Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 17, 2016
Forex Big Reaction to Little Action / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
Yesterday, the Fed announced that it had decided to leave the interest rates unchanged. However, this doesn't mean that nothing changed. There was something that the Fed said that altered the outlook.
What was it? The Fed now signals two rate hikes in 2016 instead of four. Some investors even say that the Fed's tightening cycle is over. Either way that's a bearish piece of information for the USD Index, so yesterday's move lower in it may (!) be followed by a few additional daily downswings (and it appears that we are seeing one now).
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Thursday, March 17, 2016
US Dollar Important Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
Last week I showed you this potential H&S top forming on the USDU which is a more evenly balanced index for the US dollar which actually trades as an ETF.
http://www.wisdomtree.com/etfs/fund-details-currency.aspx?etfid=91
I built this chart using a line chart and then leaving the trendlines in place I converted to a bar chart. As you can see it has been backtesting the neckline for the last week or so along with the 200 dma. This chart shows a reversal pattern which sets up a downtrend of some kind. This is an important development.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
U.S. Dollar Outlook: Peak Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Is the dollar's seemingly relentless rise in recent years coming to an end? What are the implications not only for the greenback, but other currencies and markets around the world?
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
USD/JPY - Short-term Consequences of Long-Term Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
Earlier today, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged at -0.10% which pushed the yen higher against the greenback. What does it mean for USD/JPY?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
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Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Bitcoin Price Not Far from $400 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: short speculative positions, target at $153, stop-loss at $515.
Microsoft has dropped Bitcoin from its Microsoft Store, we read on the Fortune website:
Back at the end of 2014, Microsoft started allowing many people to pay money into their accounts using bitcoins. However, it has now quietly removed the option.
The change applies to both Windows 10 and Windows 10 Mobile, meaning people won’t be able to top up their balances with bitcoins in order to buy games, music and so on.
It’s not clear why Microsoft has suddenly gone cool on Bitcoin, but it is worth noting that it never went all in — the feature never saw a wide geographical rollout, and Microsoft never accepted bitcoin for its own products and services.
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Saturday, March 12, 2016
US Dollar Strength is a Manifestation of US Dollar Shortage / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T.Long and Jeffrey Snider, Head of Global Investment Research at Alhambra Investment Partners discuss a broad array of Global Macro subjects in this 48 minute video discussion with supporting slides.
As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base. Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Forex Markets Uncertainty Around ECB Decisions / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
Earlier today, the euro declined against the U.S. dollar once again as uncertainty around today's ECB decisions continues to weight on the European currency. Thanks to these circumstances, EUR/USD dropped under the barrier of 1.1000. Will we see a test of the recent lows in the coming days?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
The US Dollar, What If Everybody is Wrong ? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
It’s been awhile since we last looked at the US dollar which has been consolidating its big impulse move up. The reason I haven’t posted it much is because it’s stuck in a sideways trading range going back over a year now.
99.9% of Market participants are either Bullish the Dollar , with all the implications including Lower Gold Prices or Bearish the Dollar, with the opposite implications .
However there are not two but THREE possible outcomes to this present trading range.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2016
The Great Quickening - Finance & Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The quickening has begun in earnest. The end game might have begun in November with events picking up speed, remedy engaged in progressive steps, and geopolitical balance of power shifting in serious manner. The following are major events and factors in the Global Currency RESET in progress. The sequence of future events might become frightening, as the new financial structure comes into view. The potential for disruption to the USDollar- based supply chain and inventory system remains a high risk. The onset of the return of the Gold Standard to trade, banking, and currencies is upon us. The following are frequent topics within the Hat Trick Letter, within each and every monthly report.
Sunday, March 06, 2016
Currencies, They Are All Still Sinking! Video / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript Excerpt: hi it's Sunday March 6 2016 today I'm gonna be talking about perspective and
looking at the bigger picture
think you know everyone needs to do that once in awhile as you can see the title
of my videos currencies they're all still sinking you might ask why still
thinking you know forever while not forever but the last fifteen years I'm
gonna go back to an article I wrote in 2007 and April 2007 and it was entirely
currencies they're all sinking and was part two
article I wrote like December of 2006 so as you can see I've been looking at for
a long time actually I started in 2002 my first goal so at the time just to
give you some sense of perspective about pricing various currencies the dollar
price adobe 684 so you know it is today
Saturday, February 27, 2016
The Hong Kong Dollar, Rock Solid / Currencies / Hong Kong
By: Steve_H_Hanke
The currency speculators are restless, again. Many, like George Soros and Kyle Bass, are reportedly taking aim at the Hong Kong dollar (HKD). HKD bear circles think China’s renmimbi (RMB) will lose value against the U.S. dollar (USD) as China’s economy slows down and capital flight from China continues. This, it is asserted, will put pressure on the HKD, and force its devaluation. Thus rendering the fixed rate of 7.8 HKD/USD null and void, and pumping profits into the pockets of those who bet on a devaluation of the HKD.
