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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Bitcoin Price Flashes Important Signal / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: short speculative positions; stop-loss at $657; initial target at $527.

Does Bitcoin correlate to gold? This is the kind of question Bitcoin enthusiasts pose to themselves. As it turns out, the question might be surprising to a lot of people who claim that the two are very similar. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:

An analysis of historical market data conducted by ARK Invest's Chris Burniske failed to illustrate a strong relationship between the two.

Burniske's analysis revealed that when examined on a weekly basis, the one-year rolling correlation of bitcoin and gold's returns was positive for nearly the entire period between 30th December, 2011, and 20th June, 2014.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

US Dollar Analysis And New Trading Opportunity / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Investor optimism in stocks is becoming more widespread. Last week’s NAAIM Exposure Index rose to 101, which is the highest level since December of 2013. The trading sentiment composite has moved to a “Sell Signal” and last week saw an 11 on the VIX.  Excessive optimism is universal.

We are entering an interesting time of the year for investors.  Is this stock market going to break out to the upside and rally to further new highs, or will this latest lull be followed by a painful reversal of fortune?   Historically, the August/September timeframe is the “Danger Zone” for the stock market.

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Currencies

Monday, August 01, 2016

4 Stages of Fiat Monetary Madness / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Michael_Pento

There are four stages of fiat money printing that have been used by central banks throughout their horrific history of usurping the market-based value of money and borrowing costs. It is a destructive path that began with going off the gold standard and historically ends in hyperinflation and economic chaos.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 31, 2016

Bank of Japan Disappointment Sets Stage For Further Yen Appreciation / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: AnyOption

After the considerable fanfare that followed the Liberal Democrats sweeping victory in the upper house of Japanese Parliament, the monetary stimulus measures that have seen been unveiled have not been met with optimism as evidenced by the recent strengthening in the Yen.  In a sign that confidence in the Bank of Japan continues to fall, and recently announcement of expanded JPY 6 trillion in ETF purchases failed to move the needle lower for the Yen.  Anticipation of more aggressive stimulus measures including expanded easing and lower interest rates was not rewarded after the Central bank abstained from making serious adjustments to existing policy measures.  Despite the pessimism that surrounded the decision, it may have been the best move considering the ongoing deflationary pressures that have not budged and weaker consumption metrics.  However, with deteriorating economic fundamentals comes the added risk of another wave of Yen appreciation.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 31, 2016

US Dollar Set For Massive Smackdown  / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

The US Dollar Index price action has played out exactly as forecast in recent subscriber analysis. That analysis reduced the price expectation for the bear rally and the recent high of 97.62 was a bingo hit.

Let’s review the technicals beginning with the daily chart.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 28, 2016

U.S. Dollar Bear Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Savage

The first stage in a bear market begins with a severe drop below the 200 day moving average. This serves as the shot across the bow warning. Then there is usually at least one more attempt to recover the 200. When it fails the bear market starts in earnest. The dollar has dropped below the 200 this morning.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Monetary Zika - The Insidious Nature of Credit Expansion / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The insidious nature of credit expansion under the implicit guise of forced legal tender has worked it’s way (essentially) undiagnosed through many generations.  

Viruses work from the inside out. They take over the control center of a cell. They use the existing machinery to proliferate.

Ultimately, the most successful become part of the host. Some become a part of the genome.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Bitcoin $650 Still in Play / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

A recent development in the Ethereum ecosystem might turn out to be important for other digital assets, Bitcoin included. On CoinDesk, we read:

The ethereum ecosystem is returning to normalcy following a high-profile hack last month that resulted in nearly $60m worth of investor funds ending up under the control of an unknown group or individual.

The 'theft', as some would label it, was eventually reversed through what's known as a hard fork, a change in the code, 'approved' by an informal community vote, that effectively moved the disputed funds to a new account where investors could withdraw their original investments.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

The Forex Markets Are Getting Exciting! / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Our Senior Currency Strategist explains why

Jim Martens, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, gives you a preview of what's going on in the FX world post-Brexit.

Watch this new interview to learn which markets Jim's keeping his eye on.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Monday, July 25, 2016

Here’s One Currency That Could Go to Zero / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN: Shinzo Abe just scored a decisive victory in the upper house elections. Let me explain why that is not boring.

