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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Syria, Iran, and Egypt - Troubled Currencies Project Update / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Syria: Since August 26,  when U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry began laying the groundwork for military intervention in Syria, the Syrian pound (SYP) has taken a beating on the black market. Indeed, the SYP has lost 24.07 percent of its value against the U.S. dollar (USD) in the two days since Kerry’s announcement. Currently, the exchange rate sits at 270 SYP/USD, yielding an implied annual inflation rate of 291.88 percent. In countries with troubled currencies, there is no better measure of economic expectations than the black-market exchange rate. The recent deterioration in the SYP/USD exchange rate clearly indicates that Syrians are anticipating Western military intervention in the near term.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

The Biggest Race to Print Paper Money in History? / Currencies / Central Banks

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Many central banks within the global economy are involved in printing more of their paper money (often referred to as “fiat” currencies). There’s a race to devalue currencies in hopes to revive economies and maintain a competitive stance. Countries believe that by printing more of their fiat currency, they can improve their exports to the global economy, because the goods will be cheaper for those countries that have a stronger currency.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

U.S. Dollar Gains Strength Off Remarks of the Federal Reserve Bank / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Brett Chatz writes: US dollar gains ground against all of its major trading partners. The US dollar held firm and gained ground against most of its major trading partners in the currency markets. This about-turn in expectation materialized after a poor forecast for US durable goods failed to dampen the dollar’s appreciation against major world currencies. Economists pointed out that the dollar had gained ground against most of the 16 traded currencies. Further news for investors is that the Fed looks set to cut bond purchases in upcoming months. The dollar gains were however halted after John Kerry (US Secretary of State) declared that President Barack Obama will hold the government of Syria responsible for its actions. This is seen as a potentially dramatic shift in foreign policy after the administration seemingly backpedalled on its red line comments.

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Currencies

Monday, August 26, 2013

Tracking USD Long Set-Ups While EUR Is Below 1.3450 and USDCHF above 0.9145 / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

We can see some USD strength at the start of this European morning coming back into the market which has been expected based on the latest intraday price action. We were looking for a three wave move down on USDCHF with our members, and so far we can see that pair found a bottom nicely around 0.9190 from where we can see some encouraging upside reaction. Looks like we could be heading back to 0.9290, and possibly 0.9330 this week.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 22, 2013

US Dollar Index Five Waves Up Points to Higher USD / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD found some support an hour back or so, after disappointing US Unemployment claims. So I decided to check the intra-day structure on USD Index to see where the buck is positioned and headed next. Well, on the line chart I can see some very clear impulse to the upside, but its presented on a line chart. Its a clear five wave move with a textbook example of an extended wave three. If you are still learning Elliott Wave, then I suggest you to save and print this chart.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 22, 2013

BRICS Currency Crisis Is Looming / Currencies / Emerging Markets

By: Andrew_McKillop

FORGET THE DYING DOLLAR
Federal Reserve taper-down is becoming almost certain, and with it higher interest rates. One direct result is a strengthening US dollar. The US trade deficit, notably due to fast-growing shale oil production trimming imports and sufficient shale gas output to support LNG export trade, is likely to go on shrinking, strengthening the dollar. The myth of an “always weakening dollar”, which was a reality for years, now has realworld Emerging economy rivals actively slumping towards national currency crises. This concerns major “BRIC's” economies – unlike the 1997-98 Asian NIC crisis.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY Is Showing a Bullish Structure / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDJPY has made three waves of a pull-back from latest high that could be near completion as price tested and already reversed from very important 61.8% Fibonacci support level. We expect to see a move higher from here, ideally in impulsive fashion back to 98.64.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

U.S. Dollar Index Forming A Complex Correction – Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD Index is trading lower for few weeks now but decline from 85.00 has a corrective look for now so we suspect its part of a larger complex correction from May highs. We are tracking a W)-X)-Y) correction, so if we are correct the USD should find a support somewhere around 80.30-81.00 level.

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Currencies

Monday, August 19, 2013

Euro Advance Since April Low Looking Corrective, Be Aware Of New Sell-off / Currencies / Euro

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD reversed higher few weeks back from around 1.2750 level, but recovery since early April still has a corrective look. With that said, we think that move is complex correction, probably a flat and that larger trend will continue lower, especially if we consider a five wave decline from 1.3700 and the start of the year. If we are correct then current bullish leg should stop somewhere around current 1.3400 -1.3450 resistance area.

