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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Saturday, February 27, 2016

The Hong Kong Dollar, Rock Solid / Currencies / Hong Kong

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The currency speculators are restless, again. Many, like George Soros and Kyle Bass, are reportedly taking aim at the Hong Kong dollar (HKD). HKD bear circles think China’s renmimbi (RMB) will lose value against the U.S. dollar (USD) as China’s economy slows down and capital flight from China continues. This, it is asserted, will put pressure on the HKD, and force its devaluation. Thus rendering the fixed rate of 7.8 HKD/USD null and void, and pumping profits into the pockets of those who bet on a devaluation of the HKD.

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Currencies

Friday, February 26, 2016

Why the Euro Is a Doomed Currency / Currencies / Euro

By: Casey_Research

By Doug Casey

For a long time, I’ve advocated that the world’s governments should default on their debt. I recognize that this is an outrageous-sounding proposal.

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Whoever Does Not Respect the Penny is Not Worthy of the Dollar / Currencies / War on Cash

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

This definitive sign of a currency collapse is easy to see…

When paper money literally becomes trash.

Maybe you’ve seen images depicting hyperinflation in Germany after World War I. The German government had printed so much money that it became worthless. Technically, German merchants still accepted the currency, but it was impractical to use. It would have required wheelbarrows full of paper money just to buy a loaf of bread.

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Boris Johnson Crashes British Pound or Wins Currency War? Video / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

According to the mainstream media Boris Johnson's declaration to campaign for Britain to leave the European Union has triggered market panic head lines right across the mainstream press spectrum that demonstrates the magnitude of the depth of their ignorance of markets from the likes of the BBC, to Channel 4 News to the myriad of dieing broadsheet publications such as the FT, all in unison propagating headlines such as 'Boris Johnson Causes a Run on the Pound' that followed a 3 cent dip against the US Dollar on rising BrExit fears as though this was catastrophically bad news, though conveniently ignoring the fact that the FTSE actually closed higher on the so called BrExit panic Monday.

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Currencies

Monday, February 22, 2016

British Pound BrExit Plunge Press Panic! FACT: Helps Britain WIN Currency War! / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The mainstream press today illustrated the magnitude of the depth of their ignorance of the markets as right across the spectrum from the likes of the BBC, to Channel 4 News to the myriad of dieing broadsheet publications such as the FT, all in unison propagated headlines such as a 'Boris Johnson Causes a Run on the Pound' following a 3 cent dip against the US Dollar on rising BrExit fears as though this was catastrophically bad news, one of panic, though conveniently ignoring the fact that the FTSE closed higher on so called BrExit Panic day.

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Currencies

Monday, February 22, 2016

US Dollar and The Global 'Peg Pain Trade' / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gordon_T_Long

Charles Hugh Smith and Gordon T Long analyze, with 25 slides, the strength in the US Dollar and what we can likely expect going forward.

Both see a strong dollar in the future as it becomes, more and more a flight to safety associated with failed monetary / fiscal policies, weakening current accounts and slowing trade around the world. It isn't that the US$ is a paragon of virtue and value, but rather the "least ugly".

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Currencies

Friday, February 12, 2016

Canadian Dollar Now Even Less of a Haven from US Dollar Collapse Than Before / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Jeff_Berwick

In 2011, we posted an article entitled  “The Canadian Dollar is No Haven from a US Dollar Collapse.”  The point of the article was that Canada had almost no gold reserves and the only thing backing the Canadian dollar was the US dollar.

Canadians were quite smug, back then, with the Canadian dollar trading above par with the US dollar and we wanted to remind them that not only would the Canadian dollar not be a haven from a US dollar collapse, but the loonie would collapse before the US dollar, since nothing is backing it but the US dollar and Canada had no gold (amongst many other reasons).

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Currencies

Thursday, February 11, 2016

British Pound Rising Despite Negative Data / Currencies / British Pound

By: MBM_Research

Trends in many of the financial markets have started to reverse course over the last few weeks with a few notable examples that have yet to be fully discussed.  Some of the more closely watched examples here include things like gold and oil, which have come off sharply from their recent lows.  But there are other examples that should be on the radar of UK traders, as the British Pound (GBP) is making some interesting reversals in its own right. 

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Currencies

Monday, February 08, 2016

US Economy Slides One Step Further Towards A Recession / Currencies / Recession 2016

By: Dr_David_J_Harris

SUMMARY:

This article reviews whether the US is potentially sliding towards an economic recession, as defined by NBER.

