Category: Stock Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, September 06, 2018
China Contagion Risk is Now Spreading, And US Stock Market is NOT Immune / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
As we noted yesterday, the global financial system is beginning to experience its first taste of “contagion” risk in years.
US stocks remains clueless to this… but it’s doubtful that will continue
China (black line in chart below) has imploded and is in a full-blown bear market. The odds that the US stock market (blue line in charts below) can avoid what’s affecting China are low.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 06, 2018
China Economy Sneezed… Will the World Catch Cold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
The markets are getting downright ugly. If things don’t turn up soon we could be at the point at which the Everything Bubble begins to burst.
While US stocks have performed relatively well recently, globally things are looking worse and worse.
Germany’s DAX never reclaimed its former high established back in January. Instead it’s been carving out a massive Head and Shoulders pattern. Germany is the fourth largest economy in the world and heavily reliant on exports for growth. This chart pattern doesn’t bode well for global trade or growth.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 05, 2018
S&P Made a New Stock Market High in August. Pullback in September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 made a monthly closing all-time high in August. This is uncommon, because the U.S. stock market is usually more volatile from May – September.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 04, 2018
Stock Market VIX & S&P: This Bearish Study isn’t as Bad as You Think / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
VIX and the S&P trend higher together during the final innings of a bull market.
Here’s VIX and the S&P 500 before the stock market’s top in 2007.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 03, 2018
Dow Secondary Stock Market High Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Previous analysis updated – price as traded as outlined, rising to levels where a secondary is likely to form. However, there is a change to the longer term outlook in that I now favour a more substantial correction to take place before the overall bull market resumes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 03, 2018
The S&P has become overbought for the first time in 7 months. What’s next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market (S&P 500) has become overbought for the first time in a long time. It’s 14 daily RSI has reached 70 for the first time since late-January 2018 while it remains above its 200 daily moving average.
In other words, momentum has returned to the stock market.
When momentum returns to the stock market, its forward returns over the next year are very bullish. Don’t turn bearish just because the stock market is overbought.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 01, 2018
S&P Makes 4 Consecutive All-time Highs in August. Like 1987? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
New-all time highs in August for the U.S. stock market are rare because the stock market’s seasonality in August isn’t particularly bullish. But you know what’s even rarer? 4 consecutive all-time highs in August.
As of yesterday, the S&P made 4 consecutive all-time highs (CLOSE $) in August.
The last time this happened was in August 1987, just before the S&P made a “big correction”.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 31, 2018
Dow How Much Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: readtheticker
Lucifer was loved in heaven the day before he fell.
Reference: SP500 Cycle Review
The angels today are: Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), NetFlix (NFLX) and Google (GOOGL). These stocks are loved by the masses, so much so there is a sellers strike. There is no supply of stock float, as no one is selling hence prices rises month after month.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 30, 2018
Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis of TWM (ProShares UltraShort Russell 2000) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: WavePatternTraders
The recent gyrations between Jun – Aug 2018 appear to count well enough as a running triangle. For those readers that have some knowledge of Elliott Wave, will note that a triangle is a very common pattern for a 4th wave of an impulse wave. I am counting the current decline from April 2018 as a 5th wave of a larger impulse wave that started from the 2016 highs (2016 lows on the Russell 2000).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2018
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2018
S&P, Russell 2000, and NASDAQ all made new highs together. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500, Russell 2000 (small caps), and NASDAQ all closed at all-time highs together last Friday for the first time since January 2018.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2018
Semi Conductor Stocks Sector Warning or a Buy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
We began tracking this negative divergence in NFTRH last year as the leadership of two premier Semi Equipment companies began to decelerate vs. the broad sector.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2018
SPX Making New Highs, But Nearing a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is making even newer all-time highs, so it’s time to get out the calculator to find what new targets there may be. The next Pivot date is Wednesday, which is day 266 in the Master Cycle, 8 days beyond the mean. It is also a Primary Cycle pivot, which is often associated with Cyclical strength leading up to it. The two red Fibonacci calculations appear to be the most likely, given the short time available to make that high. However, we cannot rule out the top calculation at 2948.70, should there be a panic buying period.
Monday, August 27, 2018
Stock Market Sluggish New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Limited uptrend
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Monday, August 27, 2018
Stock Market Setting Up For A Bigger Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have identified a potential in the markets that many people may have overlooked or are not prepared for. The recent strength in the markets has skewed many opinions toward the bullish perspective as the S&P, DOW, Transports and Nasdaq have all pushed towards new all-time highs.
We are writing this research post to alert our followers that we believe the US Indices and major markets may be setting up for a moderately deep price pullback that could be in excess of 5% or more.
Our proprietary price modeling systems and advanced learning models are warning us that the upside trend is likely still in place, yet there is a growing and stronger potential for a price pullback that could result in a 4~7% pullback in the near future. We want to alert all our followers that we believe an immediate price pullback is setting up and to protect your long positions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2018
S&P and NASDAQ are Up 5 Consecutive Months. Russell is up 6 Months. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
With a little more than 1 week left in August, it looks like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 will all close higher this month vs. the previous month. In other words, unless the stock market makes a downwards reversal next week, the S&P and NASDAQ will be up 5 months in a row while the Russell will be up 6 months in a row.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2018
Combining Andrews and Elliott Wave to find the Third Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Ron_Jaenisch
Over the years the question of whether the Andrews lines and rules can be used in conjunction with Elliott wave to locate the popular third wave has come up several times. Third waves are popular with Elliott wavers because they often result in long and strong moves. In this article you will see that it is possible and that using the earlier - 1970 era Andrews rules (verses the stuff on the web) makes it much easier. We will examine the two stock trades that were written about, before the orders were placed, in the Andrews Email group this year.
The last trade was TYL. The step by step procedure was pretty easy. First the top was verified with the New Major Andrews Pivot Indicator (MAPI).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2018
Stock Market Just Below New Record Highs, Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was pretty uneventful, as stocks fluctuated following Tuesday's advance. The S&P 500 index remains close to its Tuesday's new record high of 2.,873.23. But will it continue higher? Or is this a topping pattern before downward reversal?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.3% and +0.4% on Wednesday, as investors took some short-term profits off the table following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index reached the new record high at the level of 2,873.23 on Tuesday, as it broke slightly above its January's 26th high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.3% and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4% yesterday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2018
Things You Should Know About the Last Year of this Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Now that the S&P 500 has made a new all-time high, we can put the January-February 2018 “small correction” behind us and focus on what lies ahead.
For starters, the S&P 500’s forward returns are pretty bullish (see study).
Read full article... Read full article...