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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stocks Bear Market

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 11, 2022

Severe Stocks Bear Market: Will You Be Among the Prepared 1.5%? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

"Oftentimes, rallies will end with an inter-index non-confirmation"

A long-long time ago in a galaxy far away... errr, on the heels of the year 2000 dot-com crash, to be exact -- which is ancient history for many investors today -- the February 2003 Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which has covered financial markets and major cultural trends since 1979, published an interview with Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter.

Prechter was asked if he was surprised by investors' lack of capitulation since the bear market started in 2000.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 09, 2022

How to Prepare for a Hard-Hitting Stocks Bear Market (Think 1929-1932) / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

This metric of bullishness is higher than it was at the top of the dot-com mania

An important step in preparing for a historic bear market is to embrace cash or cash equivalents.

This may seem obvious, but even with the stock market in a downtrend, cash is shunned by many an investor -- retail and professional. Many of these investors believe the bull market will resume -- sooner rather than later.

As the May Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which analyzes financial markets and major cultural trends, noted:

The percentage of assets dedicated to equities in American Association of Individual Investors members' portfolios remains near a bullish extreme. ... They think a "correction" is in force but not a bear market.

So, AAII members have been holding more stocks than cash.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 15, 2022

State of the Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stocks put in a bottom of sorts Friday, but this is NOT THE Bottom where my existing view is to expect a Dow bottom during August at an approx level at 29,600, which is pending my next in-depth analysis. So 32,200 puts the Dow about 9% away from a probable bottom that would result in a 25% peak to trough bear market so we are about 2/3rds the way through this bear market in terms of price.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 02, 2022

Stocks Bear Market Bubble Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: The_Gold_Report

As month five of this bear market comes to an end, expert Michael Ballanger goes over some bear market stories that left him with battle scars and provides some insight on what to expect in the months ahead.

Month five of the Great 2022-202? Bear Market is almost complete so I thought you all might wish to hear a few “war stories” from past bear markets, some of which I endured while none of which I even vaguely enjoyed. First, I offer the MJB “primer”…

“The key to long-term profits on Wall Street is not making big killings; it’s not getting killed.”
—Daniel Turov

At the bottom of bear markets (or at the start of bull markets), stocks are like moored boats at low tide, resting on the sand desperately in need of the resurgent surf.

As markets turn, it is analogous to the tide roaring in and when it does, it lifts all boats, big and small, and it doesn’t care whether a vessel is leaking or whether it is tight. Warren Buffett coined a phrase that perfectly describes how bear markets expose flawed business models in heavily-pumped companies when he said, “Bear markets are like the tide going out; you soon learn who is swimming without trunks.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 09, 2022

The Stocks Stealth BEAR Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

The stock market continues to trend in line with my expectations for an mid April higher low that I am sure will be accompanied by maximum fears of a CRASH to NEW bear market lows, which without any road map would be ones natural instincts to expect, i.e. most market commentators tend to be bullish AFTER stocks have gone up and BEARISH AFTER stocks have fallen. Instead with a road map, I am not seeing any reason to not continue to expect stocks to bottom and then rally strongly into May and thus I wll continue accumulating target stocks as and when opportunities arise over the coming week whilst most will kick the can down the road out of fear of new lows.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 14, 2022

What a Brutal Bear Market Brings Besides Crashing Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

"When social mood is negative, rallies, marches and protests become common events"

Sure, it's highly important to get out of value-losing risk assets before the onset of a big bear market.

No analytical method offers a guarantee; however, our experience shows that if you follow the message of the Elliott wave model, you'll have a good chance of protecting your wealth during the next financial downturn.

Having said that, there's more to a severe bear market than collapsing investment prices. Keep in mind that the shift from a positive to a negative social mood -- which brings on a financial bear market -- also brings on an array of societal problems.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: OMG - It's A Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Avi_Gilburt

This week, I am going to give you a two-for-one in this update. I am going to provide an update to my last TLT article, as well as a quick update to my market perspective.

But, first, I want to provide you some quotes that I have seen over the past week from just within the comment section of my last article:

“Recession fears, and stagflation fears are building”

“it looks like market has unlimited supply of sellers”

“This could be just the beginning of a 2000-2002 period (growth stock "reset"). 2200-3400 is absolutely possible. In fact, 3400 is highly probable.”

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 29, 2022

M&As: Beware of This Major Sign of a Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Here's what often precedes "prolonged and devastating bear markets"

Inside the three publications that comprise Elliott Wave International's flagship Financial Forecast Service, Elliott Wave International recently documented the many expressions of "financial optimism." Things like crypto mania. Or meme stocks. Or just buying any stocks, all stocks, no matter if the companies that issued them are making money, losing it, or have yet to turn a profit.

And it's more than just the individual investors who are caught up in it. Among the other behaviors this widespread financial optimism leads to are corporate mergers and acquisitions.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 26, 2022

Is Everyone Going To Be Right About This Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Avi_Gilburt

If I'm reading all these articles properly, it seems that we're approaching the end of the world as we know it. In fact, I'm reading expectations of 40%, 50% and even 80% market declines. While I did not receive my invitation to this party, it seems that almost everyone else has and they have chosen to attend.

But, is that how the market works?

When the market was hovering in the 4800SPX region, I reiterated to the members of ElliottWaveTrader.net my expectation that we will likely revisit the 4400SPX region before the market begins its next major rally phase. In fact, I even warned them that the certainty that a new bear market has begun will likely be ubiquitous by the time we strike 4400SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 27, 2020

Why Stocks Bear Market Rallies Are So Tricky / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Many stock market investors believe that prices have already bottomed. Numerous banks, brokers and financial firms have issued statements saying as much.

