Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 19, 2010
Economic Booms and Busts, the Punditry's Terrible Grasp of Economics / Economics / Economic Theory
What makes manufacturing an important part of the boom-bust phenomenon is the crucial role that time plays in production. Unfortunately, not only is this fact ignored by our economic commentariat they also adamantly refuse to even recognise its existence, just as they refuse to recognise that there exists a capital structure. (What makes this attitude peculiar is that some of these people claim to have studied von Hayek. The content of their articles strongly suggests otherwise.)
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 18, 2010
China and the Emerging Markets Investing Mega-Trend / Economics / China Economy
The following is an excerpt form the Inflation Mega-Trend Ebook Page 54-57 (FREE Download) on investing in the emerging markets mega-trend. The ebook includes additional analysis of other emerging markets including, Brazil, India and Russia.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 17, 2010
U.S. Economy and Interest Rate Forecasts Update / Economics / US Economy
It has been a while since we last wrote an economic and interest rate update - February 22, to be exact. There are two reasons for the absence of a March update - heavy travel schedule and not much new to say on the subject. In the broad scheme of things, the only significant change to the forecast is with respect to inflation. Back in February, we were expecting the CPI to increase by 2.5% in 2010 on a Q4/Q4 basis. Now we are forecasting an increase of only 1.7%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 17, 2010
How Greece Debt Crisis Can Impact YOU! / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
The economic problems in Greece have made front page news for the better part of the past three months. And I’ve written several columns here in Money and Markets on the ongoing drama and its influence on the global currency markets.
But with all of this incessant talk about Greece, what does it have to do with you?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 15, 2010
The Economic Recovery Is Not Real Even Though Ben Bernanke is ‘Confident’ / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Federal Reserve Chairman Mr. Ben The-Sub-Prime-Crisis-Is-Contained Bernanke says that he has confidence in the recovery:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Economic Long Kondratieff Wave Master Interview Part 2 / Economics / Cycles Analysis
David Knox Barker is one of the leading authorities on the economic long wave, otherwise known as the Kondratieff Wave (a.k.a. “K Wave”). Barker has had an impressive career both as a financial market writer and long wave analyst, as well as being an entrepreneur in the field of emerging nanotechnology. Back in the late 1980s and ‘90s, Barker was known for his insightful and accurate views on the U.S. economy and financial markets via his “K Wave Report” newsletter.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 15, 2010
U.S. Faces Second Lost Depression, Why This Recession Is Different and What To Do About It / Economics / Great Depression II
The Business Insider has a very interesting presentation by Richard Koo on The Real Reason Why This Recession Is Completely Different. Here are a few slides.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 15, 2010
U.S. Economy Drifting Towards Deflation / Economics / Deflation
Those of you 60 years old and older will spend the next 25 years struggling to survive one of the worst depressions in history or doing whatever you can to support your children and grandchildren.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Political Earthquake Coming, Where is the Economic Recovery? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
"Mirror, mirror on the wall. Who's to say the economy has stopped its fall?"
"The NBER, dummy!"
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Greece Emergency Debt Bailout Signals New Stage in Global Economic Crisis / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
Stefan Steinberg writes: The economic crisis precipitated by the crash of Lehman Brothers in 2008 is entering a new stage, as European states hastily organise their first-ever bailout of a member of the European Union. The frantic efforts at the weekend to cobble together a European rescue package for Greece in collaboration with the International Monetary Fund came after intense pressure from rating agencies and intensified speculation by traders betting that the Greek government would default on its debt obligations.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Uncle Sam, Global Trade Sucker? / Economics / Economic Theory
Of all the blurbs I got for my book Free Trade Doesn’t Work: What Should Replace It and Why, my favorite is one I got from Robert B. Cassidy, a distinguished former trade diplomat whose career included being Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for China, Asia and the Pacific. His contribution was short, but it made a point, coming from a man who had actually sat at the table where many of America’s key trade agreements were negotiated, that our government would do well to grasp. He wrote,
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Why Economic Forecasts Often Fail / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory
Linear thinking often utterly misses the mark in financial forecasting
Let's begin with a paradox: The one constant in our society is dramatic change. This is the main reason why projecting present conditions into the future often fails.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
U.S. Economy Escape Velocity, But Small Business Optimism Very Low and Headed in the Wrong Direction / Economics / Economic Recovery
If the US economy was about to reach "escape velocity" as Larry Summers says, small business optimism would not be in the gutter and sinking.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Britain's Accelerating Trend Towards High Inflation and UK Debt Default Bankruptcy / Economics / UK Debt
Whilst politicians of all the major parties during the general election campaign continue to ignore the giant debt elephant in the room as the general public continue to prefer to be deluded into thinking that Britain can skip the debt crisis that faces the country as a consequence of Greecesk levels of annual deficits and foreign liabilities that have pushed Britain significantly along the path towards hyperinflation and bankruptcy (debt default to foreigners), as many of the trend projections concerning the looming debt mountain, banking and public sector's liability expectations made in November 2008 (Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation?) have come to pass, against which NOTHING has been done or stated will be done to prevent ultimate national bankruptcy as warned of in November 2008.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
The U.S. Employment Outlook: Bad For Paychecks, Good For U.S. Stocks / Economics / Employment
Jon D. Markman writes: You undoubtedly know by now that the U.S. economy added 164,000 jobs in March. While that was the best number in ages, anyone who looked closely at the payrolls report issued by the U.S. Labor Department would discover that it was actually riddled with problems.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
IBM Abandons U.S. Workers / Economics / Employment
Here is an Email from "Voice in the Dark" about IBM and outsourcing. VID writes ...
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Gold, Professor Fekete And The Economic Armageddon Signal / Economics / Great Depression II
When the end comes, it will be a surprise even to those who expect it
When Professor Antal E. Fekete began lecturing on Austrian economics in Hungary in the spring of 2007, the global economy had not yet experienced the collapse which Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises had predicted over a half century before, to wit,
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Latvia’s Cruel Neoliberal Economic Experiment / Economics / Eastern Europe
Latvia is being devastated by two global wars. On the geopolitical front is the Cold War’s coup de grâce. Neoliberals have managed to de-industrialize Russia and the rest of the former Soviet Union, persuading parliaments to dismantle government support for economic renewal. The “Washington Consensus” has backed a policy of giving away public enterprises and land to a newly minted oligarchy of insiders, and helped them sell shares to Western investors. The ensuing economic wreckage has helped avert future military rivalry to U.S. hegemony.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Yes, Virginia, There is a Legitimate Case Against Free Trade / Economics / Economic Theory
THERE IS A MYTH in wide circulation that the superiority of free trade is simply a settled question on which all serious economists agree. The flip side of this myth, of course, is that anyone who criticizes free trade must either be ignorant of economics, or the spokesman of some special interest which hopes to benefit from trade restrictions. Such critics are not only wrong, the story continues with admittedly impeccable logic, but profoundly worthy of public contempt, as they are necessarily either dumb or corrupt.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
How to Manufacture an Economic Recovery / Economics / Employment
Last Friday the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that for the month of March, employers added 162,000 jobs. This would be fantastic news… if it were true.
Let’s have a look at these 162,000 jobs.
Read full article... Read full article...