  • The St. Louis FED publishes a monthly report that presents the output from its smoothed US recession probabilities model.
  • The model covers the period from June 1967 to the present day, and during this period there have been seven US recessions, as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
  • The FED model has three false positives and zero false negatives. All three false positives were within two years of a US recession starting, so they can be considered as early indicators of a recession rather than false positives.
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Currencies

Friday, February 05, 2016

Pity the USD longs! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

An opinion by ZeroHedge on this morning’s payroll report caught my attention. They opine, “The most obvious reaction to the "great" drop in the unemployment rate and "huge miss" in payrolls is a rise (yes rise) in rate-hike odds for 2016. This appears to be why the Dollar is spiking and bonds, stocks, crude, gold and everything else is being sold...”

Unfortunately the USD retracement is losing momentum at 97.24, just above mid-Cycle support/resistance at 96.99.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Epic Currency War Battle: Hedge Funds Versus China / Currencies / Currency War

By: John_Rubino

George Soros’ successful bet against the British pound back in 1992 remains one of financial history’s epic tales.

The short version of the story begins with Britain linking its currency, the pound, to the German deutschmark via the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). But Britain’s inflation rate was higher than Germany’s, which created a growing mismatch between the currencies’ real value.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

GBPUSD And USDCAD Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD

GBPUSD bounced nicely to the highs earlier which we thought its going to be wave 5 of C), but a quick reversal down from 1.4443 high suggests that wave 4 can still be unfolding as a triangle. That said, upside may not be done yet for cable, so be aware of 1.4500 before market turns down with new impulse. Leg down from here and daily close beneath 1.4317 will indicate that wave C) is done anyway. Generally speaking, new reversal can be in the cards soon, but latest price move suggests that we are not there yet.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 31, 2016

USD-JPY Back In Bullish Mode / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Many years from now, the people of Japan will tell their children and grandchildren of a time long since past when interest rates were negative and you actually had to pay the bank to give them money. The kids will go "Wow" in amazement and disbelief.

The Bank of Japan announced this exact thing the past week and this is the present we currently live in and is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. This should see the USDJPY now trade higher.

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Currencies

Friday, January 29, 2016

GBP-USD Stuck Between Bulls And Bears / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

Correction completed or no? That's the question I am wondering while looking at GBPUSD. Firstly I assumed that we will see higher corrective for blue wave 4-cricled, because of the degree that I am tracking on a daily chart. I thought we may even see 1.4560 level, but todays decline put some doubt in that view. That said, I prepared two wave counts now, and will be ready to go with the bearish one if we get a daily close beneath 1.4172. Then I would look for a retest of 1.4080 early in February. But until then wave four can still reach higher levels with sub-wave C) if consider possible flat now in wave B). This is now time for patience, as battle between bulls and bears appears undecided.

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Currencies

Friday, January 29, 2016

USDJPY: "Diving" For Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Learn how protective stops keep you on the right side the trend

On a recent vacation to the Yucatan, my friend decided to get certified in scuba diving.

I, on the other hand, prefer breathing my air above water! But I did tag along with her to one of the classes, anyway. She learned how to handle and interpret all the various diver gauges: gas pressure, submersive pressure, depth, and on.

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Currencies

Monday, January 25, 2016

USDJPY: Big Correction Near Completion / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDJPY is falling sharply and very aggressively towards the levels of August of 2015, but it's still too soon to confirm if wave four will be a triangle or a flat. It can be both as long as wave A) holds, but we still think that sooner or later bears will slow down and that price will rally in three legs; either from here or from around 114.00. So for now, trend is still down, but key for bulls will be a bullish reversal in five waves on lower time frames. Only then we can start looking immediately higher again.

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Currencies

Monday, January 25, 2016

Forex Trading As A Beginner / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Binary options, Forex trading and stock investment are really popular these days. They are useful as they can generate additional income for those that are interested, offering an income channel that is not traditional (for instance, being an employee of a company). Forex trading can easily become a secondary business of your own and a lot of money can be made. The problem is that most beginners will not be successful and will actually end up losing their entire investment capital.

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Currencies

Friday, January 22, 2016

Ron Paul Says to Watch the Petrodollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better. - Ron Paul

Ron Paul is calling for the end of the petrodollar system. This system is one of the main reasons the U.S. dollar is the world’s premier reserve currency.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

US Dollar Drop to Trendline Likely / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Savage

The dollar is "crawling" along its 60 dma. When it breaks and closes below the drop into the intermediate cycle low will begin.

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Currencies

Monday, January 18, 2016

Forex Currency Pairs Guide / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Currency Pairs
Forex trading works due to the value of a currency being determined by its relative value in comparison to another, you in currency pairings for this exact reason. These pairs are made up of a base currency (the first one) and a quote currency (the second). For example, with the GBP/USD currency pair the GB Pound is the base and the US Dollar is the quote. The pair shows how much of the quote currency is needed to purchase one unit of the base currency.

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