycle low. Last year that cycle low came during the first week of February.
Since the current daily cycle is now in the timing band for a bottom we should see an intermediate top fairly soon.
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Why Wall Street's Record Performance Spells Danger For Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
When U.S. taxpayers bailed out Wall Street back in 2008, the consensus was that this Main-Street-led handout would bring down the curtain on a 25-year stretch of rampant - and too often reckless - speculation.
But that hasn't been the case.
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Monday, January 10, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Have Bears on the Run Despite Poor Unemployment Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks survived a big test of the winter rally on Friday as they finished a positive week with mild losses.
The Friday session featured a report on non-farm payrolls that came in worse than expected, but not egregiously so. Energy, industrials and utilities fared the best, while financials and telecoms slipped the most. Treasuries blew higher across the board, showing again why we always say that the bonds love misery.
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Monday, January 10, 2011
How to Find Bottoms for the SP500, Dow, Nasdaq and Russell 2K / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It was a great first week in the market for 2011. Volume picked up as traders slowly return from holidays focusing on the markets again. Looking forward volume should continue to expand because there will be more traders in front of their terminals excited to see what type of money they can make in 2011.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 10, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 10th Jan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
2011 was off to a good start as equities rallied and economic reports improved. Both the Payrolls report and ADP showed increases in employment, and the unemployment rate dropped. Auto sales, factory orders, construction spending, ISM services/manufacturing, consumer credit, M1-multiplier, and the WLEI all continued to improve. The only negatives were a slight increase in weekly jobless claims and a decline in the monetary base. The market responded with a new uptrend high at SPX 1278, extending the uptrend into its six month. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.30%. Asian markets gained 0.5%, European markets gained 0.1%, the Commodity equity group was flat, and the DJ World index was flat. Bonds gained 0.2%, Crude lost 3.3%, Gold slid 3.7%, and the USD gained 2.7%. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, Retail sales and the CPI/PPI.
Monday, January 10, 2011
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Reaches Extremus Maximus / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Guy_Lerner
When it comes to investor enthusiasm for this market, there is only one thing I can say: even the extremes have become extreme. This is an high wire act -without a safety net - that I have chosen not to play. The rare exception to too many bulls is that "it takes bulls to make a bull market", and under such conditions, the markets just continue higher despite the wildly bullish sentiment readings. Think 1995, 1998/99, 2003 and 2009 when the extreme bullish sentiment readings didn't see the market correct but just continue higher. Even if this is the scenario that is developing, investor sentiment is at a level of bullishness -extremus maximus - where a pullback in price is usually seen.
Sunday, January 09, 2011
Global Stock Market Cycle Forecast 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
The job of a stock market cycle tracker and forecaster is far more difficult with trillions of dollars in government intervention and global central bank quantitative easing sloshing around global markets. The liquidity is bidding up everything from oil to coffee to corn, but the cyclical stock market picture is clearing up. There is both good news and bad news regarding global stock market cycles for 2011. It is always better to get the bad news off your chest first, so let’s dispense with the bad news, and move on to the good news.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Dow 15,000 By Year Ben - Uh... I Mean Year End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
And....., we’re off! The New Year is off and running and the Federal Reserve is busier than ever. The first day of the new trading year started off with a bang. The Dow bolted up some 100 points as the trading continued from the ferocious last 15-minutes of the last day of trading on New Year’s Eve that I documented in my last post (http://bmfinvest.blogspot.com/2010/12/does-new-year-change-anything.html). The rest of the week turned a bit more pessimistic as Friday was looking downright ugly until one o’clock. What happened at one o’clock? Oh yeah - the great Bernanke finished up his meeting of the Village Idiots (he testified before the bozos we call ‘Congress’) and got back to his real job, juicing the stock markets. If there is anybody that still thinks we really have ‘stock markets’ anymore, you should go read a book or something. All we have is Bernanke and his printing press.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
The S&P 500 & Gold Under Pressure on Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
With the holiday season in the rear view mirror and volume slowly creeping back into the marketplace, I can’t help but wonder what lies ahead. The optimist in me is hopeful that the economy will continue to repair itself and the financial issues that plague the federal government, state government, and local governments will just go away as the economy rebounds. The only problem with my hope is that massive debts and deficits do not simply disappear and I fear the problem will be a long and lasting one.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Earnings Drive Stock Prices? See This Chart Before You Answer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
Since the time of buttonwood trees, Wall Street has had its own version of the Ten Commandments -- the cornerstone principles of conventional economic wisdom. The first of these writ-in-stone notions is the widespread belief that earnings drive the stock market.