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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

July 2019 GBPUSD Market Update and Outlook / Currencies / British Pound

By: Justin_Weinger

Since August 2018, Cable had been locked in a big range formed by 1.3280 and 1.2595, but the latest price action development suggests that the major forex pair could be up for a bearish breakout that could send the British currency towards levels not seen since the beginning of January 2017.

With the British Prime Minister Theresa May already announcing her resignation, British politics continue to be a big mess. Doubled by the likelihood of Boris Johnson being the favorite to take her sit, Brexit could turn out to be a more difficult situation to solve than anyone anticipated. Due to the uncertainty, the Bank of England had already signaled there won’t be any new rate hikes, which had been another important drag on the Pound.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 04, 2019

TiedCoin – Safe Haven amid a Cryptocurrency Storm / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Submissions

TiedCoin is a creation of TiedCo, a new fiat-collateralized stablecoin on the market. You are familiar with traditional crypto currency, but what is a fiat-collateralized stablecoin?It’s a system which fights the volatility of traditional crypto by offering a 1:1 parity! This is done by pegging their crypto against a traditional fiat currency like $USD. Offering stability in comparison to unstable coins such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
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Currencies

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Bitcoin or Gold: Which Is More Bigly Yuge To Own? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

Recently, the Winklevoss twins (who founded the Gemini crypto exchange) coined Bitcoin as ‘Gold 2.0.’ To support their perspective, they cited Bitcoin’s scarcity, its fungibility and its portability as meeting or exceeding that of the yellow metal.

Greyscale Investments, the company that has brought crypto based trusts to the US OTC market, recently ran ads urging investors to drop gold as a relic of the past in favor of cryptocurrency, which is ‘secure’, borderless, and in their direct words, ‘actually has utility’.

It seems that there are more and more comparisons between Bitcoin and gold, but is one better to hold more so than the other? Well, to be honest, each has a different ultimate purpose for which each is better suited.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 02, 2019

Bitcoin Cycle Bullish / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: readtheticker

Dear Mr and Mrs Middle class you have been plucked and buttered ready for the oven of the next financial crisis. 

Previous Posts, and notice the change in view due to bitcoin price strong move; The Coming Bitcoin Ambush  , The Great Bitcoin Slide 

The lessons of Cyprus should remind us all that the big losers during a banking crisis are the savers, and if a bank is currently deducting interest from your savings account (i.e negative interest rate) why would you keep money in a bank when recession risks grow. Banks go bust in a recession and bank bail ins are to be expected to be the norm during a crisis. 

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Currencies

Sunday, June 30, 2019

US Dollar Breakdown Begins, Gold Price to Bolt Higher / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

A major breakdown is in progress for the USDollar index. It has broken its intermediate uptrend which began in April 2018. Eighteen months of official rate hikes and tremendous hidden activity with derivative bond purchases, which obscure the absent USTreasury Bond buyers, have finally weighed on the King Dollar. The USEconomy suffers from 20 key breakdown signals, about which the lapdog press refuses to report. The historical tightening has turned into a failed experiment, an attempt to return to normalcy when no such event can possibly occur. Ponzi Schemes cannot be gradually unwound. The USGovt debt has gone past $22 trillion. The USGovt deficit this year is set to surpass $1.3 trillion. The missing money volume for the USGovt, a fat pig exploited by various departments, is conservatively estimated at $21 trillion. The global bond market investors no longer expect the USGovt debt to be repaid, as a failure mindset has crept into the bond arena. Given the repeated treatment since 2008, with expansion, the USTreasury Bond has become the global subprime bond. Next comes the reversal of monetary policy, where the US Federal Reserve begins to do emergency rate cuts in sequence. Expect some big name corporations to be monetized. The USDollar will be harmed, Gold will surely rise, and Oil will likely fall. A very valid point must be made. In past financial crises, the United States drew $trillions in capital from foreign markets. Next the opposite will occur, as foreigners will remove $trillions from their US holdings in both stocks and bonds. The US will be left to defend itself with corrupt devices. Gold will respond.

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Currencies

Sunday, June 30, 2019

US Prepares for Currency War with China / Currencies / Currency War

By: Richard_Mills

The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis serves as a reminder of what happens when competing economies engage in a round of competitive currency devaluations.

The crisis began after impressive growth in the so-called tiger economies abruptly stopped, leading to stock market crashes and currencies losing about 70% of their value. The recession that followed lasted two years, during which time the IMF loaned South Korea, Indonesia and Thailand $110 billion. In exchange those countries had to adhere to strict austerity measures including higher taxes, reduced public spending, privatizations and higher interest rates, to cool their overheated economies resulting from the stimulus package. By 1999 growth returned, albeit with stock markets and currencies far below pre-1997 levels.

