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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, June 02, 2014

U.S. Dollar Distorted, Dislocated and Discombobulated / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Raul_I_Meijer

It looks like we’ll have a few more days to watch this thing, this alleged market, until on Thursday Mario Draghi launches his modern day version of Greenspan’s oracle years and on Friday the BLS, which can rival any oracle when it comes to confusing utterances, has the US employment numbers. There seem to be people who think those numbers might be quite good, though that might be hard to imagine in the wake of a shrinking US economy. Then again, in an environment where very few numbers make sense anymore, it’s anyone’s call.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Will GBP/USD Plunge Again? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that U.S. gross domestic product in the first quarter declined for the first time since the first quarter of 2011. Despite this bearish data, the report also showed that consumer spending increased by 3.1%, indicating that economic activity has rebounded. Additionally, the Department of Labor showed in its weekly report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the U.S. last week fell by 27,000 to 300,000, beating expectations for a decline of 9,000. Thanks to these better-than-expected numbers, the U.S. dollar bounced off the session low, pushing the British pound below the 50% Fibonacci retracement once again. Will this decline trigger further deterioration?

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Currencies

Thursday, May 29, 2014

The 500 Cryptos That Aren't Bitcoin: Intro to Altcoins / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Mark Blair writes: for those outside the crypto sphere, cryptos are pretty much just Bitcoin. However, I offer here a tour of the 'altcoin' universe: Bitcoin is by no means a done deal, readers, as any altcoiner knows.

For example, a year ago, Bitcoin held 95%-plus of the total market cap of all cryptos. There are over 500 cryptographic currencies at present, though at least 300 are rubbish, and will die. See com-http.us for the best list I know of.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Bitcoin at Major Crossroads / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Very briefly: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market now.

Today, we read an interesting piece on CoinDesk on the potential of Bitcoin derivatives. The article discusses why derivatives might be needed for the Bitcoin market and how liquid derivatives markets might emerge for the cryptocurrency.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

AUD-NZD – Who Will Win The Bledisloe Currency Cup? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

While the Kiwi’s dominate the rugby version, just how does their currency stack up against that of the Wallabies? There’s no better place to start than the yearly chart to get the big picture so let’s take a look.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

USD/JPY Trapped In Corrective Price Action? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

The USD/JPY is turning into a temporary recovery, and the reason is slow and overlapping price action at the late stage of recent decline that looks like an ending diagonal placed in wave C position, final leg of a three wave fall from 104.11. Therefore, we suspect that the USD/JPY is trapped in some bigger corrective price action, probably a triangle, and that pair will continue sideways or even slightly higher in the next couple of days. We expect a three wave rise up in wave C), back to 103.00.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

EUR/USD Currency Bears Are Still in Charge / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

The euro declined against the U.S. dollar as positive housing and consumer confidence data supported the greenback. Earlier today, the Commerce Department reported that core durable goods orders (without volatile transportation items) increase 0.1% in April, missing expectations for a 0.3% increase. Despite this disappointing data, U.S. durable goods orders rose 0.8% in the previous month, beating expectations for a 0.5% fall. Additionally, the Conference Board reported that its consumer confidence index rose to 83.0 this month from 81.7 in April, while the Standard & Poor’s/ Case-Shiller house price index rose 12.4% in March from a year earlier, above expectations for a gain of 11.8%. Thanks to these solid numbers, the common currency dropped to its nearest support zone. Will it withstand the selling pressure once again?

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

This Chart Proves the Bitcoin Market Is Maturing / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: One of the biggest knocks on the Bitcoin market has been the volatility of the price of Bitcoin, and looking at the price charts over the past six months, it's easy to see why.

But as crazy as the Bitcoin market has been - just take a look at the timeline - the lack of any major news over the past few weeks has had a distinct calming effect on the digital currency.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Time for a Post-Petrodollar Investor Profit Play / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: Beware of unintended consequences.

That's the advice I'd give Western leaders when imposing sanctions on Russia over the Ukraine crisis.

You see, Putin's been racking up his air miles, hastening the pace to replace the petrodollar.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

GBP/USD: Bearish Reversal, Recovers Nicely / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBP/USD has recovered nicely last week, clearly in three waves 1.6728 to 1.6920. The pair reached our mentioned levels around 1.6900 where markets already turned slightly to the downside, and fell through support channel line that now makes room for a decline back to 1.6728 in this week.

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Currencies

Monday, May 26, 2014

No Stop for Bitcoin Price before $600? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market.

We frequently repeat that it is hard to exactly pinpoint what’s behind a given price move. While some reasons given by the media might have merit, in most of the cases claiming that “Bitcoin moved because X” (plug whatever you want for X) might not be warranted. This is probably done for the sake of a “good story” but does not have to have much to do with actual reasons for the price fluctuations.

