Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Bitcoin Price Short-term Outlook Soon to be Clarified / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
The technology underlying Bitcoin might prove to be what is needed to change the face of payments, record keeping and the way stock market is functioning, we read on Wired:
Read full article... Read full article...James Angel compares bitcoin to MySpace, the social network that paved the way for far more influential services like Facebook and Twitter.
Today's bitcoin digital currency, says Angel, a professor of finance at Georgetown University, is too flawed to replace existing currencies. But the basic ideas underpinning the technology, he believes, can significantly change how the financial world operates. This is already starting to happen.
Monday, May 11, 2015
Debt Scenarios Still Weighing on Euro / Currencies / Euro
When we hear the words “sovereign debt crisis” it might seem as though we are reading financial news headlines from several years ago. But when we look at the underlying fundamental activity in the Eurozone, it quickly starts to become clear that this is simply not the case. If we look at the region as a whole, there are some significant discrepancies that are negatively impacting some regions more than others. This can have a catastrophic on a regional economic that is trying to use the same monetary system, so it should still be clear at this stage that the region’s debt issues are far from over.
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Friday, May 08, 2015
Is Bitcoin Price in Bullish Territory? / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
The first Bitcoin has become the first U.S. entity to be regulated by banking laws, we read on CNBC:
A New York City-based bitcoin exchange itBit has become the first to receive a charter under New York banking laws. (…)
ItBit is a commercial exchange that trades the virtual currency. Thursday's announcement makes it the first company to receive a charter from the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS).
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Friday, May 08, 2015
U.S. Dollar Danger Zone / Currencies / US Dollar
The US dollar has been the world’s reserve currency since Bretton Woods – about 70 years. The power and importance of Middle-East oil and the US economy and military have supported the dollar for about 40 years. Quick story:
- The world buys oil in dollars. (Thank you Saudi Arabia and Kissinger.)
- Therefore the world must purchase (support) dollars to obtain oil.
- The US supports the oil producing nations with military might.
- The oil producing nations collect dollars in exchange for oil and recycle those petrodollars back into US T-bonds and equities thereby supporting the dollar and the US stock and bond markets.
Friday, May 08, 2015
EURAUD Technical Outlook / Currencies / Euro
The EURAUD currency pair hasn’t been covered for a while instead preferring to let it go about its corrective business. Let’s now revisit it and see if we can get a grip on a potential price path going forward using the weekly and monthly charts.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 06, 2015
What's Next for The U.S. Dollar and Currencies? / Currencies / US Dollar
In anticipation of higher U.S. rates and lower rates elsewhere, the greenback had enjoyed a dramatic rally. Has the tide turned, or is the dollar merely taking a breather? We believe there are threats and opportunities hidden underneath recent market action. Below is a closer look in an effort to allow investors to better understand the dynamics that might be unfolding.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Bitcoin Stage for Price Declines Is Being Set / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
We’ve repeatedly written that Bitcoin needs two things to hit off with a wider audience: security and ease of use. Case, a Bitcoin startup, is aiming to bring both of them, we read on TechCrunch:
You shouldn’t trust anyone with your bitcoins, and Case is well aware of that. Over the past few years, Mt.Gox, Bitstamp and countless other centralized services have suffered serious security breaches. But Case is about to put an end to all this, as this startup has built one of the most secure hardware bitcoin wallets in the world. The startup is launching onstage today at Disrupt NY.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Japanese Yen and U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Japanese Yen
A different way to look at familiar forex markets
Elliott Wave International's Alexandra Lienhard recently sat down with the editor of our Currency Pro Service, Jim Martens.
Learn what Jim sees next for such popular forex markets as Japanese yen (USDJPY) as well as the U.S. dollar.
Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Bitcoin Price Counterintuitive Signs / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $239, take-profit at $153.
Overstock, a U.S. online retailer already accepting Bitcoin, is now making a move to issue stock based on a ledger system, we read on the Wired website:
Read full article... Read full article...On Friday, the Salt Lake City-based online retailer filed a prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission that indicates it may issue up to $500 million in stock or other securities using technology akin to the online software system that underpins bitcoin. "We may decide to offer securities as digital securities...the ownership and transfer of which are recorded on a cryptographically-secured distributed ledger system using technology similar to (or the same as) the distributed ledger technology used for trading digital currencies," the filing reads.
Saturday, April 25, 2015
Bitcoin Price Provides Traders with Hints / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $239, take-profit at $153.