The currency meltdown was triggered by the default of a large property developer and a financial company in Thailand. When the Thai baht wasn’t able to maintain its peg to the US dollar, it was devalued and floated. Other Asian currencies soon followed, including the Malaysian ringgit, Indonesian rupiah and Singapore dollar.

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Currencies

Friday, June 28, 2019

Why Facebook May Pose a Greater Financial Danger Than Wall Street / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Ellen_Brown

Payments can happen cheaply and easily without banks or credit card companies, as has already been demonstrated—not in the United States but in China. Unlike in the U.S., where numerous firms feast on fees from handling and processing payments, in China most money flows through mobile phones nearly for free. In 2018 these cashless payments totaled a whopping $41.5 trillion; and 90% were through Alipay and WeChat Pay, a pair of digital ecosystems that blend social media, commerce and banking. According to a 2018 article in Bloomberg titled “Why China’s Payment Apps Give U.S. Bankers Nightmares”:

The nightmare for the U.S. financial industry is that a technology company—whether from China or a homegrown juggernaut such as Amazon.com Inc. or Facebook Inc.—replicates the success of Alipay and WeChat in America. The stakes are enormous, potentially carving away billions of dollars in annual revenue from major banks and other firms.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Bitcoin Is Going To Zero - Or $100,000 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

If you have followed us since December 2018, then you know we were expecting a major bottom in the cryptocurrency market, and expecting 2019 to be very bullish. In February we wrote an article suggesting an imminent wave two bottom, which proved correct, holding support by $10 on some exchanges.

We suggested then that a third wave would commence, thrusting Bitcoin prices much higher. The only part we got wrong was that our targets were exceeded in the third wave. That happens in strong bull markets. So in May we updated our target for Bitcoin to exceed $10,000 before it completed this rally. But we were 100% right about a bullish 2019 so far.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

What Does Facebook’s LIBRA New Crytocurrency Really Offer? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Rodney_Johnson

The dark days of 2009 now seem like forever ago.

We didn’t know which banks would survive. The Fed made all banks take bailout money so that citizens wouldn’t know which ones were in trouble and then drain them of deposits. The Fed made bank stocks ineligible for shorting so that investors wouldn’t drive their market caps to zero.

We worried that fiat currencies, those printed by governments and backed by nothing, would go to zero.

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Currencies

Monday, June 24, 2019

Facebook Win-Win with Libra… and The Third Market Wave / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Harry_Dent

If you don’t know by now that Facebook released its libra whitepaper on Tuesday, you’re living under a rock. What you may not know is that bitcoin shot up on the news. That’s because libra gives credibility to the cryptocurrency market, much like AOL did when it first brought email and the internet to the masses.

But that doesn’t mean it’s going to be all sunshine and flowers from here on out. Just like AOL, Facebook faces a storm of lash backs and push backs from across the board. Regulators. Governments. Central banks. Cryptocurrency players. Citizens concerned with Facebook’s growing involvement in every aspect of our lives.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

US Dollar Rallies Off Support But Is This A Top Or Bottom? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US dollar rallied nearly half a percent off recent support near $96.50.  This upside price move confirms the capital shift we have been talking about.  Foreign capital is pouring into US markets and US dollar as strength in the US economy continues to dominate.

This new upside move in the US dollar has established a new lower price channel that should continue to act as price support going forward. Fibonacci price structure dictates that a higher low and a higher high price rotation may follow. We would expect some resistance just below the $98 level and if the Fed lowers the rate the dollar will likely pullback and consolidate for a few weeks to digest the news, but investors will still see the USD as the strong currency and keep buying it longer term.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Let’s Gain Even More on the Sliding Euro and British Pound / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, we’ve heard the ECB President speak and tomorrow, it’s the Fed’s turn. What about the time in between? Well, the markets still move and it’s our job to be positioned accordingly so as to profit from whatever is unfolding. And what kind of opportunities we’ve managed to catch! Good news, the ride is far from over. Let’s take a look at the way things are shaping up. We’ll then sharpen our battle plans accordingly. We even have a new candidate for opening a long position to tell you about!

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Currencies

Monday, June 17, 2019

King Dollar Rides Higher Creating Pressures On Foreign Economies / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One of the biggest movers of the day on Friday was the US dollar.  The US stock market appeared very weak prior to the opening bell and precious metals, especially gold, appeared to be rocketing higher.  Almost right from the open, the markets washed out the fear and changed direction. The US dollar did the same thing.

