Category: Stock Markets 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, April 13, 2020
AI Fibonacci Trading System Predicts Next Stock Market Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Now that you’ve learned about Fibonacci Price Theory Part I and how major and minor Fibonacci Price Pivots help to map out true price structure Part II, we’ll continue our research article illustrating why we believe a deeper price low should take place before a true bottoms sets up in the US and global markets.
Our researchers use a host of available tools and proprietary price modeling systems in an attempt to identify the most likely outcome of future price activity. Within this article, we’re focusing on the Fibonacci Price Theory and our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system. We just taught you about Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to use them. Now, we are going to go into a detailed analysis of deeper Fibonacci price theory with the NQ (NASDAQ)
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
Can the S&P 500 Bulls Sound the All Clear Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The buyers repelled the opening selling pressure, and gradually made their way higher. While it wasn’t smooth sailing throughout the whole session, they overcame every attempt of the sellers. Closing near the daily highs, and with futures little changed during the premarket session, can the buyers repeat their performance later today as well?
In the search for answers, let’s check the daily chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Saturday, April 11, 2020
Our Fib Trading System is Telling Us Where The Stock Market Is Headed Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this section of our multi-part research post centered around our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system’s expectations, we are focusing on the NQ (NASDAQ futures) and the future expected price rotations. As we discussed earlier, in Part I, Fibonacci price theory teaches us that price must always attempt to establish new price highs or new price lows within a trend. Reversals happen when price fails to continue establishing new price highs or new price lows and breaks above or below a recent critical price level.
First, we’ll focus on the major Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to identify and use them with the Fibonacci Price Theory. Major Price Pivots are points in time where a major new High or Low price is established that becomes a critical price top or bottom. Often, within extended trending, a minor price pivot will become a major price pivot simply because the price trend has extended for many weeks or months without establishing any type of moderate price rotation. The reason we could consider a minor price pivot as a major price pivot is that, within the extended trend, we attempt to identify where price setup a “unique low” or “unique high” as a point of support or resistance within the trend.
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Friday, April 10, 2020
Here Comes Another $2T Support for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
In anticipation of the previous $2T stimulus package that passed on Mar 27 and in its aftermath, stocks rallied, yet it wasn’t a one-way road. They had trouble overcoming the pre-stimulus highs, and actually sold off in the following week.
Today’s Fed announcement contained a $2.3T loan package to support the economy. While stocks didn’t sell off in its immediate aftermath, they haven’t rallied profoundly in the runup to further stimulus either.
High-yield corporate debt (HYG) predictably rallied in response to the real economy support with loans, but the bulls are having issues adding to their opening gains. That’s a shooting star, a bearish candle.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2020
The Big Short Guides us to What is Next for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: readtheticker
There is nothing new in WallStreet, it is only the players that change. Sometimes a market player or an event gets ahead of the crowd and WallStreet has to play catch up.
Previous Post Dow 2020 Crash Watch , Dow, Three strikes and your out!
It is important to understand major WallStreet players do not want to miss out on a money making moves.
In the movie 'The Big Short' some market players got ahead of the crowd and shorted the US housing market.
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Monday, April 06, 2020
The Stock Market Is Not a Magic Money Machine / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Jared_Dillian
I am writing from my home library since I’m no longer working in my office in downtown Myrtle Beach.
I’ve always resisted working from home because I don’t want to stress out in my own house. But it hasn’t been bad. I have a hot tub, a pool, cigars, and the cats.
Things are much worse for most other people. The virus and the protective measures have done untold economic damage. Some people are openly talking of a depression.
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Sunday, April 05, 2020
Stocks Hanging By the Fingernails? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
After Wednesday’s slide, the S&P 500 moved higher yesterday. While the move itself hadn’t surprised us as we’ve earlier called for a pause in the downswing, the question is whether we can expect some more upside shortly.
Long story short, that’s unlikely. Let’s open today’s analysis with the daily chart examination (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Saturday, April 04, 2020
Stock Market Enters a 25-35year Crisis Cycle Re-evaluation Event / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We can only imagine what many of you are thinking and feeling right now. Shock? Concern? Despair? Some of you have already emailed us asking about the US and Global markets to find out what our predictive modeling systems are suggesting. Today, we’re going to show you what the longer-term Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting for the S&P and NASDAQ.
First, we want to ask you to slow down, take a few seconds to realize we will recover from this virus event and the smart thing to do is protect your family, protect your assets, and prepare for the future. Market crashes happen only 2-3 times in a lifetime and they, not the end of the world or financial system.
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Saturday, April 04, 2020
US Stock Market Next Heavy Down Leg Believed Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses what he sees ahead for the markets.
We are going to look at an array of important factors pointing to another severe drop in the broad U.S. stock market imminently, both factors external to it and indications on the charts for the S&P 500 index (and other indices which we won't have time to look at).
First it is well worth watching another classic video from Greg Mannarino posted on March 30: WOW...ZERO Economic Activity in which he puts into words what many of us are thinking, and it's worth watching this at least a couple of times. Rather amusingly, "The Dark Side" tried to buy Greg off to shut him up, but he wasn't having it. This is how they operate – they buy you off, marginalize you, or take you out, whether you are an individual, a company or a country.
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Saturday, April 04, 2020
The Opening Salvo in the Renewed Stock Downswing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
As expected, the S&P 500 had a down session yesterday. Opening with a sizable gap, the bears continued their push to move prices lower. Since the futures have been pointing higher before the unemployment claims came in, does it mark a tradable turnaround?
