Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Key Reversal Week in GBP/CHF Lures Bulls / Currencies / Futures Trading
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
After nearing an interesting Fibo projection earlier this year the GBP/CHF cross rate recovery came to a halt. Subsequent weakness has been quite deep but we have just seen a potentially bullish Key Reversal Week, marking at least a temporary turning point. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2009
U.S. Dollar Crash is Not Going to Happen / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
The dollar is not going to crash. In fact, many economists believe that the dollar will rally when the Fed ends its quantitative easing program (QE) sometime in early 2010. The Fed is on track to buy nearly $2 trillion dollars of mortgage-backed securities, US Treasuries and agency debt. In other words, the Fed is printing money and pumping it into the housing market to keep the market from collapsing. This keeps interest rates low, but it also weakens the dollar. When the program ends, long-term interest rates will rise and the dollar will strengthen.
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
U.S. Dollar Attacked by Central Bank Lilliputians Profting From the Carry Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The US Federal Reserve continues to talk about their urgent Exit Strategy. My theory is they will be doing mostly talking and almost no doing. The nations that talk the least will be hiking interest rates the most, like Australia. The United States might be dead last in hiking interest rates. The credibility of the USFed will in the process continue to be harmed much more than already, which is rock bottom. The Dollar Carry Trade and the lost Petro-Dollar advantage will work to destroy the USDollar as the global reserve currency. The USFed will have to resort to unusual means to keep the world ‘interested’ and ‘involved’ in the USDollar at all. When they lose interest and involvement, the US$ will descend into the Third World. The USDollar will then be forced to find its true value, based on its own merit.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Currency Market Sees No Motive in Buying U.S. Dollars as Risk Appetite Increases / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
G7 finance ministers and central bankers ought to realize that their USD-supporting rhetoric (Bernanke, Lagarde and Trichet) will be devalued by a currency market that sees no motive in buying the greenback as long as improved risk appetite continues to shore up a USD-driven global liquidity. With US earnings beating estimates and the "commodity central banks" not mincing their words about tightening liquidity, the only viable way for US policy makers to stabilize the USD is to start withdrawing liquidity...rather than talk about when is a good time to do it.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Zero Discount Value of Gold and Dethroning the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Michael_S_Rozeff
A truly major change in the global monetary system is beginning to materialize. The dollar is starting to be dethroned. Foreign governments and central banks are going to do the dethroning.
I have no prediction as to how slowly or quickly this process will take. The major dethroners, the Chinese, are on record as favoring a slow process. The transition is already occurring, however. Now that attitudes have shifted among the dethroners, they are likely to keep at it.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Currency Trading for 20th October 2009 / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
Tomorrow (Oct 21) The Bank of England's (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will publish its record of the committee's interest rate meeting held two weeks ago.
The meeting gives a picture of economic conditions in the UK, and records the votes of the individual members of the Committee.
If the BOE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook, it should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
On the U.S. Dollar, Europe Sings a Classic Meatloaf Hit, Two Out of Three Ain't Bad / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Shedlock
Seriously, ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet cannot possibly be serious when he says Europe Takes U.S. Strong-Dollar Policy Seriously.
Monday, October 19, 2009
Central Banks Systematically Destroying Hard Earned Wealth Through Fiat Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Captain_Hook
Human beings are not designed to think in terms of loss, or at minimum, are not built to deal with it well psychologically. And if you look around one can see this in how we have structured our modern day society, with the economy counting on steady and consistent growth even if its not to be. Of course even though it’s not to be, we humans would prefer to be optimistic, and lie about the reality of the situation. Here, because of this desire, our bureaucracy feels they have sufficient license to lie about the economy in increasing measure; whatever it takes to avoid loss – loss of wealth, loss of jobs, and most importantly loss of the fictitious wealth most have saved in fictitious dollars ($’s). Oh yes, naturally when we speak of bureaucracy we cannot ignore the desire for power within the formula, however for our purposes we lump all these desires into one easily understandable obsession, that being the desire to increase and maintain one’s wealth, where today, this also means at any cost unfortunately.
