Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 25, 2010
Will USD/CAD Bounce Off 76.4% Support Continue? / Currencies / Canadian $
An initial recovery off long term 76.4% support in USD/CAD has been followed by a deep setback, which has just found support from a shorter term 76.4% level. Bulls waiting in the wings now need this to continue, breaching certain resistance points.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Financial Crisis Asian Currency Markets Insatiability as South Korea Imposes Currency Controls / Currencies / South Korea
Kavaljit Singh writes: On June 13, 2010, South Korea announced a series of currency controls to protect its economy from external shocks. The new currency controls are much wider in scope than foreign exchange liquidity controls announced earlier in 2009.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Euro Under Pressure Means Forex Trading Should Not be Foreign to You / Currencies / Euro
It's the biggest market in the world and is traded 24 hours a day, 6 days a week, and therefore one that is impossible to ignore. I'm speaking, of course, about the forex market.
The question is, is this the tail that's wagging the dog? Meaning, is the forex market, mainly the euro, dictating the trend in American and European equity markets.
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Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Euro to Fall Further and Gold Breaks Traditional Relationship With Dollar / Currencies / Euro
The devaluation of the euro in recent months, which has continued in spite of huge political attempts to reverse the trend, has recently accelerated.
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Tuesday, June 22, 2010
What if the Chinese Let the Renminbi Float and Nothing Much Happened? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced Saturday night that it would gradually relax the peg between the renminbi and a basket of currencies (primarily the U.S. dollar). This is the resumption of a policy the PBOC had initiated in mid 2005 and suspended in mid 2008. Although there are political motivations for the resumption of a controlled renminbi float - to deflect scapegoating at the upcoming Toronto G-20 confab and to get Senator Schumer off the backs of Chinese officials - there is a domestic economic motivation as well.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Implications of Chinese Yuan Appreciation / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Axel Merk and Kieran Osborne write: Recently, there has been a lot of news and evidence supporting the likelihood of the Chinese authorities allowing the Chinese currency, the yuan or renminbi (CNY), to trade within a wider trading band.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Why New China Flexibility of the Yuan Will Not Mean its Appreciation, Nor Gold's Fall / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
With China dropping the 'peg' to the U.S. $, the financial world is expecting it to appreciate up to 30% over time. But we don't expect this at all. China has interests and will do no-one favors unless they are in China's interests. There are some who say it is in China's interests as they may well need to cap rising inflation or cheapen imports. More expensive Chinese exports can still effectively penetrate world markets? But China is a very different economy to any in the West and economic rules that apply to the West have to be modified in the East. So, what will happen to the Yuan now?"
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Monday, June 21, 2010
U.S. Dollar Top Forecast, How to Play the Bear Side / Currencies / US Dollar
Larry D. Spears writes: In spite of an assortment of economic uncertainties at home, the U.S. dollar has been the star of the currency world for most of 2010. Spooked by persistent and seemingly insurmountable debt problems east of the Atlantic and the specter of unsustainable growth and potential inflation on the Pacific side of the globe, savers and investors fled European and Asian currencies for the relative safe haven of the dollar.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
China Yuan Currency Climbs Most in 20 Months / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Stock and commodities futures are up headed into Monday's trading on news that China has "unpegged" the Yuan. Please consider Yuan Climbs Most in 20 Months After China Signals End to Peg.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Asian Currency Crisis, Indonesia Moves to Tame Speculative Capital Flows / Currencies / Asian Economies
Kavaljit Singh writes: Within three days of South Korea imposing currency controls, Indonesia (a member of G-20) unveiled several policy measures to regulate potentially destabilizing capital flows. The policy announcement by Indonesia is the latest initiative by emerging markets to tame speculative money which could pose a threat to their economies and financial systems.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
British Pound GBP/USD Testing Long Term 76.4% Support / Currencies / British Pound
The downtrend in GBP/USD tested a long term 76.4% retracement level, where the initial reaction has been positive, though muted so far. There are certain levels on the Daily chart that must be negotiated before we are able to look for a better recovery phase.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Chinese Yuan Bent But Not Bowed, Trade War Still On / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The currency issue has been a constant tension in relations between the United States and China. Many analysts had expected the Chinese central bank to announce a one-off revaluation in the yuan to appease critics of the exchange rate policy.
However, on Sunday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) has ruled out the one-off revaluation that US politicians had sought. This was seen as a largely political move to deflect criticism of its fixed exchange rate ahead of the G20 meeting next week.
Sunday, June 20, 2010
China Announces Yuan Exchange Rate Flexibility / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
So China has just announced that it will "Further Reform the RMB Exchange Rate Regime and Enhance the RMB Exchange Rate Flexibility". See the full statement here.
Friday, June 18, 2010
Euro Declines on a Sea of Bankruptcy and Paper Promises / Currencies / Euro
Richard Daughty writes: Do you ever get the feeling that you are in some kind of weird dream, where someone is holding a pillow over your face so that you can’t breathe, and you can dimly hear your children asking, “Is he dead yet, mom?” and I am thrashing around and yelling out, “No, I’m not dead, you morons!” but nobody is paying attention? Me, too!
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Euro Stabilized as Worst Credit Fears Subside / Currencies / Euro
The Euro appears to be relatively stable this week, with a current rate of $1.2304. It actually reached a Wednesday morning (June 16) high of $1.2355 before receding a bit in the mid morning trade.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Mr. Denninger and Gold, A Rebuttal to All Fiat Money Apologists / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The last post saw almost a holy war break out between the opposing camps of paper-bugs and the gold bugs (truth-bugs, really) resulting in a record number of comments (1) (645 at last count) the highest for any post on ZH – ever (pending Marla’s confirmation of course. Where are you, Marla?). I wish to thank everybody who participated in the discussion for their insightful comments and feedback.
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Saturday, June 12, 2010
The U.S. Dollar’s Bull Market Is Just Getting Started! / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar index has surged 20 percent since last November. And this week, it was sniffing around its 2009 high!
That’s pretty impressive, especially given that the 2009 high was driven by an across the board, global flight to the dollar … underpinned by one of the worst combinations of financial crisis and global economic recession on record.
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Friday, June 11, 2010
Attacking Eurozone Core, USD Index and Swiss Knife / Currencies / Forex Trading
The 1.2% decline in US April retail sales deals a rude awakening to the low-volume rally in equities as well as the recent bounce in the euro. Just when EURUSD was attempting to make its 4th daily increase (EUR hasnt had more than 3 straight daily gains since December), the risk aversion stands in the way. EURUSD would have had to close Friday above $1.21 in order to overcome its inability to post 4 consecutive daily gains this year.
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Friday, June 11, 2010
It's Time to Close Out Your Short Euro Trade / Currencies / Euro
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Six months ago, in my newsletter True Wealth, I told readers it was time to bet against the euro:
This type of opportunity doesn't come along very often. It's time to bet against the euro. It's overpriced. A mountain of factors is against it. And a downtrend has been established – so it's time to make the trade.
Friday, June 11, 2010
ECB Inflexibly Flexible, A Turning Point for the Euro? / Currencies / Euro
Following the European Central Bank's (ECB) press conference following its monthly meeting, President Trichet's main task was to boost credibility. As Trichet makes abundantly clear, the ECB is"inflexibly attached to price stability." To achieve its goal, however, he could have added the ECB needs to be inflexibly flexible. When quizzed on the ECB bond purchase program, a program that may take the ECB down a slippery road of money printing should it not be properly neutralized, Trichet discussed three elements: the purpose, the design and observation of the program.
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