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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Friday, January 10, 2014

The Parameters of the Coming U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Hyperinflation is a dynamic process - much like a positive feedback loop that, once entered, is almost impossible to exit.  The process can go on for years. In the feedback cycle, the more central banks print money and buy bonds, the less other entities want to hold bonds.

Simultaneously, the less others choose to hold bonds, the more the central bank is forced to buy so that the government has enough money to spend.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Reasons Why The U.S. Government Is Destroying The Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dan_Amerman

Overview

The United States government has six interrelated motivations for destroying the value of the dollar:

  1. Creating money out of thin air on a massive basis is all that stands between the current state of hidden depression, and overt depression with unemployment levels potentially rivaling those seen in the Great Depression of the 1930s.

  2. It is the most effective way to not just pay down current crushing debt levels using devalued dollars, but also to deal with the rapidly approaching massive generational crisis of paying for Boomer retirement promises.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 07, 2014

U.S. Dollar Crisis Inflation Hammer 2014 / Currencies / Inflation

By: Videos

Economist John Williams thinks 2014 will mark the beginning of hyperinflation. Williams contends, “You are going to see, early on, a crisis in the dollar that will start to trigger the inflation . . . as the inflation picks up, that’s going to savage the economy, which is already in a depression. It never recovered.” Forget what you have heard about the so-called recovery. Williams says, “The consumer is in trouble. There is nothing happening to turn the economy around.” The weak economy is bad news for the dollar. According to Williams, “Anything that would suggest deficit deterioration here, and a weak economy would do that, will have a devastating impact on the dollar.” And if foreigners start selling some of the 12 trillion U.S. dollar based assets, such as bonds and currency, things will turn ugly fast. Williams says, “We’re dependent on the rest of the world continuing to go along with us and continue to support the dollar.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 07, 2014

Bitcoin 2014 Bubble Collapse or Dollar Alternative? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Clif_Droke

Is it a bubble or mania destined for collapse? Or can it beat the odds and become a viable alternative to the dollar?

That’s what many are wondering about Bitcoin, the electronic currency which has captured the Internet world’s imagination. Many observers have dismissed the e-currency as a passing fad – a flash in the pan destined to suffer the same fate as break dancing and Beanie Babies. This conclusion is far too simplistic, however. Due to the complexities of the new currency the Bitcoin issue demands a deeper analysis.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 04, 2014

Why the World is Trapped with their U.S. Dollars / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

To a lot people a country with large foreign reserves is equivalent to a strong country. In a way it is true because a country can only accumulate foreign reserves when it is running a budget surplus. Having large foreign reserves has its advantages like enabling it to finance more imports and also acting as a cushion against an economic downturn. However there are also disadvantages associated with having a large foreign reserve. Besides generating inflation it also increases our dependence on the US$ which we are unable to get out from. A lot of people might thought I am nuts, saying that Malaysia and the rest of the world are trapped with their Dollar denominated foreign reserves. I shall show you why we can’t as a group but before that let us go through our country’s international reserves holdings.

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Currencies

Friday, January 03, 2014

Singapore Local Perceptions on Bitcoin's Future / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Keith_Hilden

I have just returned from a very enjoyable trip to Singapore, in which our goal was to determine the sentiments and level of knowledge people had about Bitcoin in order to better determine Bitcoin's future in Singapore. That journey took me to the pulsating central business district of a vibrant Singapore, traditional neighborhoods completely recast in the face of new immigration and rigorous central planning, and the newcomer immigrants and permanent residents where languages like Thai and Japanese punctuate the linguistic air of Singapore accentuated English. What we found out about Bitcoin sharply contrasted with that of what we learned about Bitcoin in Taiwan.

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Currencies

Friday, December 27, 2013

A Trip Down a Bitcoin Mega Mine in Iceland / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Lewrockwell

Tyler Durden writes: Once upon a time, money – in the form of precious metals – used to be literally dug out of the earth. Limitations on the amount that could be mined, and on how much growth could be borrowed from the future (all debt is, is future consumption denied), is why eventually the world’s central bankers moved from money backed by precious metals, to “money” backed by “faith and credit”, in the process diluting both. It was the unprecedented explosion in credit money creation that resulted once money could be “printed” out of thin air that nearly destroyed the western financial system. Which brings us to Bitcoin, where currency “mining” takes place not in the earth’s crust, or in the basement of the Federal Reserve, but inside supercomputers.

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Currencies

Friday, December 20, 2013

Bitcoin - High Tech Fiat Alchemy / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The curious case of Bitcoin and the associated rise of electronic currency has rekindled money and wealth discussions. It has also given rise to the re-birth to a libertarian cyberpunk ideology. In some ways, the response is a natural reflection of the devaluing of paper promises. In others ways, electronic cryto-currency is perfectly positioned to launch into physical metals. In fact, early correlation has been established, despite the overall tight control of the precious metals markets.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

U.S. Dollar’s Demise and the Rise of Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Clif_Droke

One of the questions investors have been asking lately concerns the outlook for the U.S. dollar index. Investors are understandably concerned by the dollar’s weakness and worry that perhaps that any notable increase in inflation could lead to further erosion in the dollar’s value.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

The Biggest Bitcoin Myths Debunked / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Bitcoin has been in the news a lot lately, but few people - even those talking about it in the media - really have a solid grasp on this groundbreaking digital currency.