Indeed, the May Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which has offered analysis of financial and social trends since 1979, noted:

On April 28, Bloomberg interviewed four money managers to answer the question of "Where to Invest $1 Million Right Now." Cash was not mentioned.

All these professional financial observers might be right in their assessment that the bottom is in for stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Rick Rule: 'A Different Phrase for Stocks Bear Market Is Sale' / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: The_Gold_Report

Maurice Jackson: Today, we will find out if there is a crisis response for your investment portfolio. Joining us for a conversation is legendary investor Rick Rule of Sprott USA.

Rick Rule: Maurice, thank you so much for having me on. These are really interesting times, and it's fun to address your audience in times like these.

Maurice Jackson: Sir, it is an absolute privilege to have you on our program during these extreme global market conditions. Speculators want to find out what you're doing as a crisis response and what actions they may take on their portfolio under these current market conditions. From your perspective as one of the most highly regarded credit analysts in the world, was this financial collapse inevitable?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 16, 2020

This Will Signal the Stocks Bear Market's Halfway Point / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

On March 12, the date the DJIA closed lower more than 2350 points, the U.S. chief equity strategist for a major financial firm appeared on Bloomberg after the market close and opined that "90% of the damage has been done."

He went on to affirm that if an investor's time horizon is longer than two weeks, then yes, the stock market plunge represents a good buying opportunity.

Well, if that's the sentiment after the DJIA had shed more than 28% (through March 12), then the downturn may have ways more to go than just another 10%. In other words, such financial confidence is usually not the prevailing sentiment near the end of a bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 15, 2020

Is This A Bear Market When Stocks Crash 20% and Bonds Spike 30% / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It is another blood bath in the markets with everything down, including TLT (bonds) and gold. Safe havens falling with stocks is not a good sign as people are not comfortable owning anything, even the safe havens, and this to me is a very bearish sign. 

Now, with that said, this is one day one of this type of price action and one day does not constitute a new trend or change the game, but if we start seeing more of this happen, we could be on the verge of the bear market we have all been expecting to show it ugly face.

The SP500 (SPY) is down 19.5% from the all-time high we saw just three weeks ago, and the general bias for most people is once the market is down 20% that is a new bear market. I can’t entirely agree with that general rule. Still, a lot of damage is happening to the charts. If price lingers down here or trades sideways for a few months I will see it as a new bear market consolidation before it heads lower, and we start what could be very deep market selloff and test 2100 on the SP500 index (SPY $210) for the next leg down looking forward several months.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 22, 2020

The Shanghai Composite and Coronavirus: A Revealing Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

China's Shanghai Composite has been in a large-scale downtrend for about 13 years.

So, when the news of the coronavirus outbreak hit, it came as less of a shock to Elliott Wave International's global analysts.

You may ask, "What in the world does one have to do with the other?"

Our just-published February Global Market Perspective provides insight:

When a major infectious disease breaks out, we find that a stock market correction has usually preceded it. That observation is germane right now because China's Shanghai Composite has been tracing out a large-degree correction since its peak in 2007 and, not coincidentally, China has experienced numerous outbreaks of highly lethal infectious diseases over the 13-years-and-counting period.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

The Coming Stocks Bear Market Will Be Especially Painful for the Boomers / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Mauldin

My back-of-the-napkin math says retirement accounts are at least 50% invested in equity index funds.

Some of you are now asking, “What’s the problem? All those index funds have come back. Everybody is back to where they started.”

Not so fast, Jack.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 04, 2019

What to do With Your Money in a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Stephen_McBride

“Sell everything, I can’t take anymore!”

My stockbroker friend got a phone call from a hysterical client on Christmas Eve.

She was panicking over all the money she had lost in the market… and was demanding to sell her whole portfolio of stocks.

December, as you surely know, was horrendous for U.S. markets.

The S&P fell 10% for its worst December since 1931 during the Great Depression.

In fact, it was the S&P’s worst month overall since February 2009.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Stocks Bear Markets Don’t Start when Real Interest Rates are this Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Troy_Bombardia

The biggest fear among bearish investors is that “the Fed hiking interest rates will kill the economy and stock market”. But here’s the mistake they’re making.

Interest rates don’t matter. REAL (inflation-adjusted) interest rates are what matters. Real interest rates are still low right now.

This chart demonstrates the real, inflation-adjusted 10 year yield. It subtracts year-over-year Core CPI growth from the 10 year Treasury yield.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 04, 2018

One Sure Stocks Bear Market Sign / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Investors should always be on the alert for a bear market. Wouldn’t it be great if there was a clear sign that a bear market was forming? Well, in my opinion, there is.

I call it the formation of a Dikembe Mutombo Line. In our nanny-state, government manipulated, anti-capitalism, totally corrupted, illusion of wealth pseudo economy, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is the ultimate shiny object of hypnotism. The average person on the street has no idea whatsoever how they are being punked every single day.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: F_F_Wiley

Even as the Fed’s decision makers are beginning to worry less about recession and more about bubbly stock prices, we’re not yet moved by their attempts to curb the market’s enthusiasm. After all, the fed funds rate sits barely above 1%, which not too long ago qualified as a five-decade low. And other indicators, besides interest rates, aren’t exactly predicting the next bear, either. Inflation is subdued, credit spreads are tight, banks are mostly lending freely and the economy is growing, albeit slowly. It just doesn’t feel as though we’re close to a major market peak.

All that being said, we’re not so much about feelings as we are about delving into history (nerds that we are) and seeing if there’s anything we can learn. Let’s look at the last 90 years to see if any bear markets began under similar conditions to those today.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 04, 2017

Stocks Bear Market Is One Step Closer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: N/A.

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