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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Where is the Bottom in the Euro? / Currencies / Euro

By: Richard_Cox

In the last few weeks, the Euro has reversed a good portion of the gains made during the early parts of this year as the monetary policy outlook at the ECB looks to be changing at a rate that is more aggressive than previously expected.  Looking at specific forex rates, the EUR/USD hit an initial high just below the 1.40 mark before making a violent turn to the downside that has pushed traders to an alternate viewpoint where the shared Euro currency is looking much more attractive as a sell on rallies rather than as a buy on dips.  These trends are being aided by new positives in the US economic, and a good portion of the market is now using the Dollar as a means for exiting long positions in the Euro itself. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

AUD-NZD Set To Explode Higher / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

The interesting action keeps taking place in the AUDNZD. Let’s start with the daily chart to see the latest developments.

DAILY CHART

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

GBP/USD – Another Fakeout / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the British pound declined sharply against the greenback after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney testimony. Later in the day, sterling extended losses after data showed that Conference Board consumer confidence index jumped to 85.2 this month from 83.0 in May (it’s worth noting that this was the highest reading since January 2008), while the number of new home sales also rose to a six-year high, increasing 18.6% in May ( the highest level since May 2008 and the largest monthly increase since January 1992). These strong bullish numbers boosted the U.S. dollar and triggered a sharp decline in the GBP/USD pair. Where could the exchange rate drop after another fakeout?

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Bitcoin Price at Crossroads / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market now.

The law landscape is changing for Bitcoin with almost every week. Now, the authorities in California have passed a bill to address the unclear legal standing of the currency, Reuters reported:

California lawmakers on Monday approved a measure making it easier to use alternative currencies including Bitcoin, even as the failed Tokyo based bitcoin exchange, Mt Gox, moved forward into bankruptcy protection.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 21, 2014

Bitcoin Price Wavering around $600 - Which Way Will It Go? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short words: we don't support any short-term positions at this time.

The Bolivian government banned Bitcoin in May, CoindDesk announced yesterday:

El Banco Central de Bolivia, the central bank of the South American nation, has officially banned any currency or coins not issued or regulated by the government, including bitcoin and a list of other cryptocurrencies including namecoin, peercoin, Quark, primecoin and feathercoin.

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Currencies

Friday, June 20, 2014

British Pound Soars above GBP 1.71, Tracking £/$1.80 Forecast Despite Scottish Independence Risks / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The british pound soared above GBP 1.71 and as of writing is holding steady at around 1.705. The surge in sterling confounded many market analysts who had both been skeptical of the strength of the british economy as it continues to face head winds from a depressed Euro-zone and the chaos inducing risks that surround the forthcoming Scottish Independence referendum where the polls continue to trend in the direction of the Yes vote.

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Currencies

Friday, June 20, 2014

EURUSD On The Cusp / Currencies / Euro

By: Austin_Galt

Let's begin the analysis by looking at the yearly chart.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 19, 2014

Escalating Middle East Tensions Could Spur Forex Market Volatility / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: MahiFX

The extraordinary events featuring the Islamist extremist movement ISIS seemingly determined to carve out a new caliphate covering large parts of Syria and Iraq could yet have big reverberations in the currency markets.

Potential volatility in the currencies is likely to be first telegraphed through the oil market with the Middle East being a key supplier to the world economy. Should oil prices soar, say if ISIS made further big advances, then there could be serious damage done to the world economy.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

GBP/USD: More Gains After The Pullback / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBP/USD broke sharply to the upside last week with a clear personality of a wave three within a five wave move in wave C). We see pair going higher now, above 1.7000 to complete wave (5). This fifth wave should be made by three legs as we are tracking an ending diagonal on a daily chart, so upside can be limited around 1.7100. At the moment we are looking at a corrective pullback in black wave 4 that may stop at 1.6900/1.6920 before uptrend resumes.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

AUD-USD Fake Out / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Austin_Galt

