Category: Stock Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, May 01, 2018
Are Stock Market Shorts Being Shown The Door? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
As the market continues to whipsaw market participants, it has certainly left many of you scratching your head.
As each day goes by, it offers me another opportunity to chuckle when I see so many attempts by pundits to try to explain what latest news events cause each whipsaw. And when they try to fit their square pegs into round holes, or, when they don’t have any pegs at all when there is no news to even attempt to explain a move, it just makes me wonder when these market participants will finally open their eyes as to how the market really works.
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Monday, April 30, 2018
Stock Market Watch Out For Monday! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market is ripe for a sudden plunge on Monday the 30th. Mars conjuncted Pluto on the 26th and this is very war-like. On the 25th Mercury squared Saturn. Friday was a Gann 16/32 TD top and the Sun trines Saturn on the full moon Sunday. This combination along with an irregular bottom early on the 25th suggested a ‘b’ wave rally with ‘a’ finishing on the April 24.The stock market has been running with the larger lunar cycle of about 29.5 calendar days or 20 trading days. Gann cycles run about 16 TD’s 4. The next 16 + 4 is due April 30, similar to the April 2 bottom right after the full moon.
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Monday, April 30, 2018
Stock Market Range Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should continue until about mid-May.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Friday, April 27, 2018
NASDAQ NDX Was Amazon'd / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are bouncing along just under yesterday’s closing price. The structure of the decline (circled) is fractally similar to the initial decline from the 2801.90 peak. Wave [a] of 1 of (3) is approximately double the size of Wave [a] of 1 of (1). Should it maintain a similar dimension, Wave [c] should break the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge. Remember, fractals are self-similar and repetitive. The Elliott rule of alternation offers enough variation within each structure to appear different from the last.
Thursday, April 26, 2018
The Inflation-Driven Stocks Rally To All Time Highs Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
As I predicted three weeks ago, stocks have begun their move to new all-time highs.
The reason?
Inflation. Stocks LOVE inflation at first. But that relationship quickly goes sour once inflation results in rising operational costs that eat into profits.
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Thursday, April 26, 2018
Have You Not Yet Learned - Just Buy The Dip! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
One of the main benefits of understanding Elliott Wave analysis is that it places the market into a larger degree objective context from which you can make your major decisions about your investments.
While most analysis is either strongly bullish or strongly bearish for years on end (as I am sure many of you read perma-bears and perma-bulls alike), markets do not work like that. They are not always moving up or always moving down. While the last 5 years have certainly seen some tremendous market gains, there were clear periods of time which chopped traders up before the market continued higher.
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Thursday, April 26, 2018
What to Expect at a Critical Stock Market Point: End of a Wave 2 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
"Most investors are convinced that the bull market never went away."
The great game of Wall Street -- where huge amounts of money are at stake every trading day.
Many speculators play this game by watching for events outside of the stock market that they believe will "trigger" the next big move in prices.
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Wednesday, April 25, 2018
Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent or Does this Stock Market Bull Still Have Legs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Sol_Palha
Adopt the pace of nature; her secret is patience.
Ralph Waldo Emerson
For a long time, we have been stating sharp pull-backs should be viewed through a bullish lens. In this article published in Nov 2017, we stated the following;
View strong corrections through a bullish lens. This game plan will remain valid until the masses turn bullish or the trend turns negative. The stronger the deviation, the better the opportunity. Tactical Investor
Tuesday, April 24, 2018
Stock Market Study Shows Why You Shouldn’t “Sell in May and Go Away” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
You’ve probably heard of the saying “sell in May and go away”. This piece of conventional trading “wisdom” states that the stock market is seasonally weak from May to September while it’s seasonally stronger from October to April. Hence you should not own stocks from May to September. From a seasonality perspective, that is only partially true.
Tuesday, April 24, 2018
Stock Market "Oops, They Did It Again" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
See "a classic capitulation to a rising trend"
History often repeats. So, one way to make an educated guess about the future is to look at the past.
With that in mind, let me share with you a valuable observation from our market analysts: Overseas investors tend to jump into U.S. stocks near tops, and sell heavily near bottoms. In other words, their market actions usually are a contrarian indicator.