Customers of Starbucks in Hong Kong are now able to pay for their coffee with Bitcoin, we read on newsBTC:
Read full article... Read full article...Starbucks branches in Hong Kong are now accepting bitcoin payments and are offering 20% off discount for the purchase using the Fold app. This app is a U.S. startup that is affiliated with the Bitcoin Association of Hong Kong.
Friday, April 24, 2015
What Will Happen to You When the U.S. Dollar Collapses? / Currencies / US Dollar
Jeff Thomas writes: Historically, when a nation’s debt exceeds its ability to repay even the interest, it can be assumed that the currency will collapse. Typically, governments exacerbate the situation by printing large amounts of currency notes in an effort to inflate the problem away, or at least postpone it.
The greater the level of debt, the more dramatic the inflation must be to counter it. The more dramatic the inflation, the greater the danger that hyperinflation will take place. No government has ever been able to control hyperinflation. If it occurs, it does so quickly and always ends with a crash.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
Why 2 of U.S. Dollar's Recent Bottoms Have 1 Thing In Common / Currencies / US Dollar
In 2009 and 2014, a simple chart pattern enabled us to turn bullish the dollar, just in time for HUGE rallies. Learn to use this pattern now.
Imagine you're on an airplane, mid-air, when the intercom from the cockpit accidentally turns on. You and the entire cabin crew overhear the pilot say this to his copilot:
"I know we're heading northeast at 430 mph. But... I have no idea when or where I'm supposed to land."
That's when you cough up your bag of peanuts!
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Tuesday, April 21, 2015
Bitcoin Recent Low Price Volatility Might Be Deceptive / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $239, take-profit at $153.
We frequently comment on new initiatives in the startup scene, and today we also read and interesting press release on the Market Watch website:
BitGo, the leader in bitcoin security, today announced a partnership with online cryptocurrency data provider TradeBlock. The combination of TradeBlock’s execution and analysis tools and BitGo’s trustless multi-signature security products create a complete security and transaction solution for private and institutional Bitcoin traders.
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Friday, April 17, 2015
The Over-Valued U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
There are two connected reasons usually cited for the current dollar strength: the US economy is performing better than all the others, leading towards relatively higher US dollar interest rates, and that this is triggering a scramble for dollars by foreign corporations with uncovered USD liabilities. There is growing evidence that the first of these reasons is no longer true, in which case the pressure to buy dollars should lessen considerably.
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Friday, April 17, 2015
Sound Money on the Drifting Sands of Belief / Currencies / Fiat Currency
My kids just exited the stage where they still believe pretty much whatever I say. We had a decent track record for a while. It seems like just a moment ago when my son actually believed that I could fly.Belief can be constructive, powerful, and sometimes blinding. They arise from experience shaped by the stories we tell about them. Often the stories are told for us; and without contemplation we run with them.
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Thursday, April 16, 2015
Sharp Decline in USD/CAD and Its Consequences / Currencies / Forex Trading
Yesterday, the Bank of Canada left its monetary policy unchanged (the overnight cash rate at 0.75%), which in combination with a sharp increase in crude oil pushed the Canadian dollar higher against its U.S. counterpart. As a result, USD/CAD broke below important support levels, confirming a bearish formation. How low could the exchange rate go?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
EURUSD and USDJPY Double Tops / Currencies / Euro
Recent double tops tell the tale for these two currencies. The EURUSD has a bearish double top in place while the USDJPY has a bullish double top in place. A bit confused? Let's get clarity by viewing the daily charts of each currency.
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
Is Bitcoin Price Going down Some More? / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.
Samsung is partnering with IBM to work on new potential applications for the technology underlying Bitcoin - the blockchain, we read on Bloomberg:
Samsung Electronics Co. is working with International Business Machines Corp. to use bitcoin technology for new applications.
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
EURUSD: Why Recent Ups and Downs Are NOT Random / Currencies / Euro
How Elliott wave analysis can bring some certainty into the oh-so-uncertain world of forex tradingHow do you know what "your" forex market will do tomorrow?
You don't. We don't. Nobody does. All anyone can do is guess. But some guesses are more "educated" than others.
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Tuesday, March 31, 2015
Bitcoin Price Down Move Still in the Cards / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.
The development of Bitcoin shares traits with the development of the financial system as we know it. The problems which marred some Bitcoin exchanges seem similar to the ones which contributed to the introduction of deposit insurance. In a way, Bitcoin exemplifies both the troubles that the financial system encountered in the past but also the opportunities it offered. We actually saw an interesting piece on the Quartz website drawing parallels between the organization of stock trading and the Bitcoin system:
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