Your rugby opponent runs towards you with ball in hand. Just as you’re about to tackle him he feigns to go right, but then steps back to the left and darts off with you in hot pursuit. Just as it is in rugby, so too is it in the market. The market is our opponent and it’s our job to tackle it. It is not our friend. It is our enemy and it will do all it can to elude us. It will play mind games with us. Daring us to do this or that, knowing its only aim is to dupe us. And if we are duped it will do its utmost not to let us catch it after we finally cotton on to the charade. In this case, the AUDUSD looks to have dummied to the high side then sidestepped back to the low side and is now streaking away. Rallies should be small as it makes it hard to get set for those that didn’t pick the initial fake out.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

The Book Of Satoshi: Bitcoin Has Changed Everything / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

BITCOIN HAS CHANGED EVERYTHING. Its importance as an evolution in money and banking cannot be overstated. Notice I don’t use the word “revolution” here because I consider Bitcoin to be a complete “evolution” from the anachronistic money and banking systems that humanity has been using—and been forced by government dictate to use—for at least the last hundred years.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Tense Days Ahead for Bitcoin Price / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: we don't support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market at this time.

Yesterday, we wrote about the worrying aspects of the fact that GHash.IO, a Bitcoin mining pool, had temporarily reached 51% of mining power, a phenomenon which could have potentially disastrous consequences, including the possibility to double-spend coins and reverse transactions.

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Currencies

Sunday, June 15, 2014

US Dollar Index Huge Consolidation Pattern / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

The title says it all really. Let’s first look at the yearly chart of the US Dollar Index to see what it means.

YEARLY CHART

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Currencies

Friday, June 13, 2014

Bitcoin Price Depreciation or Reversal – Which Will Prevail? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no positions are suggested for the short-term.

SwiftBoatVet, a Reddit user, posted a couple screens they got while filling out a survey for PayPal. It seems that the survey itself was revolving around Bitcoin, asking for direct comparisons of the two payment systems. While this fits in quite well with the comments made recently by eBay’s (owner of PayPal) CEO, John Donahoe, who expressed the opinion PayPal could integrate Bitcoin, the survey itself turned out to be somewhat unclear since it treated Bitcoin more as a PayPal clone than a currency or payment system.

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Currencies

Friday, June 13, 2014

AUD NZD Uptrend Channel / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

Since my last report on the AUDNZD there has been some interesting action take place. Let’s look at the daily chart to see exactly what is going on.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 12, 2014

USD/CAD Seeks Corrective Pullback / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD Daily
On USDCAD we are tracking a deep but still corrective price action from start of the year. We are looking at wave 4) that is part of an big impulsive rally from a weekly chart. Usually fourth waves will find a support around 28 or 50% retracement level compared to wave 3) which in our case comes in around 1.0730. As such, we see pair now trading down within final stages of a corrective retracement, so we need to be aware of a bullish reversal, probably at the start of June.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

EUR, GBP, AUD Currency Bears in Charge / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Today, the common currency continued to move lower against the greenback as Treasury yields in the U.S. continued to rise. In reaction to this, EUR/USD declined below 1.3600 and reached important support lines. Will they stop currency bears?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified (stop-loss order levels were adjusted) - summary:

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Bitcoin Price More Appreciation to Come but Not Just Now / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market at the moment.

John Donahoe, eBay’s CEO, told CNBC PayPal was “going to have to integrate digital currencies.” He also expressed the view that digital currencies would “play an important role going forward."

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

British Pound or U.S. Dollar: Which Will Win The Race? / Currencies / British Pound

By: Richard_Cox

For most of this year, there has been a relatively clear cut race between the British Pound and the US Dollar.  The outcome so far has been surprising, as the central bank stance in these two economies clearly favors the British Pound.  As the US Federal Reserve looks increasingly committed to cutting its historic QE programs, most might have expected that the greenback would have had a banner year.  But this has not occurred, and many have been left surprised as a result. 

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Currencies

Monday, June 09, 2014

GBP/USD: Corrective Retracement From 1.6995 / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

The GBP/USD traded higher last week and made an overlap with 1.6810 which means that any bearish impulse wave count has been invalidated. As such, we are now observing a new, bullish interpretation because reversal from around 1.6995 can be counted as a double zigzag. Notice that price also found a support a week back around the lower support line of a trading channel.

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