Category: Stock Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, June 07, 2018
Stock Market More Important for Gold than US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The fundamental drivers for Gold and the US Dollar are similar and that is why they typically trend together. Negative and/or falling real rates drive Gold and the same drives the greenback though with respect to differentials between the other competing currencies. When real rates are rising or strong in the US that is bearish for Gold and bullish for the US Dollar. The opposite is also true. And with the US Dollar being the global reserve currency, it naturally competes with Gold, which is an alternative. All being said, history as well as recent action suggests that weakness in the stock market is more crucial to Gold’s future than weakness in the US Dollar.
Wednesday, June 06, 2018
SPX Extends But in a Limited Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are higher this morning as they progress toward their ultimate target at/near 2762.00. The Cycles Model has tomorrow tagged as the turn date, but we should see waning strength and possibly a turn in the indicators as early as today. The hourly Trading Bands are very tight, suggesting a reversal is coming in the SPX.
ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks, US equity futures and Treasury yields extended gains while the dollar slumped as "risk-on" sentiment returned after the U.S. and China exchanged trade proposals meant to avoid an escalation of economic tensions, while European bonds declined and the euro strengthened following a Bloomberg report and hawkish comments from ECB speakers suggesting that the ECB's next, June 14 meeting will be "live" to debate the end of QE.”
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Wednesday, June 06, 2018
Russell 2000 Leading The Stock Market Charge Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
While the US majors continue to push higher through recent price rotation levels, the IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) is showing investors where strength lies in the markets. Recently, we issued a research report showing that a massive dynamic shift is beginning to take place in the US market that provides an incredible opportunity for investors. Now, we have further proof that this shift is well underway and is likely much further along than we initially expected.
The Russell 2000 is one component of the US market that often reacts to market strength and weakness a bit differently than the S&P, DOW or NASDAQ index. The reason for this is that the Russell 2000 index makes up a broader scope of trading symbols that represent a greater chunk of the total market segment. The US majors don’t always follow the Russell 2000, but when the Russell 2000 index breaks recent all-time highs on a broad push higher – we need to pay attention.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2018
Markets are Flat, Waiting for a Catalyst? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
I am having difficulty with investing.com this morning. Not sure it is my computer or theirs.
SPX futures are flat. We are seeing the calm before the storm. Yesterday was a Primary Pivot which may account for the top being made. Another Primary Pivot occurs on Thursday. The second Pivot in a week may direct us to the catalyst for the decline to begin.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2018
Stock Market Predictive System Shows Nasdaq May Be Nearing A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our proprietary predictive modeling systems are showing us a core market dynamic that many people are completely unaware of right now. We are going to show you something in this post that is so valuable that you won’t believe we are sharing it with you. Why are we doing this you might ask? Because we want you to think about how different your daily trading routine would be like as a member of Technical Traders Ltd. and how our specialized research and proprietary modeling systems can assist you in staying ahead of the markets.
Monday, June 04, 2018
Which Is Developing A Bigger Bubble: Bitcoin Or The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Bubbles in Nasdaq, bubbles in financial assets, bubbles in cryptos . . . bubbles are being reported everywhere. Moreover, more and more analysts are pointing to some financial crisis after another as each day goes by. Whether it is because of the cessation of QE, or because of the issues in Italy, or trade wars, etc., we are clearly not lacking for any reasons as to why this market should crash.
The problem is that most bubble-callers have no objective perspective through which they can determine that any market is in a bubble. As an example, one article I recently read suggests we are in a bubble in the Nasdaq because we have exceeded the 2000 bubble high in the market. Well, along those lines, maybe the Dow should not have exceeded the “bubble high” it struck in 1929!?
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Monday, June 04, 2018
Stock Market One Final Pull-back? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 is likely to continue until about early June.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 04, 2018
Three Key Elements Will Drive Stocks Higher Into Year End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week was a roller-coaster ride for traders and investors. After a long holiday weekend, traders were greeted with concerns originating in Italy regarding political stability and the potential that any further issues could result in a collapse of the EU. Even though the risk of this happening was somewhat minor, the US markets tanked near 2% as fear seemed to override common sense. The rest of this week has been a wild ride of price rotation within a range. We’ve been reading all types of news and comments regarding all types of “what if” scenarios from analysts and researchers while scratching our heads at some of the comments.
