Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 20, 2014
EURUSD On The Cusp / Currencies / Euro
Let's begin the analysis by looking at the yearly chart.
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
Escalating Middle East Tensions Could Spur Forex Market Volatility / Currencies / Forex Trading
The extraordinary events featuring the Islamist extremist movement ISIS seemingly determined to carve out a new caliphate covering large parts of Syria and Iraq could yet have big reverberations in the currency markets.
Potential volatility in the currencies is likely to be first telegraphed through the oil market with the Middle East being a key supplier to the world economy. Should oil prices soar, say if ISIS made further big advances, then there could be serious damage done to the world economy.
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Wednesday, June 18, 2014
GBP/USD: More Gains After The Pullback / Currencies / British Pound
GBP/USD broke sharply to the upside last week with a clear personality of a wave three within a five wave move in wave C). We see pair going higher now, above 1.7000 to complete wave (5). This fifth wave should be made by three legs as we are tracking an ending diagonal on a daily chart, so upside can be limited around 1.7100. At the moment we are looking at a corrective pullback in black wave 4 that may stop at 1.6900/1.6920 before uptrend resumes.
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Wednesday, June 18, 2014
AUD-USD Fake Out / Currencies / Forex Trading
Your rugby opponent runs towards you with ball in hand. Just as you’re about to tackle him he feigns to go right, but then steps back to the left and darts off with you in hot pursuit. Just as it is in rugby, so too is it in the market. The market is our opponent and it’s our job to tackle it. It is not our friend. It is our enemy and it will do all it can to elude us. It will play mind games with us. Daring us to do this or that, knowing its only aim is to dupe us. And if we are duped it will do its utmost not to let us catch it after we finally cotton on to the charade. In this case, the AUDUSD looks to have dummied to the high side then sidestepped back to the low side and is now streaking away. Rallies should be small as it makes it hard to get set for those that didn’t pick the initial fake out.
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Wednesday, June 18, 2014
The Book Of Satoshi: Bitcoin Has Changed Everything / Currencies / Bitcoin
BITCOIN HAS CHANGED EVERYTHING. Its importance as an evolution in money and banking cannot be overstated. Notice I don’t use the word “revolution” here because I consider Bitcoin to be a complete “evolution” from the anachronistic money and banking systems that humanity has been using—and been forced by government dictate to use—for at least the last hundred years.
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Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Tense Days Ahead for Bitcoin Price / Currencies / Bitcoin
Briefly: we don't support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market at this time.
Yesterday, we wrote about the worrying aspects of the fact that GHash.IO, a Bitcoin mining pool, had temporarily reached 51% of mining power, a phenomenon which could have potentially disastrous consequences, including the possibility to double-spend coins and reverse transactions.
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Sunday, June 15, 2014
US Dollar Index Huge Consolidation Pattern / Currencies / US Dollar
The title says it all really. Let’s first look at the yearly chart of the US Dollar Index to see what it means.
YEARLY CHART
Friday, June 13, 2014
Bitcoin Price Depreciation or Reversal – Which Will Prevail? / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no positions are suggested for the short-term.
SwiftBoatVet, a Reddit user, posted a couple screens they got while filling out a survey for PayPal. It seems that the survey itself was revolving around Bitcoin, asking for direct comparisons of the two payment systems. While this fits in quite well with the comments made recently by eBay’s (owner of PayPal) CEO, John Donahoe, who expressed the opinion PayPal could integrate Bitcoin, the survey itself turned out to be somewhat unclear since it treated Bitcoin more as a PayPal clone than a currency or payment system.
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Friday, June 13, 2014
AUD NZD Uptrend Channel / Currencies / Austrailia
Since my last report on the AUDNZD there has been some interesting action take place. Let’s look at the daily chart to see exactly what is going on.
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Thursday, June 12, 2014
USD/CAD Seeks Corrective Pullback / Currencies / Canadian $
USDCAD Daily
On USDCAD we are tracking a deep but still corrective price action from start of the year. We are looking at wave 4) that is part of an big impulsive rally from a weekly chart. Usually fourth waves will find a support around 28 or 50% retracement level compared to wave 3) which in our case comes in around 1.0730. As such, we see pair now trading down within final stages of a corrective retracement, so we need to be aware of a bullish reversal, probably at the start of June.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
EUR, GBP, AUD Currency Bears in Charge / Currencies / Forex Trading
Today, the common currency continued to move lower against the greenback as Treasury yields in the U.S. continued to rise. In reaction to this, EUR/USD declined below 1.3600 and reached important support lines. Will they stop currency bears?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified (stop-loss order levels were adjusted) - summary:
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Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Bitcoin Price More Appreciation to Come but Not Just Now / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market at the moment.