Monday, October 19, 2009
U.S. Dollar Awaits Fed's Speech Blitz / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
The week's upcoming blitz of Fed speeches starts with Bernanke's speech about Asia and the crisis (15:00 GMT). All voting members at this year's FOMC are due to speak this week, with the exception of Board Governor Duke and Atlanta Fed's Lockhart. As the dollar accelerates its decline, FX markets are increasingly aware that short of any USD-supporting remarks from non-US policy makers, effective USD stabilization would have to emerge from Fed's managing of inflation expectations (translation: signalling intentions to begin withdrawing excess liquidity by saying it will raise rates when the time is right).
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Monday, October 19, 2009
Saving the U.S. Dollar and Bearish Gold Volume / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ronald_Rosen
It has been said that not even the U. S. Marine Corps can save the dollar. However, the way things appear, and according to the Delta Long Term turning points, the Marines may succeed in a delaying action for about twelve months. Desperate times require desperate means. The U. S. Dollar, starting about now, may actually rally right up to the mid term elections in November 2010. Perhaps we should include American politics as one of our market timing tools.
Monday, October 19, 2009
U.S. Dollar Remains at Important Support Against the Yen / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
Traders await the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) decision on short term interest rate which will be announced tomorrow (Tuesday, 20/10).
The decision on where to set interest rates depends mostly on growth outlook and inflation. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increases demand for the nation's currency.
Monday, October 19, 2009
Short Term Bull Signal in USD/JPY Now Seen / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
The recent downtrend in USD/JPY has been trying to find support above the prior lows of Dec-08/Jan-09. It looks as though a s/term recovery signal has now been given, and it is now time to look at some of the overhead hurdles confronting the s/term bulls.
Monday, October 19, 2009
Orderly U.S. Dollar Depreciation Is Better Than Protectionism / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Lloyds_TSB
For all of the furore about the dollar’s slide, it is easy to lose sight of the underlying forces at play. However, we should not be complacent, as these forces can still have destructive effects on global growth prospects. Global imbalances, represented broadly in the growing US current account deficit and rising surpluses in many other parts of the world, were one of the prime - for some, the only - reasons for the global crisis that is still unwinding.
Sunday, October 18, 2009
The Forex Establishment / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Elite_E_Services
While collecting data about the Forex market, it is important to know who the major players are. Who originally designed Forex, who are the major participants, who makes decisions that have a significant impact on the Forex market? This and more will be explored in “The Forex Establishment.” First, let’s examine what is an establishment.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Death of the U.S. Dollar, Again? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: EWI
The following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
U.S. Dollar Real Value Crash to 18cents / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jeff_Clark
By Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report -“A dollar is worth only 70¢ now,” my Dad jabbered as we worked in the backyard. “And they say it’ll only be worth 50¢ in a few years.”
Thursday, October 15, 2009
End of U.S. Dollar Global Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The heralded end to the Petro-Dollar defacto standard completes the loop, the vicious cycle that will work to destroy the USDollar. In a sense, the US$ had to face an end, its sunset guaranteed when Nixon defaulted on its redemption value. The United States served as custodian for the global reserve currency. Naturally, the most damage will be to the US as a consequence of its twilight, especially after the recent era of fraud & counterfeit. Few look back to that date in 1971 as prophetic for declaring the USDollar’s days as limited and finite.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
Euro Continues Rise Against Weak U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
Tomorrow (Oct 15) The US Treasury Department will publish the monthly Treasury International Capital (TIC) Net Long-Term Transactions Report. The report measures the monthly difference in value between US purchases of long-term foreign securities and foreign purchases of US long-term securities.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Expected to Continue Slide to New Lows / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
Traders in the U.S await tomorrow's publication of the Department of Labor's monthly CPI measurement (Oct 15).
The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services excluding food and energy.
The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer.
It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the US.
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Develepments, The Most Critical Financial Developments of Your Lifetime… / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Larry_Edelson
Make no mistake about it. The developments over the last three weeks affecting the U.S. dollar — which continues to sink in value — are the most critical financial developments of your lifetime.
The U.S. dollar has now entered the final days of its reign as the world’s reserve currency.
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