Category: Stock Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, June 29, 2018
Traders Buy Markets When They Cry, Sell When They Yell! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We have been pouring over the charts to find out what to expect over the rest of 2018 and our advanced predictive modeling tools are showing us a few key elements that all traders need to be aware of. So, let’s get right to it.
First, the NASDAQ has likely neared or reached its peak near 7400 for the next few months. Don’t expect the NQ to move much beyond 7400 and don’t expect a lot of volatility in the NQ over the next few months. Our research shows the NQ should stall near 7400 and volatility should decrease through September (possibly).
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Friday, June 29, 2018
For Stocks, the Line in the Sand Has been Drawn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
See illustrations of complete bull and bear market cycles
You may have heard pundits on financial television say something like, "I see support for the Dow at this price level," or "This stock should experience some resistance at that price level."
So, what do these analysts mean by support and resistance?
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Thursday, June 28, 2018
More Market Uncertainty as Stocks Keep Bouncing Up and Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was bearish, as the main U.S. stock market indexes reversed their intraday uptrend and closed lower. Stocks bounced off the support level following Monday's sell-off, but they failed to continue higher. Will the market continue lower today? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 0.7% and 1.5% on Wednesday, as the investors' sentiment worsened again. The S&P 500 index remains close to 2,700 mark and it currently trades 6.0% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 1.5%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Wednesday.
Thursday, June 28, 2018
SPX Futures Challenge the 50-day and Fail / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures attempted a rally, challenging the 50-day Moving Average, but couldn’t break through. They have since slipped beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline and most likely have triggered that formation. That should send the SPX beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2666.78 and possibly beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge formation at 2625.00.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Stock Market Studies for July 27, 2018: Amazon, Financial Stocks, China, GE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
- Amazon will probably go up in July
- The financial sector has fallen 12 days in a row. A short term bounce is nearby.
- The Chinese stock market is getting crushed. It will probably fall a little more in the short term.
- GE’s stock spiked yesterday. This is likely a dead cat bounce. GE will probably fall within the next month.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Dow Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – an uptrend is clearly in force and the action since the January 2018 looks corrective in nature. I believe this corrective phase still has more time to play out. Price made a low yesterday at 24084 and while we may see that level tested I favour it to hold for the time being.
Bollinger Bands – price is now back at the middle band I favour support to come in here and send it back to the upper channel for one final downside test which sees price hit the lower band. A move straight down to the lower band is certainly not out of the question and if that were to occur then it probably means the next leg higher will commence earlier than expected.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Dow Breaks Below its 200 Dma. A Potentially Bearish Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Most of our recent medium-long term stock market studies have been bullish. Here’s a bearish study, and why I don’t think it’s as bearish as the results suggest.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has closed below its 200 daily moving average for the first time in 501 days. This is a pretty long streak.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Will the Stock Market Soar Over the Next 6-12 Months? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why:
- The stock market’s long term is bullish.
- The stock market’s medium term is bullish.
- The stock market’s short term is a 50-50 bet.
- Small caps will probably continue to outperform large caps over the next few months.
Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Stock Market Double Bottom at Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should eventually take SPX to a new all-time high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Could A Big Move In The Global Stock Markets Be Setting Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few months, our research team has authored many articles regarding the weakness in China/Asia as well as the recent rotation in the global markets as trade issues, debt issues, the G7 meeting and, more recently, concerns in the US and Europe regarding immigration and political issues create chaos in what was, just 18 months ago, a relatively calm global market. Yes, there have been some concerns over the past few year with regards to debt issues and other concerns, but the recent shakeup in the status-quo of the global markets seems to be presenting a massive opportunity for investors.
The recent news is that the European leaders are convening an Emergency Meeting to discuss immigration issues and other issues. This emergency meeting is warning us that other issues are at play here and immigration issues are the result of many failed policies and management by the EU to protect and distribute diversity to EU members.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Russell Has Gone up 8 Weeks in a Row. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week we published a study which demonstrated that when the Russell 2000 (small caps index) goes up 7 weeks in a row, the stock market’s future returns are very bullish.
The Russell 2000 has now extended that rally streak to 8 weeks up in a row.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Small Cap Stocks, Technology and Pharma To Drive A Renewed Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’ve been warning our followers not to become frightened by price rotation in the US majors for months. Our predictive analysis has been showing us the upside in this market is far from over and our most recent analysis of the global markets is showing us that emerging markets and many global markets may be “disconnecting” from the US majors in a dramatic price move. See our most recent research posts for more on this potential crisis in the making.
Friday, June 22, 2018
Dow Has Fallen 8 days in a Row. Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow Jones has fallen 8 days in a row. But as always, market stage matters (the same kind of price action means different things in different market stages). The Dow has fallen 8 days in a row while it’s still in an uptrend (i.e. is above its 200 daily moving average). This is uncommon – most 8 days in a row streaks occur when the Dow is in a downtrend (i.e. is below its 200 daily moving average).
Thursday, June 21, 2018
SPX Bouncing Above Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPB futures have been bouncing along the two trendlines near 2760.00 this morning. Should the break down, we may see a decline to the 50-day Moving Average at 2710.37. However, the Cycles Model is unclear about near-term direction. We should be open to the possibility of another probe of the Cycle Top. Depending on the strength of the potential move, we may see a challenge of the March 13 high.
ZeroHedge reports, “It started off well enough, with S&P futures in the green and the Nasdaq set for another all time high after trade war concerns eased further after Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told the Senate neither the U.S. nor China want a trade war, while President Donald Trump said he expects to announce new trade deals with unspecified countries soon.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
First of all I’d like to thank Shawn. He raised a good question, one that I’ll answer in this study.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Trump’s Trade Tariffs Undermining America’s Economic Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Dan_Steinbock
As President Trump is again suspending the opportunity for trade compromise, new US tariffs are not only alienating US allies and partners but undermining America’s own future prospects.On Monday, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose a new 10 percent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods. That will not only re-escalate the trade war with China but contribute to new risks of collateral damage to the US economy.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
The Fed’s “Inflation Target” is Impoverishing American Workers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Antonius_Aquinas
At one time, the Federal Reserve’s sole mandate was to maintain stable prices and to “fight inflation.” To the Fed, the financial press, and most everyone else “inflation” means rising prices instead of its original and true definition as an increase in the money supply. Rising prices are a consequence – a very painful consequence – of money printing.
Naturally, the Fed and all other central bankers prefer the definition of inflation as a rise in prices which insidiously hides the fact that they, being the issuers of currency, are the real culprit for increased prices.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Dow Fell 6 days in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish Medium & Long term Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow Jones has gone down 6 days in a row. This is the first time in 15 months in which the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days. But more importantly, the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days while remaining above its 200 daily moving average.
In other words, this is the first time in a long time in which the Dow has fallen consistently.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
The Fed Screwed Up… and the Markets Know It / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year.
The market didn’t like this announcement, with stocks in a sea of red. This has raised the question… “is the Fed going to trigger a market meltdown?”
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Stock Market’s Short Term Downside Will be Limited / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Over the past 2 weeks I said that the stock market would face some short term downside (i.e. would swing sideways or fall a little). So far I’ve been right. The stock market has gone down a little bit (see S&P 500).
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