Category: Stock Markets 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, January 29, 2018
More New Record Highs, But Stocks Bull Market May Die On That Euphoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.9% and 1.3% on Friday, extending their uptrend despite worse-than-expected advance GDP number release, as investors' sentiment remained very bullish.
The S&P 500 index has reached new record high at the level of 2,872.87. It broke above its Wednesday's high of 2,852.97. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has also reached new record high at the level of 26,616.71. It was relatively weaker than the broad stock market, as it gained 0.9%. The technology Nasdaq Composite reached new record high of 7,505.77, as it gained 1.3% on Friday.
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Monday, January 29, 2018
Stock Market Still Strong! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A new surge of buying has moved ahead the forecast for an intermediate term top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 28, 2018
Stock Market Once in a Lifetime Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
“With the rally continuing to power higher in the stock markets I’m going to update the portfolio combo charts so you can see how this once is a lifetime rally in unfolding. When this impulse move finally burns itself out we will get a decent sized correction that may take a year or two build out. Until then the hardest thing for most investors riding this bull is to hang on for dear life.
For over six months or longer we’ve heard the never ending story about how overbought this market is, but the stock market doesn’t care what we think. The investors that have missed this rally are crying the loudest that the stock market has to crash because they’re not in it, if they were they would be enjoying the ride of a lifetime. At any rate the correction is going to come at some point and I can guarantee you that we won’t hit the absolute top tick. We have some price objectives that hopefully will get us out in time to enjoy our profits.
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Sunday, January 28, 2018
US Stock Markets Living In A Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Signs that U.S. equities are in a bubble continue to proliferate. Although a bubble can only be confirmed in retrospect, prudent investors need to adjust their investment approach for this eventuality.
It is said that the earlier you buy in a bubble, the better off you’ll be when the bubble bursts. Or, an investor could simply just avoid buying the assets in a bubble all together. The latter option makes more sense to us today. This implies not doing buy & hold investments in the popular indexes (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq-100) heavily weighted in assets that are among the most crowded trades on the planet: Boeing, Caterpillar, 3M, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, etc. As investors, all of our strategy portfolios are oriented towards relatively attractive foreign companies and resources stocks. For traders (or investors who can’t stand watching the equity markets advance without them), beware of sharp pull-backs. A bubble market does not back-up to give outsiders a nice opportunity to get onboard. Getting a -3% dip on the S&P 500 at this stage probably has more chance of being the beginning of a downdraft rather than a buy-the-dip opportunity.
Sunday, January 28, 2018
Share Market That Constantly Drives The Economy Forward With Very Important Forces Of Financial Development / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
What share market offers in the longer run in the longer run is without comparison the best possible results but today, when identifying the very best of its performance, one needs to analyze the concepts and conclusions of its very nature in a broad and elaborate manner. Taking into consideration the very steps that constitute one’s question to effectively manage proper backup documents in creating a reasonable chance, one can be very sure that stock exchange markets are here for the longer run to define and multiply the profits in the very levels, to ensure that the gain is maximized. When Waiting for very efficient and considerable options and opportunities there needs to be a notion that will define the principles of how and why the very concepts of how effectively one can manage the very reason to believe in the constituent of making profits without much loss. Learning and understanding about stock exchange is very relevant in today’s times of gamble where nobody knows how they could become and overnight millionaire just by investing in the right stocks and shares.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Sell the Stock Market Rally! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
SPX futures are higher, but no new records. Today is day 253 of the Master Cycle that began at the May 18, 2017 low. As mentioned, we may call this an inverted Master Cycle because of its uninterrupted rally since then. An inverted Master Cycle may also mean the end of a trend, since it sows the seeds of its own destruction. While the uptrend hasn’t yet been broken, the range of the consolidation is becoming narrower and may lead to a breakout or breakdown.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Stock Market Trendlines Being Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
It appears that the Ending Diagonal trendline may be broken in the SPX at 2830.00. This is your initial aggressive sell signal. The VIX is on an aggressive sell and Hi-Lo is not. Use your discretion and do a partial short until we get confirmation with the VIX over 12.81 and the Hi-Lo beneath the trendline.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Debt, Dollar and Stocks - A Modest Plan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
This is an article written by Dr. D, who last month wrote a series at the Automatic Earth entitled Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist.
It shouldn’t surprise you that bitcoin plays a cameo in his Modest -but actually quite grand- Plan as well.
Dr. D: With all the talk about the bubble market, people are once again saying Donald Trump is a fool, he should never have taken credit for a Dow that’s about to collapse. In addition, how does he think he can get away with claiming we have a great economy made greater? He said in the election the economy was terrible and the Dow was a bubble, that’s why he won.
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Wednesday, January 24, 2018
Stock Market Surge Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
This is just a refresher of the long-term (monthly) chart of the SPX. Wave [3] is 1.5 times Wave [1] and the next level is where Wave [5] is also 1.5 times Wave [1]. The red target was first mentioned by Northman Trader in ZeroHedge two weeks ago. We are a week away from the next lunar eclipse, which is being highlighted by several Cycles Theorists. They are expecting a super blue-blood moon that has not been seen since 1866.
