Category: Stock Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, February 05, 2018
Friday's Stocks Sell-Off Sets The Tone For Weeks To Come / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The main U.S. stock market indexes lost 2.0-2.5% on Friday, breaking below their three-day-long consolidation as investors reacted to quarterly corporate earnings, economic data releases, among others. The S&P 500 index accelerated its short-term downtrend following breakout below the level of 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The broad stock market retraced more than 50% of its month-long rally off the December 29th local low at 2,673.61. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was relatively weaker, as it lost 2.5% on Friday, and the technology Nasdaq Composite fell 2.0%.
Monday, February 05, 2018
Stock Market How Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Is this an intermediate-term top? Perhaps not yet!
Monday, February 05, 2018
Did The Stock Market Top Last Week? I think Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’re certain that many of you are asking yourself this question after seeing the markets rotate to the downside so hard recently. If you had been reading our past analysis for the early portion of 2018, you would likely know the answer to this question. If not, this research article will assist in your understanding of the market’s rotation and what to expect over the next few weeks/months.
We called a market advance in early 2018 nearly three weeks before the end of 2017. We also called the current move, lower, at that same time. Recently, we’ve made calls regarding the US Dollar, metals markets, and natural gas that have played out exceptionally well for our members. Now, we’ll show you what to expect in the markets for the next few weeks.
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Sunday, February 04, 2018
Where Have All The Stock Market Investors Gone? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: WMA
Given that most trading in capital markets today is momentum-based buying and selling, where much of the trading is a reaction to news and directed to ETFs that are being manipulated by computer algorithms, it’s a legitimate question to ask where have all the investors gone?
Is most everybody today just a buyer or a seller of prices? If so, the marketplace has gotten off track. Are people fed up with market intervention, are they too indifferent to market risk until they panic or are they simply not able or not caring to understand the assets they are buying?
Sunday, February 04, 2018
Removing Fuel from a Stock Market Rally on Fire / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Doug_Wakefield
Friday, January 26, 2018; the Dow sets a record, adding almost 2,000 points in the first 4 weeks of the year.
Forget rising rates. Ignore what is taking place in Washington. Central Banks? Who are they? Wealth from the “perfect bull” only comes in two speeds, slow and fast.
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Saturday, February 03, 2018
Stocks Plunge. Volatility Spikes. Fear Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
Urgent Message Two Must See NASDAQ Charts
This short video shows you everything you need to know about the position of the stock market today. It's a must-see message for anyone investing in stocks today.
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Saturday, February 03, 2018
Have Stock Investors Gone Insane? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This has the appearance of a Wave (iii) of a Leading Diagonal Wave [i]. Thus far it has not succeeded in making its Head & Shoulders target, but it may not be complete. This may be where the wheels fall off, so I am hesitant to put a label on the structure yet. It doesn’t look very good, does it?
ZeroHedge advises, “With positioning at extremes, and leverage at extremes, and valuations at extremes, Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha raises the red flag as the correlation across asset-classes soars to record highs signaling extreme contagion risk.
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Saturday, February 03, 2018
Stock Market Plunge Protection Team Spotted Atop Mount Everest! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Many market observers would agree that the current stock market is either in a bubble or at least richly valued by historical standards. Not that it matters. The Dow’s ascent looks like Mount Everest complete with a lack of oxygen at the top. All that has mattered when it comes to stocks for thirty years now is the Federal Reserve and their ‘Plunge Protection Team (PPT)’ activities.
When stocks needed a boost, they were there to buy market indices back up when no one else would dare. Since the election of President Donald Trump, market indices have been moving straight up. The PPT has not been needed. There have been no sell-offs. That is, until the very end of January, 2018. Even then, the Dow dipped just a couple of percentage points.
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Friday, February 02, 2018
The Stock Market Lugnuts are Loose! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has crossed the neckline and round number support at 2800.00. While Kolanovic and the Risk Parity algos ignored the initial decline, they will have a harder time of it today. The real question is, how far will it go today? Panic may set in if not already, as the Head & Shoulders target appears to be an easy mark.
ZeroHedge reports, “Last Friday, when the S&P hit an all time high and inexplicably melted up in the last hour of trading in a burst of frenzied buying, we warned that according to Bank of America, "Biggest Sell Signal In 5 Years Was Just Triggered." Incidentally, on that very day, the S&P 500 bull market became the second largest of all time last Friday, as the global equity market cap of $86.6TN rose $57.9TN from 2009 lows and $29.9TN from 2016 lows, according to BofA.
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Friday, February 02, 2018
This is Crazy! Stock Market Investors Have Simply Gone Nuts! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX took out yesterday’s low at 2813.04. This may be the beginning of the slide suggested by the Head & Shoulders formation. Confirmation comes at the neckline at 2805.00. There is still a chance of a pop to the upper reaches of the right shoulder, but that probability seems to be fading fast.
Many are ignoring this decline as being “too insignificant.” Vic Kolanovic at JPM is one of them. It appears that a larger decline will be needed to wake these fellas up.
