Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, February 19, 2009
Dow Jones Monthly Stock Chart Points to 4500 Crash / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Not much commentary is needed when viewing the monthly chart of the Dow. We only need an active imagination. All I will say here is that I have projections from this monthly chart to 6800-6500 and then to 4500. Since this is a monthly chart, however, we need to realize that the timeframe for such a move, and the volatility that could emerge between 8500 and 7500, add some definite challenges to capitalizing from such a move in trading the Dow Diamonds Trust (NYSE: DIA) or the ultra long or short Dow ETF instruments.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Killers / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Sean Brodrick writes: I'm very bullish on gold and silver. And at the same time, my target on the S&P 500 is 600 — a 24% drop from recent levels and 62% down from its October 2007 peak.
As far as the economy goes, I'm not looking for it to bottom before 2012 … if we're lucky. While the market could bottom before that, I'm not seeing the light at the end of the tunnel.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Stock Market Plunge as Bad as It Gets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The indices suffered a very negative session to start the week. The indices gapped down below short-term support, and experienced a narrow but volatile session, particularly late in the afternoon. Net-net it closed at the lows for the day going away on the S&P 500 and very close to it on the Dow. Only the Nasdaq 100 managed to close above the lows, but still suffered a very steep loss.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 15, 2009
Stock Markets Heading for Successful Retest of November Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The good news is: Everything is in place for a successful retest of the November lows.
Short Term I found no indicators that made a compelling case for a short term movement in either direction.
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Saturday, February 14, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bear Market and Government Intervention / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The weeks stock market trend was in one word WEAK, the preceding weeks strong close FAILED to have any follow through, the stock market FAILED to break above 8,400 let alone make it to resistance at 8,600, stocks turned lower to target the lower end of the trading range of between 8,400 and 7,800, including a BEARISH break below support, which triggered the Plunge Protection Team (PPT) into action to support the stock market and bring the selling to a halt, for the time being at least.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
U.S. Stock Markets Give Major Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Two things happened today that bear thinking about:
1. The US Stock market gave a sell signal which, in my view, was not a run-of-the-mill signal. There are too many people who are “hoping” for a bounce from these levels to give me the comfort that it will bounce.
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Thursday, February 12, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Bear Market Countertrend Rally Ending? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The pattern developing in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ) since the 11/21 low at 25.05 is a mess, which in and of itself indicates to me that it represents a countertrend rally within an as of yet incomplete larger downmove that should revisit and test the November low in the upcoming days/weeks. If such a scenario proves correct, then the 2/10 recovery high at 31.69 ended the entire countertrend recovery, and the subsequent decline into today's low at 29.64 represents the initial decline of a new downleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Stock Market Reversion to the Mean and the Risk of Ruin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Silver Bullet Band - Groping in the dark for the golden gun with silver bullets, should they get their hands on it- the Fed, Treasury, and the political bodies at large, may soon discover they have been on their knee's pleading to engage in a willfully ignorant round of Russian roulette with a fully loaded revolver.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Bearish Stock Market Base Building / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Investing in the financial markets requires the assessment of probabilities for both positive and negative outcomes. You should approach the market with neither a bullish nor a bearish bias. The S&P 500 has been holding up relatively well since the November 20, 2008 low. A sideways pattern in the markets is often referred to as a base. Wall Street, as a whole, is predisposed to view the markets with a significant bullish bias. Consequently, the S&P 500's recent basing pattern has been met with almost a universally positive reaction.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Stock Market Still In Bear Mode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Make no mistake about it, this is still a bear market. It has been quite some time since the market has experienced such a violent decline. Any dreams about the rally continuing were violently doused as the market did not appreciate the comments of Mr. Geithner.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Protect Your Stocks Portfolio From the ongoing Asset Value Destruction / Portfolio / Stocks Bear Market
Sharon Daniels writes: We are in the midst of an epic financial and economic CRISIS not seen in a generation…
This crisis has ALREADY resulted in an historic loss of wealth — with more than $13 TRILLION of our collective net worth now GONE !
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Monday, February 09, 2009
Stock Market to Fall AT LEAST Another 40%! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Weiss writes: With the U.S. economy now reeling from the fastest job collapse since the Great Depression …
With the Treasury Secretary ready to introduce yet another bank bailout plan this week …
And as we suffer through the uncontrollable bust of the largest-ever speculative bubble of all time …
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Sunday, February 08, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Gathers Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply
that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The lows appear to have been tested successfully. Bullish indications suggest another up-wave is starting. It needs to be confirmed by a further advance.
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Sunday, February 08, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bounce, Where Next? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stock Markets continued their strong rally on Friday from early week lows that had threatened to break below the recent tight trading range and target fresh bear market lows.
Where Next ?
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Saturday, February 07, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Non-Confirmation Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
On November 21, 2007 the primary trend, in accordance to classical Dow theory, was confirmed as bearish. To date, nothing has occurred to invalidate that setup. According to Dow theory, once the primary trend is established, that trend must be considered intact until it is “authoritatively” reversed, which in this case would require a joint move by the averages back above their previous secondary high points. Since that has yet to occur, the primary trend must still be considered bearish.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Will Run into 2012 Targeting S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The S&P had an impressive move up off the lows yesterday…however, as the Elliott Wave counts will suggest, market action subsequent to the bounce over the coming few days is important for validating either the bullish or bearish scenario.
The CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio Index is shown below, with the S&P 500 Index in the background and accompanying full stochastics shown below. For this chart, the %K rising above the %D indicates broad stock market weakness, while falling beneath the %D indicates broad stock market strength. At present, the %K is above the %D, indicating broad market weakness.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
How to Profit from the Global Recession Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Tony Sagami writes: Dozens of the world's leaders gathered in Davos, Switzerland for the World Economic Forum last week. The main topic was gloom … the spreading global recession … and whose fault it was.
Almost universally …
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Stock Market Trends February 2009: Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This is a free monthly newsletter on stock market trends to help you to learn to invest. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the market trends using the S&P 500.
To identify the stock market trend, it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
New Upleg for UltraShort SPY? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
My extreme near-term work is starting to give me very preliminary indications that the ProShares UltraShort SPY (SDS) has seen its worst levels of the session and that it is in the process of turning up after the conclusion of the decline from Monday's high at 84.27 into this morning's low at 76.16.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets Register Worst January Performance in History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
We've seen this movie before and unfortunately it doesn't end well. With the decline of over 8% for the month of January, the SP500 has cemented the worst January in the history of the index. Nothing like piling on! Economically speaking, the markets took their cue from the very poor reports. Although the GDP figure was better than expected, once the details were pulled apart, there really was nothing to get excited about going into the first quarter. Housing figures also indicated that there is no improvement in housing.Read full article... Read full article...