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Category: Gold & Silver 2020

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, November 04, 2020

A Golden Election Promise / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth explains why he believes gold will be the biggest winner in the election.

There's no shortage of prognostications or conjecture about the U.S. election.

Of course, everyone has an opinion.

Some like red, some like blue, some like neither.

Last week's volatility in stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities is a clear signal that markets are uneasy. They hate uncertainty.

If the election's outcome is less than clear, then volatility will be around for a while, and probably even intensify.

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Commodities

Monday, November 02, 2020

Gold Investors Should Look at Past Elections / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Election Day has finally arrived. Who will win, and why gold will remain the biggest winner of them all?

So, today is the day! It's Election Day. For quite some time, national polls indicate that Biden has a significant advantage . He is also polling scarcely close ahead of Donald Trump in key battleground states, but, in some states, the lead has recently narrowed. So, in many places, the race is still too close to call, making them toss-up states. Hence, although according to political pundits, polls, and bets Biden will become the next POTUS, anything could happen .

And we mean - anything. Everyone knows that back in 2016, Hillary Clinton also led in the polls. However, Trump won the election, to everyone’s surprise. Of course, the polling methodology has been improved since. But now, Biden has a much wider advantage than Hillary did in 2016, and he is much more conservative and more moderate in his approach than Clinton (historically, more moderate presidential candidates generally do better in presidential elections).

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Commodities

Monday, November 02, 2020

Silver Junior Miners Reach Flag Apex Just Before US Elections / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Heading into what will likely become one of the biggest events in American political history on November 3, the US stock markets are holding up quite well on Monday, November 2.  My team and I have published a number of articles recently suggesting we believe wild price swings and increased volatility is to be expected before and after the US elections.  We have even suggested a couple of stock trades that we believe should do fairly well 60+ days after the elections are complete.  Right now, we want to bring your attention to the Silver Junior Miners ETF (SILJ).

The current Pennant/Flag formation that is setting up in SILJ on the following Monthly chart has peaked our attention.  Diminishing volume and moderately strong support above the $12 price level suggest key resistance near $15.05 will likely be retested as metals and miners continue to attract safe-haven capital after the elections.  The Apex of the Pennant/Flag formation appears to be nearly complete – a breakout or breakdown move is pending.  We believe the uncertainty of the elections will prompt a possible breakout (upside) price trend in the near future.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 31, 2020

Gold and Silver Prepare For Another Price Advance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we continue to near the November 3rd election day, Precious Metals have continued to trade within a narrow range suggesting price support is staying strong. It is my belief that potential downside risks for Gold and Silver will be relatively short-lived after the election.  We believe the broad market decline witnessed on October 26, 2020, where the Dow Jones fell over 700 points, coupled with the fact Gold and Silver barely budged throughout the selloff, suggests support for Precious Metals has reached a “battle line”.

My research team has highlighted the current support and resistance price levels for both Gold and Silver on the charts below.  We believe the initial support levels will hold up well throughout the pending election and that an upside breakout in both Gold and Silver are likely outcomes after the elections.  Global traders and investors have already likely hedged their portfolios accordingly to attempt to eliminate risks, yet the fear of what is not known is one of the main drivers of appreciation in Precious Metals. 

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Commodities

Saturday, October 31, 2020

Gold Is Likely to Win This Election / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Trump and Biden debated for the second and last time in this campaign. So, who will win, and why gold is likely to be the biggest winner of them all?

President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden met for the second and the last debate before the elections. Thankfully, this time things were less chaotic and with far fewer interruptions and insults. Perhaps Trump has acknowledged that his aggressive behavior was a liability and decided to change his approach – especially since this was his final opportunity to alter the presidential campaign dynamics.

However, it might be too late now. According to both nation-wide and state-by-state polls, and market bets, Biden is still in a significant lead (as the chart below shows). Moreover, because of the postal voting, many votes are already locked in, as a record 47 million Americans have already cast their ballots.

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Commodities

Friday, October 30, 2020

Is Silver the Next Bitcoin? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth compares silver and bitcoin and explains why he believes investors should own both.

At the risk of offending bitcoin or silver investors, I think this is a question worth asking.

I have been researching and following these assets for some time.

In my view, it's not an either-or dilemma. You should simply own both.

I believe silver and bitcoin remain massively undervalued, and that the market fundamentals of both these assets look extremely bullish.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 29, 2020

Silver: A Conceivable Dead-Cat-Bounce on the Cards / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver is not just any industrial metal. Used as money for centuries, much longer than the fiat currencies have been used, with its specific properties that are also widely used in many industries (best conductor of heat and electricity), with crude oil, it is perhaps one of the most versatile commodities.