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Currencies

Saturday, May 24, 2014

Two Scenarios for Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Cutting right to the chase: we don't support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market at the moment.

Forbes' Kashmir Hill posted an article yesterday in which she discusses the possibility of sending bitcoins to people living in emerging markets:

Earlier this week, many in the Bitcoin community got very excited about a short film that demonstrates a promising use for Bitcoin. Ronah, a Ugandan woman who emigrated to Brookline, Massachusetts in 2011, regularly sends tuition money to her 20-year-old brother, Ronald, who is studying accounting and finance in Kampala. (...)

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Currencies

Friday, May 23, 2014

USDJPY Set For New Highs / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

Austin Galt writes: Let’s begin by taking a look at the big picture, the yearly chart.

YEARLY CHART

Here we can see a powerful up move started in 2012, went full bore in 2013 and seems to have stagnated in 2014. It appears that a longterm bear market is in force consisting of lower lows and lower highs and so far the last few years of trading hasn’t damaged that technical picture.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 22, 2014

FX Majors Look For Correction - Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD
EURUSD fell to a new swing low but that does not mean that wave (b) correction is already completed. Corrections after such a sharp fall liek we have seen from 1.3992 are usually more complex and they will tend to retrace for around 38.2%. That's now the case on the EURUSD yet, so we assume that wave (b) is still unfolding as irregular correction. Ideally, we will see an expanded flat with 1.3770 yet to come before market turns down for (c).

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Forex Trading - AUD/USD Double Trouble / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the minutes of the RBA's May policy meeting showed that the bank plans to hold interest rates at record lows for an extended period of time. Additionally, the Conference Board reported that its index for Australia was flat in March, after a 0.2% rise in February. In reaction to this disappointing news, the Australian dollar dropped to a 2-week low against its U.S. counterpart, declining below two important support levels. Does this mean that investors’ sentiment is deteriorating and we’ll see AUD/USD lower?

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Ink + Paper Doesn't Equal Value: Prechter on Fiat Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: EWI

My dad will turn 84 this year. When he was born, you could walk into a Federal Reserve Bank or the Treasury and redeem your paper money for gold. It actually said you could on every piece of U.S. paper currency:

"Redeemable in gold on demand at the United States Treasury, or in Gold or lawful money at any Federal Reserve Bank."

You can't do that today, which helps explain why my dad is so grumpy.

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Currencies

Monday, May 19, 2014

USD/JPY: Downtrend Continuation In View / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD/JPY has turned down last week and fell beneath 101.42 after broken channel line (circled zone). As such, corrective rally up to 102.36 appears complete which means that traders should be aware of a downtrend continuation in days ahead, ideally close to 100. Invalidation level is now at 102.36, but break above 102.00 would already threaten the bearish look.

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Currencies

Friday, May 16, 2014

Bitcoin Possible False Calm / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we still support short speculative positions in the Bitcoin market, stop-loss $470.

At least 10 members of the Bitcoin Foundation have left in the wake of the election of Brock Pierce as a new director, Reuters reported. We can read:

Some of the members cited Pierce’s troubled past. That includes allegations in lawsuits from three employees of Pierce’s first company, bankrupt web video business Digital Entertainment Network, that he provided drugs and pressured them for sex when they were minors.

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Currencies

Friday, May 16, 2014

Fall Of the U.S. Dollar Based Monetary System: Russia Puts The Avalanche In Motion / Currencies / US Dollar

By: GoldSilverWorlds

It is truly astonishing how much trust people have in the establishment. Almost everyone believes that central planners are focused on defending the best outcome for society. In the same respect, almost everyone nowadays believes that “things are contained.”

Looking under the hood, it appears that several worrisome trends are going on. Examining those trends, one can only conclude that they are building up momentum. But make no mistake, momentum, in this case, is not in the right direction.

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Currencies

Friday, May 16, 2014

Gold Standard - How the U.S. Government Created the Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EWI

By Robert Prechter

The Government's Disastrous Reign Over U.S. Money

Very few people know that the United States did not create a monetary unit pegged to 'buy' some amount of metal, as if the dollar were some kind of money independent of metal. In 1792, Congress passed the U.S. Coinage Act, which defined a dollar as a coin containing 337.25 grains of silver and 44.75 grains of alloy. Congress did not say a dollar was worth that amount of metal; it was that amount of metal. A dollar, then was a unit of weight, like a gram, ounce or pound. Since the alloy portion of the coin was nearly worthless, a dollar was essentially defined as 1 Troy ounce.) In a nutshell, a dollar was equal to a bit more than 3/4 of an announce of silver; or, in reverse, an ounce of silver was equal to $1.293.

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