Category: Stock Markets 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Stock Market Forecast 2020 Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Long-term Trend Analysis
The Dow finally breached resistance along a series of sub 28k highs of the past 2 years that propelled the Dow towards 29k.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Stock Market Trend Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – There are no signs that the bull market is over.
Intermediate trend – Most likely near an intermediate top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 05, 2020
What Global Stock Markets Drop After US Iran Missile Strike Mean? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US Stock Market contracted in early morning trading on Friday, January 3, by more than 1% after news of the missile attack in Baghdad targeting a top-level Iranian military General and others. After the attack on the US Embassy in Iraq last week, President Trump issued a strong warning that the US would act to protect its people throughout the world and Iran scoffed at this message. It would certainly appear President Trump means business and won’t hesitate to stop terrorists from acting against the US – no matter where they are in the world.
This news, overnight, pushed Oil, Gold, Silver and most precious metals higher. The fear factor associated with the unknowns of what may come from these actions shot through the roof over the past 24 hours. The global stock markets contracted by a fairly strong amount in Friday’s trading. Most global markets were off by 0.75% to levels well over 1%.
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Sunday, January 05, 2020
Beware the Stock Market 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Bob Moriarty takes a look at drivers in the bull market and sees a bear in the wings.
While I happen to be a giant fan of the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI), I also use a bunch of other signals. The DSI is the single best indicator I've found but there are dozens of other measures of investor sentiment. If you are a contrarian, you search constantly for some way of figuring out what investors are thinking.
Investing at a profit is actually simple. The mob is always wrong. Always wrong. Figure out what the mob is thinking and do the opposite.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Stock Market What To Expect In Early 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The US stock market has recently rallied throughout most of the last year after the very deep downside price rotation in late 2018. Our researchers believe there is a very high likelihood of this trend continuing in early 2020, yet we would need to see confirmation across various broader indicators before we could determine the strength of this upside price trend.
We warned that a downside price rotation may happen near the end of 2019 – which never really materialized. The August 2019 downside price rotation looked like it may turn into a deeper downside price move, but the news cycle ended that move as the US Fed decreased rates again and the news of a pending US/China trade deal continued to be pushed into the news cycle. Here we are 3+ months later and we really have no US/China trade deal signed yet.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Why History’s Longest Stocks Bull Market Is Just Getting Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Robert_Ross
Doom and gloom predictions about the stock market drive click. I get it.
But those predictions have fallen flat for 10 years straight.
US stocks keep marching higher, and history’s longest bull market keeps getting longer. Here’s a chart of the S&P 500 since February 2009. It’s climbed 325%:
Tuesday, December 31, 2019
Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Stocks bull market is on course to end 2019, it's 11th year up by 24% with the Dow's last close of 28,462 against 23,062 of 31st Dec 2018.
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Saturday, December 21, 2019
Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Nearing the end of 2019, our research team continues to attempt to dissect the market rally in an effort to present credible research and timely insights to skilled technical traders. We recently authored a research article discussing the potential that the US Stock market is less than 2.5% away from a major resistance level that could prompt a massive market top. You can read our research related to these Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs here.
This recent research leads us to revisit the recent blow-off rotation in recent markets. The typical market cycle moves from through these cycles Stealth Phase, the Awareness Phase, the Mania Phase and finally to the Blow-Off Phase. The Stealth Phase is where the smart money pours into the market taking advantage of undervalued assets/equities. The Awareness phase is where more traditional and retail investors pile into assets that have formed traditional bottom formation and started to rally. The Mania Phase is when enthusiasm and greed take over and when the market moves higher in a parabolic price mode – ultimately reaching a massive top. Then, we start the Blow-Off Phase which usually starts with a deep “R” type price rotation – followed by extended selling.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2019
Stock Market Bears Close to Nail-in-Coffin Moment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
The first week of September played out as a picture perfect breakout continuation to our upside targets. If you recall, the final week of August showcased a massive weekly bull engulf candle that basically eclipsed/retraced all the losses of the prior 3 weeks of August for the monthly closing print. This meant that the bears failed, so it’s time for the bulls to launch their counterattack and nail in the coffin of the bears.
During the first week of September, the bulls did just that as they accomplished their ‘hold half and go’ upside continuation setup on Tuesday, holding between the 38.2% and 50% standard fib retracement of the last week of August’s range with the 2889 low on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). On Wednesday night, the bulls proceeded with the decisive breakout above the 2930s-2940s resistance zone, which was the key massive resistance/supply zone of the past 3-4 weeks. The usual feedback loop squeeze setup triggered a vicious cycle of stop-outs and chasers into the 2955 and 2970 continuation targets within minutes.
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Wednesday, September 04, 2019
The Inverted Yield Curve Is Actually a Good Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Robert_Ross
August 14 was the worst day of the year for stocks.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 800 points in a single day.
The stock market plunged because of a serious economic warning sign called a yield curve inversion.
A yield curve inversion is a canary in the coal mine for the economy. It’s happened before every recession in the last 50 years.
However, there’s no reason to panic.
Wednesday, September 04, 2019
The Reason Stocks Will Soar in the Next 20 Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Stephen_McBride
A reader asked me last week if it’s time to head for the exits.There’s a lot of fear in the markets right now. Folks are nervous. Maybe you’re nervous.
The past two weeks have been rough for the stock market. The S&P 500 recently suffered its worst day of the year. And stocks have now dipped 4% since hitting record highs in late July.
If you watch any financial TV, you’ve surely heard this blamed on a troubling economic signal triggered last week called the “inverted yield curve.”
I’ll tell you in a moment why it’s actually a good sign for stocks. But before that, let’s clarify what the inverted yield curve is… and why it matters to you.
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