Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, March 19, 2019
The Coming Stocks Bear Market Will Be Especially Painful for the Boomers / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
My back-of-the-napkin math says retirement accounts are at least 50% invested in equity index funds.
Some of you are now asking, “What’s the problem? All those index funds have come back. Everybody is back to where they started.”
Not so fast, Jack.
Friday, January 04, 2019
What to do With Your Money in a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Stephen_McBride
“Sell everything, I can’t take anymore!”
My stockbroker friend got a phone call from a hysterical client on Christmas Eve.
She was panicking over all the money she had lost in the market… and was demanding to sell her whole portfolio of stocks.
December, as you surely know, was horrendous for U.S. markets.
The S&P fell 10% for its worst December since 1931 during the Great Depression.
In fact, it was the S&P’s worst month overall since February 2009.
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Sunday, May 13, 2018
Stocks Bear Markets Don’t Start when Real Interest Rates are this Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Troy_Bombardia
The biggest fear among bearish investors is that “the Fed hiking interest rates will kill the economy and stock market”. But here’s the mistake they’re making.
Interest rates don’t matter. REAL (inflation-adjusted) interest rates are what matters. Real interest rates are still low right now.
This chart demonstrates the real, inflation-adjusted 10 year yield. It subtracts year-over-year Core CPI growth from the 10 year Treasury yield.
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Friday, May 04, 2018
One Sure Stocks Bear Market Sign / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Investors should always be on the alert for a bear market. Wouldn’t it be great if there was a clear sign that a bear market was forming? Well, in my opinion, there is.
I call it the formation of a Dikembe Mutombo Line. In our nanny-state, government manipulated, anti-capitalism, totally corrupted, illusion of wealth pseudo economy, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is the ultimate shiny object of hypnotism. The average person on the street has no idea whatsoever how they are being punked every single day.
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: F_F_Wiley
Even as the Fed’s decision makers are beginning to worry less about recession and more about bubbly stock prices, we’re not yet moved by their attempts to curb the market’s enthusiasm. After all, the fed funds rate sits barely above 1%, which not too long ago qualified as a five-decade low. And other indicators, besides interest rates, aren’t exactly predicting the next bear, either. Inflation is subdued, credit spreads are tight, banks are mostly lending freely and the economy is growing, albeit slowly. It just doesn’t feel as though we’re close to a major market peak.
All that being said, we’re not so much about feelings as we are about delving into history (nerds that we are) and seeing if there’s anything we can learn. Let’s look at the last 90 years to see if any bear markets began under similar conditions to those today.
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Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Stocks Bear Market Is One Step Closer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: N/A.
Friday, December 30, 2016
Major Stocks Bear Market Still Looms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets spectacularly defied the odds in 2016, soaring after both the UK’s Brexit vote and US presidential election. Both actual outcomes were universally feared as very bearish for stocks before the events. These contrary stock rallies have left traders feeling euphoric, convinced stock markets are impregnable. But with stock valuations hitting bubble levels in an exceedingly-old bull, a major bear still looms.
Sunday, December 25, 2016
6 Charts That Show We Are in a Long-Term Stocks Secular Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
As I look out over the coming years, I am convinced that we’ll see the blowing up of the biggest bubbles in history—including those of government debt and government promises. And it’s not just in the US, but all over the world.
That will lead to an eventual global crisis of biblical proportions. Although, it isn’t clear what the immediate cause of the crisis will be.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Three Ways Traders Can Spot a Stocks Bear Market Before it Bites / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Nicholas_Kitonyi
A bear market is a disheartening market scenario for most traders and investors because it connotes a season of losses. A bear market is technically defined as a market condition in which securities decline 20% or more from their previous highs. A bear market is more troubling than a market correction because a correction refers to a 10% decline from previous highs. In fact, a correction is more like peeping into bear territory while a bear market can be likened to living inside a bear territory.
Thursday, June 02, 2016
Stock Market Elliott Wave Count, Economic Cycle and Equities Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As you know a picture is worth 1000 words so consider this short yet detailed post a juicy 2000+ word report on the current state of the stock market and economic cycle.
The charts below I think will help you see where the US stock market and economic cycles appear to be.
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Thursday, May 26, 2016
Is There A Stocks Bear Market in Progress? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The SPX topped out one year ago, on May 20th, 2015 at 2134.72. One year has gone by in the SPX and has still not made a new high. It could be many years before we breach that high!
The SPX chart below indicates why it is not making any new highs and why a trend change is due any day, now!