What most people do know about Bitcoin is its meteoric rise in value over the past couple of months. The price of Bitcoins trading on the Mt. Gox exchange rose from less than $100 at the end of July to more than $1,200 at the end of November.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

USD Index Looks For Bullish Reversal / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

We believe that USD Index has now turned bullish with impulsive rise from 79.00 and breakout out of a downward channel. This breakout is important sign for a change in trend, even if just temporary. Based on a big picture with a triangle, we think that rise from 79.00 is start of a wave D that will unfold in three legs. If that is the case then current downward move is just a wave (B) correction that could stop around 78.6-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area. As such, move up in wave (C) could start unfolding in the second part of December.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 14, 2013

How the Paper Fiat Money Experiment Will End / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Philipp_Bagus

A paper currency system contains the seeds of its own destruction. The temptation for the monopolist money producer to increase the money supply is almost irresistible. In such a system with a constantly increasing money supply and, as a consequence, constantly increasing prices, it does not make much sense to save in cash to purchase assets later. A better strategy, given this senario, is to go into debt to purchase assets and pay back the debts later with a devalued currency. Moreover, it makes sense to purchase assets that can later be pledged as collateral to obtain further bank loans. A paper money system leads to excessive debt.

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Currencies

Friday, December 13, 2013

Disaster Insurance Ahead of the U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Most people simply cannot conceive of a US dollar hyperinflation any more than a current resident of San Francisco could imagine a 1906 or 1989 earthquake. Many simply choose to not dwell on these potentialities, often rationalizing them against other existential if not abstract inevitabilities.

Dollar Confidence and Money Velocity

Money velocity can be defined simply as GDP divided by money supply.

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Currencies

Friday, December 13, 2013

NZD/USD Choppy Moves Ahead / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

The NZD/USD pair rose during the session on Tuesday, breaking the top of the hammer that had formed on Monday. That of course is a very bullish sign, but we did give back a little bit of the gains towards the end of the day. It is possible that this market will go higher, perhaps hitting the 0.84 level. However, this is not going to be the easiest of moves going forward, and as a result it is going to be choppy at best.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Fed Taper Is Almost Dead Certainty But May Not Trigger USD Rally Yet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Justin Pugsley writes: The economic and political hurdles for the US Federal Reserve to taper its bond purchases are steadily being removed making it almost a dead certainty – but don't expect it to necessarily spur a USD rally, at least not yet.

It appears Democrats and Republicans are closing in on a deal over the US budget, which looks likely to avoid a confidence damaging shut-down of the US government early next year.  On the economic front the surprisingly strong US jobs numbers last week and positive revisions to GDP are powerful incentives to start reining in the Fed's $85 billion a month bond purchasing programme. 

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Currencies

Thursday, December 12, 2013

British Pound GBP Correction Within an Uptrend / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBP/USD has turned lower in the last 24 hours from its highs, but despite some weakness we believe that larger trend is incomplete. We are tracking an impulsive rally from 1.5853 low, which means that recovery needs to be made by five subwaves. With that in mind we believe that current bearish leg represents only first part of corrective pause.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Bitcoin’s Evolution Will be SWIFT / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Chris Horlacher writes: A lot of attention has been paid to bitcoin in the last couple of weeks.  As Chinese buyers piled in to the market, a gathering of bureaucrats in the United States gave their blessing to the nascent currency.  The price movements in bitcoin have been jaw-dropping, to say the least.  The naysayers, looking for any reason to belittle this digital innovation, leaped on a Bank of China announcement that prohibited Chinese banks from dealing with the currency.  To those that have been paying attention, China has had a ban on virtual currencies since June of 2009 so this comes as no surprise.  Other investors and speculators are painting pictures of tulip bulbs for us in the mainstream news, but even the Dutch didn’t see action this intense.  Like Rocky Balboa, this new invention refuses to stay down.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Bitcoins vs. Greenbacks and/or Gold and Silver / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Gary_North

There are conflicting stories among Bitcoins’ supporters about why a Japanese programmer or team of Japanese programmers, who are known by a pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto, developed the original idea for the Bitcoins software.

The primary justification for Bitcoins among libertarians is the prediction that Bitcoins will become an alternative currency to all existing central bank currencies. Bitcoins are seen as a first-stage revolt against central bank money.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Currency War Means Currency Suicide / Currencies / Currency War

By: MISES

Patrick Barron writes: What the media calls a “currency war,” whereby nations engage in competitive currency devaluations in order to increase exports, is really “currency suicide.” National governments persist in the fallacious belief that weakening one’s own currency will improve domestically-produced products’competitiveness in world markets and lead to an export driven recovery. As it intervenes to give more of its own currency in exchange for the currency of foreign buyers, a country expects that its export industries will benefit with increased sales, which will stimulate the rest of the economy. So we often read that a country is trying to “export its way to prosperity.”

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Currencies

Monday, December 09, 2013

GBP British Pound Near Resistance / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD broke to a new high as expected after we identified end of a corrective retracement at 1.5850. As such, we are now tracking a new impulse leg up with can be wave C, final part of a double zigzag in wave E). If this is correct count then rally from July low is near completion. Ideally we will see a reversal down from around 1.64-1.66 region.

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