In short, that’s unlikely. Let’s start though with the daily chart examination (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, April 03, 2020
Stocks: When Grass Looks Greener on the Other Side of the ... Pond / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Let's start by establishing that the stock market is not driven by the news. Aggregate stock prices are driven by waves of optimism and pessimism -- which go from one extreme to another -- as reflected by the Elliott wave model. That's what makes the stock market predictable.
Hence, Elliott wave analysis is at the core of EWI's stock market forecasts.< /p>
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Thursday, April 02, 2020
Stock Market Selloff Structure Explained – Fibonacci On Deck / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Many traders become very emotional when the markets turn Bearish and fail to properly understand that price structure is still driving market price movement. This morning, I highlighted this structure to my subscribers attempting to alert them to the possibility that the markets could recover moderately over the next 3 to 5+ days attempting to set up the next “waterfall” downside price event.
On January 29, 2020, I posted a research article detailing my belief that a “waterfall” type of event was setting up in the markets. This article was nearly 30 days prior to the peak in the markets. It explained how events take place and how markets tend to develop a moderate recovery phase between selloff price declines.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
The Past Stock Market Week Was More Important Than You May Understand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
On Thursday, we saw the worst jobless claims number in history (and by far). Yet, the S&P500 futures rallied over 200 points from their overnight lows. So, are we to believe that the “cause” of that rally was the jobless claims?
I can assure you that if the market dropped 200 points there would be no question in your mind that the drop was certainly caused by the jobless claim’s announcement. In fact, there is not a single one of you reading this that would have even doubted that as a “fact.” If we are going to be honest here, it is likely that all of you probably had the expectation that the market going to be down big when those numbers were announced.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Three Charts Every Stock Market Trader and Investor Must See / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Understanding the stock market and its potential through the use of technical analysis and historical price events has been proven repeatedly to outperform all forms of fundamental trading styles. The following is a story that walks you through my experience, the shift in my mindset and how I came to the conclusion that the three charts I share in this article are critical to your understanding of to make money in today’s market!
When I first learned to trade, I got all caught up with researching companies and finding the ones with the best earnings and future growth. I did that for several years after studying and following many “professional traders” who said it was the best way to trade and invest long term. We lost our shirts during the 2000 bear market by continuing to trade on fundamentals as stocks fell in value week after week. Even the companies that showed quarterly earnings growth fell in value – none of it seemed to make any sense to me, and it was very frustrating.
Losing money when buying the best companies made no logical sense, making me step back from the markets and ask myself, ‘what am I doing wrong here‘. People today are asking themselves the same question given today’s dizzying markets:
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Coronavirus Stocks Bear Market Trend Forecast - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the stock market was first made available to Patrons who support my work. And it was my intentions to post this extensive analysis in a series of videos. However that has not been possible therefore this video just contains my final stock market conclusion.
So if you want to read the full analysis behind the forecast that is to follow then do follow the link to the Patreon site. Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market - March and April 2020 Trend Forecast.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market Into End April 2020 Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My full stock market analysis follows that was first made available to Patrons who support my work - Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market - March and April 2020 Trend Forecast
Whilst my latest analysis in this series was posted yesterday (30th March) - US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector
Before you read this analysis, ask yourselves is it worth $3 for advance warning of one of the greatest AI stocks sector buying opportunities of our time? https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Monday, March 30, 2020
Stock Market Next Cycle Low 7th April / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketSPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
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Saturday, March 28, 2020
One of the Biggest Stock Market Short Covering Rallies in History May Be Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund considers the opportunities posed by recent market and fiscal news.
In recent days the Fed has made it plain that it is prepared to buy anything and everything to prevent imminent total collapse, and you don't have to join many dots to see that this will extend to buying stocks. It's not that hard for them—all they have to do is enter a few keystrokes, add a few 0s and it's sorted—and as Gregory Mannarino repeatedly points out, the more debt they issue the more powerful they become.
Right now sentiment is "end of the world" negative, and any positive development will be enough to trigger a gargantuan, self-feeding, short-covering rally. Gold's huge recovery is a sign that this may be about to start.
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Friday, March 27, 2020
DJIA Coronavirus Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Short-term Trend Analysis
The bubble that was the Dow's early year bull run has well and truly burst with the Dow literally crashing to a low of 24,700, and if it wasn't for the Coronavirus than the Dow would still have fallen to trade down to a low of about 27,500. Instead we have gone beyond that which technical analysis can determine, hence my continuing heavy focus on the Coronavirus trend which on the 27th of February concluded in expectations for the Dow to fairly quickly trade down to about 25,500 that it soon sliced through during it's multi day crash.
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Friday, March 27, 2020
US Stock Market Upswing Meets Employment Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The much-anticipated upswing continuation came yesterday, and the bulls certainly fought hard to keep up the upside momentum. To what degree have they been successful with most of the intraday gains evaporating before the closing bell?
The intraday volatility is high and offers many opportunities to profit on both long and short positions. And that’s certainly what we did earlier this week, cashing in a 168-point gain on Friday-opened short position, and two more profitably closed positions (both were long trades) yesterday for an 82- and 52-point profit respectively. In total, that’s 302-point gain this week so far!
But going into the employment data later today, how does the technical outlook look like right now?
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