Abenomics was conceived in 2012 as a way to combat Japan’s never-ending deflation and pseudo-depression. It included a truly massive program of quantitative easing. This involved the printing of yen to buy all sorts of assets—including stocks!

Abenomics has continued for four years… with mixed results.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Large Investors Become Major Bitcoin Buyers / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The world has woken up to the fact that the Central Banks are a curse, rather than a boom to the global economies, and their time left is slowly coming to an end because of new technologies and currencies I talked about last week.

People are starting to park their money in digital currencies, like Bitcoin, rather than parking them in fiat currencies. This is primarily due to the Negative Interest Rate Policy as well as Zero Interest Rate Policy of the Central Banks, which explains the sharp rise in the price of Bitcoin, this year as seen in the chart below.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Forex: "The Markets Are Getting Exciting!" / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Our Senior Currency Strategist explains why

Jim Martens, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, gives you a preview of what's going on in the FX world post-Brexit.

Watch this new interview to learn which markets Jim's keeping his eye on.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Forex Trading: Investors Await Inside Bar Breakout for Clear Direction in USD/JPY / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Richard_Cox

The US Dollar (USD) extended upside movement against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, increasing the price of USD/JPY to more than 105.00 as bulls gain strength. The technical bias however remains bearish because of a Lower Low in the recent downside move. The pair has formed a great inside bar trade setup after the emergence of a giant candle on 24th June amid Brexit vote. A breakout through the aforementioned candle will provide clear direction for the pair.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Bitcoin in Asymmetric Position / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Paul_Rejczak

In short: no speculative positions.

The recent halving of Bitcoin rewards has proved to be a sort of no-volatility event. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:

One of the primary expectations leading up to halving was that the price would drop due to an expected rumor-and-event cycle, whereby traders would accumulate the asset, riding the excitement up until the actual halving took place, at which point they would exit positions.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Waiting on the Euro to Bottom / Currencies / Euro

By: Gary_Savage

I’m just waiting for the euro to confirm a final intermediate cycle bottom. It’s now very late in the timing band at 33 weeks. So the bottom could occur at any time. My best guess is the euro will bottom and the dollar will top on, or the day before, the FOMC meeting next week.

The intermediate trend line has been broken. This needs to happen during cycle lows to get technical traders on the wrong side of the market. We are waiting for the trend line to break in gold.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

FX Traders: Get a Free Week of Forecasts (Details inside) / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Dear reader,

Now through 5 p.m. July 22, you are invited to get free access to an online event that only happens once or twice a year at elliottwave.com:

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Currencies

Monday, July 18, 2016

Will AUD/USD Selling Continue? / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Richard_Cox

Currency markets have seen some interesting moves over the last few weeks and one of the better trading setups can now be seen in the AUD/USD.  These scenarios have come largely as a result of recent developments within the central bank. 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) recently announced that it would be willing to take extensive and unorthodox measures to right the economy, if the need arose. The current interest rate is 1.75%. If this turned out to be the case and the RBA opted to decrease the base interest rate to 1%, then options like government bond-buying would be likely considered. Such a measure would likely reduce the value of the Australian Dollar, which is presently trading near 0.76 USD.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 17, 2016

Walkers Spell and Go Holidays Promotion Investigation Breaking News! / Currencies / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

Just like many people across Britain we have now entered well over 300 codes and won NO holiday in walkers crisps spell and go promotion because the letters K, C, D are not being given out randomly but have been released in very few numbers amongst an estimated 1.1 billion packets of crisps Well now with the promotion drawing to a close and clearly not many holidays having been won despite much effort, so now many people, have complained to the advertising standards agency who have launched a formal investigation into the Walkers Spell and Go promotion.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 16, 2016

AUD-USD Wave B High  / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

The Aussie dollar looks to have made a reaction high today and I remain bearish about its short term prospects. Let’s review the daily chart.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Bitcoin Price Walking Thin Line / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

There has been an important change in the way the Bitcoin network operates. Namely, mining rewards have been cut in half. This is not an unforeseen change, since there is a known halving schedule. On BBC News, we read:

The financial rewards for being involved with the Bitcoin virtual currency have been halved.

Before 9 July, a regular reward of 25 bitcoins was handed out to those who were first to verify which coins had been spent.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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