Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, March 20, 2009
Stock Market Dow 30 Components Collective Risk of Ruin Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
So goes the EMPIRE… With each small victory, we get a little bit closer to winning our country back - Until the last man stands, status central bankers alongside their political and corporate cohorts will defend their collective monopolies until fiat currencies reach one pip north of ZERO if need be. The sad fact remains that the majority of institutions and citizenry are eager to drink from the hyper-spiked cool-aid jug just so that they can “feel better” and have a better psychological outlook relative to the harsh reality of the collective insolvency dilemma imposed by their masters.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally at Cross Roads / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Even after the current "powerful rally", the S&P 500 is still down over 12% YTD , something to keep in mind if you feel we are missing something. All we have missed year-to-date is a 12% loss. Bear markets always give people a reason to stick around. Yesterday , we commented, ...rather than signaling the end of the bear market, the more probable outcome for the current rally in the S&P 500 is for it to fail somewhere between current levels and 806. This rally may have further to run, but Wednesday's high on the S&P 500 was 803.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Are We Near a Low in the Stock Decline? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Two Unique Charts Reveal the Answer - Robert Prechter, New York Times best-selling author and renowned market analyst, was recently asked to present his thoughts on the real estate market and the financial crisis to the Georgia Legislature. The following article has been adapted from the transcript. Elliott Wave International has made the full presentation available free , including the full transcript and 30-minute online video.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Stock Market Investing Buy and Hold vs. The Right Time to Buy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Many investors were taught that buy and hold is the best investing strategy. None other than Professor Jeremy Siegel author of Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns And Long Term Investment Strategies is a strong proponent of the buy and hold approach support this method. In a recent editorial in the Wall Street Journal, stating that stocks were cheap now and investors should buy. With the DJIA at lows not seen since 1997, it has been very tough for the buy and hold crowd. Could you have done better by timing your entries and exits?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Stock Market Volume Gives Shorts The Upper Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Rather than signaling the end of the bear market, the more probable outcome for the current rally in the S&P 500 is for it to fail somewhere between current levels and 806. Trading volume can help us understand market participants' collective desire to buy or sell a particular security or index. To formulate probable outcomes for the current rally in stocks, we will compare the S&P 500 long ETF (SPY) with the S&P 500 short ETF (SH). As we walk through this analysis, notice we are focusing on observable facts rather than forecasting what the future may hold. We assume we will get more of the same (lower lows in SPY/S&P 500 Index) until we see evidence to the contrary (higher highs, better volume, etc).
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Stock Market Will Not Bottom Without the Banking Index / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Some investors were excited last week with a nice market move on oversold conditions.
Is it real, or is it part of a market attempt to find a bottom?
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Stock Market P/E Ratios could fall to 5 Before the Market Hits Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Measured in terms of the price to earnings ratio (P/E), the US stock market looks good value. That's if you look at recent history and how the market was priced in previous recessions.At the market bottom in 2001, for example, the P/E ratio of the US S&P 500 index was around 20. In the 1990-1991 recession, that figure was around 15.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Has not Bottomed But Some Stocks Worth Buying / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The FTSE 100 rose sharply yesterday, buoyed up by increased optimism on the banking sector.
And quite a few high profile names have been saying it's time to buy. Anthony Bolton has been calling the bottom (though not for the first time), while famously bearish US fund manager Jeremy Grantham has become increasingly upbeat on stocks in recent months.
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Monday, March 16, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Favors Lower Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There is no shortage of forecasters who continue to call a bottom in stocks. As appealing as that may appear to the casual observer, the wise investor is aware of the inherent danger of listening to anyone's forecast for the financial markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
This is a Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It seems as all investors are from Missouri, the show-me state, inasmuch as they would like to embrace the latest run in stocks, they are leery that another break is just around the corner. Spurring stocks higher were commends from a variety of banks that they were profitable in the early months of the year (this does not include any nasty write-downs of toxic debt!). With a yield curve as steep as it is, it really should be of little surprise that “regular” banking is profitable – pay little for CDs and make loans at four percentage points more.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
The Grand Super-Cycle SPX Technical Conditions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Throw Mama From The Train – a funny and entertaining movie depending on who you are. But more so in terms of present circumstances in the stock market – a reflection of what we must live with right now as well. Mama was demeaning and aggravating in the movie, just like the market(s) in real life today. And unfortunately it's enough to make people throw their sensibilities away. In this respect everybody is so worried about missing a rally out of oversold conditions they keep gambling it's going to bounce, which does not allow for a sustainable squeeze higher. That's why stocks can't rally, because the trade is stubborn, complacent and bullish. This is of course a function of the spoiled brat mentality excessively good times for too long will foster. Thank you again, Mr. Greenspan.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Investment Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Weiss Writes: I've been waiting patiently for a short-term rally in the stock market to buy a new batch of bear market investments.
Now we have it.
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Monday, March 16, 2009
Stocks Bull-market Rally or Bear-market Fake? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
William Patalon III writes: It came right down to the wire, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day Friday with its first four-day rally since November, ending the week with a gain of 9.0%. And despite that robust performance, the Dow was the laggard among the three major U.S. stock indices. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index soared 10.6% while the broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index edged it with a weekly gain of 10.7%.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis - Stocks Bear Market Near Bottom? / News_Letter / Stocks Bear Market
March 8th , 2009 Issue #19 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Will the Stocks Bear Market Continue to Reign? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There were genuine signs of emerging optimism in stock markets last week. Confidence has been largely absent so far in 2009, with every attempted rallysquashed before it really had chance to get going. There is a growing sense that this time round things are different, and this belief will only grow further, if markets can survive the next week or so without dropping too far below last Thursday’s low. The next few weeks could be a real test. If markets are able to maintain these levels without giving up too much ground, then more buyers might come out of hiding and the recovery could gain momentum.
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Sunday, March 15, 2009
Global Stock Markets Short Covering Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Global stock markets surged over the past four days as investors adopted a more positive view of the prospects for the beleaguered financial sector and shrugged aside gloom about the economy. Citigroup (C) on Tuesday said it had turned a profit from operations for January and February (BUT did not mention credit losses, toxic paper, derivatives, etc.). JPMorgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) later made similar comments.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Oversold stocks soared last week, we now look in this video presentation as to where they are headed next.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Trading the Stocks Bear Market Wave 4 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
SCREW YOU MADOFF - Forget 12% a YEAR … How much is 30% per MONTH worth to you? - Casting aside 46% in open profits on our primary core positions with assurance contingency securing of a minimum 2009 return on the S&P 500 of 25%, what if we told you that on top of this, our Level-Three ancillary trading operations just booked another 30% return in the 9-February 13-March timeframe? Sounds too good to be true doesn't it.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2009
Stock Market Rallies and Rhymes: Prepare Yourself Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Mark Twain said, “History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.”
Right now, investors and traders are getting ready for it to rhyme again.
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Thursday, March 12, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Takes a Break as Dow Targets 8,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Wall Street breathes a temporary sigh of relief, rallying for three rare days in a row now. Capital infusion for banks, upbeat news from Citigroup of a profitable year-to-date and a General Electric credit rating cut that was less dramatic than previously anticipated have all contributed to a Dow poised to take advantage of all the money market funds sitting on the sidelines. Valuations are becoming more and more appealing to the average investor out there. The chops are indeed being licked…Read full article... Read full article...