As far as the white metal is concerned, on September 24 th , we have warned you about the possible temporary rebound.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 29, 2020

Election May Impact Near-Term Action in Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Metals broke out earlier in the year because there has likely never been so many fundamental reasons to buy gold and silver. We’ve seen economic turmoil, political strife, social unrest, a $3 trillion federal deficit, and a dollar weakened by fiscal and monetary stimulus – all happening at once.

How the markets finish the year will depend on whether these conditions persist.

The near-term bearish scenario for metals would probably have something in common with 2016. Donald Trump wins and investors feel more confident.

They could focus on buying risk assets, and they could be less motivated to buy safe-havens assets.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Silver Price Minor Dip Possible Before 2nd Major Upleg Starts / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes it is one of the best investments for these times.

With hyperinflation looming, silver has to be one of the best investments of these times, especially as it leverages gold's gains. This summer saw a spectacular high volume breakout from the giant base pattern that had been forming for years, as we can see on its latest 13-year chart, which is hardly surprising considering the Fed's white hot money creation. The breakout triggered a sharp run up that resulted in silver becoming heavily overbought in a zone of quite strong resistance, hence the reaction since early August, which is setting it up for the next big run.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Gold Price One Last Dip Likely Then Major Upleg to New Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at gold charts and explains why he believes the dollar price of gold will eventually skyrocket.

With a collapse in the dollar and hyperinflation now inevitable, it is clear that the dollar price of gold will eventually skyrocket, and when I say "eventually" I am not talking about in 5 or 10 years time. It is already starting to accelerate away to the upside and that means that the current dip has presented another buying opportunity, not just in gold itself but in silver and precious metals stocks too.

On gold's latest 13-year chart we can see that the giant Bowl pattern has already driven a breakout to new highs in recent months and in this context the minor reaction of recent weeks is a perfectly normal development that unwinds the overbought condition somewhat and rebalances sentiment. The Bowl pattern can also be described as a Cup, and very often a "Handle" forms to complement the Cup before further significant gains are made, which is a period of consolidation that proportion suggests could last a year or two. Should such a Handle now form it would clearly be a source of major annoyance and frustration to investors in the sector as it would mean their holdings would generally go nowhere for a year or two. However, things are deteriorating at such a rapid rate that it is considered most unlikely that gold would get bogged down in this manner.

The ongoing exponential rise in money creation to support a collapsing economy that has been made worse by the virus hysteria and disproportionate reaction of governments around the world means that the purchasing power of fiat most everywhere will decline at an accelerating rate, and since gold is "real money" that holds its value no matter what, it must therefore gain in price to compensate. What could therefore happen instead is that, rather than meander around for ages making a Handle, the steeply rising Bowl boundary generates a dramatic slingshot move higher in gold, which the current setup certainly makes possible, especially as it has just broken out to new highs. Before leaving the 13-year chart note the strong volume driving the advance up the right side of the Bowl and the strong volume indicators all of which indicates that a major bull market phase has begun, and with the 2011 highs having fallen, there is nothing to stop it. It is also interesting to observe how the freak March plunge, when everything was tanking, was contained and reversed by the Bowl boundary.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Gold and Crypto: Is This How Charts Look Before A Monetary Collapse? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

It is the the massive debt. It cannot be serviced. It will collapse the whole system.

The gold, silver and cryptocurrencies charts are showing signs of going parabolic. The US dollar is close to confirming a massive breakdown.

Gold, silver and cryptocurrencies all provide “crisis value” by simply being an acceptable debt-based fiat alternative. It is only later in this crisis that we will see a divergence between cryptocurrency and precious metals.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Silver's Coming Double Trigger Shotgun Price Explosion / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

David Smith - Even in the competitive hunting/shooting community, few enthusiasts know about an arcane rifle known as a "double trigger shotgun." Essentially, it's a double-barrel shotgun having a trigger for each barrel.

This was an early day's design with the triggers located inside the trigger guard, back to front. It was possible to press both triggers at once, causing a double discharge, though for the most part this was not a good idea – since it caused twice the recoil, and was hard on both the shotgun and the shooter – especially if not anticipated.

Though this essay is not about shotguns, but rather silver, the above concept provides a perfect analogy for what I believe is in store – a double discharge for both silver demand and price in the reasonably near future!

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Commodities

Monday, October 26, 2020

Do You Own Your Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Nick_Barisheff

Whether you’re buying a brand new BMW or a second hand Range Rover, it’s necessary to secure clear title so you can sell or trade the vehicle in the future. If you purchase a home in The Hamptons or in the Vancouver suburbs, the title or warranty deed should ensure the property is unencumbered by a mortgage or tax lien. When acquiring gold, silver or platinum, you need documentation to prove you own the bullion and can take physical possession if desired. Without proper paperwork, you might not own the car, the mansion or the metal.
Do You Own Your Gold? | Nick BarisheffGold bars. Gold in the form of bullion.

