Category: US Bonds
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, September 06, 2009
China is Now a Net SELLER of U.S. Treasury Notes and Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
We told you this was coming. Heck: A blind man could have seen it a mile away.
For many months now, we’ve predicted that Washington’s wild spending and borrowing spree would make the global investors who buy our longer-term Treasuries — notes and bonds — as nervous as long-tailed cats in a room full of rocking chairs.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Rising U.S. Treasuries Foretell Lower Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
While gold prices attempt to break out to the upside, the bond market continues to climb as well. Let's take a look at the pattern developing in the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT).
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Monday, August 31, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Lower, Despite Supportive Fundementals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The bond market moved up last week as yields dropped across the curve. In spite of stronger than expected economic data, another auction cycle and a rock solid stock market, bonds spent most of the week in positive territory and managed to hold on to their gains better than the previous week.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Long Term U.S. Treasury Yields, Someone Is Going To Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
For over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it was my expectation that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond would rise once there was a monthly close above a yield of 3.342%. This occurred at the end of May, 2009.
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Monday, August 24, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Kept Positive by Friendly Inflation Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The bond market ended flat after spending most of the time trying to move up last week. Friendly inflation data and a confirmation of solid international demand kept the market in positive territory for most of the week.
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Saturday, August 22, 2009
Even Warren Buffett Is Now Saying U.S. Treasury Bonds Could Crack! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Mike Larson writes: I’ve made no secret about my view on U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar …
I’ve minced no words, and cut no corners …
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Monday, August 17, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Yields, Where to From Here? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Last week's treasury rally was the biggest in eight months notes Bloomberg in Treasuries Rise Amid Flat Consumer Prices, Declining Confidence.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Positive Seasonal Influences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The bond market bounced back last week. We went through another 3-10-30 year auction cycle, but the restless natives did not even wait for the auctions to be out of the way as the bond started its move up first thing on Monday. Needless to say the supply was well received. Not only was the bidding substantial and aggressive, but also the closely watched “International Buyers” showed up in force again. They took over 50% of all the bonds auctioned and were especially aggressive in buying the 30 year tranche on Thursday.
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Friday, August 14, 2009
Moment of Truth for U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The moment of truth for the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT). If current strength continues to propel prices into and ABOVE a key near-term resistance plateau between 94.15 and 94.85, then prices should explode even more rapidly towards 97 thereafter (and I will be forced to chase the long side).
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Treasury Bond Holders Receive a Pasting, Though Seasonal Influences Remain Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The bond market got pasted last week. While the trend in bonds has been sideways, it is noticeable that there has been a fairly predictable cycle within the course of each month related to the Treasury auction calendar. The first week of the month has the announcement for the long auction cycle consisting of 3-10-30 year auctions to be conducted during the second week.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Expected to Surprise to the Upside / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The bond market traded sideways in July. This is remarkable in light of the events that have transpired last month in the financial markets. The risk trade remained in vogue for another month as stocks, commodities and peripheral currencies powered ahead. Chinese equities have almost doubled from their lows and they have led the charge in emerging market equities. Market participants however fully realize that efforts to re-flate prices only have a chance in a steady to declining interest rate environment.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Foreign Investment Flows into U.S. Treasuries and Money Printing Consequences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Obama and Company say... All We Need Is A Little Help From Our Foreign Friends
Oh I get by with a little help from my friends
Mm going to try with a little help from my friends
Oh I get high with a little help from my friends
Yes I get by with a little help from my friends
With a little help from my friends
Refrain to The Beatles “With a Little Help from My Friends”
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The bond, TLT, TBT charts and technicals are urging me to get short the long end of the yield curve...looking for longer term rates to climb in the days ahead. My near-term work in the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year T-Bond ETF (NYSE: TBT) argues that the upmove off of the July lows at 48.01/05 exhibits very bullish form, in the aftermath of the completion of a major correction from the 6/10 high at 59.97 into the July lows.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
US Treasury Bonds Still Heading Lower / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
In our last update for the US Treasury Bonds (click here to view), we could observe a downward reversal in Treasury bonds. This downtrend has gained momentum during the last days, especially in the 30 year US Treasuries. The following chart was send to subscribers on July 15th:
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Wednesday, July 15, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Bear is Back / InvestorEducation / US Bonds
In our last update for the US Treasury Bonds (click here to view), one could observe a strong uptrend in prices.
This picture has changed during the last two days as prices have come down significantly, and important price levels have been penetrated to the downside. The line of least resistance has turned to the downside for now.
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Friday, July 10, 2009
US Treasury Bonds Retracement, But Still Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Desperate bond bears got their retracement in the 30 year treasury bond yesterday, as it gave back some of the huge gains of the last days. However, this does not change the bullish picture that can be observed when looking at the short and intermediate term charts.
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Friday, July 10, 2009
How to Earn 18% Interest From the Government / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes:
Here in Florida, counties are desperate for money...
Where I live on the Florida Coast, the main source of county government revenue is property taxes. The problem is, more people than ever are not paying their property taxes.
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
California Bankrupt, If You Live in California, Here's What You Do... / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Would you lend money to someone who is completely broke and in a mountain of debt... and only demand 3.75% interest?
That's what California is forcing many people to do today.
Monday, July 06, 2009
Monster U.S. Treasury Bond Supply, a Game Changing Event? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
For the US Treasury bond market it’s time for some reflection. What we have in front of us could be “game-changing.” This, from a June 7 Bloomberg essay entitled, Treasury’s Summer Rally Not This Year Due to Supply:
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Treasury Bonds, Not the Time to Become a Bear (yet) / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Despite all hyper-inflation scenarios that can be read about in almost every financial newspaper and market commentary nowadays, the 30 year Treasury Bond (ZB September 09) has been in a steady uptrend for quite a while now, advancing from a low of 111'215 on 6/11/09 to a high of 119'095 this past week.
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