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Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Stock Risks to Watch: Choose Your Bear Market Dashboard / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
“Ya gadda have a praaacess”– British portfolio managers mimicking their American colleagues
When long ago a former employer sent me to London to join the other Americans, or mostly Americans, building out its U.K. office, my job was to create a process. In institutional asset management, process was the American way. For sales presentations and especially dealing with investment consultants, you needed process charts that showed information flowing this way and that and, ultimately, morphing through its travels on the page into repeatable investment decisions. Those charts proved your legitimacy as an institutional manager—regardless of whether they described your actual decision making, they let the community know that you weren’t just a “bunch of gunslingers.” Essentially, you couldn’t build a business without your process charts.
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Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Stocks Bull Market Appears to have a Destiny With 1929 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The stocks bull market continues to confound my expectations for a significant correction which is just failing to materialise! Firstly understand this, I AM a stock market bull i.e. I am net long of the stock market, so a rising stock market is good for my portfolio. BUT, for a while now I have not considered this ongoing rally to be healthy for the life of the stocks bull market, and why despite being a bull I am BEARISH for its prospects.
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Monday, January 22, 2018
Stock Market Deceleration / Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, January 22, 2018
US Markets vs Govt Shutdown: Stock Markets at all time highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
ARB Cap writes: As US government shuts down, markets march higher. Political turmoil does not seem to immediately affect equity bulls. Much of it has o do with the US bond market selling off with 10 year rising over 3% mark only for the second time in the last 5 years. As money pours out of bond markets, it is rolling into equity markets. Are we on the cusp of a super inflation cycle of the likes seen in 1980s ?
The 10 year US treasury bond yield is at 2.64% but it is breaking above the long term bear trend existing since 1994. Money is pouring out of bond markets as the carnage is about to begin. As yields rise, markets start to expect higher inflation cycle which in turn raise rate hike expectation. It is worthwhile to remind the last it did flirt with breaking out of the bear trend in 2014, yield fell back sharply down again.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Central Banks Are Going to Have to “Pull the Plug” on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
It’s no secret that Central Banks have been funneling liquidity both directly and indirectly into stocks. However, what most investors don’t realize is that this liquidity pump is about to end.
Why?
Because the endless streams of liquidity (Central Banks continue to run QE programs of $100+ billion per month despite the global economy stabilizing) have unleashed inflation.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Why Sometimes, "Beating the S&P 500" Isn't Good Enough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
How money managers who beat a benchmark can still "ruin your retirement"
Would you like to invest with a money manager who has a track record of "beating the market"?
"Who wouldn't" you might reply. But, hold onto your horses -- or, in this case, onto your portfolio.
Even a professional manager who "performs" the S&P 500 can financially ruin you.
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Friday, January 19, 2018
SPX is Higher But No Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
SPX futures got as high as 2806.00, but could not break higher. It was higher than yesterday’s Wave three peak, producing a fifth of a fifth wave, but may not conquer Tuesday’s peak at 2807.54. Should this happen, the SPX may have made a truncated Wave v of (c). At this point, anything goes…
ZeroHedge reports, “If US and global stocks sold off yesterday on fears of a government shutdown, coupled with a spike in US Treasury yields to the highest level since March and approaching Gundlach's "equity selloff redline"...
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Thursday, January 18, 2018
Here’s What Historically Happens to Stocks When Bull Markets End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
You undoubtedly know that 2017 was a record-setting year for the broad stock markets. And while gold was up last year despite numerous headwinds, most mainstream investors aren’t paying much attention to gold since they keep seeing so much green in their stock portfolios.
Even I was taken back by some of the data from the bull market in stocks…
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Buy S&P 500 on Drop To 2,740 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Stock Markets have started to show some signs of stalling in the early parts of this year, and this could indicate the potential for weakness given our proximity to the historical averages. The S&P 500 continues to trade near its record highs but the lack of event drivers over the next several weeks suggests that there is a growing possibility that markets could gravitate sideways to lower over this coming period.
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
So That’s What Stock Market Volatility Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
2017 was literally the smoothest stretch of highway that US stocks have ever traveled. Rising almost every day and seldom falling hard, they made it virtually impossible for investors to lose money. Here’s the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the past two years. Note how unnaturally smooth the recent action was.
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Tuesday, January 16, 2018
SPX, NDX, INDU and RUT Stock Indices all at Resistance Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
SPX futures challenged the 2800.00 round number resistance, rising to 2803.50 over the extended weekend.
ZeroHedge comments, “When markets open for trading today, the S&P will rise above 2,800 and the Dow Jones will not only make a new record high (those have become a bit of a boring daily occurrence lately) it will do so in historic fashion with just 12 days needed to move from 25,000 to 26,000, the fastest 1,000 point move in history, nearly twice as fast as the previous record when it took just 23 days for the DJIA to move from 24,000 to 25,000. And yes, get ready for the imminent (self-)congratulatory tweet from Donald Trump...”
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