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Monday, April 23, 2018
Stock Market Correction Turns Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 22, 2018
Stock Market Predictive Modeling Is Calling For A Continued Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We are constantly amazed that our Advanced Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system has been incredibly accurate over the past 7+ months. Our researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, called the early 2018 rally weeks in advance. We called the resistance levels and top in late January. We called a February 21~27 market top formation, called the market bottom on March 28, and last week called the market top to the hour and locked in 17.7% trading a simple 3x index ETF. Today, we are going to further illustrate the power and capabilities of the ADL price modeling system and what we are expecting over the next 7~10+ trading days.
Saturday, April 21, 2018
How Long Does it take for a 10%+ Stock Market Correction to Make New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P has fallen 11.8% already during this “small correction”. Assuming that the bottom is in already (February 9, 2018 = the bottom), the S&P has rallied for 48 days already. Is this normal? How long does it usually take for a 10%+ “small correction” to reclaim its old highs?
Here are the bottom dates for 10%+ “small corrections”
- June 4, 2012
- August 16, 2007
- February 28, 2000
- October 18, 1999
- October 28, 1997
- April 14, 1997
- July 16, 1996
- January 30, 1990
- September 29, 1986
- February 13, 1968
- June 29, 1965
- October 11, 1955
Here’s how many days it took for the S&P 500 to make a new high.
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Friday, April 20, 2018
Stock Market May "Let Go" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures slid down to the daytime low of 2682.75 in late night trading, then ramped up to trendline resistance at 2698.25 before coming back to the flat line as I write. It appears to be range-bound for the moment, until Index Options (institutional-style) expire at 9:20-9:30 am. Retail options expire at the end of the day.
SPX had Waves 1 and 2 yesterday. Wave 3 may be significantly larger than the 35.59 point decline we saw yesterday. There is a good probability that the retail options investors may be “thrown under the bus.”
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Friday, April 20, 2018
Overwhelming Evidence Against Near Stock Market Grand Supercycle Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Science_Investing
Grand Supercycle in US Equities
The US stock market shows price data all the way back to 1790. It can be fitted into long term cycles, which result into Elliott waves. The popular opinion is that we are approaching the top of a Grand Supercycle trend. It implies that a long and deep correction is ahead of us. Our conclusion is very different to that and we base it on Elliott’s rules and guidelines.
Thursday, April 19, 2018
Is War "Hell" for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
Take a look at stock market behavior in times of war… and peace
Are wars bullish or bearish for stocks?
With the recent news of airstrikes on Syria and a threat of a global war, this question is extremely relevant. But does war really cause stock markets to rise and fall?
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Thursday, April 19, 2018
Breadth Study Suggests that Stock Market Bottom is Already In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week we demonstrated a momentum+breadth study which supported the medium term bullish case for the stock market.
Now let’s look at the short term case for the stock market. Is the stock market’s EXACT bottom already in?
The NYSE cumulative Advance-Decline Line (one of the best breadth indicators) just made a new all-time high yesterday while the S&P 500 has yet to make a new high.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
The Stock Market “Turn of the Month Effect” Exists in 11 of 11 Countries / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Dimitri_Speck
Dear Investor,
I first discussed the “turn-of-the-month effect” in Seasonal Insights issue 6 of March 21, 2018. The term describes the fact that price gains in the stock market tend to cluster around the turn of the month.
By contrast, the rest of the time around the middle of the month is typically less profitable for investors.
With respect to the US stock market, I also showed how the “turn-of-the-month effect”” evolved over time, when it was particularly pronounced and when it tended to wane.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Stock Market Short Squeeze/Melt-Up We Predicted Started Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US majors are all nearly 1% higher for the day with the NASDAQ up over 2.25%. Our analysis of the markets was DEAD ON. We called the 2678 level on the ES as a key resistance level to watch before any breakout to the upside would potentially happen. We also called this market bottom nearly three weeks ago on March 28, 2018 and we are up over 15% on a position to take advantage of it with our followers. We have been nailing these market reversals with incredible accuracy all year and we are just getting started with our Advanced Dynamic Learning systems we have developed.
Tuesday, April 17, 2018
A Stock Market Rally on Low Volume is NOT Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Conventional trading “wisdom” states that a rally that occurs on falling volume is bearish. Conventional “wisdom” states that sustainable rallies should occur on rising volume.
This simply isn’t true. As we said in Don’t use volume for trading,
Rising/falling volume isn’t a bullish sign or a bearish sign. It just is. Volume is mostly irrelevant. It doesn’t give you much of an edge in the markets.
The S&P 500 is rallying on falling volume right now.
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