Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
What Stock Market Crash History Tells Us To Expect For 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Clif_Droke
Many have wondered why the 10-year cycle peak in late September/early October didn’t produce a more meaningful correction in the broad market. Instead, the 10-year cycle peak produced only a marginal six percent pullback in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) instead of the much deeper one usually associated with the 10-year peak. A look at the past reveals why: the first full year following a crash low has never produced a sizable correction in the stock market. That historical truism certainly proved itself out in 2009. But what of the second year after a crash? What can we expect in the coming year based on market history? We’ll be taking up this question in the commentary that follows.
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Friday, January 15, 2010
Stock Market Trend Technical Nuances / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Brian_Bloom
If reading the market was easy, we would all be rich. Arguably, there is more to investment decision making than computer algorithms. The human mind is extremely complex and human behaviour is extremely difficult (perhaps impossible?) to model. At the end of the day the economy is driven by the sum total of all businesses and investing is/should be about finding good companies which are well managed by professional managers who understand that they are employed by – and accountable to - shareholders. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2010
Where Have Investors Gone? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Sy_Harding
As Pete Seeger might have written it and the Kingston Trio might have sung it in the sixties, ‘Where have stock investors gone, long time passing? Gone to bond funds every one, long time ago.’
Will the last lines to that great folk song also become part of the picture? “When will they ever learn? When will they ever learn?”
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Friday, January 15, 2010
Vexing Stock Market Grinding Higher Defying Gravity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Zeal_LLC
Over the last few months, the behavior of the US stock markets has been rather vexing. Usually when they grow overbought, when greed and complacency wax extreme after a powerful rally, a healthy pullback soon rebalances sentiment. But instead they’ve ground higher lately, defying precedent and confounding students of the markets.
Friday, January 15, 2010
U.S. Stock Market Indexes Cyclical Trend Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jim_Curry
As we forge ahead into the year 2010, it is a good idea to step back and get an overall perspective on the US stock indexes, both from a cyclical point of view - as well as to get a look at the accompanying technical action.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Stock Market Outlook 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
At the start of every year we put together our best research and analysis and then formulate a forecast based on the most likely outcomes. Unlike others who simply say what they think will happen, we sit down and analyze the fundamental, technical and sentiment evidence and opine on what is most likely to happen, what might happen and what won’t happen. We take a lot of pride in this, as we believe we are one of the few that puts forth actionable research and makes it available to the public.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
The Stock Market Selling Begin... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
I have recently warned that some selling was close at hand as we had very overbought conditions on both the daily and weekly charts that simply need to be worked off over time. The rubber band can stretch only so far and then it has to break, especially when it occurs on multiple time frame charts such as those daily's and weekly's.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Welcome to Another Lost Decade For Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson
The stock market’s performance over the next decade will be very similar to the one since 2000: the WSJ appropriately named it “the lost decade.” Stocks will go up and down (setting all-time highs and multiyear lows), stagnate, and trade in a tight range. At the end of this wild ride, when the excitement subsides and the dust settles, index investors and buy-and-hold stock collectors will find themselves not far from where they started in 2000.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Stock Market S&P Analysis for Upcoming Week: Jan 11-15 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: ForexPros
The year started out strong for US stocks, breaking out above the range that had pervaded much of the last two months of the 2009. The S&P also finished at a recent high, closing out strongly on Friday. Volume was not great and throughout the week there were numerous examples of times when the market barely seemed to be open - the futures and many stocks stuck in small ranges with no activity whatsoever. None the less, the bull rally has continued.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Reasons Why This Stock Market Bubble Will Continue to Grow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Q1_Publishing
Rallies and bubbles tend to last far longer and grow much larger than most anyone expects.
Given what has happened in the past two years and the way things are starting out this year, there’s no reason to expect this time around to be any different.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact According to Leading Economic Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
What’s the first quarter of 2010 going to look like for the economy and stock market? How can you trade some of the macro trends? In this week’s newsletter, I going to answer these questions using my “Always a Winner” forecasting model.
This model is described in my book of the same title, and it uses 11 leading economic indicators and reports to forecast economic growth as measured by the gross domestic product and its four major components -- consumption, investment, net exports, and government spending.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Quarterly Stock Market Outlook and RDSA Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Christopher_Quigley
The market is currently trying to find its bearings after the spectacular run up since March 2009.
On a weekly chart the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports both indicate a definite technical consolidation line being formed. The longer the averages remain in their respective November and December ranges the more the the market will discount the March rise and focus on the new support point.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Holds Well...Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had every excuse on planet earth today to just fall out of bed. A very bad jobless report hit the street when there was a loss of 85,000 jobs. Expectations were for a loss of 10,000 jobs. The market didn't like the news initially as the futures took a pretty hard hit although not nearly as hard as I expected once the news actually came out. If the Dow futures had fallen one hundred points, I don't think there's a bull around who would have said that doesn't make sense.
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Saturday, January 09, 2010
Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Gold / Commodities / Stock Markets 2010
By: EWI
"The Real Dow" has proven to be a good leading indicator for nominal DJIA.
Vaid Pokhlebkin writes: The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download EWI’s free 118-page Independent Investor eBook.
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Saturday, January 09, 2010
U.S. Dollar Against Stocks Correlation Still Exists / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Guy_Lerner
As you all know, there has been a tight correlation between the US Dollar Index and equities for the better part of 9 months. If the Dollar goes down, then equities go up. Even if there is a hint that the Dollar might go down - let's say, a bad employment report suggesting that the Fed will keep its foot on the monetary pedal even longer- stocks go up. We all have the drill down. The Fed throws us a biscuit, and we all stand up and bark!
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Money Sector Rotating...Not Leaving The Stock Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
This is maybe the single most important aspect of what's been happening with the stock market. Take a moment to reflect on the past many months. For a very long time the bears could not understand why the market was holding up with the banks and the rest of the financial stocks doing so poorly. Day after day we saw major stock leaders in that area of the market losing its 50-day exponential moving average.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Stock Market Lateral But Stable... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's not to be diminished in its importance. You don't have to keep blasting higher all the time to say that things look good. The 60-minute time frame charts got very overbought again and thus it is no surprise that the market didn't rocket up today, but all in all the action was solid for some very important reasons I will discuss later in this report. We started out with a small move down today but it didn't take long for the churning to begin once the initial sellers did their deed. The Nasdaq sold hardest but that didn't stop the other indexes from hanging in there. In fact, the Nasdaq ended up down only 7 points, but when you consider how some of its leaders acted, it has to be considered a victory for the bulls. Bottom line is the market continues its basic lateral consolidation as the oscillators play up and unwind.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Stock Market Outlook for 2010, Growth and Risk Appetite Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Donald_W_Dony
The stock markets in 2009 roared upward over 30%. This advance far outstripped fundamental valuations and expectations from many analysts and investors. The fuel for this rise can be largely attributed to the massive government stimulus program. But with the "march of money" anticipated to be removed in 2010, have the equity indexes recovered enough to climb higher without continued tax payer funding or is this run nothing more than a bear market bounce?
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Mutual Fund Cash Levels Do Not Support the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Claus_Vogt
As a group, mutual fund managers are as good a contrarian indicator for the stock market as they come. History shows that they hold relatively high cash levels at the beginning of a bull market. Then at the end of a bull market they don’t have much cash since they’re more or less fully invested.
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for January 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
This is monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent at defining the longer term trends for the market.