Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 15, 2008
What the Government Should Do About the US Housing Bust / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: I told you it was coming. And there it was yesterday — summarized perfectly in the second headline of the Wall Street Journal's website: “Worried Bankers Seek to Shift Risk to Uncle Sam.”
The gist of the story?
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Thursday, February 14, 2008
Sell Your Real Estate Immediately! - Asset Price Deflation Crash! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Steve_Moyer
"I always felt very secure and very safe with real estate. Real estate always appreciates." ~ Ivana Trump
Before we begin our next hair-raiser, I notice a lot of people scratching their heads as global stock markets decline in the face of a "strong global economy." What you are seeing is the "pricing in" of approximately $2 trillion of lost homeowner equity in the U.S. (soon to be $3 trillion, then $4 trillion and so on). And it's only a matter of time before that equity squeeze wreaks havoc across the economic board and takes down the stock market and commodities, too. Picture a five year old trying to beat back an elephant with a Wiffle bat -- eventually that will be the metaphor for a declining global economy trying to chase from the living room the growing, immovable force that is asset deflation.
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Tuesday, February 12, 2008
US Housing Indexes Bounce From Key Support, Bottom of the Housing Bust? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Donald_W_Dony
After 30 months of plunging lower, several leading indicators of the U.S housing sector have finally found a narrow ledge to support their falling prices. Now the most important question is; can these past support levels be broad enough to hold the frail U.S. housing market indexes or is this just a short-term stop on the way down? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 08, 2008
UK House Prices on Target for 15% Fall Despite Interest Rate Cuts / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK House prices fell by £4,000 (2.1%) in January 2008 (Halifax), the average price falling to £191,275, down £9,806 (4.8%) from the August 2007 peak of £201,081. The Market Oracle forecast as of August 2007 is for a fall in average house prices of 15% over two years to August 2009. UK interest rates were cut yesterday by a further 0.25% taking interest rates down by 0.5% from its peak of 5.75% (Forecast December 2006), the cuts to date and further anticipated cuts during 2008 are being mistakenly taken by many market commentators, economists and large mortgage banks such as the Halifax to imply that UK House price inflation will be neutral during 2008. Therefore this article illustrates why house price inflation will start going negative by April 2008. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
US Housing Bust Heading for the Perfect Storm / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mark_B_Rasmussen
The following data on the Housing Depression in the City of Reno illustrates that the Peak was 30 – 31 months ago. The historical peak to trough real estate value is 46 months. Then again, the recent past has exceeded anything in history by several orders of magnitude.
For washoe county, there were 69 bank flreclosures for the entire year 2006, 100 for december 2007 and 204 for january 2008.
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Monday, February 04, 2008
Bursting the UK House Price Bubble - BBC1 at 8.30pm Today / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: BBC
Mortgage lenders have called for tighter rules to stop possible mortgage fraud involving the sale of newly built city-centre flats.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 31, 2008
US Homebuilders Stocks Bullish Pattern Developing / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let's have a look at the near term pattern development in the XHB (Homebuilders ETF), which is being led by components PHM, HOV, DRI, HD, KBH... all of which have very dynamic chart formation after an entire year (or more) of relentless weakness.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 31, 2008
US Housing Market's a Mess, But Don't Fight the Fed's Determination to Re-flate Asset Prices / Housing-Market / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
It has been two years since the bursting of the housing bubble began, but we can still hear a plethora of lunacy spewed from market pundits regarding the future of this key part of the economy. After hearing that home prices would never decline, we now hear that real estate is a very small part of our economy. Last week, Mike Norman, of the Economic Contrarian Update, was part of a panel debating the future of the economy and housing and he said that inventory of unsold homes would soon fall dramatically.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 31, 2008
UK House Prices Fall - Buy to Let Now an Unsatisfactory Investment / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nationwide
- House prices fell by a modest 0.1% in January, the third consecutive monthly decline
- The annual rate of house price inflation edged down from 4.8% to 4.2%
- Housing market conditions have loosened further, but there are tentative signs that demand may have bottomed out
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
UK Housing Bear Market Confirmed / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK house prices slumped in the quarter to December 07, with London leading the way as momentum gathers towards the 2 year forecast for an average decline of 15% by August 2009. The mortgage banking sector is only just beginning to feel the impact of the housing slump as the number of foreclosures (repossessions) is expected to surge to a record busting 80,000 for 2008 from 40,000 last year. Northern Rock was the first to go bust, other banks will follow. But in the meantime watch out for other mortgage lenders, especially those exposed to the buy to let sector such as Paragon to be pushed towards bankruptcy, down 90% from its highs. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 28, 2008
US Homebuilders (XHB) ETF Rally Set to Resume / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let's take a look at the developing pattern in the Homebuilders ETF (AMEX: XHB), as some of its components, like PHM, DHI, NVR, RYL, HD exhibit charts with meaningful upside technical potential.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 18, 2008
Chinese Housing Market Still Booming / Housing-Market / China Stocks
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: You know all about the idiocy of the subprime mortgage insanity ... the popping of the U.S. real estate bubble ... and the billions in write-downs from financial institutions.
