Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, March 12, 2009
Stocks Bull Market of Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: For many investors, the last 12 months have felt like a cross between Dante's “ Ninth Circle of Hell ” and Mr. Toad's Wild Ride. Even so, after Tuesday's market action - which saw the Standard & Poor's 500 Index rebound from a 12-year low to gain 6.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average jump 5.8% - many investors are no doubt wondering if it's time to pile in.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Stock Markets Relief Rally or New Bull? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I said the following in my “ Words from the Wise ” post on Sunday: “At this juncture, short-term movements are almost impossible to predict, although the sell-off over the past few days - a capitulation in some respects - could nourish the long-awaited tradeable rally. Also, Lowry 's 90% down-days , like we experienced on Monday and Thursday, are often followed by two- to seven-day bounces.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally or Something More? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The stock market is on a tear this morning on the heels of a statement by CEO Pandit that Citigroup Has A Profit for the first two months of 2009. In a letter sent to employees Monday, Citi Chief Executive Vikram Pandit said the first-quarter performance so far has been the bank's best since the third quarter of 2007 -- the last time it recorded net income for a full period. Based on historical revenue and expense rates, Citi's projected earnings before taxes and one-time charges would be about $8.3 billion for the full quarter.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Toxic Cocktails and Series of Stock Market Crashes Outlook 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I must apologize for the delay in getting this missive out, but I am just now emerging from the fetal crouch I have been in as I have watched the events of the last two weeks unfold. My plan was to cover the commodity markets this week, but instead I am going to go into a fundamental analysis because the marketplace tells me to do so.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Stock Market Freefall, No Bottom in the Dow / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Weiss here with an urgent update before all hell breaks loose.
Washington is in disarray, its grandiose plans scrambled by events, its new legislation virtually dead on arrival.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Contracting Corporate Earnings Confirm Dow 5,000 Stocks Bear Market Target / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This week's writer of the Outside the Box is no stranger to long time readers. Michael Lewitt writes the HCM Market Letter and is one of my favorite writers and truly deep thinkers. He has recently decided to turn his letter into a subscription based model and is meeting with some success, as he should. So, sadly, he will no longer be a regular feature of OTB, but he did allow me to use the current letter, as I think it is one of his more provocative letters.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 09, 2009
Dow Stock Market Bottom or Dead Cat Bounce? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
According to my calculation the DJIA is currently selling for about 40% of its long-term equilibrium value. That doesn't mean that prices won't go down, but I don't think they will go down very much more; for a few reasons, not least that following the 1929 Crash prices bottomed (my calculation) at 39% of long-term equilibrium value.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 09, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Elliott Wave 4 Rally Due / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - We are probably within 2 or 3 weeks of starting a counter-trend move of intermediate nature. Technical signs are becoming very favorable in diverse areas of the market.
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Sunday, March 08, 2009
Stock Market Extreme Oversold Level Points to Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The good news is: The dollar is on a tear, closing at a 2 ½ year high Friday.
Short Term - In the past 6 months all of the major indices have fallen between 40% and 60%. This includes 3 brief, but impressive 20+% rallies following the 2 October lows and the November low.
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Sunday, March 08, 2009
The Worst Stocks Bear Market Since the Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
“Down, down, deeper and down”. So goes the chorus of a Status Quo song, but it is eerily starting to sound like the stock markets' anthem.
Another week and another plunge of equities on fears about the intensity of the global recession and renewed skepticism regarding the beleaguered financial sector. And, yet again, flight-to-safety trades such as the US dollar (at a three-year high) and government bonds took center stage.
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Sunday, March 08, 2009
Obama's Stocks Bear Market Takes A Breather / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The meltdown that began in February is nothing short of spectacular. Like a tornado, its ferocity and destruction is frightening, yet fascinating to watch. On Thursday, the S&P 500 had lost 20% since inauguration day, resulting in some calling this recent leg down “Obama's Bear Market.” To be fair, we have been in a bear market since October 2007. Whether this recent downtrend is the fault of the current administration is “above my pay grade.” What is not above my pay grade (or at least I think it's not) is analyzing the recent price action of the indexes.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis - Stocks Bear Market Near Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stock Markets fell to fresh bear market lows with the Dow Jones Index now fulfilling the original target for the bear market low of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below graph.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Stock Markets Post Crash Pattern Moving from A to B / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Are you scared yet? You should be because not many others are in spite of the growing carnage in the financial markets these days. This is set to change in a hurry however, where borrowing from the Kübler-Ross model on ‘death and dying', which is the same process investors are going through right now, if I am right about this, in getting from A to B, with A being denial and B anger, the stock market could do the unimaginable. You can see it already, the spoiled brats, with Obama in the lead, are starting to realize reality does actually bite, and that no matter how much one attempts to change it, nothing will make it go away.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Market Trends March 2009: Bear Market Targets S&P 600 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
To identify the stock market trend, it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
SPX Stocks Bear Market Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
With the S&P 500 slumping below its November panic low, it's been one tough week in the stock markets. The SPX was holding its own until the Marxist Party inexplicably decided to announce giant and aggressive tax hikes on American investors. So confidence, already very weak after the first true stock panic in 101 years , continued flagging on the Marxists' plans to steal ever more of the fruits of our labors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Markets Go Cliff Diving Again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It amazing what you can buy for a buck or two these days. The un-happy meal menu of stocks features Citibank at $1.02 and GM at $1.86 as the death spiral beckons. There are times when too much drink is simply not enough as the horror show continues unabated . Yesterday's laughable notion that the Chinese authorities are in control of events and would be able to turn their export driven economy around displayed the kind of naivety and misplaced optimism not seen since the Alamo. Where are they going to export to?Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
New Lows for the Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It was an extremely negative session and close for the market indices today. The day started out with a gap down, followed by an attempt to bounce early on. They rolled over and went lower all morning, backed and filled mid-day, rolled over in the afternoon again, made lower lows, and had a late sharp rally that just couldn't hold. That was followed by a drop to new lows for the entire move on the S&P 500 and Dow.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Forecasting the Anatomy of the Stocks Bear Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Financial forecasts, whether they are fundamentally or technically driven, are a combination of probabilities and assumptions. For example, when an analyst indicates that the earnings for a company are expected to increase during the next quarter and the business is now trading below its intrinsic value, he is suggesting that the probability of a number of issues should positively affect the near-term earnings outlook for this organization.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Stock Market Developing Positive Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Is there a "pent up demand" brewing of investors who want to become BUYERS?
We have talked a lot about divergences in the past week. Today, we will address a Positive Divergence coming from the New York Stock Exchange's daily "New Lows".
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Slows The Bleeding / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The bulls (and the shorts covering their positions) finally made a showing on Wall Street today. CNBC says that the reason for the bounce is that the Obama Administration announced its plan to provide relief to homeowners in distress as well as a stimulus plan being announced in China. That might not have hurt matters, but the real reason for the rally is that the market was extremely oversold. A positive day was bound to happen sooner rather than later.Read full article... Read full article...