From the lows of 2009, the SPX has risen in a parallel channel while never breaking/closing below it with the exception of the beginning of this year at which time it broke down the channel and then closed below it. However, it has since recovered, as indicated in the chart below, however, it is facing significant overhead resistance in the 2110 levels.
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Monday, April 04, 2016
Stocks Russell 2000 Index Completes Significant Stocks Bear Market Signal / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Dr_David_J_Harris
This article presents an analysis of the Russell 2000 index which is a US small-cap stock market index covering the bottom 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 index.
- The US Russell 2000 stock market index was commissioned in 1984 and has been in use for 32 years, along with the Russell 1000 index and the Russell 3000 index.
- Recently, at the end of Q1 2016, the Russell 2000 index completed a key bear market signal.
- Throughout the 32 years of the Russell 2000 index, this bear market signal has only been recorded once previously, and that was in early 2008 at the start of the previous major downturn often called the Great Recession.
- Price projection calculations indicate that the Russell 2000 has much further to fall, perhaps leading the major large cap US indexes down.
- There is some evidence to suggest that this downturn of the Russell 2000 may continue for a further 12 to 24 months before reaching a final bottom.
Tuesday, March 08, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally End It’s Close… very close / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ed_Carlson
The biggest rallies occur in bear markets and equities have had an impressive run after leaving behind a double-bottom in January and February - but the “end is near”. In election years, March is a seasonally strong month for equities but this year, the March rally got started early in the first half of February. Several signs point to a top either last Friday or sometime this week.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Stocks Bear Market to Begin in Earnest / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: Our forecast algorithm is currently predicting a global stock market rout to begin in earnest over the next few weeks and months, below is our monthly forecast for the S&P 500 which we believe is about to enter a correction lasting until early 2017.
Sunday, February 28, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Nearing its Peak / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 1918. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 1947. After that it pulled back, aided by two gap down openings, to SPX 1891 by Wednesday. Then helped by two gap up openings the market rallied to SPX 1963 by Friday, and ended the week at 1948. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.55%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.80%, and the DJ World index gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were neutral. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, durable goods, the FHFA, personal income/spending, the PCE, and existing home sales. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence/sentiment, new home sales, the WLEI, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims increased. Next week’s reports are highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the ISM’s and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week!
Saturday, February 27, 2016
Learn Why 2015 Was a Key Transition Year for Stocks, Early Stages of Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Steve Hochberg explains why he thinks we're in the early stages of a bear market
Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
An eventful holiday shortened week. The market started the week on Tuesday at SPX 1865. After gap up openings on Tuesday/Wednesday the SPX reached 1931. After that it pulled back to 1902 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.7%, NDX/NAZ gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index gained 3.8%. Economics reports for the week were again biased negative. On the uptick: the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: NY/Philly FED, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators and the WLEI. Next week we get the second estimate to Q4 GDP, the PCE, and more housing reports.
Saturday, February 13, 2016
Potential Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week! The market started the week at SPX 1880. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1828, but reversed course in the afternoon. By Wednesday it turned slightly positive for the week when hitting SPX 1882. Thursday, however, started off with a gap down opening as the market hit a new downtrend low at SPX 1810. By late Thursday into Friday the market was rallying back up again, and ended the week at SPX 1865. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%, and the DJ World index was -2.70%. Economic reports for the week were biased negatively again. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, GNP, plus the budget and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, investor sentiment and the WLEI. Next week, after a Monday holiday, we get reports on Industrial production, FOMC minutes, the Housing market and it’s Options expiration.
Saturday, February 06, 2016
The Stocks Bear Is At The Door, Part 1: Momentum Stocks Getting Crushed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Rubino
One of the common transitions that bull markets go through as they age and die is a narrowing of leadership. As formerly strong sectors begin to stall out, investors shift into whatever is still looking good — that is, whatever still has upward momentum. Eventually capital becomes concentrated in just a few names. Then those stocks roll over and the game ends.
This time around Big Tech was the final category of momentum play, and it ended up attracting astounding amounts of money from both the usual suspects like hedge funds and some new suckers like the Central Bank of Switzerland, now a major holder of Apple shares.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Dent
Oil can’t seem to get a break. After falling just below $27 last week, oil finally rallied back to $32 before falling back to just under $31 on Tuesday. An oversold bounce was naturally due, with perhaps a bit more to come. But the oil market’s doing exactly what I said it would – cratering!Meanwhile, in la-la land, stocks have been so focused on the decline in oil prices that they just ignored the other big trigger for a stock decline.
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