Sunday, June 03, 2018
The Stock Market Ain't Broke / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
There are some big H&S bottoms on several of the US stock market indexes that I have maybe only shown you once around the time the necklines were broken. When I first discovered them I wasn’t sure they would play out so I just kept them on the back burner to see what would happen.
I’ve mentioned recently how important it is to have a game plan to follow so you know that when the charts change, then your game plan needs to be adjusted to the new information the charts are showing. Sometimes just a little adjustment is all that is needed and as long as your game plan keeps play out you just go with it until something changes.
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Sunday, June 03, 2018
Stock Market Short term Downside Limited, Medium-Long Term is Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why the stock market’s short term downside is limited while the medium-long term is bullish.
As always, we go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
*A recap of this week’s thoughts and market studies.
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
Phantom Blips On The Stock Market Chart – Don’t Lose Focus - Free Silver! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent news seems to have everyone concerned about Italy, global debts, Europe and the potential for a debt contagion exploding into the markets. Yet, our research into price activity says this market is just getting started with an upside swing that could be massive. Take a few minutes to review our current research to see why we believe the extended level of fear in the markets is related to the recent February price rotation and a generally accepted erroneous Elliot Wave Count.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
Italy Roils Global Capital Markets – What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After a fairly solid rally took place over the past few weeks in the US majors, fresh concerns originating from Italy roiled the markets early on Tuesday, May 29. The concern is really related to the formation of a coalition government in Italy and the excessive debt issues plaguing Italy and many other European Union countries. In our opinion, the European Union has a number of issues that are rearing their ugly heads and most of these are related to disparities between opportunities, capital flows, debt and consumer optimism related to the parity of the EU economic activities. In other words, the squeaky wheel gets the grease. Right now, Greece and Italy are the two squeaky wheels with Portugal, Cyprus and Belgium following right behind.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
What Happens Next When Stock Market Volatility (VIX) Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market’s volatility index (VIX) spiked today from a very low level (from less than 14 to 17).
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018
What Happens Next when the Stock Market Consolidates in a Very Narrow Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market (S&P 500) has been swinging in a very narrow range over the past 12 days. The range is less than 1% when using CLOSE prices.
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
/ Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Stock Market S&P 2700 Key Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 is likely to continue until about early June.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Tuesday, May 29, 2018
Prepared For The Next Leg In The US Stock Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Dan_Steinbock
Ever since the deep price rotation in late January/early February 2018, many analysts have attempted to pinpoint the next moves in the markets. We recall reading the “doom and gloom” reports telling traders this is the big one and to prepare for a much lower price breakdown. We also read a few research posts that aligned with our adaptive predictive modeling systems suggesting this move would expand into extended bottoming rotation. We want to point out a few components of this move that most analysts are missing.
As we continue through this article, we want to highlight the similarities of this recent price rotation to the price rotation that took place in 2015/2016 and how prices advanced in staged “legging” patterns that allowed a great opportunity for traders and investors.
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Monday, May 28, 2018
How Do You Make Money on the Stock Market With A Broken Clock? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
For those that are familiar with American football, you would likely understand the strategy that the team that controls the clock usually controls the game.
But, what happens if the clock is broken and the game just keeps going and going and going? Well, it is no different than when an analyst makes a claim that the stock market is going to crash, and makes this claim week after week after week, and does this for months or even years on end. Since there is no time limit to the game, eventually, this analyst can “win” the game.
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Monday, May 28, 2018
Economy Still Too Strong to Induce Stocks Bear Market Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The adage “the stock market is not the economy” is true on a day to day and week to week basis. But it isn’t true in the medium-long term. The stock market and the economy move in the same direction over the long term. This means that you can predict the future of the stock market by predicting the future of the economy (fundamentals).
The adage “the stock market leads the economy” is true, but only when you look at the “economy” through the lens of GDP. These charts show that the stock market topped before a recession started in the 4 historical bear markets since 1950.
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Sunday, May 27, 2018
Stock Market Study: How Long After a 10%+ “Small Correction” to Make New Highs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 made a 10%+ “small correction” from January- February 2018. In a previous study I looked at how long it usually takes for the stock market to go from its correction bottom to a new all time high.
In today’s study I’m going to look at how long it usually takes for the S&P 500 to go from an old all-time high to making a new all time high.
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