But today I want to tell you about a real estate boom that's still underway, and is likely to continue for years, even decades. I'm also going to tell you about a company that's well positioned to mint money in the process.
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Tuesday, January 08, 2008
US Housing Market and Recession 2008: Robert Shiller Gets It Wrong / Housing-Market / Recession
By: Gerard_Jackson
There is much confusion and wishful thinking about the direction of the US economy. Supply-siders are claiming that forcing the fed funds rate below the ten-year Treasury rate will stimulate economic. (Meantime, Democrats are wishing for a recession in the belief it would guarantee them Congress and the White House).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 07, 2008
US Real Estate's Deflationary Collapse: Beware the Falling Knife! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Steve_Moyer
"Dear Steve,
I want to thank you for your takes on the economy and for telling me what was going to happen. It got me started listening and reading and that has made a big difference in what I invested in. While a lot of people are in shock about what is happening, I see it unfolding just as you said and I have been careful about my investments. Not only that, it's happening pretty much as you said it would.
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Monday, January 07, 2008
US Housing Market Forecast 2008 / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_Housing_Bubble
Firstly, Dr. Housing Bubble 1 Million Visitors! 200th Housing Post. If you were to ask me in September of 2006 if I would still be blogging, the answer would have been no. From multiple estimates, there are approximately 50 million to 70 million blogs out there. It seems like there is a bubble in blogs! Many blogs do not survive past a few months because it does take commitment and a solid readership.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 03, 2008
Fed Won't Save the US Housing Market 2008 / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Michael_Pento
Investors are anticipating that the Fed will continue its easy money policy into 2008, which is expected to relieve credit markets. As a result, the 10-year Treasury note yield has fallen to 4.02% from a high of 5.25% reached in the summer of last year. And as evidence that the fear among banks is easing, LIBOR spreads have narrowed-- although it is still well above the historical average as well as the lows seen in July of 2007. Many now believe that the Fed, in conjunction with foreign central banks, will rescue the consumer and allow the U.S. to avoid a recession.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2007
UK Housing Market Movers and Shakers of 2007 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nationwide
• Almost one third of Nationwide’s survey of 30 towns and cities saw double-digit house price growth in 2007 • St Albans remains the most expensive town in the UK with an average house price of almost £350,000 • Belfast saw the fastest rate of house price growth in the UK – house prices rose by £200 a dayRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2007
UK House Prices Fall by 0.5% During December / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nationwide
- House prices fell by 0.5% in December, the second consecutive monthly decline
- The average price of a UK property is £8,334 higher than a year ago
- Rate cuts will help but are unlikely to re-ignite the housing market as in 2005
Thursday, December 27, 2007
Falling US Home Prices and Frozen Interest Rates / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Peter_Schiff
The Bush administration's mortgage rescue plan will worsen, not alleviate, the problems in the housing market.
We are suffering from a home value crisis, not simply a credit crisis. If home prices were still rising, defaults would be low, investment returns would be high, borrowers would still be cashing out equity, and lenders would be showering credit on home buyers.
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Friday, December 21, 2007
UK Commercial Properties Crash Looms as Property Investment Fund Frozen / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's fourth biggest insurer, Friends Provident froze its Property Fund on Thursday, thereby denying over 110,000 investors the ability to liquidate their investments. The property fund has an estimated value of more than £1.2 billion or $2.5 billions. The insurance company stated that investors will not be able to gain access to their funds for a period of six months due to a sharp fall in its cash reserves as investors took fright from the collapsing UK housing market, both residential and commercial.Read full article... Read full article...