John Donahoe, eBay’s CEO, told CNBC PayPal was “going to have to integrate digital currencies.” He also expressed the view that digital currencies would “play an important role going forward."
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Tuesday, June 10, 2014
British Pound or U.S. Dollar: Which Will Win The Race? / Currencies / British Pound
For most of this year, there has been a relatively clear cut race between the British Pound and the US Dollar. The outcome so far has been surprising, as the central bank stance in these two economies clearly favors the British Pound. As the US Federal Reserve looks increasingly committed to cutting its historic QE programs, most might have expected that the greenback would have had a banner year. But this has not occurred, and many have been left surprised as a result.
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Monday, June 09, 2014
GBP/USD: Corrective Retracement From 1.6995 / Currencies / British Pound
The GBP/USD traded higher last week and made an overlap with 1.6810 which means that any bearish impulse wave count has been invalidated. As such, we are now observing a new, bullish interpretation because reversal from around 1.6995 can be counted as a double zigzag. Notice that price also found a support a week back around the lower support line of a trading channel.
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Sunday, June 08, 2014
AUD Australian Dollar Trading - New levels, good trades and more gains / Currencies / Forex Trading
Mustafa Hindawi writes:
Looking at Australian Dollar price action during Q1 this year, we can see how it managed to earn against other currencies.
Recent Data releases showed that the Australian economy grew by 1.1 per cent in the first quarter from the fourth quarter and was up 3.5 per cent from the same quarter a year ago. Exports drove the surge.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
Bitcoin Use - eBay, PayPal, Apple & Dish Approve Of Bitcoin. Is Google Next? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Justin O'Connell writes: Bitcoin has proven itself as an established payments system, with some of the world's most influential people commenting on its utility and innovation. Stephen Colbert called it "gold for nerds," and Joe Rogan has been fascinated by the technology, having Andreas Antonopoulos on as a guest to the Joe Rogan Experience twice now. Some political figures have expressed concerns over the currency's potential non-crime of "money laundering", but overall the sentiment has focused on the technology and its goundbreaking nature. And so its really no surprise that many companies have adopted bitcoin. Bitcoin has now surpassed Western Union in total transaction volume and looks set to pass Paypal this year.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Bitcoin Whales, The Mt. Gox Collapse: Good riddance! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin (and Friends) Enter a New Phase (and Other Information):
These articles are from deep within the crypto-geek scene. We hope to establish prowess.
We see right now that a major shift is underway:
Wednesday, June 04, 2014
Bitcoin Price Reversal or No Reversal? / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: we don't support any short-term positions now.
The big news of the day is the relatively small change in Apple policy which might, nonetheless, suggest that the company is changing its stance on virtual currencies, most notably on Bitcoin. The Guardian reported that Apple had changed its application review guidelines. The most interesting bit for Bitcoin enthusiasts is point 11.17 of the new rules:
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Tuesday, June 03, 2014
The Government's Disastrous Reign over U.S. Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Very few people know that the United States did not create a monetary unit pegged to "buy" some amount of metal, as if the dollar were some kind of money independent of metal.
In 1792, Congress passed the U.S. Coinage Act, which defined a dollar as a coin containing 371.25 grains of silver and 44.75 grains of alloy. Congress did not say a dollar was worth that amount of metal; it was that amount of metal. A dollar, then, was a unit of weight, like a gram, ounce or pound. Since the alloy portion of the coin was nearly worthless, a dollar was essentially defined as 371.25 grains -- equal to 24.057 grams, or 0.7734 Troy oz. -- of pure silver. (15.43 grains = 1 gram, and 480 grains = 1 Troy ounce.)
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Monday, June 02, 2014
U.S. Dollar Distorted, Dislocated and Discombobulated / Currencies / US Dollar
It looks like we’ll have a few more days to watch this thing, this alleged market, until on Thursday Mario Draghi launches his modern day version of Greenspan’s oracle years and on Friday the BLS, which can rival any oracle when it comes to confusing utterances, has the US employment numbers. There seem to be people who think those numbers might be quite good, though that might be hard to imagine in the wake of a shrinking US economy. Then again, in an environment where very few numbers make sense anymore, it’s anyone’s call.
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