This renewed strength in the US dollar continues to baffle foreign investors and foreign governments as they continue to try to support their economies and currencies against a stronger and more agile US economy and currency. Even as the US dollar strength is frustrating many investors, it is also attempting to keep a lid on traditional safe havens such as precious metals.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

How Forex Indicators are Getting Even More Attention in the Market? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

Forex industry has transformed immensely in the recent years. Unlike in the past, traders were required to handle every aspect on their own, regardless of their experience. Now there are many valuable forex tools and resources available lessen the workload whilst minimizing risk and increasing profit margins.

Traders who use forex indicators in their trading procedures acknowledge it as a great resource that continuously helps them assess recent price fluctuations as well as predict future market changes.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 04, 2019

New U.S. Sanctions Spark Blowback Against Federal Reserve Note Dollar System / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MoneyMetals

U.S. leaders are demanding the rest of the world recognize economic sanctions and stop buying Iranian oil. The U.K., Germany, France, Russia, China, and India are among the nations who don’t fully support the sanctions and would rather not pay higher prices for oil elsewhere.

American officials more and more often resort to delivering ultimatums, both to adversaries and allies alike. Nations that do not follow orders stand to lose access to the U.S. financial system and could face trade sanctions of their own. That is a serious threat.

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Currencies

Monday, May 27, 2019

Bitcoin Price Stalls Near $8100 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After an incredible 7+week rally in Bitcoin, from $3700 to above $8000, the current price action is setting up for what may become an extended Pennant/Flag formation with quite a bit of sideways trading ahead.

Our researchers believe the past 7+ weeks rally in Bitcoin was prompted by a shift away from risk in Asia/China and into more suitable protection assets.  Cryptos appear to be the easy choice for many as this rally coincided with the April 3rd through 6th US/China trade talks in Washington, DC (https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3004961/us-says-theres-still-significant-work-be-done-trade-talks).  It appears that many investors were preparing for a difficult deadline after the March 1st deadline for a deal was pushed back.  These early April trade talks may have been interpreted as a “do or die” effort from both sides.  Again, shortly after the May 1st US/China trade talks in Beijing, Bitcoin began another rally from the $5200 level all the way up to the $8000 level.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Eye Opening Currency Charts – Why Precious Metals Are Falling / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The incredible strength of the US Dollar over the past 12+ months has put downward pricing pressure on Gold and Silver.  I believe this downward pricing pressure could be muting any upside price advanced in Gold and Silver by as much as 20% to 30% or more.

The US Dollar has turned into the global “safe-haven” for international investors and foreign governments.  Over the past 6 to 12 months, or more, the US Dollar has been the only fiat currency to see any strength and upward trend.  All the other major global currency levels have fallen – some dramatically lower.

The EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, and CHF have all fallen sharply over the past 6 to 12 months as the strength of the US Dollar and US Economy continued to surprise many.  We’ve been calling this a “capital shift” that started back in 2015~2016 – when the 2016 US Election cycle began and China began to implement capital controls.  At the same time, foreign nations such as Brazil and Venezuela began to shift into an economic abyss while the UK dealt with BREXIT negotiations.  All of these external factors created an environment where the US Dollar became a global safe-haven for global investors – all of which were seeking US equities and US Dollars to hedge weakening foreign currencies and weak foreign stock market performance.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Elliott Wave Analysis of GBPUSD / Currencies / British Pound

By: WavePatternTraders

I suspect a relief bounce is close at hand for some of the GBP pairs, when we look at the decline from the May 2019 high, the new low on pairs such as GBPCHF and GBPCAD are supportive that the new low on GBPUSD is most likely the 5th wave of an impulse wave (5 wave decline) from 13176.

A partial rally in 3 waves is favored soon, that can offer an opportunity for traders that are looking to sell GBPUSD, stops need to be placed at 13176. That is likely to align with a bounce on pairs like GBPCHF and GBPCAD etc.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Bitcoin's Strong Extensions Warn The Bear May Try To Come Back / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

In our last update, we stated that Bitcoin was providing us the minimum price patterns to suggest that a bull market was under way. Moreover, we were looking for a standard corrective pullback to solidify the bull market case.

But when the price action is too strong, it can flash warnings signals. This is clearly what we have seen over the last week or two. Price is always king, and we must not act emotionally as price barrels upward. We must continue to put price action to the test, as it is the only truth in the market.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

The Euro Is Bidding Its Time: A Reversal at Hand? / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

Relentlessly, the USD Index keeps pushing higher. The euro has come under pressure earlier today though it looks to have stabilized. How close are we to the euro flashing a buy signal and how strong would that have to be to make us act? Is it time to change sides and make another quick buck or two this way? And what about the rest of our profitable positions?

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