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Currencies

Friday, August 16, 2013

British Pound GBPUSD Three Wave Rally Suggests A Bearish Reversal / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD is moving higher, but rally from July low is still in three legs with wave C) now near completion as price is approaching upper trend line of a corrective channel as well as equality level compared to wave A). We can also count five waves up from 1.5100 wave B) low, so sooner or later reversal will follow, ideally from 1.5700.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 15, 2013

USDCAD Elliott Wave Analysis - Short-term Pointing Towards 1.0120-1.0150 / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD reversed sharply to the downside at the end of the last week, clearly in impulsive fashion, so structure is now pointing for weaker USDCAD if we consider that rally from 1.0243 was made in three legs, called a correction. We are talking about wave B that has a high in place at 1.0442 from where we expect an impulsive extension down in wave C, back to 1.0243 and possibly even to 1.0150 in this week while 1.0442 is not breached. Recently minor correction has stopped at 1.0350-1.0370 resistance zone from where weakness could resume.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

U.S. Dollar Climbing vs. YEN / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Weaker than expected, Japanese growth and new Mr. Abe’s comments that he is thinking about reducing the corporate tax rate to help offset the sales tax hike apparently has convinced all the naysayers that a weaker YEN still is very much part of the Abe "construction" plan.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 10, 2013

U.S. Dollar - Time to Worry? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Four weeks ago, the USD index hit 3-year highs, metals licked their wounds from the biggest decline in decades and the US growth story stood out in the headline. The Fed was considered the only major central bank capable of scaling down its quantitative easing, while the ECB mulled cutting interest rates to zero. The greenback was boosted by a powerful combination of fundamental and technical moving in tandem.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 08, 2013

Bye Bye Euro, Hello U.S. Dollar! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marc_Horn

It has been a while!!! My wife and I are cruising in Oman and internet access is not widely available! But when I saw this today I really felt I should make the effort!

Talk about coincidence.... or not. Today the Euro has so far failed to make a new high, by a tiny margin and provided it fails to make a new high it has only one way to go - DOWN - it is in centi-3 of deci -3 of daily-3 of weekly-3 of monthly-3 !!!

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

U.S. Dollar Breaks Support, The Next Currency Crisis has Begun! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Toby_Connor

Today the dollar broke through 80.40. This is a major development as it signals that the current daily cycle topped in only 2 days, thus confirming that the intermediate cycle has also topped.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

Competing Currencies in Somalia / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MISES

The Great Debate

For years a debate has raged in monetary economics over the credibility of the theory that a more stable monetary system would emerge were the system to allow for concurrent currencies operating under no legal restrictions.

One side of the debate, represented most prominently by Milton Friedman, believes that the emergence and acceptance of a new currency would be hindered — and its ability to supplant an incumbent currency all but eliminated — by network effects and/or switching costs.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

USDCAD Is Turning Bullish-Elliott Wave Forecast / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Submissions

Gregor Horvat writes: USDCAD found a support around 1.02560 last week, from where the first reaction appears to be in impulsive fashion through the upper trend-line of a corrective channel. We know that impulses show direction of a trend or change in trend.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 06, 2013

What’s Next for the U.S. Dollar and Currencies? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Axel_Merk

In the short to medium term, the U.S. dollar and currencies are heavily influenced by what the Fed may be up to next. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be reading tealeaves as much as anyone else, we may be facing particularly high policy uncertainty that, in turn, reflects on elevated volatility in the bond and currency markets. The good news is that this may yield opportunities for the prudent investor.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 06, 2013

U.S. Dollar - A Diamond in the Rough? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I want to take an in depth look at the US dollar as it is so important to the overall big picture regarding the deflationary outlook that appears to be headed our way. There are just two pieces of the puzzle that need to come into focus and one is a strong US dollar and the other is a weak oil price. Everything else seems to be lining up. I have many different charts for the US dollar that are showing us nothing is broken and basically this consolidation area is still developing.

Lets start with a daily chart for the US dollar that I showed you a while back that shows an expanding triangle forming. Notice the brown shaded support and resistance zone that is made off the top of the blue 5 point triangle reversal pattern just below. As you can see this expanding triangle has been getting bigger so has the volatility been increasing. This is volatility to the max.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 06, 2013

What Is Syria’s Iranian Credit Line Worth? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Last week, the press was filled with reportage about Tehran throwing a lifeline – actually a credit line of $3.6 billion – to the Syrian regime.

The announcement of this Iranian lifeline should have changed the economic expectations of Syrians in the throes of what has morphed into a bloody civil war. Indeed, if it materializes, the $3.6 billion credit line should allow Damascus to conserve its dwindling supply of foreign exchange. This development should have thrown a positive expectation shock into the market for the Syrian pound.

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