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Thursday, February 01, 2018
Stocks Went Sideways, No Quick Reversal Means Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The main U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Wednesday, as they fluctuated following recent move down. Investors were uncertain ahead of quarterly earnings, FOMC Rate Decision, economic data releases. The S&P 500 index remained below its Tuesday's relatively big daily gap down. It currently trades around 2.1% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87. Yet, it remains 4.7% above its December 29 close of 2,673.61. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3% on Wednesday, as it bounced off support level at 26,000, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%.
The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,790-2,810, marked by the January mid-month consolidation. The next level of support remains at 2,770-2,780, marked by some previous local lows. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,840-2,850, marked by Tuesday's daily gap down of 2,837.75-2,851.48. The next resistance level remains at around 2,870-2,875, marked by Friday's record high of 2,872.87. The resistance level is the price level at which the selling interest is strong enough to overcome buying pressure and push the price lower. It usually refers to previous high or highs, gap downs, trend lines, retracement levels etc.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Stocks Bull Market or Hyperinflationary Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Raymond_Matison
More than a decade ago several insightful people recognized that the bond market as it related to the then AAA rated mortgage backed bonds was a well-crafted illusion. The eventual default in these bonds fostered a market meltdown which was within hours of totally freezing up markets, creating a global financial crisis. The stock market reflected this crisis by the Dow Industrial Index declining from 16,437 in October of 2007 to 8,207 in February of 2009, a 50% decline in less than a one and half year period.
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Panic Selling On New York Stock Exchange – Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this short conversation, we talk about Palladium and how it topped last week, and this metal has already dropped 5.5% in value since then.
We also mentioned a few days ago when gold was testing key resistance that traders should expect a correction in gold and mining stocks. This week we already locked in a quick 11% profit with DUST inverse ETF for gold miners and there is likely more selling to come!
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
How Will The S&P 500 Reach 4000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
There is no real secret to the market. In fact, it is rather simple. But, that does not mean the specific smaller degree moves in the market will be just as simple.
You see, markets are no different wherever you look. Whether that be metals, equities, Forex, crypto-currencies, etc, they all react in the exact same way. Markets simply move from one extreme to another. And, we need to be able to identify where those extremes can cause a turn.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Crises and Opportunity – Possible End of the Line for Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
There is not one person living today that has seen a period of overvaluation such as the onewe are living through right now.
And there are few people still alive who witnessed a crash similar to the one we are about to experience.
The market hit such an extreme level last week
that it brought the long term valuation metrics I follow
To a level higher than the property bubble highs of 2007,
the DOTCOM bubble highs of 1999,
the cocaine highs of 1987,
the space age highs of 1966,
and the roaring 20's highs of 1929.
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Stock Market Short-term Support May Come Into Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is getting some lift at the Short-term support level at 2815.25. It suggests that may be the downside limit for this decline. If so, it may have its work cut out for it at the gap, which refused to be filled this morning. My best estimate is that SPX may make a probe (lower) to the Short-term support level before attempting a bounce.
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Tuesday, January 30, 2018
Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has a substantial gap down this morning. It is likely that there will be an attempt to fill the gap. However, should this be the beginning of Super Cycle Wave (C), the gap may not be filled. Find the best level you can to place your short positions, but don’t try to outguess what happens next. You are likely to beat the crowd by being early and let the market do the rest.
Tuesday, January 30, 2018
Stock Market Trendlines are Violated. SPX Sell is On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
USD futures are sown this morning as the index probes toward a new low. Yesterday it back-tested its Cycle Bottom resistance prior to the resumption of its decline. As mentioned, USD is likely to overshoot its target before the main reversal. The Cycles Model implies that the turn may come on Monday February 5. If so, I suggest taking downside profits on Friday.
ZeroHedge reports, “The global selloff that started on Monday as traders were spooked by the double whammy of surging interest rates and fears about iPhone X demand, and resulting in the biggest drop in US stocks since September, accelerated overnight and as seen below world stocks and US equity futures are a sea of red this morning:”
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Monday, January 29, 2018
Are Bond Yields About to Slap Stocks Out of Their Euphoria? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
Rates continue to rise, though stocks remain oblivious.
The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury continues to soar, with a confirmed breakout from its 10-year downtrend.
Now, cynics would ask, “why does this matter? The yield is at the same level as it was in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, and 2014.”
It matters because throughout this time period, corporates and governments were adding debt.
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Monday, January 29, 2018
Stocks are Down, VIX is Higher, But No Signal This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
TNX futures are higher this morning as to blows out prior resistance levels into a clear Wave (5) rally that is still in its early stages. It is approaching its Weekly Cycle Top resistance at 27.80, but is likely to blow through it. The Head I Shoulders pattern usually indicates the terminus of Wave 3. The Monthly Cycle Top is near 35.00 and may be the ultimate target of this final Primary Wave [1] off its all-time low.
ZeroHedge reports, “The recent frantic moves in Treasurys and the dollar continued on Monday as we enter what is set to be a juggernaut of a "rollercoaster week", and while the dollar collapse seems to have slowed for now, this is as a result of an acceleration in the Treasury selloff, with 10Y yields blowing out to 2.72% for the first time since early 2014, and now deep into what Jeff Gundlach called the "danger zone" for equities.”
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