While most people know the importance of owning an automobile or real estate outright, investors too often fail to obtain legal title to their precious metal holdings. This is an enormous and fundamental mistake. If you stash a handful of gold bars and silver coins in a home safe, you’re adequately covered, particularly if your bullion is insured with a rider to your homeowner’s policy. Possession, as it’s been said, is 9/10ths of the law. However, if your precious metals stack has outgrown your secret cellar vault, you’ll probably take the risks of self-storage into account and delegate someone else to store your bullion. In that case, it’s imperative to do your due diligence, making sure you have legal ownership of your wealth preservation stockpile.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 25, 2020

Three Unstoppable Forces Set to Drive Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

The threat of economically crippling lockdowns, the promise of unending monetary stimulus, and the uncertainty of game-changing political outcomes – this is the “new normal” for investors.

The COVID pandemic won’t be eradicated anytime soon. And even when it finally is, the economic and social costs will continue to be borne for years to come.

In such an environment, all conventional asset classes carry heightened risk. Certain types of assets, though, may now be well positioned to shine.

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Commodities

Friday, October 23, 2020

Further Gold Price Pressure as the USDX Is About to Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold, mining stocks, and the USD Index have not been doing much recently. However, yesterday, this “inactivity” took quite a decisive shape, and unfortunately, things are not looking good for gold.

As you are all aware, gold tends to move conversely to the USD Index. Therefore, it’s useful to focus on the latter for signs that would influence the former. So, what does the current USDX outlook look like?

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Commodities

Thursday, October 22, 2020

Silver Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Richard_Mills

Despite recent headwinds, it looks to be clear sailing going forward for silver, according to recent forecasts from three financial services firms. 

“A higher gold price, along with the ongoing recovery in industrial demand, particularly from China, means that the price of silver is likely to rise in the year ahead,” Capital Economics said in a report published on Sept. 30.

“All in all, a market deficit in conjunction with a higher gold price should lift the price of silver to $25 and $27 per ounce by end-2020 and end-2021, respectively,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote. He added, 

“Demand for non-interest bearing safe-haven assets, such as gold and silver, should rise as real yields in the U.S. drift a little lower. We forecast that the US ten-year nominal yield will fall to 0.50%, from 0.70% currently, by the end of this year and that it will remain at this level in 2021. The Fed has already stated that it will keep policy ultra-loose until at least 2023 and allow inflation to overshoot its target.”

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Commodities

Thursday, October 22, 2020

Goldman Sachs Likes Silver; Trump Wants Even More Stimulus / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver markets slumped this week as stimulus talks faltered again in Washington.

Even though the White House upped its offer to $1.8 trillion, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi refused it – not wanting to give President Trump any kind of political victory ahead of the election.

Meanwhile, the President continues to campaign for stimulus. He is bucking Senate Republicans by offering to go even higher than $1.8 trillion.

Here’s what President Trump told Stuart Varney of Fox Business on Thursday:

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 21, 2020

Are We Entering Stagflation That Will Boost Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Inflation is back. OK, not inflation, but inflation expectations. As the chart below shows, they plunged during the coronavirus crisis, but they have already recovered. Currently, and based on the inflation-protected Treasury yields, Mr. Market expects that inflation will be, on average, 1.5 percent in the next five years and 1.7 percent in the next ten years.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Gold Price Trend Forecast into 2021, Is Intel Dying?, Can Trump Win 2020? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold price traded to a new all time high to well beyond the $2000 milestone after having held in a trading range at just below $1800 for most of the post corona crash bounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Gold Asks Where Is The Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The inflation remains low and below the Fed’s target. So, should gold bulls worry about it?

The U.S. CPI inflation rate rose by 0.2 percent in September , following a 0.4 percent increase in August. It was the smallest jump since May. The move was driven by a 6.7- percent spike in the cost of used cars and trucks, and it’s the most significant upward change over half a century. The core CPI rose 0.2 percent, following a 0.4 percent increase in the preceding month.

On an annual basis, the overall CPI increased 1.4 percent (seasonally adjusted), following a 1.3 percent increase in August. The core CPI rose 1.7 percent, much like in the month prior (or a bit less if we abstract from rounding). Therefore, as the chart below shows, the period of disinflation perhaps ended, but the inflation remains low. It seems that even though the inflation rate has reached the bottom in May or June, the outbreak of high inflation in the near future is unlikely.
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