Friday, February 26, 2016
Why the Euro Is a Doomed Currency / Currencies / Euro
By: Casey_Research
By Doug Casey
For a long time, I’ve advocated that the world’s governments should default on their debt. I recognize that this is an outrageous-sounding proposal.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Whoever Does Not Respect the Penny is Not Worthy of the Dollar / Currencies / War on Cash
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno
This definitive sign of a currency collapse is easy to see…
When paper money literally becomes trash.
Maybe you’ve seen images depicting hyperinflation in Germany after World War I. The German government had printed so much money that it became worthless. Technically, German merchants still accepted the currency, but it was impractical to use. It would have required wheelbarrows full of paper money just to buy a loaf of bread.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Boris Johnson Crashes British Pound or Wins Currency War? Video / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
According to the mainstream media Boris Johnson's declaration to campaign for Britain to leave the European Union has triggered market panic head lines right across the mainstream press spectrum that demonstrates the magnitude of the depth of their ignorance of markets from the likes of the BBC, to Channel 4 News to the myriad of dieing broadsheet publications such as the FT, all in unison propagating headlines such as 'Boris Johnson Causes a Run on the Pound' that followed a 3 cent dip against the US Dollar on rising BrExit fears as though this was catastrophically bad news, though conveniently ignoring the fact that the FTSE actually closed higher on the so called BrExit panic Monday.
Monday, February 22, 2016
British Pound BrExit Plunge Press Panic! FACT: Helps Britain WIN Currency War! / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream press today illustrated the magnitude of the depth of their ignorance of the markets as right across the spectrum from the likes of the BBC, to Channel 4 News to the myriad of dieing broadsheet publications such as the FT, all in unison propagated headlines such as a 'Boris Johnson Causes a Run on the Pound' following a 3 cent dip against the US Dollar on rising BrExit fears as though this was catastrophically bad news, one of panic, though conveniently ignoring the fact that the FTSE closed higher on so called BrExit Panic day.
Monday, February 22, 2016
US Dollar and The Global 'Peg Pain Trade' / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gordon_T_Long
Charles Hugh Smith and Gordon T Long analyze, with 25 slides, the strength in the US Dollar and what we can likely expect going forward.
Both see a strong dollar in the future as it becomes, more and more a flight to safety associated with failed monetary / fiscal policies, weakening current accounts and slowing trade around the world. It isn't that the US$ is a paragon of virtue and value, but rather the "least ugly".
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Canadian Dollar Now Even Less of a Haven from US Dollar Collapse Than Before / Currencies / Canadian $
By: Jeff_Berwick
In 2011, we posted an article entitled “The Canadian Dollar is No Haven from a US Dollar Collapse.” The point of the article was that Canada had almost no gold reserves and the only thing backing the Canadian dollar was the US dollar.
Canadians were quite smug, back then, with the Canadian dollar trading above par with the US dollar and we wanted to remind them that not only would the Canadian dollar not be a haven from a US dollar collapse, but the loonie would collapse before the US dollar, since nothing is backing it but the US dollar and Canada had no gold (amongst many other reasons).
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
British Pound Rising Despite Negative Data / Currencies / British Pound
By: MBM_Research
Trends in many of the financial markets have started to reverse course over the last few weeks with a few notable examples that have yet to be fully discussed. Some of the more closely watched examples here include things like gold and oil, which have come off sharply from their recent lows. But there are other examples that should be on the radar of UK traders, as the British Pound (GBP) is making some interesting reversals in its own right.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
US Economy Slides One Step Further Towards A Recession / Currencies / Recession 2016
By: Dr_David_J_Harris
SUMMARY:
This article reviews whether the US is potentially sliding towards an economic recession, as defined by NBER.
- The St. Louis FED publishes a monthly report that presents the output from its smoothed US recession probabilities model.
- The model covers the period from June 1967 to the present day, and during this period there have been seven US recessions, as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
- The FED model has three false positives and zero false negatives. All three false positives were within two years of a US recession starting, so they can be considered as early indicators of a recession rather than false positives.
Friday, February 05, 2016
Pity the USD longs! / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
An opinion by ZeroHedge on this morning’s payroll report caught my attention. They opine, “The most obvious reaction to the "great" drop in the unemployment rate and "huge miss" in payrolls is a rise (yes rise) in rate-hike odds for 2016. This appears to be why the Dollar is spiking and bonds, stocks, crude, gold and everything else is being sold...”
Unfortunately the USD retracement is losing momentum at 97.24, just above mid-Cycle support/resistance at 96.99.
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